Supply and Demand
Technical outlook for the EUR/GBP pair!The EUR/GBP pair had been trading in a general uptrend on the 4-hour chart, forming higher highs and higher lows, until the recent pullback on June 24, 2025. During this decline, the price broke below the last higher low located at the 0.85257 level and recorded a lower low.
This recent drop suggests the end of the uptrend on the 4-hour chart and a shift toward a downtrend.
What is the next possible move?
A rise in price toward the 0.85607 level would be considered a corrective move before another potential drop targeting the 0.85241 level.
A rise above the 0.85749 level followed by a 4-hour candle closing above it would indicate a return to the uptrend and invalidate the negative scenario mentioned above.
USDCAD – Friday June 27th, 2025USDCAD played beautifully to our bias, breaking the 1.36647 safe sell level and delivering 46 pips clean before pulling back.
If you weren’t already in, the pullback offered a decent re-entry window — but at this point I’m not looking for new trades today.
📌 Still Bearish
Here’s what I’m watching now:
Retest of 1.36647 → possible add-on entry
Break and close below 1.35432 → continuation play
No need to force anything ahead of the weekend. Structure remains bearish and we’ll reassess post-weekend for continuation.
Tightening Triangle Signals Major Move Ahead for Crude OilChart Overview (30-Minute Timeframe)
Instrument: Crude Oil Futures (OIL)
Current Price: ~$64.77
Recent Trend: Strong bearish drop followed by consolidation
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🔺 Key Patterns & Structures Identified
1. Descending Triangle (Current Price Action)
The current price is tightly compressed within a descending triangle, with a horizontal support near $64.70 and a descending trendline from the recent highs.
Bearish bias is typical in this pattern, but a breakout to the upside is possible, especially with bullish volume or news catalysts.
2. Previous Breakdown
A sharp decline occurred from a resistance zone around $78.00 (highlighted in red).
This breakdown was decisive and fast, breaking through former support levels (green zone around $68–$69).
3. Support Zone Holding
The support at ~$64.70 has been tested multiple times but is still holding, suggesting buyer interest at this level.
4. Volume/Volatility Contraction
Price is consolidating in a tight range between ~$64.5 and ~$65.3.
This compression of volatility often precedes a significant breakout or breakdown.
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🔁 Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Breakout
Trigger: Break above the descending trendline (~$65.3–$65.5).
Target: Revisit prior support zone at $68.00, possibly higher.
Confirmation: Strong bullish candle with increased volume.
❌ Bearish Breakdown
Trigger: Break below horizontal support at ~$64.70.
Target: Possible drop toward $62.00–$61.00, depending on momentum.
Confirmation: Strong bearish candle closing below support with high volume.
GOLD Can Turn Bearish Now, After Completing a 50% Retracement!GOLD futures analysis for Wed Jun 26th.
Price reached the -FVGand is reacting to it now.
This, after pulling back tothe 50% fib.
Should the FVG fail, Gold is bullish. This is not
supported by fundamentals, though.
As the market environment is more risk on than
off, I expect the -FVG to hold, and the retracement
of the last impulsive move down to end, and a new
bearish leg to begin.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XAU/USD 26 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Approaching Key Retest Zone – Watching for Pullback to 3274Gold (XAUUSD) is slowly climbing back toward our previously broken structure around 3344, which we identified as a key retest zone. I’ll be looking for rejections here to confirm a short-term pullback before a continuation of the broader bullish trend.
What I’m Watching:
🔻 Short-term sells from 3344 to 3274
✅ HRHR Buys: From 3274 if we form support there
✅ Safe Buys: Break above 3380
✅ Safest Buys: Above 3428
The broader trend remains bullish on higher timeframes, but without a solid break of 3380+, we may still see that healthy correction.
CHF/JPY 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental AnalCHF/JPY 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental Analysis
CHF/JPY 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental Analysis
On June 20, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) cut interest rates to 0% in an effort to weaken the Swiss franc and combat deflation. This rate cut reduces the yield appeal of CHF, increasing its downside risk in the short to medium term.
On the other side, the Japanese Yen (JPY) initially weakened due to rising oil prices, which hurt Japan’s trade balance. However, recent ceasefire agreements in the Middle East have helped ease oil prices, reducing Japan’s import strain. This shift is now mildly bullish for the yen, giving it more strength in the CHF/JPY pair.
📉 Technical Outlook
CHF/JPY has formed a double top pattern, suggesting a potential price reversal. The pair has also broken a minor key support level at 180.200, followed by accumulation of sell positions.
Price has moved into a liquidity zone, likely hunting stop-losses before initiating distribution. This behavior aligns with smart money tactics.
A limit sell setup is in place, waiting for confirmation at key levels.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 180.160 (Limit Sell Order)
🛡 Stop-Loss: 180.330 (Above recent liquidity grab)
🎯 Take Profit: 179.720 (Next minor support / ~1:2 RR)
This setup is supported by institutional price behavior—accumulation, stop-hunt, and distribution—indicating a bearish move may be underway.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
LA Analysis (2H)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it appears that LA has entered a correction phase.
There isn’t much data available for this coin, but the correction seems to be forming a diametric pattern.
We’ve highlighted the most optimal zone for the completion of the final wave of this diametric (wave G) with a green area on the chart.
Targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDJPY Ascending channel breakdown ahead selling strong📉 USDJPY Breaks Down!
Strong sell-off from the key supply zone at 145.500 – the ascending channel has been broken on the 1H timeframe, signaling momentum shift.
🎯 Technical Targets:
🔹 1st Target: 144.000 – key demand zone
🔹 2nd Target: 143.000 – strong support level
Bearish pressure is building — price action confirms the shift. Eyes on lower zones as sellers take control. 📊
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GBPNZD - Look for Long (SWING) 1:3GBPNZD currently shows no signs of reversal, having broken the trendline and heading toward the next supply zone on the higher timeframe. This presents a potential opportunity to go long in line with the prevailing trend, never trade against it. Let’s observe how the price action unfolds.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/26/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22488.25
- PR Low: 22450.25
- NZ Spread: 85.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
GDP
Durable Goods Orders
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 6/26)
- Session Open ATR: 358.17
- Volume: 20K
- Open Int: 252K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -1.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
$XRP Massive Move Loading – XRP is moving inside a clear sidewaCRYPTOCAP:XRP Massive Move Loading –
XRP is moving inside a clear sideways channel between $1.90 support and $3.38 resistance. The structure signals accumulation, and such ranges often lead to explosive breakouts once the upper level is breached.
🔸 Support at 1.90:
This support has consistently held since early 2025. It's a strong accumulation zone and ideal area for smart money entries.
🔸 Upside Target: $5.0
If price breaks and closes above $3.38 on the weekly timeframe, XRP could rally toward $4.20 and then $5.00+, supported by fresh ETF and regulatory news.
🔸 Risk Level at 1.8257:
Break and close below this zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could open the door to further downside.
🔸 Outlook:
It’s better to accumulate near the bottom of the range (around $1.90) rather than chasing highs. Look for strong bullish candles or volume spikes near the support. Wait for a confirmed breakout and retest above $3.38 for trend continuation setups.
🔥 Fundamentals Heating Up:
• 🇨🇦 First Spot XRP ETF approved
• US Crypto regulation in final stages
• Regulated stablecoin issuers backing XRP
• Arthur Hayes re-enters the XRP talk after 13 years 👀
#btc #eth CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:XRP