Supply and Demand
USDJPY Descending channel breakout ahead bullish strongFX:USDJPY Breakout Alert – Bullish Momentum on 4H Chart 💥
The pair has broken out of the descending channel with strong bullish confirmation. Price action is showing solid momentum and market structure shift.
🟢 Entry Level: 144.700
📍 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 146.000 (Key Supply Zone)
2nd Target: 148.500 (Major Resistance)
🔴 Stop Loss: 143.000 (Demand Zone)
📊 This setup is based on the 4H time frame, offering a favorable risk-reward ratio for swing traders.
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#USDJPY #ForexSignals #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #LiviaTrades
XAUUSD: The beginning of range trading.Last week, I perfectly predicted the sharp rise in the market. At the beginning of this week, XAUUSD reached a high of 3451, which is the front pressure position. Due to the cooling of risk aversion in the international market, the New York market fell back to 3373 on Monday.
XAUUSD did experience a typical "news-driven callback", and the analysis of technical and fundamental aspects is very critical. The following is a professional analysis and operation suggestions for the current market:
Key points and technical structure
1. Pressure level: 3450 area
- The previous high pressure is effective. This is the resonance resistance area of the upper track of the daily level channel + Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level, and the demand for long profit-taking is concentrated.
2. Support level: 3370-3380 area
- Currently falling back to 3373, here is:
- 50-day moving average dynamic support
- 4-hour chart previous low level support platform
- Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
- If the daily closing is above 3380, the technical structure is still a healthy correction.
News-driven logic
- Negative factors:
Geopolitical situation and peace talks ➜ Risk aversion cools down ➜ Gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset decreases.
- Potential risks:
The progress of peace talks may be repeated (such as the situation between Israel and Hamas and Russia and Ukraine). If the negotiations fail, safe-haven buying will return quickly. Need to keep an eye on news sources.
Key signals for long-short game
Long signal: long lower shadow candlestick appears in 3370 area, US dollar index (DXY) falls below 105.0
Short signal: rebound fails to break through 3400 integer mark, US bond yield rises above 4.3%
Trading strategy suggestion
- *Long order opportunity*: 3370-3380 light position to try long, stop loss 3355 (below the previous low), target 3400/3420.
- *Short order opportunity*: 3415-3425 to arrange short orders in batches, stop loss 3440, target 3390.
2: Break down
- Trigger condition: daily closing price <3365
The callback is upgraded to a deep correction
- Target: 3340→ 3300 (psychological barrier + trend line support)
- Operation: Chasing short needs to wait for a rebound to around 3400, stop loss 3420.
3: Restart the rise (probability 10%)
- Trigger condition: Break through 3440 and stand firm for 1 hour
- Possible driving force: Geopolitical conflict escalates/Fed rate cut expectations rise
- Target: 3480 (historical high psychological resistance) → 3500
- Operation: After breaking through 3440, step back to 3425 to chase longs, stop loss 3405.
Key event risks this week
1. Wednesday: US May CPI data (core CPI expected to be 3.5%)
- If data > expectations: expectations of rate hikes rise → bearish for gold
- If data < expectations: expectations of rate cuts come earlier → bullish for gold
2. Thursday: Fed interest rate decision + Powell press conference
- Pay attention to the dot plot's hints on the number of rate cuts in 2024 (current market pricing is about 2 times)
3. Geopolitical headlines: progress in the Iran nuclear agreement, black swan risks in the French election
Position management principles
1. Total risk exposure ≤ 5% of account net value
2. Reduce positions by 50% 3 hours before key events (avoid instantaneous fluctuations in CPI/FOMC)
3. Breakout strategy stop loss setting: 15 points outside the previous high/low to prevent burrs
Conclusion: The effectiveness of the current 3373 support needs to be verified by Wednesday's CPI data. It is recommended that the London market operate in the 3370-3420 range and reduce positions before the US market to wait for data guidance. If you hold long positions, 3380 is the last line of defense; if you hold short positions, consider taking profits in batches above 3400. The medium-term bullish trend of gold has not been broken, but the risk aversion premium needs to be digested in the short term.
If you need a more detailed entry point analysis or position management to solve your long-term loss problem, please feel free to tell me your trading cycle and risk preference, and I will provide you with a customized strategy.
XAUUSD Has follow ascending channel bullish now from supportXAUUSD Market Update
Gold is currently respecting the ascending channel and showing strong bullish momentum from the key demand zone at 3390.
📈 Technical Outlook (4H Timeframe):
✅ Holding firm within bullish structure
🎯 First target: 3490 – major resistance level ahead
💡 Watching closely for breakout confirmation or pullback opportunities.
📌 Trade smart. Stay informed.
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BTC ANALYSIS (4H)Last week, Bitcoin made a sharp bullish move upward, aiming for retail liquidity, which made the forecast path more difficult.
The green zone is a support area where Bitcoin might react.
To collect the ATH liquidity, Bitcoin needs to break through the red zone.
Let’s see what happens | when the market direction isn’t clear, there’s no need to take unnecessary risks.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/17/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22177.25
- PR Low: 22065.25
- NZ Spread: 250.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Retail Sales (Core|MoM)
Contract rollover week
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/17)
- Session Open ATR: 385.81
- Volume: 47K
- Open Int: 178K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -3.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
XAU / USD ANALYSIS [Bullish Bias]Gold continues to show strong bullish momentum, supported by key technical levels and favorable market structure. Price action remains constructive above the major support zone, indicating potential for further upside.
I'm closely monitoring the following levels for a high-probability long setup:
Demand Zone / Support Level:
Entry key level: 3375 - 3370
As long as gold holds above this support, the bias remains bullish with potential for a continuation toward higher resistance levels. A break and sustained move above the entry zone would confirm bullish strength and could trigger the next leg up.
Risk management remains key waiting for clear confirmation before entering is advised.
#GOLD, #FOREX , # VeloraFXReal
BTCUSD – Range Scalping Zones IdentifiedPrice tapped into a previous short zone near 108.6 and showed rejection. We’re watching for downside follow-through toward the 104.2 to 104.5 range where a potential long opportunity may form.
This chart outlines clean range-based levels for scalping. These zones line up with prior liquidity sweeps and local structure shifts. Scalpers can look to react at these levels depending on how price behaves when we get there.
Ideal for traders on lower timeframes like the 15m, but the concept applies across intraday setups. Always wait for confirmation before entering.
TPR: Navigating the Ascending ChannelTechnical Analysis:
Ascending Channel in Play : TPR has been consistently trading within a well-defined ascending channel since its March lows, indicating a strong intermediate-term uptrend with a clear pattern of higher lows and higher highs.
Critical Resistance Test at 85-88 : The stock is currently challenging immediate intermediate resistance at $85.00 (red band). A more significant overhead resistance zone between $86.00 and $88.00 (gray band), encompassing prior highs, needs to be decisively overcome for further upside.
Layered Support Structure : Immediate dynamic support is provided by the lower trendline of the ascending channel, which converges closely with a horizontal intermediate support level at $80.00. A stronger, long-term key support zone is identified between $75.00 and $77.00, bolstering the bullish structure.
Projected Breakout & Upside Target : The chart suggests a potential scenario where TPR pushes through the 86-88$ resistance. A confirmed breakout could propel the stock towards its upside target of 93−95$, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Confirmation & Risk Management: For a validated long position, a strong daily close above 88$ on increased volume would be ideal confirmation. A sustained break below the 88$ on increased volume would be ideal confirmation. A sustained break below the 75-77$ key support would invalidate the current bullish outlook and suggest a deeper correction.
Fundamental & News Context:
Tapestry (TPR) is a global house of luxury brands including Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman. The company benefits from resilient demand in the affordable luxury segment and the ongoing recovery in international markets, particularly China. The most significant fundamental catalyst is the proposed acquisition of Capri Holdings (parent of Versace, Michael Kors, Jimmy Choo). This move, if approved by regulators, is expected to create a diversified, global luxury powerhouse with enhanced scale and market positioning, though integration and regulatory risks remain. Strong brand performance and strategic growth initiatives underpin the long-term outlook.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Bitcoin Consolidates Near Highs — Bullish Wedge Signals StrengthHolding Strong Amid Uncertainty:
Despite rising geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin remains resilient, trading near recent highs. This stability reflects strong institutional confidence and sustained accumulation by long-term holders.
Bullish Technical Setup:
The ongoing consolidation between $100,000 and $110,000 is forming a wedge pattern—a classic bullish continuation structure. This suggests the market is coiling for its next major move.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: $112,500
Support Zone: Holding above $100,000 keeps the bullish case intact
Measured Move Target: $130,000–$135,000
Outlook:
This tight consolidation signals a healthy pause in a strong uptrend, positioning Bitcoin for a potential breakout and continuation higher. All signs point to the bulls remaining firmly in control.
#Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishWedge #CryptoMarket #InstitutionalBuying #PriceAction #Geopolitics #SupportAndResistance #BullRun
#4162025 | BTCUSD Supply Zone 1:10BTCUSD Supply Zone Appears in D1 Time Frame Looking Price Action for Long Term Sell
Risk and Reward Ratio is 1:10
After 50 pips Profit Set SL Entry Level
"DISCLAIMER" Trading & investing business is "Very Profitable" as well as risky, so any trading or investment decision should be made after Consultation with Certified & Regulated Investment Advisors, by Carefully Considering your Financial Situation.
Long trade
🟢 GBPUSD – Buyside Trade
Date: Monday, 16th June 2025
Session: London Session AM
Time: 5:00 AM
Entry Timeframe: 1Hr TF
Trade Parameters
Entry: 1.35864
Take Profit: 1.36168 (+0.22%)
Stop Loss: 1.35664 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 1.5
🧠 Trade Reasoning
This GBPUSD buyside trade was structured around an early London session setup, targeting a short-term liquidity gap above. Price had formed a bullish 1Hr structure, establishing a higher low.
Long trade
🟢 EURUSD – Buyside Trade
Date: Monday, 16th June 2025
Session: London Session AM
Time: 5:00 AM
Entry Timeframe: 1Hr TF
Trade Parameters
Entry: 1.15748
Take Profit: 1.16144 (+0.34%)
Stop Loss: 1.15581 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.29
🧠 Trade Reasoning
This buyside trade was executed after price swept the sell-side high from Monday, 21st April 2025, triggering liquidity above the previous swing, and then sharply rejecting back into structure. The reaction occurred above a 1Hr Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicative of a directional bias.