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Supply and Demand

THOUGHTS ON EUR/NZDEUR/NZD 15M - As you can see price is trading down and into a FVG I have marked out, this is after we have seen price trade down and into a higher timeframe Demand Zone. We are also seeing price accumulate from this higher timeframe Demand Zone. In order for me to look to buy into this market now I want to see rejection to the upside, giving us the confluence to buy. This as we know would help confirm the turn around in price as we should start to see higher highs and higher lows forming, this would be our newest protected low within this new bullish structure. For those who want to be pre-emptive you could look to place a long now, just be aware that doing that holds more risk as we are yet to have confirmation of a new trend to the upside, this will come from the BOS to the upside that we would want to see on the 15M.
Long
by Lukegforex
USDJPY at Key Support - Potential Buying OpportunityOANDA:USDJPY is inside a support zone, which has been a turning point for bullish move before. The recent bearish pressure brings the price into this area, creating a potential buying opportunity. If bullish signals emerge, such as strong buying volume or bullish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 152,750. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management!
Long
by TrendDiva
3
GBP/USD: Selling into the reboundThe setup is similar in EUR/USD & GBP/USD - because of the dollar in both major pairs! The GBP price is testing the broken uptrend line on the weekly- and could break above it. On the daily chart, a downtrend line has already broken and so has critical resistance at 1.25, suggesting a break above the weekly uptrend line Should the breakout follow-through it faces resistance at 1.28 from the December high and 30 week (150 day) moving average. However, should the breakout fail - it sets up a likely continuation of the longer term downtrend.
Short
by jasperlawler
2
XAU/USD 17 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025. As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780. Alternative scenario: Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025. Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780. Alternative Scenario: As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Hit $100,000?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin’s upward correction and its placement within the channel ceiling will allow us to resell it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. During the past trading week, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a capital outflow of $651 million, breaking their consecutive weekly inflow streak in the United States. Similarly, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs experienced a modest capital outflow of $26 million, reflecting a nearly neutral trend in this segment. Over the past few months, Bitcoin and Ethereum have followed different trajectories—Bitcoin has seen a substantial price increase, whereas Ethereum has faced notable challenges. One contributing factor to this divergence has been the economic policies proposed by U.S. President Donald Trump, which have favored Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s price is currently just below $100,000, after approaching $110,000 in mid-January. Meanwhile, Ethereum has significantly declined from its recent high in December, as concerns over a potential “dangerous” bubble have emerged. Wall Street giant Goldman Sachs has unofficially confirmed that it has purchased approximately $2 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum in the form of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). According to a regulatory report, Goldman Sachs ramped up its investments in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs during the fourth quarter, increasing its Ethereum ETF holdings by 2000% and boosting its Bitcoin ETF investments to over $1.5 billion. The ETFs acquired by Goldman Sachs include Bitcoin and Ethereum funds managed by BlackRock, as well as those under the control of Fidelity and Grayscale. In 2023, BlackRock led the campaign for U.S. regulatory approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, culminating in the launch of a series of these funds in January 2024. These ETFs quickly became some of the fastest-growing exchange-traded funds in history. For the first time in November, U.S. physical Bitcoin ETFs surpassed $100 billion in net assets, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) now managing over $60 billion in assets. However, some analysts have downplayed the significance of Goldman Sachs’ Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF investments. James Van Straten, a senior analyst at CoinDesk, stated: “Goldman Sachs’ position, like that of many other banks and hedge funds, is not necessarily a net long position.” Last month, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink revealed that he had been in discussions with sovereign wealth funds regarding Bitcoin investments, predicting that such talks could push Bitcoin’s price as high as $700,000. Fink, who spearheaded Wall Street’s entry into the cryptocurrency market last year through a series of Bitcoin ETFs, told Bloomberg at the World Economic Forum in Davos: “If all these discussions had materialized, Bitcoin’s price could have reached $500,000, $600,000, or even $700,000.” In another major development, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) officially announced that Ripple is not considered a security and should not be subject to securities regulations. This decision marks a significant victory for Ripple and could ease regulatory constraints and lawsuits that the SEC has pursued against other altcoins. Additionally, the SEC has indicated that it may drop its lawsuit against Coinbase and has requested 30 days to review the exchange’s applications. Earlier this week, the SEC also dropped its case against Binance, signaling that SEC Chairman Gary Gensler’s crackdown on cryptocurrencies has largely failed. The lawsuit against Coinbase had been one of the most significant regulatory actions against the crypto industry during Gensler’s tenure at the SEC.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
NAS100 - Nasdaq is setting a new ATH!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the marked trend line, which is also intersecting the demand zone, we can look for further buying opportunities in Nasdaq. At the start of the week, the U.S. dollar strengthened significantly after President Donald Trump announced a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports. He also stated that any country imposing tariffs on American products would face reciprocal tariffs from the U.S. Later, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, in his congressional testimony, emphasized that the central bank is in no hurry to implement further rate cuts. Additionally, data from the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January came in higher than expected, further supporting the dollar. Although the dollar experienced a slight correction on Thursday and Friday, these factors, combined with a strong non-farm payroll report for January, led investors to anticipate a rate cut of only 30 basis points for the year. This outlook is more hawkish than the Federal Reserve’s own forecast of a 50-basis-point reduction. In other words, traders in financial markets have fully priced in just a single 0.25% rate cut by December. Kevin Hassett, Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, revealed in an interview with CBS’s Face The Nation that he meets regularly with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. He stressed that these meetings are not intended to influence interest rate policy and that Powell’s independence is respected, although the President’s views are still conveyed. Hassett also pointed out that long-term yields have declined, with a 40-basis-point drop in the 10-year Treasury yield, indicating market expectations of lower inflation. Retail sales data showed a 0.9% decline following an upwardly revised 0.7% increase in December. Out of 13 reported categories, nine recorded declines, with the largest drops observed in automobiles, sporting goods, and furniture stores. Following a tense week filled with impactful economic news, the upcoming week is expected to be quieter and shorter, as U.S. markets will be closed on Monday in observance of Presidents’ Day. Key economic events for the week include the release of the Empire State Manufacturing Index on Tuesday, the minutes from the latest Federal Reserve policy meeting, and U.S. housing starts and building permits data on Wednesday. On Thursday, weekly jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index will be released. Finally, Friday will see the publication of preliminary S&P Flash PMI reports and existing home sales data.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
1
USOIL:Go long on oil prices, or hold a buy orderusoil: Technically, there is no demand for a rebound. The ultra-short-term technical pattern shows a triangular consolidation range. At the same time, reducing the oil price in some areas will also increase the demand for oil to a certain extent. At the same time, the factor of geopolitical war will cause oil as an energy reserve to bottom out again. Overall, the profit of short-term long oil prices is conservatively estimated to be more than 7p. Buying target: around 71.5 Loss setting: 70.2 FX:USOIL
TVC:USOILLong
by JAKE_T0
USDSGD at Key Support Zone: Bullish Rebound ExpectedOANDA:USDSGD has reached a significant support zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if buyers regain control. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support zone, there is a high likelihood of an upward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 1.34820 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
1
GBPJPY - H1 Analysis & Key Levels📉 GBPJPY - H1 Analysis & Key Levels 🔴 Supply Zone: 193.00 - 193.21 🟢 Demand Zones: 190.80 - 190.90, 189.14 - 189.20, 187.50 - 187.60 📊 Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bearish Rejection: If price rejects the 193.00 - 193.21 supply zone, further downside toward 190.80 - 190.90 or deeper levels is likely. 2️⃣ Break & Retest: A confirmed breakdown below 190.80 could indicate further bearish momentum toward 189.14 - 189.20 and lower. 💡 Trading Plan: ✅ Watch for rejection at 193.00 - 193.21 for potential short entries. ✅ Monitor 190.80 - 190.90 as a key level for intraday reactions. ✅ A confirmed break below 189.14 could signal further downside continuation toward 187.50 - 187.60. FXFOREVER GBPJPY ForexTrading SmartMoney PriceAction
Short
by FXFOREVER_87
XAUUSD - H1 Analysis & Key Levels📉 XAUUSD - H1 Analysis & Key Levels 🔴 Supply Zone: 2918 - 2922 🟢 Demand Zones: 2906 - 2909, 2853 - 2857, 2828 - 2830 📊 Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bearish Rejection: If price rejects the 2918 - 2922 supply zone, a retracement toward 2906 - 2909 or deeper zones is likely. 2️⃣ Break & Retest: A breakout above 2922 could signal further bullish momentum toward higher levels. 💡 Trading Plan: ✅ Watch for rejection at 2918 - 2922 for potential short entries. ✅ Monitor 2906 - 2909 and 2853 - 2857 as possible buy zones on retracements. ✅ A confirmed break below 2828 could indicate further downside risk. #FXFOREVER #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #Gold
TVC:GOLD
by FXFOREVER_87
what a week it was!!! still looking for better opportunities pound gained against the dollar last week same happened to euro against the green buck. GBPUSD gave us nice buy oppotunities on the demand areas and respected the ema so tightly , we will be looking for more bullish continuations up to price 1.05750 . EURUSD gained as investors and traders went long , for me i will be looking for bullish continuations @ 1.05750 the we might get slight retracement. keep up with oil we have globally the prices of oil drop from 74$ per barrel to 70$ per barrel . my predictions would be to still see the price of oil drop further in future , we shall be looking to go short once the market retraces back to price 72.15 $ per barrel
Long
by rashy018