Get started

Supply and Demand

Crude OIL SHORT Today Ran For +4R BreakdownNYMEX:CL1! "Successful trading has always been about understand the convictions, the strength and the weakness of buyers and sellers. Once you understand what the other traders are doing in the market, you can successfully trade with them." -Michael Valtos Confluence Profile 500K (Expectational Order-Flow + PA) 10pt Stop / +4R Run... Well Done!! Remember; "Our Profession is to Manage the downside costs of printing HIGHSIDE returns of $$$ consistently. Done correctly, well Abundance awaits us." -500KTrey
NYMEX:MCL1!Education
by TreyHighPwr
GRT looks bullish (3D)From the point where we placed the yellow line on the chart, it seems that GRT has started forming a diametric pattern. Currently, it appears we are at the end of wave D. In any case, as long as the green zone is maintained, it is poised for growth. The target could be the red box. The closure of a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
Long
by behdark
Energy Markets: Oversupply, Renewables, Geopolitical ShiftsThe global energy market is characterized by an oversupply of oil and gas, while alternative energy sources such as wind and solar are rapidly developing. These renewables require backup capacities to offset daily and seasonal inconsistencies in power generation. Simultaneously, the electrification of transportation and the digitalization of industries, including artificial intelligence and data centers, are driving up global energy demand. Energy Consumption and the Sixth Industrial Revolution Technologically advanced nations are leading the transition into the sixth industrial revolution, prioritizing increased electricity consumption while reducing reliance on coal and oil due to environmental and sustainability concerns. This shift aligns with global non-carbonization efforts and the need for cleaner energy solutions. Oil and Gas Price Stability Hydrocarbon energy prices, particularly oil, are expected to remain stable in the long term, with growth lagging behind inflation. Brent crude prices, averaging $75 per barrel, reflect production costs ranging from $15 to $50, depending on location and logistics. The limited price growth will impact oil-producing nations and companies by reducing profit margins and government tax revenues, leading to budgetary constraints. A notable trend is the gradual replacement of oil as a tool for balancing global financial systems, with new instruments emerging, predominantly controlled by technologically advanced economies. Short-Term Volatility and Geopolitical Influences While oil and gas prices may experience short-term spikes, these are primarily driven by geopolitical factors. For instance, the restriction of gas transit through Ukraine or a ban on Russian LNG exports could lead to speculative price increases. However, such fluctuations are unlikely to significantly alter the long-term outlook of price stability. The Role of U.S. Energy Policy The U.S. is focused on maintaining low domestic energy prices, ensuring that the internal market remains well-supplied with natural gas, which generates approximately 40% of the country’s electricity. LNG serves as both a geopolitical tool and a means of regulating domestic prices, though it lacks the financial influence of oil on global markets. Impact of Economic Deceleration Global economic slowdowns, excluding the U.S., further contribute to downward pressure on oil prices amidst abundant supply. Conclusion As the energy market transitions, investors must navigate the balance between stable hydrocarbon prices and the growing demand for renewable energy. The evolving dynamics of global energy consumption, coupled with technological advancements and geopolitical influences, will define the strategies required to thrive in this shifting landscape. ICEEUR:BRN1! NYMEX:NG1! MIL:INRG
NASDAQ:NQG60
by igorisaev
Nasdaq Futures: Key Setups to End the Week Strong | January 17Finish the trading week with today’s analysis of Nasdaq futures for Friday, January 17, 2025. We break down key zones, potential setups, and strategies to navigate the market ahead of Monday's anticipated volatility. 📈 Long Opportunities: Watch for entries around 21,360 or 21,440, targeting 21,560 and 21,650. 📉 Short Setups: Key zones include 21,510–21,560, with potential moves toward 21,360 or lower. 📊 Market Insights: A possible trend shift is forming across multiple timeframes. Be ready for significant movements heading into the weekend. 💬 Join our daily lives at 9:30 AM (NY time) for live analysis and Q&A. Let us know in the comments what other assets you’d like us to analyze or if you’d prefer swing trading strategies in future videos. 🔗 Subscribe now for expert trading insights, daily updates, and exclusive strategies to improve your performance. Don’t miss out!
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Long
by BinvestorsTrading
XAU/USD Analysis (1H TF)The price has reacted strongly from the 1H Demand Zone, aligning with the broader bullish structure and multiple Break of Structure (BOS) confirmations. However, the key question is whether this zone will hold or fail, driving the price towards the lower 4H Demand Zone for a potential reaccumulation in the 1H. 👀 Current Observations: Shift and BOS Confirmations: The recent structure shifts indicate bullish momentum. Short-Term Target: Price is hovering near $2706, with a potential move towards the previous high near $2724. Demand Zones in Play: - 1H Demand Zone: Holding for now. - 4H Demand Zone: Positioned below, providing a stronger area for mitigation if the current zone fails. (confluence with another unmitigated 1H demand zone) What do you think, team? Will the demand zone hold, or are we looking at a retest of the lower demand zone? Share your thoughts below! 💡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
GBPUSD is in the Selling Direction after breaking SupportHello Traders In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today GBPUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
by ForexMasters2000
1
BONK/USDT: Channel Breakout Signals Potential Wave Rally 1. Price Action - The asset is currently trading at 0.00003017 USDT - Clear descending channel formation (marked by yellow lines) from early January to mid-January 2025 - Recent breakout attempt from the upper boundary of the descending channel 2. Trend Analysis - Overall downtrend since early January - Formation of higher lows in recent trading sessions - Possible trend reversal signal with the channel breakout Here's a concise analysis of the BONK/USDT 4H chart: Technical Setup: - Price breaking out of descending channel (yellow lines) - Current price: 0.00003017 USDT - Clear bottom formation with higher lows Potential Targets: 1. 0.000035 2. 0.000040 3. 0.000045 Key Levels: - Support: 0.000025 - Breakout: 0.000030 - Stop Loss: Below 0.000024 Trend shows bullish reversal potential with a projected upward wave pattern. Watch volume for confirmation. Risk Management Note: Always use proper position sizing and consider the volatile nature of this asset. The projected path (green waves) represents a possible scenario but markets can behave unpredictably.
Long
by Supachai-Taechapisit
Technical Analysis: EUR/USDFX:EURUSD In the following technical analysis, I present the composition of the EUR/USD pair from early 2022 to today, providing a detailed explanation of the movements and support levels that have formed. This is intended to give you more insights and guidance for your trading decisions. Of course, always conduct your own research and analyze based on what you believe is most appropriate. Below, I want to clarify some of the elements I personally use, which may help you better understand the chart: • Solid horizontal lines indicate highly significant levels, such as key highs and lows. • Dotted lines represent levels that are also highly important. • Dashed lines highlight the bases or highs of candles that triggered significant movements. These often act as support or resistance in the medium to short term. • Gray highlighted areas represent support or resistance zones, depending on their location. • SOS stands for Start of Structure, referring to the start of a major move that led to a significant rise or drop, forming the foundation of support. • Empty rectangles with highlighted borders FX:EURUSD signify pivot points, marking key highs and lows. If you have any questions, feel free to share your thoughts!
by TIMINGTRADE
GMT buy/long setup (2H)A strong source of movement has been tapped, and the lower liquidity pools have been swept clean. The price has encountered an important demand zone. In the upper part of the chart, there are no strong order blocks visible, and the price has already dropped significantly, giving a prolonged corrective phase. It is susceptible to a bullish move. The targets are marked on the chart. A 4-hour candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
XAU/USD 17 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has finally printed a bullish iBOS in accordance with scenario one of my analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price Action Analysis: After bullish iBOS, we expect bearish pullback. First indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation is for price to print a bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. This would also establish internal structure. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Within the sub-structure there is further bullish iBOS, however, price did not pullback deep enough to warrant a bullish iBOS. I will therefore apply my discretion, which may need a revisit. H4 TF has printed a bullish iBOS and it appears bearish pullback phase initiation is underway, however, we currently do not have any indication, or confirmation. Current internal low and H4 TF CHoCH positioning are the same, priced at 2,690.050, therefore, despite M15 internal range dynamics being bullish, it is highly likely price will print a bearish iBOS Intraday Expectation: Technically, price should show reaction at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,724.785, however, the above mentioned scenario is also highly probable to assist H4 in it's bearish pullback phase. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
BTC NEW Update (4H)Considering that Bitcoin is in a trading range, has swept the lower liquidity pools, repeatedly tested a support knot, and has a liquidity pool above the trading range, it is expected that this bullish move will either be absorbed into the higher liquidity pool on the chart or that pool will be swept. After these two scenarios, it is expected that the price will drop and then bullish again from a support knot that has not yet been tested with a bearish wave. A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. This perspective is applied to Bitcoin. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
USDT.D UPDATE (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section No need to open sell/short positions or close buy/long positions Based on previous analyses, we anticipated that there wouldn't be a significant upward move for Tether dominance. We are not truly bullish on Tether dominance. If the price returns to the yellow circle, we can look to rebuy or add volume on altcoins and Bitcoin. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by behdark
1
XAUUSD - Gold reached above $2700!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1-hour time frame and is in its ascending channel. If gold climbs to the top of the channel, we can look for positions to sell it at the target of $2,700. The loss of the midline of the channel will lead to the continuation of this corrective process. Gold is expected to continue its growth trajectory in 2025, although this growth may not match the impressive performance seen in 2024. Juan Carlos Artigas, the Head of Research at the World Gold Council, discussed the reasons behind this trend and outlined three possible scenarios for gold’s future in an interview with Kitco News. Artigas attributed gold’s record-breaking performance in 2024, which included 40 new highs, to the metal’s dual role as an investment asset and a consumer commodity. He stated, “Gold is an extremely effective risk management tool. Investors have turned to it due to rising market volatility and geopolitical risks.” For 2025, Artigas predicted three distinct scenarios for the gold market: • Limited growth with low volatility: This would occur if expectations for interest rates, inflation, and economic growth remain stable. • Downward pressure: If interest rates remain high or rise further, gold’s investment appeal could diminish. Additionally, weak economic growth might lower consumer demand. • Significant growth: In the event of heightened market volatility and geopolitical risks, investors would likely view gold as a safe haven, driving prices higher. Artigas cautioned that government debt could emerge as a “black swan” event in 2025. He explained that rising global government debt levels and difficulties in securing financing pose a significant risk to the global economy. He further emphasized that gold’s performance against various currencies highlights its role as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. For example, gold’s returns against the Turkish lira reached 50% in 2024 due to the lira’s depreciation against the US dollar. Additionally, Artigas pointed to increased demand from central banks and Western investors in the second half of 2024. This surge in demand was attributed to lower central bank interest rates and reduced opportunity costs for holding gold. Among all commodities, gold remains one of the few assets that analysts at BMO Capital Markets are optimistic about for 2025. They predict that central banks will continue purchasing gold to reduce reliance on the US dollar. Furthermore, BMO expects gold to remain a dynamic asset, serving as an effective hedge against inflation, geopolitical uncertainty, and stock market risks. Next week, Donald Trump will be sworn in as the next President of the United States. Meanwhile, the global community is bracing for the new administration, which has announced plans to impose tariffs to promote and protect domestic policies under the “America First” agenda. BMO analysts believe the Trump administration will be “inherently” inflationary. Their report noted, “The new administration has highlighted two clear policies that will dominate Trump’s second term. The first is that 2025 will be a year of tariff increases. Since tariffs function as a domestic tax on consumption borne by consumers, the economic consensus is that tariffs are inherently stagflationary.” They added, “The second key policy involves continued increases in government spending. Trump won the election on promises of tax cuts for corporations and individuals. According to an analysis by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, these promises are expected to add approximately $7.75 trillion to the US national debt between 2026 and 2035.” BMO analysts also noted that rising inflationary pressures will likely lead to a decline in real interest rates, eroding the appeal of short-term bonds, which were a favored risk-free option in the previous year.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND