THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A very choppy day on gold today making it difficult to hold trades into the extreme levels. The range is smaller than usual and accumulation is in progress, so we will say please play defence on the markets.
We wanted lower to go higher, the red box broke upside, and if switched to the 1H TF, like us you would have got a decent trade into red box resistance for the RIP and short scalp. As you can see, price is now playing between the red boxes with intra-day support being way down at 3210 and resistance above at 3255. These are now the levels of play in our opinion and the market has played it in such a way that both are open targets! We'll wait lower to long or higher to short, here in the range, not interested.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3235 with targets below 3196, 3185, 3177, 3165 and 3155
Bullish on break of 3230 with targets above 3242✅, 3250, 3255 and 3262
RED BOXES:
Break above 3210 for 3118✅, 3220✅, 3225✅, 3230✅, 3235✅ and 3247✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3195 for 3187, 3179, 3165, 3155, 3150 and 3137 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Supply and Demand
USDJPY Outlook: Weekly Bearish Bias Despite Temporary RebalanceGreetings Traders,
It's the start of a new trading week, and our focus is on the Gopher — CAPITALCOM:USDJPY .
Weekly Overview: Temporary Rebalance, Bearish Tone Intact
On the weekly chart, USDJPY pushed higher to rebalance a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 149.30 and 148.26. Following this, price was swiftly rejected, forming a shooting star candlestick — a classic sign of potential bearish continuation.
However, for this bearish outlook to remain valid, 146.250 must hold as resistance. A sustained break above this level could invalidate the current bias and signal the possibility of further upside.
Daily Chart: Downside Pressure Builds
Looking at the daily timeframe, we see a sequence of down-close candles, indicating consistent selling pressure. I expect price to continue pushing lower, targeting the FVG below, with a potential sweep of sell-side liquidity resting under recent lows.
Trading Plan: Bearish Setup
Unless disrupted by high-impact fundamentals, I’ll be favouring short positions this week. My planned setup is as follows:
Entry: On confirmation within the 145.63 zone
Stop Loss: Above 145.97
Target Zones: Around 144.430
I’ll monitor price reaction closely at key levels to manage the trade accordingly.
SYSUSDT | Still Weak, Resistance Holds at the Red BoxSYSUSDT continues to show fragile price action. Until the red‑boxed area is cleared with genuine volume support, every upward move remains suspect. Here’s how I’d approach it:
Expect Rejections at Resistance
The red box marks a zone where sellers have stepped in repeatedly. Unless SYS clears this level on strong volume, I’ll assume the path of least resistance remains downward.
Shorting on False Rallies
When price makes a pop toward the red box, I’ll wait for two key signals before entering a short:
Low‑Time‑Frame Breakdown: A clear shift in structure on a 5‑ or 15‑minute chart—think lower highs or breakdown of a minor support.
CDV Divergence: If cumulative delta volume fails to confirm the rally, it shows buying pressure is drying up.
Patience Is a Virtue
I won’t force trades when these conditions aren’t met. If SYSUSDT somehow breaks above the red box with conviction, I’ll reassess. Until then, I let the market’s own behavior guide each decision.
By focusing on volume‑backed breakouts and CDV confirmation, or the lack thereof—you avoid chasing moves and trade with genuine conviction.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
USDJPY:Is it a beginning of major bullish trend? Read CaptionThe price of USDJPY has shown a mixed volume, making it difficult to determine the trend. However, if we analyse the data, we can see that USD is gaining strength in the coming time. This could be due to the strong news coming in this week, which may divert the USDJPY towards the 150 price region. There are four potential targets that price could hit and surpass. Please use this analysis solely for educational purposes, as it does not provide any guarantees.
Good luck and trade safely.
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I’d Like to Be, Under the $SELong term buys from here down to a possible gap fill (low 30's from 2019-2020 pre pump to 300s) have a great R:R if you have a long enough time horizon. Company is putting in the money now to have effortless positive earnings/share in the future. Hard to ignore at these levels with the CEO still so heavily invested and holding strong. Long term price target > $100 and willing to hold for 5+ years to possibly see >200 and a run to ATH for a 10x. Buying anything barring new information.
Follow Your Compass $CMPSThe next hype narrative after crypto has its bull run and seems “tapped out” will be psychedelics having a clinical use case and the runway for approval lines up perfectly. Compass has established itself as the best positioned player in the game and the shares have never been more reasonable. I am a continued buyer on anything 6 or below just because this is a long term play and cash could always be needed so I’m not seeing the true recovery take place for maybe another year or so but will definitely take it if it were to happen sooner. Long term price targets could be previous ATH and even higher if it gains the right momentum and gets the necessary approval with great evidence. Long term hold for me. Will continue to update and add if price goes lower, I think the bottom will be between 4-6 but we would be lucky to see 4’s. Other players I am dabbling into are NASDAQ:ATAI (owns roughly 20% of Compass) and $CYBN.
BTCUSDT.P | UpdateHello everyone this is Dark Analysis . My analysis are simple and short.
BTC is in a 4H range , I beleve it will start a short-term-downtrend toward the very support level.
In 15m timeframe has touched a bearish order block and the first tp is the level marked by the red line .
I will wait for a setup to enter in a short position.
BankNifty levels - May 21, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
Nifty levels - May 21, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
BTCUSDT - Smart InvestorPrudent investors observing BTCUSDT will note the blue box I have highlighted on the chart. It represents a particular juncture where, should market action decisively penetrate this upper boundary, we might witness a rather substantial appreciation in price.
Retracement will be lower but I think risk reward is very good.
Now, the intelligent investor does not engage in speculation based merely on lines drawn on a chart. However, such zones can serve as important indicators of potential shifts in market sentiment and buying pressure. A breakout above this defined area, accompanied by what one might term 'significant volume' a confirmation of genuine interest and not mere fleeting enthusiasm would suggest a possible continuation of an upward trend.
It is crucial, of course, to await confirmation. A breach of this resistance level that is not sustained, a 'false breakout' as some call it, can be a trap for the unwary. Therefore, diligent observation of subsequent price action, particularly on shorter timeframes, is warranted. A successful retest of the broken resistance as a new level of support would lend further credence to the bullish thesis.
One should also consider the underlying fundamentals, to the extent that such a nascent asset class allows. However, in the realm of technical analysis, these zones of potential breakout offer a visual representation of where supply may be overcome by demand.
Therefore, should BTCUSDT indeed break through this blue box with conviction, it would suggest a potential for a robust upward movement. But remember, the intelligent approach is one of caution and confirmation, not impulsive action. We observe, we analyze, and we act only when the evidence supports a calculated move.
WIPRO - Wipro Ltd. (45 minutes chart, NSE) - Long PositionWIPRO - Wipro Ltd. (45 minutes chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 254.4
Entry limit ~ 254 on May 16, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 258.5 (+1.77%; +4.5 points)
2. Target limit ~ 263 (+3.54%; +9 points)
Stop order limit ~ 249.5 (-1.77%; -4.5 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
EURCAD (BOS 1D + Demand + OTE + Volume + OrderFlow)Hello traders!
As you can clearly see OF, daily structure(BOS 1D), expecting reversal from OTE zone. Alarm on 618 Fib level. In this moment we see divergence(also possible 3 tops). Price build liquidity to come back to our POI.(DEMAND)
Have a profitable day and don't forget to subscribe for updates!
Aptos Long Term ViewAptos taken out almost all liquidation from below side, it can fall more towards 3.5$ to take out all new buyers and then push towards 15$, remember 15-16$ is an unmitigated zone, sooner or later this imbalance zone will be filled. So if your an investor and want easy 3x gain then buy apt from 5$ 2nd entry 4$ and last buying from 3.5$, ignore lower timeframe volatility and BTC movement, these entries are easily achievable if market crashes by any chance so you can close your position at breakeven. While 7.19-7.50$ area is crucial to break, once this zone is broken there is nothing upside that can stop Aptos from hitting 15$. Any daily candle closing above the marked zone will confirm trend shift, before this trade setup is like high risk n reward. While I'm very confident on Aptos that it will hit 15% mark.
USDJPY: Very Bearish Setup ExplainedI spotted a lot of bearish confirmations on 📉USDJPY on a 4H time frame:
A significant head and shoulders pattern was formed, and its neckline is broken.
As the right shoulder formed, a distinct horizontal trading range emerged, which also saw support being violated.
The neckline serves as an important horizontal support, and the market has broken through all of these levels.
We can expect further declines, with the next support level at 143.
Gold Analysis and Signals
Updated analysis of the beginning of the week in the form of micro-waves on the 4-hour time frame, important support/resistance areas and possible direction... Orders in the reward of R2 profit and risk-free with the price so that the highest possible reward can be obtained, of course, if there is no stop lol...
Bitcoin Hourly Analysis (2H)Given Bitcoin's rapid movement near previous highs, along with quick pump-and-dump action and liquidity grabs, it's expected that the liquidity pool below the price will be swept, collecting orders from the green zone, and then price may reverse back to the upside.
A 4-Hour candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You