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Supply and Demand

Nasdaq Futures Analysis: Key Levels and Strategies for New HistoStart your week with an in-depth analysis of Nasdaq futures for Monday, December 16, 2024. Here's what you'll gain: 📈 Market Momentum: With new historic highs, the Nasdaq remains in a strong uptrend across all major timeframes. 📊 Key Levels to Watch: Identify precise zones for long and short entries, including critical areas like 22,160 and 22,108. 🎯 Strategic Insights: Learn how to approach trading during a contract rollover, with actionable plans for both bullish and bearish setups. Whether you're refining your trading strategy or seeking fresh opportunities, this analysis is your guide to navigating today's market with confidence. 🔗 Subscribe now for expert trading insights, daily updates, and actionable strategies to elevate your trading game!
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Long
by BinvestorsTrading
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/16/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower. Considerations The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights. For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately. To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Giovanni_Bandini
2
Technical Analysis for Gold Spot/USD (1-Hour Chart) Current Market Overview Current Price: $2,659.07 Market Trend: Mixed with a recent bearish move, but a recovery seems to be emerging. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support: $2,624.09 and $2,613.26 Resistance: $2,686.70 and $2,725.84 Bullish Scenario Technical Factors Price Action: Price shows a rebound after testing the NY Midnight Open near $2,653.70. Bullish candles are starting to form on the right side of the chart, suggesting a potential reversal. Volume Profile: Delta volume is indicating positive activity at lower price levels, hinting that buyers are stepping in near $2,653 and below. Indicators: The pink shaded bearish momentum (likely a short-term EMA cloud) appears to be weakening. Price is attempting to push above this bearish cloud, which could act as a trigger for further bullish momentum. Support Zone: Strong support exists near $2,624 to $2,613, where price previously reversed on Dec 6th and 10th, as seen by the green demand zone. Probable Entry Points Entry: Around $2,655 - $2,660 once price consolidates above the NY Midnight Open ($2,653.70). Confirmation: Look for price closing above $2,666 (the nearest mini-resistance). Take-Profit Targets Short-term TP1: $2,686.70 (key resistance zone marked by 16% delta volume). TP2: $2,710 - This is a zone where previous bearish pressure emerged. Extended Target: $2,725.84 (higher timeframe resistance). Stop-Loss SL: Below $2,650 or $2,645 to minimize risk. Bearish Scenario Technical Factors Price Action: Despite the current bounce, the overall structure remains bearish, with lower highs forming after the drop from $2,725.84. Bearish momentum (pink shaded region) remains active on the larger downtrend. Volume Analysis: Negative delta volume around $2,686.70 suggests sellers are still defending that level. Resistance Zone: $2,666 to $2,686 is a key supply zone; a rejection here would confirm bearish continuation. Moving Averages/EMA Cloud: Price has yet to break convincingly above the pink bearish cloud, meaning the trend still favors sellers. Probable Entry Points Entry: Near $2,666 to $2,670 if the price fails to break above resistance. Look for rejection candles. Confirmation: Bearish engulfing or a sharp pullback below the NY Midnight Open ($2,653). Take-Profit Targets Short-term TP1: $2,640 (previous swing low). TP2: $2,624 - This level is the lower support zone with previous demand. Extended Target: $2,613 - A breakdown of this level could lead to further bearish momentum. Stop-Loss SL: Above $2,675 or $2,680 to protect against a bullish breakout. Summary: Trading Plan Scenario Entry Zone Stop-Loss Take-Profit Targets Bullish $2,655 - $2,660 Below $2,645 TP1: $2,686.70, TP2: $2,710, TP3: $2,725 Bearish $2,666 - $2,670 Above $2,675 TP1: $2,640, TP2: $2,624, TP3: $2,613 Conclusion Bullish Bias: If price sustains above $2,666 and breaks resistance near $2,686, a bullish move to $2,710 - $2,725 could unfold. Bearish Bias: Rejection at $2,666 - $2,686 would likely lead to a pullback targeting $2,640, $2,624, and potentially $2,613. Recommendation: Wait for confirmation around key levels ($2,653.70 and $2,666) before entering a trade. Use proper stop-losses to manage risk.
FX:XAUUSD
by ProspireWealth
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we suggested wanting to see the price dip into the lower support level and then give us the long trade back up into the target levels above as well as red box resistance. This worked well of us in the first two days of the week completing our bullish bias targets before mid-week. We then suggested traders continue to long rather than look for the short trade while we identify the key turning point for the ideal short trade, which as you can see during the week we did. This trade worked well for us completing not only our Excalibur targets but our bias targets, hot spots and of course opportunities to scalp using our indi’s. An extremely decent week in Camelot not only on Gold but the other pairs we trade, analyse and apply the algo to. Well done to our traders and team. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? This is going to be a simple one this week as it’s FOMC week. We’re looking at two key levels here, the resistance level of 2670-5 and the support level first 2640 and below that 2630. Ideally, we want to see price find a base and then push upside from the support levels giving us the trade long into that higher level where we will want to monitor the price action. If we see strong defence then with a confirmed set up, we feel a short is on to target the lower levels in another attempt to try and break 2600. As you can see if you zoom out, it’s just a big range of accumulation on a larger scale being played here, ranging sideways like this can only mean there is a move of great magnitude on its way which we as traders need to be prepared for. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 2630 with targets above 2650, 2555 and 2667 Bearish on break of 2630 with target below 2610 and below that 2590 RED BOXES: Break above 2650 for 2657, 2660 and 2669 Break below 2640 for 2635, 2630 and 2610 We’ll use this report up until FOMC where we will publish a new report this week. So please trade carefully, expect some choppy and ranging price action and price to attempt to settle in a small range from Tuesday late session onwards. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
10
BTCUSDT 4h-8h long updatelast BTC idea was a succes check it out for reference. we managed to find good support on the SND after some bloody absorption which made me take a nice and easy 2rr trade. it might not seem much to some of you but this is how real trading goes. actual analysis, actual trading rules, actual entry criteria and a good amount of backtest data to back it up. this is what makes a profitable trader. I tried to look for a re-entry on the second SND touch but it didnt match my entry criteria so i sat on my hands. I'll be looking for new trades now since another big MB was formed which needs to be mitigated ofcourse.
by BreadFish
EURUSD Nearest Target: SHORT before LONGOn the 5-minute timeframe, we can see a Market Structure Shift (MSS) around 1.05126, and the imbalance (iFVG) at 1.05171 has already been filled. While the weekly timeframe bias remains bullish, targeting 1.05952, this is a quick short-term move, so it won’t take much time. That’s why I call it "SHORT before LONG." My target is at 1.04925, as there’s a high probability the price will bounce upwards from that level. That’s where I’ll set my take profit (TP).
Short
by ryananggara
Potential mid-to-short-term movements.Chart Overview And Daily Chart Context: The overall market is back in an uptrend, with a potential pullback after reaching $2,700. A Fibonacci retracement shows us potential buy zones for the continuation of the bullish move. Key Levels High: The recent swing high near $2,700 acts as a liquidity zone where buyers got exhausted, and sellers took temporary control. Mid-Range (Golden Zone): The Fibonacci 0.618 - 0.786 retracement levels suggest where price may retrace to before resuming its upward move. These levels, around $2,650, align with previous consolidation areas. The retracement into this discount area (lower half of the recent swing) aligns with smart money logic, buy at lower prices for a move back into premium levels. The market remains bullish in the mid-term as long as price doesn’t break below the 2,600 level, which is a key structural support zone. The retracement into the Golden Zone is a logical place to anticipate a higher low forming before a continuation to higher levels. Once the price finds support in the Fibonacci Golden Zone, the next logical movement would be a return toward the $2,700 liquidity zone. Wait for price to enter the 0.618–0.786 zone and confirm support through bullish price action on lower timeframes, you know I trade M1 mostly, so keep an eye in minds!! Trade safe!!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Med_In_Trade
XAU/USD 16 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Since last analysis dated 13 December 2024, price has printed a double bearish iBOS Bullish CHoCH has been printed, therefore, we are now trading within an established internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price has tapped in to M15 supply zone. Technically price to target weak internal low priced at 2,643.595. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD - Gold went below $2700!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1H time frame and is trading in its descending channel. If we maintain the drawn channel, we can witness the continuation of gold's decline and limited visibility of the bottom of the channel. Within the demand zone, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. In case of valid failure of the ceiling of the channel, it is possible to sell within the supply zones. Gold demonstrated a strong performance earlier last week, surging nearly $100 from its weekly low and sparking fresh optimism among traders. However, higher-than-expected inflation data and a stronger U.S. dollar reversed the market dynamics, putting renewed selling pressure on precious metals. The latest weekly Kitco survey revealed that industry analysts are evenly split between bullish and bearish views, with a notable portion of respondents adopting a neutral stance. Meanwhile, retail traders’ optimism for gold remained unchanged compared to the previous week. Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, stated, “Gold saw an $85 rally in the first three days of the week, likely driven by reports of China’s central bank (PBOC) adding gold to its reserves for the first time in months. The metal reached $2,726 per ounce on the spot market on Thursday, marking its highest level in over a month, but then turned downward.” He further added, “Some analysts attributed the price decline to stronger-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data. Nonetheless, gold ended the week on a positive note, breaking its two-week losing streak.” Chandler also noted, “Since late October, this marks only the second positive week for gold. A cautious approach by the Federal Reserve to rate cuts—indicating that rates will be reduced but further cuts are unlikely next year, with a potential halt to tightening policies in early 2025—could pave the way for another test of the $2,600 level.” This week, the Federal Reserve is set to hold a two-day policy meeting, with monetary decisions expected to be announced on Wednesday. The central bank is anticipated to reduce the interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. Additionally, the Fed will release its updated “Summary of Economic Projections,” known as the dot plot. In September, the median Fed officials’ projection for interest rates by the end of 2025 stood at 3.4%. If this forecast is revised down by more than 1%, the U.S. dollar could face immediate downward pressure. In such a scenario, U.S. Treasury yields may decline, boosting gold prices. Market participants will also closely monitor remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Should Powell strike a cautious tone regarding further monetary easing and emphasize a gradual approach, the dollar may maintain its strength against its rivals. Conversely, if he raises concerns about declining labor market conditions and their potential adverse impact on economic growth, the dollar could come under selling pressure. Additionally, on Thursday, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the final revision of Q3 GDP data, and on Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for November will be published. Market reactions to the PCE inflation report are likely to remain muted after the Fed’s announcement. According to Bloomberg, Wall Street is shifting its outlook on the U.S. dollar, as Trump’s policies and the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts in the latter half of 2025 could weigh on the greenback. Analysts from Morgan Stanley to JPMorgan predict that the global reserve currency will peak by mid-2025 and then begin to decline. Société Générale also forecasts a 6% drop in the U.S. Dollar Index by the end of next year.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis Update (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section The price reached the green zone and is now pumping. We anticipate the start of a drop and an alt-season from the upper red zone. Note that, in terms of price, we consider this area to be the peak of Bitcoin dominance. However, in terms of timing and the number of times this level is tested, there is no certainty. This means that when Bitcoin dominance reaches the upper red level, you can enter altcoins. However, altcoin fluctuations might increase, and it could take some time, as the market maker might cause some turbulence before the main move. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by behdark
1
Bitcoin: Bitcoin is still above 100,000 dollars!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Risk On sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. which will cause the failure of the resistance zone(ATH) . After the authentic failure of this area, we will see Bitcoin reach the ceiling of the channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. The target of this downward movement will be the level of 92 thousand dollars. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. Last week, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw capital inflows on every single day, recording a total of $2.2 billion in investments.Similarly, Ethereum spot ETFs continued their strong performance from the previous two weeks, accumulating approximately $1 billion in inflows last week, which is a significant amount. Meanwhile, Microsoft shareholders voted against the proposal to add Bitcoin to the company’s balance sheet during its annual meeting on December 10. The resolution was introduced by the National Center for Public Policy Research (NCPPR), a free-market think tank based in Washington, D.C., which framed the proposal as a way to provide value to shareholders through profit diversification. However, the shareholders ultimately rejected it. Daniel Batten, an environmentalist and Bitcoin advocate, claimed that Alex de Vries’ “singular opinion” in 2018, as the founder of Digiconomist, was the foundation for all flawed studies on Bitcoin’s environmental impact. Batten argued that this misinformation has led to widespread misunderstandings among the public, investors, and policymakers, causing Bitcoin to be mistakenly seen as an environmental threat. However, newer studies suggest that many of these claims are incorrect, and Bitcoin could even have environmental benefits. He emphasized that Bitcoin’s energy consumption is not tied to the number of transactions and that the network can exponentially increase transaction volumes without raising emissions. Robert Kiyosaki, a Bitcoin investor, entrepreneur, and author of the bestselling book Rich Dad, Poor Dad, has once again predicted an imminent major crash and urged his followers to buy Bitcoin before it happens. In his recent tweet, Kiyosaki specifically addressed the Baby Boomer generation, to which he belongs, highlighting that Bitcoin is a new and confusing asset for many in that demographic. In his tweet, Kiyosaki wrote, “The biggest crash in history is coming. Please act early and get rich.” This warning came as Bitcoin surpassed the $100,000 mark for the first time in history. Earlier this year, Kiyosaki predicted that Bitcoin would reach $500,000 by 2025 and as much as $1 million by 2030, citing AI-based forecasts for his projections. The number of daily active crypto users has reached an all-time high of 18.7 million, a sharp increase from just 7.7 million at the beginning of 2024. A group of Amazon shareholders, led by the National Center for Public Policy Research (NCPPR), has suggested that Amazon invest at least 5% of its assets in Bitcoin. They argue that Bitcoin has outperformed most asset classes, including corporate bonds. Notably, MicroStrategy, a company that has integrated Bitcoin into its treasury management, has seen its stock outperform Amazon by a significant 537% over the past year. Meanwhile, BlackRock recently purchased an additional 3,910 Bitcoin, bringing its total holdings to approximately 535,000 Bitcoins, valued at $53 billion. As the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock has shifted its focus to Bitcoin and Ethereum while delaying the launch of any new altcoin-based ETFs. The head of BlackRock’s ETF division stated that the company now aims to expand its existing Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, given their stellar performance so far. Additionally, Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of MicroStrategy, hinted at another Bitcoin purchase in a recent tweet. He wrote, “Does saylortracker miss a green dot?” This cryptic message appears to reference yet another significant Bitcoin acquisition by Saylor. Similar messages from him in the past have often preceded announcements of large Bitcoin purchases. For instance, Saylor has previously teased major Bitcoin buys through similar tweets, which were later confirmed. Nasdaq also announced that the largest Bitcoin-holding company will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index starting December 23.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND