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Supply and Demand

GBPUSD at Key Resistance - Time to Sell?OANDA:GBPUSD has reached a key resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 1.30950 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by DanieIM
66
COW Analysis (12H)From the point where the red arrow is placed on the chart, the correction of COW has started. This correction appears to be a symmetrical pattern, and it now seems that we are at the end of wave H. The green zone is where wave I could potentially end, offering a low-risk area for entry. Targets are marked on the chart. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
NZDCAD at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 0.81608?OANDA:NZDCAD is approaching a key resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. This zone also aligns with prior supply areas where sellers have stepped in, making it a potential point of interest for those looking for short opportunities. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move. If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 0.81608 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction. Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
46
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis With a strong bullish rally that we saw on Gold since the beginning of the week, I prepared for you the updated support & resistance analysis. Resistance 1: 3340 - 3357 area Resistance 2: 3390 - 3406 area Resistance 3: 3440 - 3450 area Support 1: 3235 - 3246 area Support 2: 3135 - 3167 area Support 3: 2957 - 2983 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
XAUUSD: Gold is making new highs!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. A downward correction of gold towards the demand ranges will provide us with the next buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio. We expect a fluctuation of $10-15 in each range. • Revised Year-End Outlook: The bank attributes the bullish outlook to increased central bank purchases, inflows into gold ETFs, and continued geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty. • Risk Scenario: Should the Fed shift course due to concerns over U.S. debt or weakening confidence in the dollar as a reserve currency, gold could climb to $4,500 per ounce. One of the major forces behind this rally has been the weakening U.S. dollar under the Trump administration. Market participants are voicing three primary concerns fueling this sentiment: subpar U.S. economic growth, elevated inflation, and declining productivity. These fears stem from several core issues: 1. Tariffs: While intended to support domestic industry, tariffs are increasingly viewed as disruptive, raising fears of inflationary shocks and fragile supply chains—lessons painfully learned during the COVID era. 2. Economic Growth: Trump’s original growth agenda, centered on tax cuts and deregulation, has been overshadowed by other political developments. Many economists are uneasy about a government that seems willing to defy conventional economic principles—raising fears of repeating the failures of protectionist policies. 3. Budget Deficits: The U.S. is running a staggering 7% budget deficit relative to GDP despite low unemployment (~4%). This raises questions about how Trump’s proposed policies would be funded. 4. Erosion of International Norms: The U.S. dollar’s dominance relies on institutions like NATO, the WTO, and the United Nations, as well as global faith in the rule of law. These foundations are reportedly weakening. There are also emerging concerns from places like Beijing, pointing to American vulnerabilities—especially around intellectual property. In a world where IP rights are no longer respected, what value do American corporations really have? 5. Immigration: It remains unclear how much of Trump’s crackdown on illegal immigration is substantive versus symbolic. What is clear, however, is that undocumented migrants have played a crucial role in suppressing inflation in key sectors like agriculture and hospitality. Without a clear plan to replace this workforce, cost pressures could intensify.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
3
KAS ANALYSIS (12H)A significant trendline has been broken on the chart, and a bullish iCH formation has also formed. Additionally, a liquidity pool is visible above the chart, which is expected to be swept soon. The demand zone is our entry area. If the price reaches this zone before touching Supply 2, we can consider entering a position. A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting Comment if you have any questions thank you
by iMoneyTeam
BankNifty levels - Apr 21, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
Nifty levels - Apr 21, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
Copper: Markets are waiting for the continuation of trade tensioCopper is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. An upward correction of copper will provide us with a good risk-reward selling position. If the downward trend continues, we can buy copper at the next demand zone. The World Trade Organization (WTO) has significantly downgraded its outlook for global merchandise trade in its latest report, now forecasting a 0.2% contraction in 2025. Previously, it had projected a 3% growth. The organization warned that if the United States fully enforces its reciprocal tariffs and their effects intensify, global trade could shrink by as much as 1.5%. While the temporary suspension of some tariffs recently announced by Washington has somewhat eased the downturn in trade, the WTO emphasized that substantial downside risks remain. However, for 2026, the organization painted a more optimistic picture, anticipating a moderate 2.5% rebound in trade growth. In a pointed address, Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng sent a clear message to the international community, especially the U.S., asserting that China has no intention of backing down and will stand firm if its interests are threatened. His remarks came as a new wave of heavy U.S. tariffs—including duties as high as 245% on certain Chinese exports—has reignited tensions between the two economic powers. He Lifeng affirmed that China remains a reliable trade partner for the world. He also announced increased government support for Chinese businesses engaged in foreign trade and encouraged them to leverage opportunities at the Canton Fair and explore broader global markets. According to him, China’s vast domestic market could become a key destination for high-quality imported goods. Alongside these economic and diplomatic messages, Chinese officials’ rhetoric has turned more confrontational in response to recent U.S. actions. He dismissed what he called the U.S.’s “numerical games” and warned that China’s response to threats would be decisive. Stressing the importance of a healthy business environment, he urged officials to implement supportive policies effectively, ensuring foreign trade and economic activity proceed with greater transparency, efficiency, and ease. Meanwhile, the global maritime shipping industry has entered a concerning phase. New data from Vizion shows that bookings for shipments to the U.S. have sharply declined following the implementation of new tariffs by the American government. This sudden drop occurred just one week after the tariffs were imposed and reflects how businesses are reacting to deep policy uncertainty. High-traffic routes such as Shanghai to Los Angeles—which typically take 20–30 days—and routes through the Panama Canal to New York—which add another 15 days—have seen notable declines in bookings. This downturn is occurring precisely when summer orders should be peaking. The data clearly indicates that the anticipated decline in U.S. port volumes will materialize soon and with greater intensity in May. The plunge in bookings is sounding alarms not just for importers and retailers but also for the broader logistics industry, ports, and even Asian manufacturers, potentially leading to a slowdown in all these sectors. In parallel, Deutsche Bank’s latest report sharply downgraded the U.S. economic growth forecast for 2025 while raising inflation projections, signaling a shift in the bank’s analysis toward a stagflation scenario. According to the report, U.S. GDP is expected to grow by only 0.9% on a quarterly basis in 2025—markedly lower than earlier estimates. Key factors behind this revision include trade tariffs, policy uncertainty, and tighter financial conditions. The new wave of tariffs, particularly those targeting Chinese imports, has been cited as a major driver of renewed inflationary pressures. On the monetary front, Deutsche Bank warned that the abrupt economic policies of the U.S. administration have created unprecedented instability in the global financial system—an impact that will likely persist even if some tariffs are temporarily rolled back. The report also raised concerns about the future of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency and suggested that the country’s ability to finance its growing fiscal deficits could be seriously undermined.
CAPITALCOM:COPPERShort
by Ali_PSND
USDCAD - Bank of Canada keeps interest rates unchanged!The USDCAD pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is in its descending channel. The continuation of the downward movement of this pair will provide us with a buying position with a good risk-reward ratio. If the correction continues, we can sell within the specified supply zone. On Wednesday, oil prices climbed by approximately 1%, driven by renewed optimism in the markets regarding potential trade talks between the United States and China. However, lingering concerns about the trade war’s negative effects on global energy demand limited further gains in oil prices.Initially, oil prices declined, but market sentiment shifted after Bloomberg reported—citing an anonymous source—that China was seeking greater respect from the Trump administration before agreeing to new negotiations. The same source also stated that China had requested a new outreach from the U.S. to initiate the discussions. Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS, commented that easing trade tensions between the two nations could help reduce constraints on economic growth and energy demand, potentially exerting downward pressure on oil prices. Meanwhile, the International Energy Agency (IEA) reported that global oil demand is expected to rise by just 730,000 barrels per day this year—well below both its previous projections and those of OPEC. In a new report, the Fitch rating agency warned that the intensifying global trade war has significantly weakened the outlook for economic growth. According to the report, China’s economic growth will fall below 4% in both this year and the next, while the eurozone is projected to grow by less than 1%. Fitch further estimates that global economic growth in 2025 will fall below 2%, marking the weakest performance since 2009 (excluding the COVID-19 pandemic period). Despite the sharp decline in the U.S. growth outlook, Fitch expects the Federal Reserve to delay any interest rate cuts until Q4 of 2025. Conversely, deeper rate cuts are anticipated for the European Central Bank and emerging market economies. In the energy sector, Fitch lowered its short-term oil price forecast due to risks stemming from weaker demand and trade disruptions but left its natural gas price forecast unchanged. Additionally, the Bank of Canada maintained its policy rate at 2.75%. Highlights from the Bank’s monetary statement include: • Tariffs and logistical challenges are driving price increases. • New U.S. trade policies have heightened uncertainty, slowed growth, and sparked inflation fears. • The Bank supports economic growth with inflation control but urges caution due to elevated domestic risks. • Both upside risks (higher costs) and downside risks (weaker growth) to inflation are under close watch. • Beginning in April, the removal of carbon taxes and cheaper oil are expected to temporarily lower inflation for about a year. • The recent rise in inflation reflects renewed commodity price growth and the end of temporary sales tax relief. • Due to high uncertainty related to U.S. trade tariffs, the Bank is refraining from issuing an economic forecast. • The output gap in Q1 2025 was estimated between 0% and -1%. • Annualized GDP growth for the same quarter was 1.8%, down from the January forecast of 2%. • Two scenarios are under consideration: one involving tariff reduction via agreement, and another involving a prolonged global trade war. • In the first scenario, Canadian and global growth temporarily decline, inflation drops to 1.5%, and later returns to the 2% target. • In the second, the global economy slows sharply, inflation surges, and Canada enters a severe recession. Inflation surpasses 3% by mid-2026 before returning to the 2% target. • In both scenarios, the neutral interest rate is estimated to be around the midpoint of the 2.25%–3.25% range.
Long
by Ali_PSND
USD/JPY) demand and supply analysis ); Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update shows a bearish setup for USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown --- 1. Trend Context: Downtrend: The pair is clearly in a bearish channel, forming lower highs and lower lows. 200 EMA (~146.297) is above price and sloping down — confirms bearish bias. --- 2. Key Zones Identified: Supply Zone (~144.800–145.200): A strong area of resistance where sellers may re-enter. If price returns here, it’s a potential short setup. Demand Zone (~142.800–143.100): A possible reaction point where short-term buyers may provide a bounce. Target Point (~141.168): A projected target if the downtrend continues and demand zone fails. --- 3. Expected Scenarios: Primary Bearish Move: Price may react from current levels or from the demand zone. A pullback to the supply zone is expected before continuation downward. Then, sell-off toward the target zone around 141.168. Alternate Play: Price could bounce between the demand and supply zones a bit more before breaking down. --- 4. Indicators: RSI (~46.37): Shows room to the downside before oversold, aligning with bearish momentum. Mild bullish divergence in RSI recently, suggesting potential for a small pullback or bounce. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary of Idea: This is a sell setup: Sell entries: Ideal around the supply zone (144.8–145.2). First target: Demand zone (~143.0) Final target: 141.168 Invalidation: Break above 146.30 (200 EMA and channel resistance). pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow,)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
23
INJ Analysis: 300% Profit Potential (1W)AI Sector Symbol Analysis: 300% Potential The AI sector symbol is currently undergoing a significant correction, and it seems to be forming a diametric pattern, with the price now in Wave D. This wave could potentially end within the green buy zone, after which we expect the price to transition into Wave E. It's important to note that this analysis is based on a weekly timeframe, meaning it will take time to unfold. Additionally, the entry zone is quite large, so a gradual REBUY strategy is recommended to manage risk effectively. Target Levels are clearly marked on the chart, offering clear points of interest for traders. However, be cautious: A weekly candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this setup, so always monitor closely. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
XAU/USD Market Outlook – April 17, 2025🔸XAU/USD Market Outlook – April 17, 2025 (15-Minute TF) 💡 Key Notes: Support Zone Reused: Market has tapped into a previous demand level – ⚠️ “Don’t buy again at this level.” Sell Setup: 🔻 Sell bias if price breaks below 3321 Buy Scenario: 🔺 If price breaks above, watch for long opportunity toward 3223 area 🟩 Zones to Watch: 3292.73 → First Decision Zone (Minor demand) 3271.85 → Deeper Decision Zone 3259.93 → Better to avoid buying here 3243.73 → 🔥 Best Buy Area → Wait for 1-Min CHoCH confirmation 3226.36 → Deeper liquidity area, final defense 📈 Target Upside Zone: 3370.40 📉 Breakdown Target Range: Zones below 3250 if demand fails #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SupplyAndDemand #ForexStrategy #PriceAction
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
2
MTL Rebuy Setup – Perfect Entry Ahead! (3D)MTL (Metal DAO) is currently developing within Wave C of a classic diametric pattern, based on Elliott Wave theory. This structure suggests a high-probability corrective phase that typically leads to sudden and sharp movements before a potential reversal. As of now, MTL has not yet reached the identified green buy zone, but price action is approaching it. This zone has been highlighted by analysts as a major area of interest for a potential rebuy scenario once touched, based on market structure and historical behavior. Importantly, the setup includes a clearly defined invalidation level. If the price closes a daily candle below this invalidation level, the current wave count would no longer be valid, and traders should reassess the market outlook. Until this invalidation occurs, the current count remains intact, and market participants may monitor the ongoing price action for potential bullish continuation after Wave C completes. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
GBPNZD Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 2.18Hello traders. I'm like what I see on GBPNZD. I'm expecting the momentum to continue. I'm watching that 2.18 zone closely. It's where I'll be looking for a reaction. Could be a solid bounce spot, and if it shows signs, I'm stepping in. Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure. There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you. At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
Short
by davidavasalcai
37
NZDCAD Discretionary Analysis: Bank Manipulation?The price just crashed into the distribution block, straight into that sellside liquidity order block like it knew exactly where it was going. Bank manipulation? It's all over this one. The institutional orderflow is running the show, and with a sharp liquidity spike followed by orders stacking up like a ticking time bomb, it's getting real... they are manipulating the price. The fair value gap is wide, and that uptrust into the distribution channel? That's the red flag that’s flashing "this is it." Everything is lined up for a big move, and I'm here for going on the lower timeframe and entering on that liquidity sweep from a NY Open manipulated candlestick. Just kidding, I just think it's gonna go up.
Long
by davidavasalcai
31