Corn Market Shifts: Changing Production of U.S. & South AmericaAs global agricultural markets navigate shifting production patterns, the corn sector remains a focal point due to its critical role in food security and biofuel production. Let’s take a look at key developments in corn output, particularly in the U.S., Argentina, and Brazil, and their potential impact on global supply and pricing trends.
U.S. Corn Production: A Mixed Outlook
The U.S. Department of Agriculture has revised its projections for domestic corn production, reflecting both positive and negative trends. Total U.S. corn output is expected to reach 15.1 billion bushels, a slight decrease from previous estimates due to lower-than-expected yields in key growing states. Despite this, ending stocks have been adjusted upward to 2.2 billion bushels, indicating sufficient supply levels.
A crucial factor affecting U.S. corn production is the fluctuating export demand. While domestic feed and ethanol consumption remain stable, global competition, particularly from South American producers, continues to exert pressure on U.S. export volumes. Current projections indicate U.S. corn exports will total 2.05 billion bushels, reflecting a year-over-year decline as international buyers explore alternative suppliers.
South American Production: A Tale of Two Countries
Argentina and Brazil, two of the largest corn exporters, are experiencing divergent production trends. Argentina’s corn production, after facing drought-induced setbacks in previous seasons, is set for a strong rebound, with output projected at 55 million metric tons (MMT). Improved weather conditions and increased acreage have contributed to this recovery, positioning Argentina as a key player in global exports. Brazil’s production outlook, in contrast, is slightly weaker, estimated at 122 MMT, down from earlier projections. Adverse weather conditions, particularly excessive rainfall in southern regions, have negatively impacted planting progress and crop health. Despite this, Brazil remains the world’s second-largest corn producer, ensuring a steady flow of exports to key markets like China.
Global Market Implications
The shift in production between the U.S. and South America has several implications for global markets, first one is price volatility. With Argentina increasing supply and Brazil facing production challenges, corn prices are expected to remain volatile. The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) corn futures are currently trading near $4.71 per bushel, reflecting uncertainty in supply expectations.
Next one is export Competition. The U.S. faces increasing competition from Argentina, which is aggressively pricing its exports to regain market share. This could further strain U.S. export potential and limit price gains.
Another one, pretty important, is chinese demand. China, a major corn importer, is diversifying its sourcing strategy, increasing purchases from Brazil while maintaining steady volumes from the U.S. and Argentina. This shift could alter trade dynamics in the coming months.
Investment Outlook
For investors, such a trends highlight both risks and opportunities in the agricultural commodities sector. Futures traders should monitor price movements on the CBOT, particularly given potential supply disruptions in Brazil and increased competition from Argentina. Additionally, agriculture-focused ETFs and agribusiness stocks with exposure to South American markets may present attractive investment options.
As the planting season progresses, market participants should closely track weather developments, policy changes, and evolving trade dynamics to navigate more effectively the complexities of the global corn market.
Supply and Demand
XAUUSD:Continue short - selling at night.As long as gold doesn't stage a strong rally this week, the hourly moving averages of gold may continue to head downward. Eventually, if a bearish death cross and a short - biased arrangement are formed, the downside potential of gold can be truly unlocked. The resistance of the gold moving averages has now shifted down to around 3036. Therefore, there is still some resistance within this range.
Continue to engage in short - selling at high levels around the resistance of 3033. As long as this level remains unbroken, the strategy of shorting at highs between 3030 - 3033 remains unchanged. Set a stop - loss at 3040 and a take - profit at 3010. Be cautious of risks.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
sell@3030-3035
TP:3010
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S&P 500 Setting Up for a Breakout – But Not Before One More TrapAs I’ve said before, the FOREXCOM:SPX500 is a key reference for my crypto trading . That’s why I sat down and took a closer look at the chart – and I’m now ready to place a limit order , based on what I’m seeing.
I believe we’re still in a correction phase , and it’s far from over . However, I think it’s realistic that we’ll see a move toward $5,832 next week . Before that happens, I expect either today’s Monday Low or next week’s Previous Weekly Low to get swept, ideally triggering a dip into the 12-hour Fair Value Gap just below.
That’s where I see my entry zone forming. It’s also the exact area where Wave B overshoots the starting point of Wave ABC, making it a clean Flat correction pattern, with Wave C completing to the downside before we get a solid move upward.
I’m setting my stop-loss below the $5,500 low. If this setup plays out, I expect the S&P to push toward $5,832 , and after that, I’m anticipating a larger correction that could take the index back down to $5,500 or even $5,450 over the coming weeks.
Timing remains unclear for that move after, but the structure is here , and I’m looking forward to seeing how it plays out.
ALGOUSDTmy entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest below an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise
Entry; $0.1824
Take Profit; $0.1989
Stop Loss; $0.1796
BTCUSDTmy entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest below an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise
Entry; $80754.5
Take Profit; $83704.5
Stop Loss; $79804.5
MKRUSDTmy entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest below an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise
Entry; $1185
Take Profit; $1281
Stop Loss; $1154
CHECK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(XAUUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (XAUUSD) ready for(BUY)trade ( XAUUSD ) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (3023) to (3025) 📊
FIRST TP (3030)📊
2ND TARGET (3035) 📊
LAST TARGET (3040) 📊
STOP LOOS (3015)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
AUDUSD Trade IdeaFor supply & demand trader, here is question for you guys. If you guys served to two available supply zone like here, what would you do? Are you going to risk to take two trade at both supply zone? With this situation normally I will watch how the price approaching the zone. Once it tap into the zone, I will look for confirmation, break of structure at the same timeframe or lower.
Have a good trading week guys.
XAU/USD 24 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias and analysis remains the same as analysis dated 23 March 2025.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As per analysis dated 19 March 2025 whereby I mentioned as an alternative scenario that internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.
This is how price printed, by printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation, however, price has traded into premium of 50% internal EQ, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded in to premium of 50% EQ and has mitigated M15 supply zone.
Technically, price to target weak internal low priced at 2,999.465.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
AUDCAD: Important Zone Detected 🇦🇺🇨🇦
I see a test of a significant supply zone on AUDCAD.
It is based on a recently broken horizontal support cluster
and a rising trend line.
I believe that the selling orders will accumulate within that area.
Chances will be high that the price will drop from that at least to 0.898 support.
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XAUUSD:If you don’t know how to trade. You can see here.Last week, a large number of traders followed my exclusive trading opportunities and made great progress on XAUUSD, and they all made good profits.
Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade XAUUSD? Short or buy? You can look here.
XAUUSD: The geopolitical preparations between Russia and Ukraine have ended, and the tariff issue has also been eased. So some investors thought that the bear market would come, and seemed to be fully prepared. However, the news that reversed again over the weekend brought some support to the decline of XAUUSD. The relationship between Gaza, Israel, Russia, and Ukraine intensified again over the weekend. The London market has a short-term slight pressure of 3026-3030.
From the trend, it does look like a bear, but remember that under the influence of the dominant news, technical indicators have no auxiliary reference function. So in the short term, if XAUUSD retreats to 2915, it is mainly long.
If you don’t know where to follow. Remember to pay attention to the latest real-time news in the analysis circle. Or leave me a message. In this way, you can get exclusive trading opportunities and successfully expand profits. Remember to like and support after reading! !
NZDCAD - Buy Setup at Key Support LevelOANDA:NZDCAD is approaching a key demand zone, which has historically acted as strong support. The recent decline has brought the price back into this area, increasing the likelihood of a potential bullish reaction.
If buyers step in and confirm support within this zone, we could see a rebound toward the 0.8250 level, aligning with a corrective move after the recent drop. However, failure to hold this support could signal further downside continuation.
Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis Using Volume Profile 1. Key Observations (Volume & Gann Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
POC (Point of Control): $3022.81 – high volume concentration area currently acting as a mid-range pivot.
Value Area High (VAH): Near $3032 – price has respected this zone multiple times as short-term resistance.
Value Area Low (VAL): Near $3012 – the lower boundary of prior trading activity, marking potential support.
b) Gann High-Low Signals:
Confirmed Gann High near $3045 aligned with recent rejection zone.
Recent Gann Low around $3012 – price has shown a bounce here, confirming it as a potential demand zone.
c) Liquidity Zones:
Liquidity Grab at $3040-$3045 – prior highs swept with a quick selloff, indicating institutional stop hunting.
Potential Sell Stops resting below $3012 (Range Low), marked as a key liquidity target if bearish continuation plays out.
d) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High at $3035-$3045 (low volume node followed by reversal).
Swing Low at $3020-$3022 near the POC – acting as a high-volume support base.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Key Support:
$3022.81 (POC – key reaction zone).
$3012 (VAL and Gann swing low – confirmed support).
b) Key Resistance:
$3032 (VAH – rejected multiple times).
$3045 (Liquidity sweep and previous Gann swing high).
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend Direction:
Currently range-bound, but short-term bullish structure forming inside a rising channel off the $3012 low.
b) Pattern Observations:
Range Structure: $3012 to $3045.
Channel Formation: Price is oscillating upward in a defined channel.
Breakout Opportunity: A clean break above $3032 opens space toward $3045 again.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
Trade Direction Entry Zone Target 1 (T1) Target 2 (T2) Stop-Loss (SL)
📈 Bullish Entry $3020–$3022 $3032 $3045 $3012
📉 Bearish Entry $3032–$3035 $3020 $3012 $3046
c) Risk Management:
Minimum Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of account equity per trade.
Execute only on confirmation of rejection or break of zone (avoid blind entries).
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bearish Outlook Explained
Dollar Index is currently consolidating within a range on intraday time frames.
Testing its upper boundary, the market formed a double top pattern.
With a strong bearish mood after the opening, the market is going
to drop lower.
Goal - 103.8
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EURUSDMy Trade Idea
My trade idea was simple:
If EUR/USD breaks above a key level, I will look for a retest and enter a long position after confirming the entry with candlestick confirmation.
If it breaks below, I will wait for a retest, confirm with a candlestick pattern, and enter a short position.
This is a very short-term trade, so I’ll skip if the setup doesn’t align. Follow for faster updates! 🚀
GBPJPYMy trade idea was simple:
If GBP/JPY breaks above a key level, I will look for a retest and enter a long position.
If it breaks below, I will wait for confirmation and enter a short position.
The key is to follow the market, not predict it. Always trade what you see, not what you think will happen. Let the price action guide your entries.
BTCUSD:If you don’t know how to trade. You can see here.Last week, a large number of traders followed my exclusive trading opportunities and made great progress on BTCUSD, and they all made good profits.
Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade BTCUSD? Short or buy? You can look here.
BTCUSD: The US President spoke again at the weekend, which is good for Bitcoin's trend. It is said that as a strategic reserve. One million Bitcoins will be purchased in the next period of time. After the BTCUSD market was boosted, it rose 3k points in the short term. But after the news is digested, whether the market is stable. This is very critical. From the trend observation, there is also the meaning of falling back to test support. If the position of 86000-85000 stands firm, then continue to go long. If it does not stand firm, it is still mainly short.
If you don’t know where to follow. Remember to pay attention to the latest real-time news in the analysis circle. Or leave me a message. In this way, you can get exclusive trading opportunities and successfully expand profits. Remember to like and support after reading! !
NZDUSD Potential Bullish Bat PatternOn the 4-hour chart, NZDUSD is currently fluctuating and falling. In the short term, you can pay attention to the area below 0.5698, which is a potential buying position for a bullish bat pattern. At the same time, this position is within the previous demand area.