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Supply and Demand

UPDATE ON USD/JPY ANALYSISUSD/JPY 4H - As you can see price has recently broken structure to the downside, giving us the confluence needed to suggest further bearishness now in this pair longer term. Evidently enough Supply has been introduced to give us the flip in the S&D balance and the corrective wave that was trading us higher in a bullish way has now come to an end, why, because we are breaking lows and protecting highs now. I have gone ahead and marked out an area of interest I feel price will come to trade back up and into, should price trade us into this zone we want to see the same three step process take place before we enter. We want the penetration, rejection and break of structure, all of which confirm enough Supply has been introduced to now flip the fractal corrective wave followed after the initial break.
Short
by Lukegforex
USDDKK - U.S. Dollar/Danish Krone (3 hours chart, OANDA) - LongUSDDKK - U.S. Dollar / Danish Krone (3 hours chart, OANDA) - Long Position; Short-term research idea. Risk assessment: Medium {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2 Current Market Price (CMP) ~6.62000 Entry limit ~ 6.58000 on May 19, 2025 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 6.63000 (+0.76%; +0.05000 points) 2.⁠ ⁠⁠Target limit ~6.68000 (+1.52%; +0.10000 points) Stop order limit ~ 6.53000 (-0.76%; -0.05000 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observations = important updates (parentheses) = information ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
Long
by VEDIMarketWatch
THOUGHTS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 4H - As you can see price has broken structure to the upside, giving us the confluence to suggest enough Demand has been introduced to see price now trade us higher longer term. The reason this here is a valid break in structure is because the high that set the lowest low within this correction has now been broken, suggesting that we are no longer following the laws of bearishness but now following the laws of bullishness. In order for us to be able to get involved in this market now with the longer term bias to take it long, we want to see price pullback initially to set a higher low, once price does that, that is when we can look to take part in the market. I have gone ahead and marked out an area of interest I feel price will fall back down and into before trading us higher, we want to see price trade down and into this, then break structure fractally before taking us higher in the market.
Long
by Lukegforex
ETHEREUM New Update (1D)Ethereum has reclaimed the flip zone, but it hasn't tested this area or made a proper pullback yet. It's expected that this zone will be tested before the price moves toward higher targets. If we see a strong reaction around the green zone, we can look for potential buy/long positions. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
BankNifty levels - May 20, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
Nfty levels - May 20, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
DEGEN (4H/1H): Pullback to Order Block & FVG - Long Setup • Summary : - 4H Timeframe:Price is retesting a bullish Order Block and FVG (Fair Value Gap)suggesting potential support. - 1H Timeframe:Key demand zone at 0.005099–0.004956** (first order block). A reversal is likely if: - Bearish momentum weakens (declining selling volume). - Bullish confirmation (pinbar/engulfing candle) appears. - Trade Plan:Buy on confirmation, targeting 0.006305, with SL below 0.004912. --- Scenario Breakdown : 1. Key Levels : - Support (Buy Zone):0.004956–0.005099 (1H Order Block). - Resistance (TP):0.006305 (next liquidity area). - Invalidation (SL):0.004912 (break below order block). 2. Entry Conditions : - Trigger: Bullish reversal candle (e.g., pinbar/engulfing) on the 1H timeframe. - Confirmation: Reduced selling volume + RSI/MACD showing bullish divergence (optional but recommended). 3. Trade Management : - Entry: 0.004956–0.005099 (limit orders preferred). - Stop Loss: 0.004912 (risk: ~2–3%). - Take Profit: 0.006305 (RRR 1:2.5). 4. Additional Context : - The 4H FVG and order block reinforce the 1H demand zone. - Watch Bitcoin’s movement for macro trend alignment. --- Conclusion : A high-probability long setup if price respects the order block and shows bullish reversal signs. Invalidation below 0.004912. --- #DEGEN #Crypto #PriceAction #OrderBlock #FVG #SwingTrading
Long
by Darkanalysis
1
XAUUSD - Will Gold Reach $3,300?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect the path ahead for gold to be bullish, but a downward correction of gold will lead to the creation of buying positions from the bottom of the channel. Gold faced renewed selling pressure over the past week—an event that not only dragged down its price but also led many analysts and retail investors to temporarily abandon their bullish short-term outlooks. The return of investor appetite for riskier assets has momentarily weakened gold’s appeal as a safe haven. Meanwhile, the credit rating agency Moody’s has finally acted, downgrading the U.S. sovereign rating from Aaa to Aa1. This marks the first time that even one of the major agencies no longer sees the U.S. as worthy of the highest credit rating. The downgrade was driven by factors such as an annual budget deficit nearing $2 trillion, a debt burden exceeding GDP, and elevated interest rates that have significantly increased the government’s borrowing costs—conditions which, if persistent, could serve as catalysts for gold’s resurgence. Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management, stated: “The downward trend continues. We expect prices to decline further in the coming weeks, especially with the potential restructuring of U.S. trade tariffs. That said, once this phase passes, it could set the stage for one of the best buying opportunities.” Adam Button, Chief Currency Strategist at Forexlive.com, offered a similar outlook, saying: “Current trading sentiment is clearly tilted toward the downside. The market is searching for a new floor, although it seems likely that support will remain above the key $3,000 psychological threshold.” Following a week full of economic data, the upcoming week’s calendar appears relatively light, with only a handful of reports likely to influence the markets. Early in the week, traders will face a lack of major catalysts, but focus will gradually shift toward Thursday’s releases: weekly jobless claims, the flash PMI from S&P Global, and existing home sales. Additionally, new home sales data on Friday will be one of the few key events of the week. Alongside these economic updates, the coming days will feature a wave of speeches from Federal Reserve policymakers. Speakers include Jefferson, Williams, Logan, Kashkari, Barkin, Bostic, Collins, Musalem, Kugler, Daly, and Hsu, culminating with a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Sunday evening.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Bitcoin - Bitcoin is Fighting Its Previous High!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its medium-term ascending channel. A break of the drawn trend line will lead to a decline in Bitcoin. If Bitcoin moves downwards towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying opportunities. If Bitcoin is above the resistance range, it will lead to it reaching Bitcoin's previous ATH. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and observing capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. According to data from Bitwise, corporate purchases of Bitcoin in 2025 have exceeded newly mined Bitcoin by a factor of 3.3. This significant gap between supply and demand signals a rising interest from institutional players in acquiring Bitcoin. After reclaiming its $2 trillion market cap, Bitcoin surpassed Amazon and reentered the top five global financial assets. Just a week ago, Bitcoin was ranked seventh and only a month prior, it had barely managed to edge past Meta to secure a spot on the list. The surge in Bitcoin’s price during late 2024 coincided with a sharp increase in the number of new meme coins being launched. There appears to be a clear correlation between Bitcoin’s price action and the number of tokens launched via meme coin launchpads on the Solana network. Interestingly, this uptick in meme coin activity began in late March—well before Bitcoin’s price began its upward movement in mid-April. This early momentum is largely attributed to the rising popularity of newer launchpads such as Believe, LetsBonk, and Boop, which are now emerging as serious competitors to the well-known Pumpfun platform.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Ali_PSND
GBPUSD pullbackOANDA:GBPUSD As shown in our pinned analysis, this level was previously considered for a short trade. But after being broken, according to our plan, it has now turned into a buy zone. We are ready to enter a long position, but if the price drops below and holds, this level will lose its validity and the analysis will be invalid. Follow us for more trades analysis! For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel: ForexCSP
Long
by ForexCSP
NAS100 - Will the Stock Market Reach Its Previous High?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the trend line is broken, I expect corrective moves, but if the index corrects towards the demand zone, we can look for further buying positions in Nasdaq with a risk-reward ratio. Maintaining this trend line will lead to a continuation of the Nasdaq upward trend. The strong rally in U.S. equities that had pushed the S&P 500 close to record highs for 2025 came to a halt on Friday, following the release of disappointing consumer sentiment data. A report from the University of Michigan revealed a drop in consumer confidence and a surge in inflation expectations to levels not seen in decades—factors that have amplified concerns about the economy’s outlook. Despite this, some analysts remain hopeful that robust corporate earnings and the temporary suspension of tariffs could provide needed support for the market. Meanwhile, rating agency Moody’s warned that U.S. federal debt is projected to climb to 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2024. Moody’s noted that while the U.S. economy and financial system remain strong, the weakening of certain fiscal indicators has diminished the ability of these strengths to offset negative effects. According to their analysis, trade tariffs will not significantly impact long-term U.S. economic growth, and substantial changes in mandatory spending are unlikely in the near future. Although the U.S. credit rating has been downgraded, the country’s long-term domestic and foreign credit ceilings remain at AAA. However, Moody’s has revised the overall credit rating for the U.S. down from AAA to Aa1. One noteworthy detail is that since April 21, the index has seen only one negative trading day—May 9, which experienced only a slight decline. Falling Treasury yields have reduced some market risks, while Donald Trump’s trip to the Middle East has also helped ease political tensions at home. The market clearly reflects growing investor appetite for risk, though the possibility of a correction at these levels remains real. Looking ahead to this week, traders will closely monitor preliminary purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data for May on Thursday. They will also pay attention to speeches from several Federal Reserve officials to gauge whether the Fed remains focused on economic growth or has shifted more attention to inflation, especially in light of recent U.S.-China trade agreements. A rise in PMI figures may suggest that business sentiment has improved since tensions eased between the U.S. and China, but investors are also eager for clear guidance on the Fed’s next policy steps. Key speakers include John Williams (New York Fed), Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed), Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed), and Mary Daly (San Francisco Fed). If these officials continue to express concerns about elevated inflation risks, the U.S. dollar could continue to strengthen, as markets may price in fewer rate cuts ahead. As for the equity markets, their reaction remains uncertain. Recently, equities have risen even as expectations for rate cuts have diminished—primarily due to a reduced fear of recession following tariff adjustments. However, with recession fears now less pronounced and a growing narrative around sustained higher rates due to sticky inflation, Wall Street may pull back if Fed officials emphasize upside inflation risks. In related news, President Donald Trump harshly criticized Walmart’s pricing strategy, stating that the company should absorb the cost of tariffs rather than passing them onto consumers. In a public statement, Trump pointed out that Walmart made billions in profit last year and argued that American shoppers should not bear the burden of higher prices caused by trade tariffs. Trump also implicated China in the issue, stating that either Walmart or China should take responsibility for these added costs. He warned that both he and consumers are closely watching how Walmart handles the situation.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
Gold (XAU/USD) – 1H Analysis1. Market Structure & Bear Trap Gold recently trapped sellers by briefly breaking below a key support (previous supply zone turned support). This move acted as a fakeout, luring in short positions before price dropped into its true bullish reaccumulation zone (BULL OTE). Such manipulation is typical at the end of retracements, the market seeks liquidity before resuming the main trend. 📈 2. Bullish Momentum Resumes Since tapping into the BULL OTE, price has shown a structured bullish recovery : Re-entry into the previous range Creation and internal mitigation of multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) Clean, controlled pullbacks during the climb This suggests a healthy and organized bullish structure, rather than a random bounce. 🎯 3. Short-Term Targets Revisit the $3,280-$3,300 area (previous liquidity left untapped) If broken with volume, Gold could push toward $3,350+ and potentially retest highs ✅ Conclusion Gold appears to have executed a classic stop-hunt below support, only to reclaim structure and resume its uptrend. As long as price holds above $3,180 and continues forming internal bullish structure, the bias remains bullish with high probability of continuation toward previous highs. 🟦 This is a textbook example of engineered liquidity grab followed by expansion.
TVC:GOLDLong
by BenMcyInsights
USDZAR Bearish Optimism.Hi there, On USDZAR, it seems that we don't have much upward momentum left, do we? The price has reached the highs of the 19.31-19.55 area, and we might see a decline that could potentially mark the end of wave 4. The Wave 5 is a bit tricky there; it may fall to the 18 area, which is a zone of interest, or it could potentially drop further down to 16.5. Although prices may drop to 15.960 from the high of 17.174, my bias is in favour of 16.5, with two price targets at 18.5 and 18.0. Happy trading and have a great week. K. Not trading advice.
Short
by Khiwe