Supply and Demand
BANKNIFTYBANKNIFTY FOR 11 Dec 2024
Banknifty bounced from the
weak demand zone 53330 - 53380
And took out Sell Zone created today (53540 - 53580)
OUTLOOK FOR 11 Dec 2024
Market may take support on the zone created today
(53540 - 53580) and Buy can be initiated for Target
Supply Zone @ 53820 - 53870
Weak demand zone (53330 - 53370) can be considered as strong buy zone
NIFTY Trade SetupAs Predicted Yesterday (09-12-2024)
Weak OB (24580 - 24600) Broke down on 10-12-2024
Market tested Buy Zone - 24495 - 25525
and Reacted strongly closing at 24620
New Weak Sell Zone now active for 11-12-2024 (24680 - 24705)
If BUY ZONE 1 is tested again, One can go long;
Target 24680 - 24705
STRONG BUY ZONE - 24495 - 25520
STRONG SELL ZONE - 24825 - 24845
WEAK SELL ZONE - 24680 - 24700
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Trend Continues Gold had been trading within a range on a 4-hour time frame since the end of November.
The recent bullish movement in the market caused the price of Gold to break above the upper boundary of the range, indicating a potential for further bullish momentum.
The targets for this bullish continuation are set at 2687 and 2705.
Technical Analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart (Heikin AshThe chart depicts a recent breakout above consolidation, with price now trading near $2,665, slightly below a key resistance zone. The liquidity void near $2,662–$2,713 and prior accumulation near supports indicate a potential continuation or reversal scenario. Below is a detailed analysis with probable bullish and bearish scenarios.
Key Observations
Trend Overview:
Price has broken out of a consolidation phase, rallying toward the $2,665 level.
The liquidity void around $2,662–$2,713 represents unfilled orders, making this zone a potential resistance area.
Support Levels:
$2,624–$2,626: Immediate support zone, previously held during the consolidation phase.
$2,613–$2,615: Secondary support zone and the breakout origin.
$2,595–$2,600: Strong demand zone where buyers aggressively stepped in earlier.
Resistance Levels:
$2,662–$2,665: Immediate resistance zone, where price is currently testing.
$2,711–$2,713: Major resistance zone aligned with unfilled orders in the liquidity void.
$2,740–$2,760: Extended resistance zone for bullish continuation.
Volume Analysis:
Buy Volume (2.69M) vs. Sell Volume (431.3K): Reflects dominant buying pressure, leading to the breakout.
Delta Volume (10%): Indicates increasing buy interest at higher levels.
Bullish Scenario
Conditions for a Bullish Move:
Price must break above the $2,665–$2,667 resistance zone, clearing the liquidity void.
Sustained buying pressure above $2,667 will likely drive the price toward higher resistance levels.
Entry Points:
Aggressive Entry: Buy near the current level ($2,662–$2,665), with a stop-loss below $2,655.
Conservative Entry: Enter after a breakout and retest above $2,667, with a stop-loss below $2,660.
Exit Points (Take Profit):
First Target: $2,711 (key resistance zone).
Second Target: $2,740 (extended bullish target).
Final Target: $2,760 (major resistance).
Invalidation:
A breakdown below $2,655 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Bearish Scenario
Conditions for a Bearish Move:
Price fails to break above $2,665, indicating rejection at the resistance.
A confirmed breakdown below $2,655 would signal bearish momentum.
Entry Points:
Aggressive Entry: Short near $2,665, with a stop-loss above $2,670.
Conservative Entry: Enter short after a confirmed breakdown below $2,655, with a stop-loss above $2,662.
Exit Points (Take Profit):
First Target: $2,624–$2,626 (immediate support zone).
Second Target: $2,613 (breakout origin).
Final Target: $2,595 (extended bearish target).
Invalidation:
A breakout above $2,670 would invalidate the bearish scenario.
Key Indicators to Monitor
Volume Behavior:
Increasing buy volume above $2,662 confirms bullish strength.
Rising sell volume near $2,665 signals potential rejection.
Breakout/Breakdown Confirmation:
A breakout above $2,667 confirms bullish continuation.
A breakdown below $2,655 confirms bearish pressure.
Heikin Ashi Candles:
Sustained green candles with larger bodies signal continued buying.
Red reversal candles with long wicks at resistance confirm bearish rejection.
Summary of Probable Entry & Exit Points
Scenario Entry Zone Stop-Loss Target Levels
Bullish $2,662–$2,665 (Aggressive) or above $2,667 (Conservative) $2,655 $2,711, $2,740, $2,760
Bearish $2,665 (Aggressive) or below $2,655 (Conservative) $2,670 $2,626, $2,613, $2,595
Conclusion
Bullish Outlook: A breakout above $2,667 could lead to a rally toward $2,711 or higher.
Bearish Outlook: Rejection at $2,665 or a breakdown below $2,655 could trigger a decline toward $2,613–$2,595.
Monitor price action at the $2,662–$2,667 resistance zone and $2,655 support level for confirmation of the next move. Manage risk with tight stop-losses, especially in this breakout/reversal scenario.
S&P 500: Technical Insights and Trend ForecastS&P 500 Technical Analysis
The price has dropped from its previous significant high and has already broken the key level at 6058. It is currently attempting to reclaim this level.
As long as trades below 6058 will touch 6022.
Bullish Scenario, A 4-hour candle close above 6058 will signal a potential reversal, targeting higher resistance levels.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 6058
Resistance Levels: 6073, 6099, 6145
Support Levels: 6022, 5971, 5932
Trend Outlook: The trend remains downward while the price is below 6058.
Previous idea:
XAUUSD WIL SOON RETRUN TO 2670 SERIESXAUUSD Scalping and Swing Trading Opportunities: The gold market offers traders a unique mix of rapid intraday movements and longer-term price trends. Scalping provides opportunities for quick profits by capitalizing on minor price fluctuations, while swing trading allows for capturing larger market moves over days or weeks. With precise analysis, disciplined risk management, and a keen eye on technical and fundamental indicators, traders can strategically navigate the volatility of XAUUSD to maximize gains in both short and mid-term trades.
XAU/USD 10 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Long On GBP/USDI established last week, i would like to see some bullish activities on the cable and it played out but not form the position we would have loved to take long entires from but I believe another opportunity will present it self this week if the pair doesn't go into a temporary moment of indecision which will mean a short term range.
we can also sell short term to that place of interest or point of interest as the case maybe, we should also watch out for fundamentals, haven't checked so I wouldn't know.
KPITTECH - RSI Divergence on major support/Demand AreaStock currently showing classical RSI Divergence case where price has made a Lower Low and lower high on Major support zone but at the same time RSI is making HH and HL.
This can be a major turning point for stock to start up-moving only in case if it continues to make HH and HL.
RSI divergence is just a price behavior indicator which give indication of demand at demand zone and a confirmation of is always needed to support this fact by stock behavior making HH and HL.
BONK/USDT- BUY SETUPBINANCE:BONKUSDT
✔︎ENTRY :0.00004358
🏓TARGETS :
✔︎T1 : 0.00005098
✔︎T2 : 0.00006223
✔︎T3 : 0.00007639
✘STOP : 0.00004062
💡Reason for this trade:
This trade gives my trading system a sign of strength:
• My trading system is based on liquidity and reversal zones.
• When the liquidity is swept from one side under certain conditions, we will wait for the price on the other side.
The liquidity will attract the price like a magnet.
• the first side that has been swept:
1- 00
2- 00
3- 00
• Opposite side targets:
1- range low
2- failure swing point
3- sweep HVN
💡Entry setup
1- reclaim HVN
2- GOLDEN zone
3- reclaim HVN
all aligned in same conflunce zone
⚠️WARNING:
• I'm not a financial advisor.
• Do your own research (DYOR).
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/10/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21482.00
- PR Low: 21458.75
- NZ Spread: 51.75
No key scheduled economic events
+240 point fade from ATH back near Friday's low
- Nearing QQQ 520 daily gap
- Holding auction at previous session lows
Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 12/10)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 262.31
- Volume: 18K
- Open Int: 282K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
USOIL CLEAR TRIAGLEThe outlook for USOIL is extremely bullish as it is potentially completing the Elliott Wave B as a contracting triangle. This pattern often signals a powerful continuation toward the primary trend once Wave C begins. The Ending Triangle structure indicates that the market has been consolidating in a compressed, corrective pattern, and we are likely nearing the final stages of this consolidation. As Wave B nears its end, it sets the stage for a strong breakout to the upside.
Given that oil experienced substantial upward momentum nearly 2 years ago, the market is positioned for a significant surge once Wave C unfolds. The key to this bullish outlook lies in the fact that Ending Triangles often lead to sharp moves in the direction of the dominant trend, which in this case is upward for USOIL. Once Wave C begins, it could propel prices toward new highs, potentially breaking through key resistance levels and establishing a fresh bullish trend.
Moreover, the wave structure suggests a well-organized market, with, I believe institutions building large positions in the energy sectors for a larger move. The completion of Wave B indicates the final corrective phase before an explosive rally, providing an excellent opportunity for traders to position themselves for a breakout. The market is poised for a major upward thrust, and the overall sentiment is aligned with a potential rise in oil prices.