GOLD – Potential Bullish ContinuationGOLD has recently broken above a key resistance level, signaling sustained bullish momentum within the broader ascending channel structure. This breakout aligns with the ongoing upward trend, reflecting the market's current bullish sentiment.
If the price revisits the $2,678.17 level for a retest and displays strong bullish confirmation—such as a rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or consistent buying pressure—it would strengthen the case for further upside potential. Should this scenario unfold, the next target for buyers is the $2,691.72, a level that has previously attracted significant selling interest.
This setup reflects the broader bullish structure, offering potential opportunities for continuation trades. However, a failure to hold the retest level or a breakdown of the ascending trendline could challenge this outlook.
Traders are encouraged to monitor price action closely at the retest zone for clear signs of bullish momentum before committing to long positions.
Supply and Demand
GBPAUD OUTLOOKThe 12 month chart shows price reacting from a strong demand zone though the price is yet to contact the unmitigated supply at 2.4 price handle.
On the monthly chart, price has created a bearish order flow indicating seller pushed price to the identified 12-month demand zone at 1.44 price handle. The internal structure on the monthly charts shows price struggling to create new highs, indicating bears are still in control of this market.
On the weekly charts, the market structure shows a short term bullish correction within a larger bearish swing structure. We have several bearish change of characters indicating bears are still controlling this market. Presently, price has formed higher highs and is correcting targeting the unmitigated zone at 1.89. If price pushes further below 1.85, we will have confirmation of bearish market structure targeting the 1.71 price handle.
The Daily chart confirms bearish order flow, we will wait for bullish price correction thereafter place our sell limits targeting the unmitigated demand on the weekly chart.
GBPCAD: Oversold Market & PullbackGBPCAD appears to be oversold following a recent decline, with the pair reaching a solid horizontal daily support.
After testing this support, the pair was consolidating within a narrow range on a 4-hour time frame.
The recent break of the resistance within this range indicates buyers strength and suggests a likely pullback.
The target for this pullback is 1.7691.
HBARUSDT
The purple support zone within the price range of $0.232 has been tested multiple times so far. If this support area is breached, we expect the bearish trend to continue towards lower levels.
Upon closer examination, we observe that the resistance zone at $0.3484 has not yet been tested, and the momentum of the bearish trend has been stronger. Once the purple support zone is consumed, the bearish scenario will be further confirmed.
What’s your opinion?
Nasdaq Futures: Intraday Setups and Key Zones for Today Dive into today’s Nasdaq futures analysis for Wednesday, January 15, 2025. With key support levels and recent price action shaping the market, we explore high-probability setups for both long and short trades.
📈 Long Opportunities: Look for entries near 21,145 or above 21,357, with potential targets at 21,650.
📉 Short Setups: Key zones include 21,330 and 21,248, targeting moves toward 21,150 and 20,975.
📊 Market Insights: With important news and volatility expected, today’s market could present significant opportunities.
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UPDATE ON XAU/USD ANALYSISXAU/USD 30M - No specific entry has been given with this ones guys just due to how quickly it moved in and out of the area of interest, analysis was provided though earlier on today.
What I have gone ahead and done is enter in on this market, you can reference against this with the account see for yourself, but I have moved my SL to entry already removing any risk from the trade itself.
The trade is currently running + 60 pips. (+ 1%) 1RR
I will be taking a small partial here to bank some profits as well, on top of this I will be looking for a re-entry for you all on this market now we have had a break in the last low set fractally.
A big well done to anyone who managed to follow previous analysis and place a position, if you didn't not to worry I will have something for you all shortly. Any questions drop me a message or comment below!
EURUSD Elliott WaveHello friends
In the EURUSD currency pair, we are witnessing the formation of a 5-wave bearish pattern, which indicates a decrease in the value of the euro and an increase in the value of the dollar (due to President Trump's policies in the future).
This 5-wave bearish wave is completing wave 5 of 5.
This means that the price decrease will continue for now.
This decrease to the 1.0200 range is certain.
But after the White House is handed over to Trump and the cabinet is determined, the price will increase and we expect the price to grow in a corrective wave and then we will see further price declines.
Good luck and be profitable.
Hims breakout imminent Hims is about to break this descending wedge, and I have marked the supply and demand zones I will be utilizing for this setup. I have added ~ 1000 shares recently and plan on continuing to sell puts and calls. We had a nice reset on the weekly for volatility and momentum. I am VERY bullish since CPI was good as well.
My plan:
When we approach the demand zone (green box) I will sell aggressive cash secured puts 24 strike
When we approach supply (red box) I will sell safe covered calls at the top range
Rinse and repeat
UPDATE ON THE USD/CHF TRADEUSD/CHF 15M - As you can see the fundamental news from today that was released at 1:30PM has positively impacted our running trade and his driven price lower. This also falls in hand with the NY open.
I want to see price continue to bleed out now providing us with more profits, I believe our TP can be achieved within the next few days should price continue to trade us in the desired direction.
This trade is currently running + 90 pips. (+ 4.5%) 4.5RR
A big well done to those who are involved in this market still from yesterday, please ensure you are taking partials and applying safety measures with the position.
Should you have any questions drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible! Well done people, what a cracking start to the year!
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 14/01/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
EUR/USD Outlook: Bearish Momentum with Key Levels in FocusEUR/USD Analysis
The price exhibits bearish momentum, as it has already broken below the pivot line at 1.0367 and closed the weekly candle beneath it. This confirms a downward bias in the near term.
In the short term, the price may retest the pivot line around 1.0367 before continuing its drop.
If bearish momentum persists, the price is expected to decline further to test 1.0226 and potentially 1.0155.
To transition into a bullish structure, the price must break and sustain above 1.0367 by closing a 4-hour candle above this level. If this occurs, the price could target 1.0437.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 1.0288
Resistance Levels: 1.0360, 1.0436, 1.0470
Support Levels: 1.0227, 1.0155, 1.0110
Trend Outlook
Consolidation: Between 1.0288 and 1.0346
Bearish Trend: Below 1.0288
Bullish Trend: Above 1.0367
Gold Technical Outlook: CPI Data to Define Trend DirectionGold Technical Analysis
The price has reached the resistance level at 2689 and is attempting to test 2678 ahead of or during the release of CPI data. Based on current expectations, gold is likely to remain in a bearish trend.
If the CPI exceeds 2.9%, the bearish momentum is expected to intensify, with the price targeting 2665.
Conversely, if the CPI comes in below 2.8%, bullish momentum could quickly drive the price up to 2706.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2689
Resistance Levels: 2706, 2720, 2727
Support Levels: 2665, 2653, 2636
Trend Outlook
Bullish Trend: Above 2706
Bearish Trend: Below 2689
previous idea:
S&P 500 Outlook: CPI Data and Earnings to Shape Market DirectionS&P 500 Analysis: Pre-Bell Outlook
Earnings, CPI Expectations Lift Wall Street Futures; Asia Mixed, Europe Gains
Wall Street futures edged moderately higher in pre-market trading on Wednesday as investors positioned themselves ahead of the release of the December Consumer Price Index (CPI) report from Washington and the kickoff of the fourth-quarter earnings season.
The CPI report, set to be released today, could provide critical insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook.
Technical Outlook
The S&P 500 is likely to remain under pressure as long as the price trades below 5863. In such a scenario, a decline toward 5829 and 5781 is anticipated, especially if the CPI data comes in at 2.9% or higher.
Conversely, if the CPI data is below 2.8%, it could support a bullish momentum, with the index potentially rising toward 5937.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 5863
Resistance Levels: 5888, 5937, 5969
Support Levels: 5830, 5802, 5781
Trend Outlook
Bearish trend while trading below 5863.
THOUGHTS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 1D - With this pair I am wanting to see some strength in the EUR as I am wanting to see price actually go on to trade us higher, this would fall in line with our USD/CHF trade.
We have seen that price has traded into a valid area of Demand which is holding as price has failed to break below this. I want to see price now reject from this area giving us means to enter.
I have gone ahead and marked out the last protected high within the bearish structure that traded price lower down and into the Demand Zone originally, once we see a break in that we can begin to look to buy in.
A break in the last protected high tells us that we are no longer following the laws of bearishness but now following the laws of bullishness breaking highs and protecting lows.
Technical Outlook for Gold Prices Ahead of U.S. Inflation Data !How will inflation data impact gold price movements?
All eyes are on gold prices during today's trading, as significant volatility is expected with the release of U.S. inflation data. This is due to the negative correlation typically seen between the U.S. dollar and gold. However, it's important to note that this negative correlation is not always sustained. At times, both gold and the U.S. dollar can move in tandem, as both serve as safe havens for investors.
Regarding inflation data, markets are anticipating an increase in annual U.S. inflation from 2.7% to 2.9%. If realized, this would mark the highest reading in four months. On the other hand, core consumer price index (CPI) inflation is expected to remain steady at 3.3% year-on-year for the fourth consecutive month.
If inflation data comes in strong, this will likely strengthen the U.S. dollar and negatively impact gold prices in the short term. Furthermore, markets may anticipate that the Federal Reserve will refrain from cutting interest rates anytime soon, providing additional support for the dollar.
Technical Outlook for Gold Prices Ahead of U.S. Inflation Data
Gold is currently trading in a downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, with the price declining and forming a lower low at $2662.645, signaling a shift from an upward to a downward trend. The recent rise in price appears to be a corrective movement, with $2689.290 acting as a reversal point to continue the downward trend toward the $2666.668 level.
The two key factors that could counter this bearish scenario as a weak U.S. inflation data, which would positively affect gold prices and from a technical breakout, where gold's price rises and closes a 4-hour candlestick above the $2697.825 level, according to the analyst’s perspective.
Gold is Ready for Bullish move once againGold H1 Analysis
According to the Fibonacci level the market will go up from this red zone or from 2648-2640 area.
This is the major level according to the fibonacci that market is testing.
If a H1 or H4 Bullish engulfing candle formed from this red zone it will be a sign for the bullish.
The market was searching for the retracement or correction that has already done today.
Today we have seen selling of almost 30$ without any news or Fundamentals.So this was needed.
The targets are 2678 , 2791 and ultimately 2717
THOUGHTS FOR XAU/USDXAU/USD 30M - With this pair we have seen price trade us up and into the area of Supply I have marked out. After price traded in we saw price break structure fractally to the downside.
This giving us reason to believe that price may be ready to put in the next bearish leg, what we need now is for price to correct itself trading us into a valid area of interest to set its first lower high.
This is what it looks like its currently in the process of doing. In order for us to have confirmation to enter and enough confluence to actually place a position I would want to see price break structure again more fractally.
Once it trades us up and into this Supply Zone I want to see another break on the 5-15M timeframes, this confirming the end of the initial correction and the start of the impulse lower.
UPDATE ON USD/CHF TRADEUSD/CHF 30M - Morning guys, as you can see price has continue to trade us lower overnight and has in fact managed to keep the low it set late last night. I am expecting some sort of correction.
I wouldn't be surprised if price does decide to trade us higher today just to correct itself before a further down move, as we know price need to clear orders before continuing its desired direction.
This trade is currently running + 60 pips. (+ 3%) 3RR
A big well done to those who did get involved in this trade yesterday, what a way to start the year. I will update you all as soon as I have something new with this pair.
Any questions as always people please drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible!