EURJPY LongThe price has completed the retracement after breaking the last Lower High.
From now on we should with high probability expect the price to rally back up to the last swing high of $161.2 and see if it can break it before making another Higher Higher from there.
But before that, there are two significant OBs on the way up that the price can face significant selling pressure from. We need to watch those zones closely.
Supply and Demand
NIFTY looks very weak below 22800 !!As we can see NIFTY has not closed itself above 23000 levels due to which fear of weakness is still lurking as it has formed more like an inverted flag pole pattern and any break of 22800 level can lead to 22500 levels in NIFTY which is its next demand zone so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching these important levels.
ALUMINIUM Approaches Major Resistance – Will Sellers Step In?PEPPERSTONE:ALUMINIUM is approaching a significant supply zone, an area that has previously acted as strong resistance, indicating the potential for a pullback if sellers regain control.
If the market confirms resistance at this level, the price could move downward toward the 2,677 level, which serves as a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a failure to hold resistance could indicate a potential bullish shift and further upside.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks rejecting the supply zone, or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights!"
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EURUSD - FOMC Prep - These 2 scenarios to anticipateMarket is overall uptrend after previous low showed the reversal point to head higher.
Bias is for the Buy
However, FOMC can produce volatility so we can have spikes in both direction.
There's a Sell scenario off an H4 gap.
But the preferred idea is to head lower, getting a better price on the HTF, then continue to the Equal Highs / Double top, taking out the liquidity target eventually.
Be aware, if it's not clear this week, we may have a clearer picture on next week's news and the move could also happen then if there's a delay/ranging market.
The D1 timeframe usually provides the smoother outlook. I mostly base my ideas on that.
Leave your comments below if you have any questions. Thanks
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A few technical issue today resulting in the algo switching off for most of the day, hence we only managed to successfully scalp on the red boxes. Yesterday, as suggested we wanted a move down into the lower order region to again attempt that long trade into the highs, however, as you can see gold didn't present the opportunity completing the Excalibur targets over the Asia session for those who were already in long.
We now sit patiently at a crucial point with support below again at the bias level 2930 which has worked well in giving the bounces for upside movement, but not completing all the higher targets thus far! For that reason, we would say play caution, if we can break above 2940 the path to 2955-60 will be easier! It's also Friday tomorrow and to be honest it's been a decent week on the markets, so please take it easy, if you're going to trade make sure your risk model is up to scratch.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2865 with targets above 2885✅, 2895✅, 2902✅ and above that 2910✅
Bearish on break of 2865 with targets below 2855, 2850, 2843, 2835 and below that 2828
RED BOXES:
Break above 2885 for 2888✅, 2902✅, 2910✅ and 2913✅ in extension of the move
Break below 2875 for 2870, 2865, 2857, 2855 and 2850 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Silver is in the bullish trend after testing supportHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
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This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EURNZD is in the Buy direction after forming Triple Bottom Hello Traders
In This Chart EURNZD 4 HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURNZD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes EURNZD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURNZD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
MXNJPY at Key Support Level - Potential Buy SetupEIGHTCAP:MXNJPY has reached a significant support zone, which has historically acted as a strong demand area. Previous price action suggests buyers may step in here, increasing the potential for a bullish reversal.
If the price holds above this level and confirms support, we could see a move higher toward the 7.50700 level, which represents a logical target based on past price behavior and current market structure.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
Oil and Gas Markets: Key Trends and Investment InsightsCrude Oil: Inventory Trends and Price Implications
One of the most closely monitored indicators in the EIA report is the level of U.S. crude oil inventories, which reflects the balance between supply and demand. Rising inventories typically signal an oversupplied market, exerting downward pressure on prices, while declining inventories suggest tightening supply conditions that may support higher prices.
According to the latest data, U.S. crude oil inventories increased by 4.1 million barrels, bringing total stockpiles to 427.9 million barrels, which remains 4% below the five-year seasonal average. Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices TVC:USOIL fell to $70.22 (February 16) per barrel, marking a $5.94 year-over-year decline. This trend highlights the ongoing market rebalancing and the potential for continued price volatility.
For traders, sustained inventory growth may reinforce bearish sentiment, supporting strategies such as short positions on WTI futures or exposure to energy sector ETFs like XLE . And conversely, should inventory levels begin to decline, a reversal in sentiment could present opportunities in Brent ICEEUR:BRN1! and WTI futures, particularly near key technical support levels.
Gasoline and Diesel: Demand Trends and Market Impact
The gasoline and distillate markets provide additional insight into consumer and industrial demand. Gasoline inventories fell by 3.0 million barrels, bringing stockpiles 1% below the five-year seasonal average, while distillate inventories remained constrained, sitting 11% below historical levels.
Demand indicators reinforce these trends, with motor gasoline consumption rising by 0.9% year-over-year to 8.3 million barrels per day (bpd) and distillate fuel demand increasing by 13.6% year-over-year. This heightened demand, particularly for diesel fuel, reflects strong industrial and transportation activity, which may keep pressure on supply.
In this environment, refining margins become a key consideration. Gasoline supply constraints may support seasonal price increases, benefiting RBOB gasoline futures NYMEX:RB1! and select refining stocks such as Valero Energy $NYSE:VLO. Similarly, tight diesel inventories could sustain heating oil futures www.tradingview.com , particularly during colder months when heating demand remains elevated.
Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG): Exports and Geopolitical Considerations
The role of U.S. natural gas in global markets continues to expand, with LNG exports averaging 13–14 billion cubic feet per day (bcf/d) and reaching peak capacity levels of 16 bcf/d. Europe and Asia remain key buyers, with European demand increasing due to reduced Russian pipeline supplies.
While LNG exports provide a lucrative market opportunity for U.S. producers, they also introduce geopolitical and policy-related risks. Any restrictions on Russian LNG exports or transit disruptions—such as those affecting shipments through the Panama Canal—could push global LNG prices higher. At the same time, U.S. policymakers may seek to prioritize domestic energy stability, potentially limiting export volumes to prevent domestic shortages and price inflation.
For investors, the evolving LNG landscape presents both risks and opportunities. Continued strength in U.S. LNG exports could favor natural gas ETFs CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS and producers like Cheniere Energy . However, policy shifts or trade restrictions could increase volatility, requiring traders to closely monitor developments in both energy and geopolitical spheres.
Key Takeaways for Investors and Traders
The EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report offers valuable insight into energy market dynamics, providing traders with key signals to inform their strategies. Investors should focus on:
• Crude oil inventory shifts, which indicate supply and demand imbalances.
• Refining activity and fuel demand trends, particularly in gasoline and diesel markets.
• LNG exports and policy changes, as these factors influence global energy flows and price volatility.
With crude prices hovering around $72 per barrel and natural gas markets facing geopolitical uncertainties, energy investors should remain attentive to fundamental data and policy shifts that may shape price movements in the closest weeks ahead.
CADJPY at Key Support - Potential Buy SetupOANDA:CADJPY has reached a significant demand zone, an area that has previously served as strong support, leading to notable bullish reversals. The current market structure suggests a potential bullish bounce from this zone.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price could move upward toward the 107.300 level, which serves as a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a failure to hold this demand zone could indicate further downside potential toward lower support levels.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, long lower wicks rejecting the demand zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions. Let me know your thoughts or if you have any additional insights!"
NZDUSD Break & Retest – Bullish Continuation in Play?OANDA:NZDUSD has broken above a key resistance zone near 0.57000 and has now pulled back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward the 0.57860 level, which serves as a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Rice Production: Record-High U.S. Stocks and India’s Export SurgU.S. Rice Market Developments
U.S. rice production is forecast at 222.1 million cwt, reflecting stable output despite shifting market conditions. However, exports have been revised downward by 4.0 million cwt to 96.0 million cwt, primarily due to a decline in long-grain rice shipments. As a result, U.S. ending stocks are projected to rise by 3.5 million cwt to 47.0 million cwt, marking a 10-year high. The increase in supply has also led to a reduction in the average farm price, now estimated at $15.40 per cwt, down $0.20 from previous projections.
India’s Expanding Role in Global Trade
India continues to dominate the global rice export market, with shipments revised upward to 22.0 million metric tons. The country’s aggressive export strategy, despite recent regulatory interventions, has kept global supply levels high. Increased demand from key importers, including China, has further supported India’s leading position in the market.
Global Supply and Consumption Trends
Global rice ending stocks have been reduced by 0.5 million metric tons, now forecast at 181.6 million metric tons, primarily due to lower reserves in India and Sri Lanka. Meanwhile, global consumption is set to reach 530.5 million metric tons, with rising demand from Asian economies.
Market Outlook
The combination of record-high U.S. stocks and India’s robust export performance presents a complex picture for rice markets. While U.S. prices remain under pressure due to surplus stock, India’s export dominance is expected to sustain strong global trade flows.
WHAT IM CURRENTLY LOOKING AT ON USD/CHFUSD/CHF 15M - As you can see price has traded down and into a fractal demand zone since our last piece of analysis, I am wanting to see a relevant break to the upside now to suggest enough Demand has been introduced to flip the S&D balance.
Once we have confirmation of that we can begin looking to go long in the market, its important we wait for this break first though just so we have the confluence and confirmation needed to actually go long.
We will be following the higher timeframe bias, as you can see price has broken structure to the upside on the higher timeframes to the left of current price so we already have the confirmation needed for longer term bullishness.
We are simply waiting for entry confirmation and that as we know would come from the above criteria being met, I will be setting my SL below the low created and our TP can be set at the last higher-time high set in the market.