EUR/NZD: Key Demand Zone in Play – Bullish Setup PendingWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURNZD Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Supply and Demand
EURUSD bearish scenarioThe EURUSD monthly chart is very predictable if we add Fibonacci. As we can see, the pullback stops at the 61.8% Fibonacci level. After that, the pair continued to fall and formed a new lower low. We expect that in the coming period, and the targets are 0.95000 and 0.90000 levels.
$FLOW - ON THE RUNWAY!The big wave 1 of FLOW created a BOS that broke the previous long-term downtrend. After this break, the price returns to the previous cumulative area test and is signaling back to the upward momentum from today!
The accumulation phase is 5 months long (from June - November), if you zoom in on the chart, you can see that this accumulation phase is a Spring shot according to Wyckoff theory. The price area below $1.5 is most likely the long-term accumulation area of FLOW.
Therefore, if you only trade #spot, buy at the price below $0.8 to get the best entry.
EURCAD: Bearish Continuation from Supply ZoneThe EURCAD pair is trading within a descending channel, indicating a bearish market structure. The price is currently approaching a key supply zone, which aligns with the channel's upper boundary.
If the price confirms rejection at the supply zone, I anticipate a bearish move targeting the 1.46527 level, which represents a logical target for this setup.
This setup suggests a continuation of the bearish trend. Traders should watch for confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick patterns or rejections around the supply zone, before considering short positions.
USD/JPY Potential Reversal Zone with SMC and ICT InsightsFX:USDJPY USD/JPY Potential Reversal Zone with SMC and ICT Insights
The chart shows the USD/JPY 4-hour timeframe with various technical indicators and annotations. The price is currently at 157.506, with a slight increase of 0.075 (+0.05%). The chart includes several key elements:
Break of Structure (BOS): Indicated at multiple points, suggesting significant shifts in market structure.
Change of Character (CHoCH): Highlighted at various points, indicating potential reversals or shifts in market sentiment.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Key levels at 0.786 (158.452), 0.786 (158.293), 0.618 (158.121), and 0.5 (157.889).
Volume Profile: Shows high volume nodes around 157.927 and 157.599, indicating strong support/resistance zones.
RSI Indicator: Currently around 46.47, suggesting the market is neither overbought nor oversold.
Buy Strategy:
Entry: 157.600 (near the current price and volume profile support)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 158.000 (+40 pips)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 158.450 (+85 pips)
Stop Loss (SL): 157.000 (-60 pips)
Sell Strategy:
Entry: 158.100 (near the Fibonacci 0.786 level and resistance)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 157.600 (+50 pips)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 157.000 (+110 pips)
Stop Loss (SL): 158.500 (-40 pips)
VIP Signal:
Buy: Entry 157.600, TP1 158.000 (+40 pips), TP2 158.450 (+85 pips), SL 157.000 (-60 pips)
Sell: Entry 158.100, TP1 157.600 (+50 pips), TP2 157.000 (+110 pips), SL 158.500 (-40 pips)
This analysis leverages various strategies, including Price Action, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and ICT Elliott Wave, to formulate detailed buy and sell strategies. The identified key levels offer optimal entry and exit points, ensuring a balanced risk-reward ratio for traders.
GBPUSD /Sterling Hits 8-Month Low Amid Bearish MomentumGBP/USD Analysis
Sterling Weakens to an 8-Month Low
The British pound has dropped to $1.240, marking its lowest level in eight months. This decline is driven by concerns over the UK’s economic resilience and a stronger US dollar.
The UK economy remains stagnant, with revised Q3 figures showing no growth, adding to the challenges faced by Prime Minister Keir Starmer's new government. Furthermore, the Bank of England's dovish stance in its final 2024 rate decision has placed additional pressure on the pound.
Trade tensions also weigh on the pound, particularly with former US President Trump's proposed tariffs, which could disrupt UK trade.
Technical Outlook
The GBP/USD pair maintains a bearish momentum, though a correction to 1.2485 is possible, especially if the price stabilizes above 1.2409.
If the price breaks 1.2485 and closes a 4-hour candle above it, this could signal the start of a bullish continuation towards 1.2610.
Conversely, if the price reverses and stabilizes below 1.2409, it could drop further to test 1.2315.
A sustained move below 1.2409 would strengthen the bearish outlook, with potential targets at 1.2315 and 1.2215.
Key levels
Pivot Line: 1.2409
Resistance lines: 1.2485, 1.2532, 1.2611
Support Lines: 1.2315, 1.2215, 1.2150
Trend Outlook
Consolidation: Between 1.2409 and 1.2485
Bearish: Below 1.2400
Bullish: Above 1.2486
EURUSD / Bearish Momentum with Key Levels and Trend OutlookEUR/USD Analysis
The price exhibits bearish momentum, as it has already broken below the pivot line at 1.0367 and closed the weekly candle beneath it. This confirms a downward bias in the near term.
In the short term, the price may retest the area around 1.0345 or 1.0367 before continuing its drop.
If bearish momentum persists, the price is expected to decline further to test 1.0226 and potentially 1.0155.
To transition into a bullish structure, the price must break and sustain above 1.0367 by closing a 4-hour candle above this level. If this occurs, the price could target 1.0437.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 1.0288
Resistance Levels: 1.0360, 1.0436, 1.0470
Support Levels: 1.0227, 1.0155, 1.0110
Trend Outlook
Consolidation: Between 1.0288 and 1.0346
Bearish Trend: Below 1.0288
Bullish Trend: Above 1.0367
previous idea:
AUDCAD: Bearish Continuation SetupThe AUDCAD pair is trading within a descending channel, indicating a bearish market structure. The price has retraced into a key supply zone, which aligns with the channel's upper boundary and previous lower highs.
Because the price rejected at this zone, I anticipate a bearish move toward the 0.88300 level, which aligns with a key support zone on the higher time frames.
NZDCHF: Bearish Continuation Setup from Resistance ZoneThe NZDCHF pair is trading within a well-defined descending channel, reflecting a bearish market structure. The price is approaching a key resistance zone which aligns with the channel's upper boundary.
If the price confirms rejection at this supply zone, I anticipate a bearish move targeting the 0.50441 level, which represents a logical target for this setup.
This setup suggests a continuation of the bearish trend within the current channel. Traders should watch for confirmation, such as bearish engulfing candles or long upper wicks, before considering short positions.
Nasdaq Futures: Intraday Strategies and Key Levels | January 14Today’s analysis of Nasdaq futures for Tuesday, January 14, 2025, highlights key zones and strategies to navigate a potential trend reversal. With the market reacting to important support levels, we explore opportunities for both longs and shorts.
📈 Long Opportunities: Entries above 21,030 or near 20,850, with targets at 21,160 and 21,320.
📉 Short Setups: Zones like 21,060 or 21,140, aiming for moves toward 20,860 and 20,650.
📊 Market Context: We discuss how recent price action suggests a possible trend change, and key events to watch that could impact volatility.
💬 Join our daily lives at 9:30 AM (NY time) for real-time analysis and Q&A. Let us know in the comments what other assets you'd like us to analyze or if you’d prefer swing trading strategies in future videos.
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THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not too bad a day on the markets with gold giving us the level we wanted for the short into the red box support where we suggested traders protect and manage their trades. We then got the bounce we wanted but only achieving 50-90pips before the trade closed at BE.
We're now seeing price approach the lower Red box support which is active, 2650-55 was also a previous order region so a RIP here could be on the cards. Immediate resistance stands at the 2665 level while CPi approaches tomorrow. Expect there to be some ranging and choppy price action during the Asian session.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 2650 with targets above 2700, 2706 and above that 2716
Bearish on break of 2650 with targets below 2640 and below that 2635
RED BOXES:
Break above 2690 for 2700, 2703, 2706, 2710 and 2724 in extension of the move
Break below 2680 for 2667✅, 2665✅, 2655✅ and 2640 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Don't FOMO in ETH if you missed this pump but waitIf you missed the current pump don't FOMO in because you will get trapped again.
Wait for the price enter the supply zone indicated in blue.
Then they will drop the price again that's actually a good entry also.
And then the price will go bullish to the next level.
The reason it's highly likely they will drop the price again is that whales know that people FOMO into the trade now at the worst point.
When they drop the price again you litterly handing the money over to them because you will panic sell thinking the market will go bearish. First missed the first pump and second entry is a FOMO entry so the entry is not a confident and strong entry. That's why if some volatility happens you cannot handle it emotionally to stay in.
What's actually not true and the market will go bullish from here!
Insiders Are Betting Big on This AI StockArtificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping industries across the globe, with 35% of businesses incorporating AI into their workflows according to Business Insider. While much of the early AI buzz focused on high-profile players like OpenAI and Nvidia, the next phase of AI's integration may lie in specialized applications—and education is poised to be a major frontier.
One company making strides in this space is Nerdy Inc. NYSE:NRDY , which leverages AI to personalize learning across over 3,000 subjects. With growing interest in the NRDY ticker evident on Google Trends and insider activity suggesting confidence from leadership, there may be a unique opportunity brewing for investors looking to capitalize on this late-stage AI play.
The Case for AI in Education
AI’s potential in education is immense. Tools like chatbots and adaptive learning platforms are already being deployed to personalize tutoring and enhance engagement. For instance, Arizona State University has implemented AI-driven tools to track student progress and recommend resources, while Carnegie Mellon uses AI to power its Open Learning Initiative, helping students master subjects faster.
Despite its promise, AI-driven education remains underexplored compared to sectors like healthcare or logistics. This presents an opportunity for companies like Nerdy Inc. to revolutionize how education is delivered at scale while addressing challenges in accessibility and customization.
Insider Trading
Recent insider trading activity paints an intriguing picture. CEO Charles K. Cohn has made multiple stock acquisitions , including a purchase of 3,000,000 shares on December 13, 2024, and another acquisition of 2,000,000 shares on December 16, 2024, totaling millions of dollars in recent months. Such moves often signal leadership’s confidence in the company’s future.
Positive Earnings Surprises
Nerdy Inc. has consistently delivered positive earnings surprises :
- Q4 2023: 54.55%
- Q1 2024: 36.36%
- Q2 2024: 33.33%
- Q3 2024: 39.13%
This trend of exceeding expectations suggests that Nerdy is not only executing well but also potentially under-appreciated by the market.
The Strategic Play: Leveraging LEAPS Options
Sprouting companies like Nerdy Inc. often follow a predictable cycle of accumulation and distribution on the part of institutions. After an initial public offering, we typically observe a period of stabilization under SEC-regulation M, which mandates price support from underwriting syndicates.
During this phase, a rally may occur as the public begins to buy in. However, newer applications—like personalized AI learning—often require time to gain mass adoption. Following this rally, we frequently see a sell-off as qualified institutional buyers (QIBs) exit their initial positions.
The most critical phase is accumulation , during which institutions steadily acquire discounted shares. This process may take months or years, but the goal for investors is clear: align with the institutions.
The Setup
- Contract: June 20, 2025 $1.50 Call
- Premium: $0.40 per share
- Position Size: 50 contracts
- Total Risk: $2,000 (plus transaction fees)
This strategy caps downside risk while allowing ample time for institutional accumulation and potential media-driven interest.
Risk vs. Reward
If Nerdy Inc. recaptures its 2020 IPO price of $10 per share, the potential profit is substantial:
($10 market price - $1.50 strike price) x 5,000 shares = $42,500 profit
While ambitious, this scenario aligns with patterns seen in AI-driven stocks like NASDAQ:PLTR and NASDAQ:RGTI which also benefited from strong catalysts and public speculation. Plus NASDAQ:CLBT and NYSE:OPFI to name a few others outside the realm of AI.
A Long-Term Perspective
AI’s role in education is just beginning. Nerdy Inc.’s commitment to personalized learning places it in a unique position to capitalize on this transformative trend. The combination of strong insider activity, positive earnings surprises, and growing interest in AI-powered education makes this a compelling speculative opportunity.
What do you think about AI’s role in transforming education? Will companies like Nerdy Inc. lead the charge, or will traditional methods continue to dominate?
General Disclaimer
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized investment advice. The information provided does not constitute an offer to buy or sell any securities, nor does it take into account your specific financial situation, objectives, or risk tolerance.
The views expressed are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Investing involves risks, including the loss of principal, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
For personalized investment recommendations, please consult a licensed financial advisor. The author assumes no liability for actions taken based on the information provided in this post.
Long Trade
15min TF overview
Buyside trade
Pair DOGEUSD
Mon 13th Jan 25
3.15 pm
NY Session PM
Entry 0.32861
Profit level 0.34759 (5.78%)
Stop level 0.32622 (0.73%)
RR 7.94
Reason: Phase C to D, according to Whykoff's observation on the 15-minute TF, indicates a buyside trade. (Trending inside the range.?) .
GBPCHF - 13 Jan 2025 SetupEURGBP Market structure are still Bullish. Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle). its a verygood demand area as we seen Resistance become support on that area.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Coffee Trade Team