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Supply and Demand

EURUSD 18 Feb 2025 W8 - Intraday - EU ZEW /US ManufacturingThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 18 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Some light economic news today along with the US Markets are back after long weekend. EUR : ZEW Economic Sentiment US : Empire State Manufacturing Index The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis. Below a summary: Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation. Key Risks: A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness. Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH. 🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move): Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal) Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal) 🔹With the recent moves, Supply is failing and Demand is holding solidifying the scenario that the Bullish 4H Swing continuation in play. 🔹Price swept Liq. above 30 Jan on 4H and Daily where I’d noted in the previous days analysis which can provide a decent pullback. (Bearish CHoCH is required to confirm the Sweep of Liquidity. Otherwise, it’s not enough and price will continue from the recent 4H Demand formed). 3️⃣ 🔹Currently price is targeting the Liq. (Bearish CHoCK) above the recent demand which could provide Bullish continuation. 🔹Expectations is set to continue Bullish to target the Weak 4H Swing High to facilitate to the Daily and Weekly expected Bullish move. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Pullback Phase 2️⃣ 🔹Bullish Swing structure continuing bullish aligning with the 4H Bullish Swing continuation phase. 🔹After the recent Swing BOS, we expect a pullback which is confirmed with the 15m Bearish iBOS today. 🔹With the Bearish iBOS we confirm the 15m pullback phase to Swing EQ (50%)/ Discount. 3️⃣ 🔹As price on the 4H is currently targeting the Liq. (Bearish CHoCH), expectations today is to continue Bearish to facilitate the 15m Swing Pullback to Swing Discount and mitigate the 4H/15m Demand before continuing Bullish.
by Amr-Sadek
Maruti : Make or Break?Technical view Box trading strategy in which you identify or stop consolidating for a couple of days and trading the direction of the breakout in this case Maruti Suzuki india limited is consolidating for past 3 days. What is the strategy why does this work? When a stock price moves sideways, it usually happens for two main reasons: either people are losing interest in the stock, or there's a lot of activity but the number of buyers and sellers is balanced. Now, imagine a group of traders who are watching this stock. They have set their stop-loss orders close to where they bought the stock. This means if the price moves too far against them, they'll automatically sell to limit their losses. When the stock finally breaks out of this sideways pattern, something interesting happens. New buyers or sellers jump in, excited about the movement. At the same time, those traders who were holding onto their positions start to sell because their stop-loss orders are triggered. This combination of new traders entering the market and existing traders exiting their positions creates a surge in momentum in the direction of the breakout. So, if the price breaks upward, it can rise quickly as both new buyers come in and former holders sell out, pushing the price even higher. Pro Tip Entry at 15m tf Strong Candle Close (Outside the Box) StopLoss is at Entry Candle high or Low (Not more than (0.8%) Targets :- 12,887.50 (Upside) 12,411.25 (Downside) Fundamental View Profit: Maruti Suzuki India Ltd reported a consolidated net profit of ₹3,727 crore for Q3 FY25, a 16% YOY increase. However, another source indicates a standalone net profit of ₹3,525 crore, up 13% YOY, but below market expectations of ₹3,624 crore. Revenue: The company reported revenue of ₹38,764 crore, a 16% YOY increase. Sales Volume: Total sales were 566,213 units, up 13% from last year3. Domestic sales were 466,993 units (up 8.7%), and exports were 99,220 units, a significant increase of 38.2%. EBITDA: Operating profit (EBITDA) increased by 14.4% YOY. Not an Investment Advise
NSE:MARUTI
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
Copper Supply ZoneTrading In the Zone! A copper supply zone in trading refers to a price level or area on a chart where there is a significant concentration of selling pressure, leading to a potential reversal or pause in an upward trend. This concept is commonly used in technical analysis, particularly in supply and demand trading strategies. Key Characteristics of a Copper Supply Zone: Price Rejection: The zone is identified by previous price action where the price of copper reversed or stalled after reaching a certain level. High Volume: The zone often coincides with high trading volume, indicating strong selling interest.
MCX:COPPER1!
by trad_corn
NIFTY 18 FEB 2025 - Key Levels 📊 Intraday Key Levels & Market Outlook 🔥 🚀 Current Market Price (CMP): 22,963.50 📈 Bullish Above (Resistance Levels): 🔴 23,037.40 – Key resistance zone, potential rejection area. 🔴 23,127.90 - 23,180.60 – Major resistance, break above could trigger strong bullish momentum. 🔴 23,311.70 - 23,322.65 – Critical supply zone, major breakout level.(IT' PNEED TO TOUCH BUT MAY BE NOT TODAY) 📉 Bearish Below (Support Levels): 🟠 22,835.90 - 22,816.60 (Key Yellow Zone) – This acts as a bullish/bearish pivot: Above this, buyers may dominate. Below this, sellers could take control. 🟢 22,665.90 - 22,624.80 – Demand zone, possible bullish bounce. 🟢 22,550.00 (New Support) – Additional key level, could act as strong support if price drops further. 📌 Trading Plan: 🔹 Above 22,835.90 – Bullish bias; look for buying setups. 🔹 Below 22,816.60 – Bearish bias; look for shorting opportunities. 🔹 Breakout traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades. #Trading #StockMarket #Intraday #PriceAction #TradingView
NSE:NIFTY
by trade_geeks
GBP/CAD Potential short opportunity 📉 Price is back into a key supply zone, signaling a potential reversal. Before executing, I’m watching for: ✅ Further confirmation on H1 or H4 ✅ A clear Change of Character (CHoCH) ✅ Liquidity sweep to trap early buyers ⚠️ Patience is key! Let the market show its hand before entering. A strong rejection and lower timeframe breakdown could confirm the setup. 📊 What’s your take? Are you seeing the same setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇 #GBPCAD #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #CHoCH #PriceAction #ForexSetup
Short
by theunscriptedacademy
2
GBPUSD 17 February 2025 TRADE IDEAThe GBP/USD pair is trading within an ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows since 2022. Recently, price bounced off the key support zone around 1.2098 - 1.2036, indicating strong bullish pressure. If this momentum continues, the pair is likely to push towards the 1.3365 - 1.3418 resistance zone, which has historically acted as a major supply area. A confirmed break above this level could open the door for further upside towards 1.3762 - 1.4230, aligning with the channel’s upper boundary. However, if price fails to sustain above 1.3365, a pullback towards the 1.2620 - 1.2500 demand zone is possible before another bullish attempt. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) perspective, a break of structure (BOS) above 1.3000 would reinforce the bullish bias, while recent lows around 1.2098 might have been a liquidity grab before further upside. There is also a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 1.3000, which price may seek to fill before continuing higher. Currently, GBP/USD remains in a discount zone, favoring bullish continuation towards premium areas near 1.3365 - 1.3762. Fundamentally, the outlook depends on central bank policies and macroeconomic conditions. The U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates is a key factor; if the Fed signals rate cuts in 2025, USD weakness could support GBP/USD. However, strong U.S. labor market data and persistent inflation could delay rate cuts, keeping the USD strong. Meanwhile, the Bank of England (BoE) is navigating high inflation and slowing growth. If inflation remains elevated, the BoE may maintain its hawkish stance, which could strengthen GBP. On the geopolitical front, risks such as the Russia-Ukraine war and U.S.-China tensions could drive risk-off sentiment, favoring the USD as a safe haven. Overall, as long as GBP/USD stays above 1.2620, the bias remains bullish, with upside targets at 1.3000, 1.3365, and 1.3762. A confirmed break above 1.3000 would validate further upside, while failure to hold above 1.3365 could trigger a retracement towards 1.2620 - 1.2500 before another bullish move. Would you like additional trade setups or risk management insights? 🚀
Long
by karabompesi
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to start with an incline into the lower support regions in order to give us another long opportunity into the target level 2902 initially, which was our Excalibur target. Gold however had another plan and started the move from the open, this allowed us to trade on the red boxes and trade the move upside surpassing the target level into the highs that we witnessed last week. During the week, we update our traders with the path upside and suggested looking for the short trade from the Red box active level, which worked perfectly giving the move downside that we saw on Friday. It was a fantastic week in Camelot, not only completing 8 Gold targets on Excalibur, but also all the bias level and red box targets. Not to mention the targets completed on all the other pairs we share and analyse. Well done to the traders who followed! So, what can we expect in the week ahead? This week we’re looking for price to potentially give us further opportunities to short, however, we have a key level above of 2910! Support on the intra-day stands at 2870-65, which if targeted early session could give buyers the confidence they need to take that long into the 2890-5 region and above that 2904. There is an extension of the move into the 2910 region, but anywhere between the 2904-10 region are the levels we want to monitor for RIPs, and if they present themselves, the opportunity to take that swing short may be there again. The key order region (liquidity pool) is sitting below at 2850-55 which is a decent level for price to attempt, but this region needs to be broken to go lower! If broken, we won’t be looking to go long again until we’re closer to lower 2800’s, so please trade with caution this week. We do have higher targets on Gold, but, there needs to be a correction and if this is it, we’ll make sure to take advantage of it just like we have done for years, up, down, where ever it goes, we’ll trade it with our trusted pal Excalibur, the EA and our Red box indicators. Not much more to say, low volume news this week, Monday could be a ranging day so expect choppy and whipsawing price action. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 2865 with targets above 2885, 2895, 2902 and above that 2910 Bearish on break of 2865 with targets below 2855, 2850, 2843, 2835 and below that 2828 RED BOXES: Break above 2885 for 2888, 2902, 2910 and 2913 in extension of the move Break below 2875 for 2870, 2865, 2857, 2855 and 2850 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
26
EURUSD Shor-term SellMy Analysis on EURUSD Based on my technical evaluation of this currency pair, the price action appears to be retesting the key resistance level within the current market structure. This phase is critical, as resistance zones often act as barriers where selling pressure may intensify. To optimize risk-reward dynamics, I recommend exercising patience and awaiting confirmation of a bearish reversal signal—such as a rejection candlestick pattern, loss of momentum, or a decisive close below the resistance line I’ve identified. A validated bounce from this zone could serve as a high-probability sell signal for traders looking to capitalize on a potential downward move. Additionally, monitoring volume trends and broader market context would further strengthen the conviction in this setup. As always, prudent risk management, including stop-loss placement above the resistance, remains essential. What are your thoughts, everyone? Does this align with your technical outlook, or are there alternative factors you’d consider in this scenario?
Short
by sirkamal
4