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Supply and Demand

EURUSD Approaching Major Resistance - Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a major resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 1.09742 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by DanieIM
134
GOLD Analysis: Will buyers push toward 3,230?OANDA:XAUUSD continues to trade within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both upper and lower boundaries. The recent price action suggests buyers are currently in control, indicating the potential for continued upside. Given the strength of the current bullish momentum, there is a strong likelihood that price may break above the key resistance zone. If that happens, it could come back to retest the level as support before continuing higher. A successful retest would reinforce the bullish structure and open the door for a potential move toward the 3,230 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary. However, if price fails to break above the resistance zone, it could signal weakening bullish momentum and open the door for a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk accordingly. Best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
132
Is VIDT about to drop? Don’t ignore the bearish signs! (3D)Note: The funding fee for this asset in futures is very high, and it's also a highly volatile and risky asset. Be cautious when taking positions on it. Note: This coin is on Binance's delisting red list. Since the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, this asset has started forming a symmetrical pattern.The pattern has generally been upward, although it eventually transitioned into a sideways movement. We are currently in the final bullish wave of this pattern, known as wave I. The red zone marks an optimized supply area. if the price reaches this zone, it presents a potential Sell/Short opportunity. A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
V
by behdark
1
SPY Trade Review – Potential Pop and Flop SetupI’m tracking a potential pop and flop scenario forming on SPY. There’s a setup for a possible 5.5% move higher, followed by the opportunity for a larger short of up to 15% toward final downside targets. SPY and its key influencers, including the Magnificent Seven , are currently rebounding off significant support levels. This could allow for continued upside before running into major resistance. As highlighted in the chart, we may see a further push higher of approximately 5.5% , taking us into the weekly/daily high support lost zone at $564 . If this level acts as firm resistance and price reverses, a break below $549.83 (our trigger for adding short exposure) could lead to a significant selloff. Downside targets include: - Target 1: $502 - Target 2: $476.30 (a potential new local low) A daily or weekly close above $564.52 would invalidate this short setup. This is a high time frame setup , but I’ve shown it on the 4-hour chart for greater clarity. Now we wait and see!
AMEX:SPY
by ViciTradingSolutions
2
GBPUSD I Weekly CLS I KL - OB I Model 2, Target HTF OBHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
27
GBP/USD - Weekly Elliott Wave Forecast | Potential B-Wave Trap!Pattern: Completed 5-Wave Impulse + ABC Zigzag Correction Current Price: 1.3056 Forecast: Bearish B-Wave Reversal Incoming? Technical Breakdown: Major impulse from 2007 to 2022 marked as 1 to 5 A corrective ABC move completed at the key resistance zone Price currently facing rejection from the C wave top High probability of a B-Wave trap forming before a drop to the 1.14 zone Strong confluence with historical structure and Fibonacci retracement Next Move: Watch for a weekly candle close below 1.28 to confirm the reversal. Bears may target the 1.14 zone in the next leg down. Wave Structure Visualized (Top-Right Inset): Shows possible B-Wave drop before bullish C continuation — a perfect trap zone for early bulls. Trade Plan: Short bias below 1.30 with SL above 1.32 Target: 1.18–1.14 zone Re-assess price action near 1.14 for long opportunities Stay Sharp, Stay Green!
Short
by Greenfireforex
1
Long trade 15min TF overview ✅ Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (BTC/USDT) 📅 Date: Friday, April 11, 2025 ⏰ Time: 5:00 PM – London to NY Session PM 📈 Pair: BTC/USDT 🧭 Direction: Long (Buy) Trade Parameters: Entry: 82,168.4 Take Profit (TP): 83,771.5 (+1.95%) Stop Loss (SL): 81,646.2 (–0.64%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.07 🧠 Trade Narrative: This late-session BTC long appears to align with: A bullish continuation setup during a potential pullback into demand. 5min TF overview supporting price action narrative.
Long
by davidjulien369
04/07 GEX + Historic VIX Highs: Extreme Volatility with OptionsWow, where to begin? We’ve just come through a week that even the most thorough analysts found surprising. Last Friday’s brutal sell-off triggered such a massive margin call rally that even the hedge funds were forced to exit gold—which is usually considered a safe haven—on Friday. The VIX is at a historic high — no joke. We last saw levels like this during the 2008 crisis and the COVID panic in 2020. 📌 High IV = High Theta When implied volatility (IV) is high, theta (the time decay of options) is also high. This means that maintaining long put protection becomes extremely expensive. From a broker’s hedging perspective, if they are short expensive put options, they can gradually buy back their futures positions over time (all else being equal). As IV rises, this buyback becomes increasingly attractive for them. Let’s look at our weekly SPY analysis using GEX Profile (Gamma Exposure) indicator first: It’s definitely not a cheerful chart! * Below 520: We have strikes dominated by puts. The largest negative GEX “profit-taking zone” sits at 490. If price reaches that level and the support fails (the previous major bottom from April 2024), we could move even further down into a very wide negative squeeze zone, possibly as far as 445. * HVL zone: 520–546: A choppy area around the gamma flip. * Above 546: This would signal a +10-15% rally, putting us in a positive gamma zone. However, such a scenario currently seems unlikely—at least based on the gamma levels we see right now. I won’t sugarcoat it: we’re at levels now where the market could easily move 10% in either direction. So, in my view, forget about conservative option strategies with flat delta exposure. 🤔 What Can We Do? Important: This analysis reflects my personal opinion only. It’s primarily for those looking to speculate in this highly uncertain environment. If you’re holding put options strictly as a hedge, then this may not be directly relevant to you. In these conditions, the number one rule is to survive—hedges are meant to protect assets or guard against margin calls, not to make profit. Currently, IV (implied volatility) and VIX are at historic highs. For them to stay this elevated, we’d need new negative headlines and further major market drops. While that could certainly happen, statistically it becomes less and less likely as time goes on. Buying Put Options …. no way? First off, there are plenty of challenges if you plan to buy put options right now—most of all their cost. Put options are nearly twice as expensive as calls in many cases. Does this mean I recommend selling puts or put spreads? I’m not saying you shouldn’t, but be aware: this isn’t for the faint-hearted or for beginners (the risk is high!). It might be worth exploring butterfly or vertical debit spread strategies, as our goal remains the same as always: to maximize the risk–reward ratio. 🐂 If You’re Bullish This might sound like a ninja move, but one possibility is to buy call butterfly spreads. Yes, the market could still drop—that’s absolutely possible. But statistically, it’s becoming less likely that we’ll see another huge leg down without some form of rebound. - Slight Move Up: In the event of a mild rise, call spreads and call butterfly strategies can significantly outperform a simple long call. The short legs in a spread/fly offset high theta costs and mitigate the negative effects of falling IV. - Even with a +10% Move: A long call is often still not the best choice in this environment—even if the option goes deep in the money. Where Call Spread/Butterfly Can Fail If stocks rally 15–20% or more and IV also increases (which would be unprecedented in just a few days). If the market crashes and VIX spikes above 100 (IV would skyrocket, raising the cost of all options further). Cheap Bullish Calendar Spread In a situation like this, even a cheap calendar spread can be a good play — the risk is relatively low, especially if managed well and the breakeven range is wide. Of course, if implied volatility drops, the spread could narrow, but that would likely come with a market rally, which theta can help capitalize on. 🐻 If You’re Bearish I strongly advise against buying single-leg puts, even on a 0DTE (zero-days-to-expiration) basis. If you’re convinced the market will keep dropping, I’d only consider debit spreads, aiming for a solid risk–reward ratio (in my case, I look for at least 1:2 risk-to-reward). ⚖️ If You Want to Stay Neutral / Omni bullish If you prefer not to pick a direction, you could try to capitalize on historically high IV with a May-expiration Iron Condor. This is the classic TastyTrade approach, with the caveat that you must monitor GEX levels and IV daily and adjust the far side as needed. Risk Management: If the spot price threatens one of your short strikes, you probably shouldn’t wait around in this volatile environment. It’s usually better to close the position and take a small loss than to hope for a reversal—hoping can become very expensive! Conclusion The market is extremely volatile, and expensive options mean traditional strategies may not work as well as they usually do. Stay cautious, manage risk meticulously, and don’t be afraid to close out losing trades quickly. As always, surviving to trade another day is the most important rule.
AMEX:SPY
by TanukiTrade
5
Neutral Stance on XAUUSD: Testing Resistance Hi there, XAUUSD is currently testing the resistance area at 3017.221. If the price manages to break through this level due to the current bullish pin bar, we might see a test of the 3113.453 area. However, the price as shown by the indicator suggests that the resistance area is strong, and we may see a push lower to test the break of structure 1, possibly nearing 2921.243, before turning bullish. Overall, the current trend is bullish, but the market trend is bearish. If the price falls sharply to break (HH1) and forms a lower high below it, then (H) might be broken. If the initial high, the third high from (3), fails to hold, then the trend will reverse. The current candle bias, however, is neutral or cautious. Happy Trading, K. Not trading advice.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khiwe
Prepare for LIFTOFF $ADAThe Global Net Liquidity index is breaking out of its multiyear downtrend channel on the back of a weak TVC:DXY dollar. Altcoins like CRYPTO:ADAUSD and other risk assets historically wildly outperform during Global Net Liquidity uptrends and dollar debasement cycles. As the business cycle heats up with ISM Manufacturing PMI ECONOMICS:USBCOI rising above 50, expect altcoins to gain relative strength to CRYPTO:BTCUSD and a Bitcoin Dominance CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D collapse into the 35-45% range. This is your last chance.
CRYPTO:ADAUSDLong
by zkdev
AvalonBay Inc Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Avalon Bay Communities Inc Stock Quote - Double Formation * (EMA Settings)) At 205.00 USD | Completed Survey * (Downtrend Argument)) | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * 0.5 Retracement Area | Short Set Up | Subdivision 2 * (TP1) | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 200.00 USD * Entry At 189.00 USD * Take Profit At 170.00 USD * (Downtrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
PEPPERSTONE:AVBShort
by TradePolitics
#USDCAD: We took the Swing Sell, Now let's focus on Swing Buy! The USD/CAD exchange rate experienced a significant decline, reaching its all-time high against the USD. This decline is primarily attributed to the ongoing trade dispute between China and the United States, which has led to a depreciation of the USD and resulted in a yearly low. However, we anticipate a potential reversal in the price trajectory. We identify a favourable area where the price may stabilise and address the liquidity gap it has created. We have established three targets, and to effectively utilise these targets, we recommend executing small entries with each target set based on a predetermined take-profit level. We extend our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support throughout this journey within this community. Additionally, we appreciate the contributions of each individual who has supported our endeavours. We are pleased to announce that we have garnered 20,000 followers. Much Love, Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
12
Short trade 15min ~TF overview 📉 Trade Breakdown – Sell-Side (EUR/GBP) 📅 Date: Thursday, April 10, 2025 ⏰ Time: 12:30 PM (NY Time) – NY Session AM 📈 Pair: EUR/GBP 🧭 Direction: Short (Sell) 📐 Structure/Concept: Based on PD Array reference (0.5 Target) Trade Parameters: Entry: 0.86418 Take Profit (TP): 0.86102 (–0.37%) Stop Loss (SL): 0.86609 (+0.22%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 1.65 Reason: price reaching a pivotal price level and making a higher high (NY Session) suggests an indication of a sellside trade idea.
Short
by davidjulien369