Supply and Demand
NzdUsd Trade IdeaAfter catching some longs on NU yesterday we could be getting into some shorts this morning. Price managed to hit 59450 yesterday as expected but now we have smaller and higher time frames closing below the level. I'll personally be waiting on price to pullback and retest 59450 before executing any shorts on the pair for a 1:3rr. The retest would confirm our shift in structure. We'll see what happens.
ADAUSDT Bullish PotentialHi there,
ADAUSDT remains predominantly bullish on the H2 chart. The current movement shows a slight correction from the recent high of 0.8288, with some bearish pressure evident on the M3 timeframe.
The target is 0.9004, with a broader bias toward 0.9697, backed by bullish signals in the Weekly and Daily timeframes.
* It is a setup that will require close attention.
Happy trading
K.
Not trading advice
Could PEPE reach a staggering 3000X and hit a market cap of 69B...this year?
YES 69 BILLION Dollars for a Frog coin!
To assess the potential growth of a cryptocurrency, we first need to identify its all-time low price.
Coinpedia reports that PEPE's all-time low was $0.00000005514 on ETH via Uniswap on April 18, 2023, marking the lowest price recorded on a decentralized exchange.
For PEPE to achieve a 3000X increase, it would need to rise to $0.00016542 by December 31st.
Given its current price of $0.000014238, this represents an 11.5X increase from its present value.
With a total supply of 420.69 trillion tokens, reaching the target price would result in a market cap of $69.58 billion.
While this may seem ambitious for a memecoin lacking utility, the idea of hitting such a whimsical market cap is tempting.
I estimate the likelihood of this happening at around 2.5%.
(This scenario also suggests a reasonable portfolio allocation for those primarily holding #BTC and #ETH and I highly suggest rebalancing above 5%)
EURJPY Wave Analysis – 14 May 2025
- EURJPY reversed from resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 162.00
EURJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance area between the pivotal resistance level 165.00 (which has been reversing the price from November), upper daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from July.
The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the c-wave of the previous short-term ABC correction 2 from February.
Given the strength of the resistance level 165.00, overbought daily Stochastic and clear daily downtrend, EURJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 162.00.
AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 14 May 2025
- AUDJPY reversed from resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 93.20
AUDJPY currency pair recently reversed from the resistance area between the key resistance level 95.30 (former monthly high from March), upper daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse wave (C) from November.
The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the earlier short-term impulse wave 3 from the start of May.
Given the overbought daily Stochastic and strongly bullish yen sentiment, AUDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 93.20.
Time to Accumulate $WIF - $1.2 is NextWIF finally showing signs of life.
Starting to build a position below 60c—this looks like an optimal entry given how well it's behaving.
Accumulation zone remains between 40–50c, as long as price holds there.
Targeting the 1.2 area on a break and hold above 65c.
BINANCE:WIFUSDT SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:WIF
BTCUSD 1H Short Setup | Order Block + Premium Rejection⚠️ BTCUSD | 1H Rejection at Supply Zone | May 10, 2025
Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion after a sharp rally into a high-value Supply Zone marked by a bearish Order Block at ~$104.1k–$106.4k. Price tapped right into premium levels, triggering potential Smart Money distribution.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
🧱 1H Bearish Order Block at 104,139–106,477
⚖️ Price in premium zone (>50% range)
🧠 Clean liquidity grab from prior swing high
🚫 Signs of buying weakness inside OB
📉 Anticipated move down toward imbalance and demand zone near $96k
📊 Setup Specs:
Pair: BTCUSD
Timeframe: 1H
Entry Zone: 104,139 – 106,477
SL: 106,477
TP: 95,789
RR: Approx. 1:4+
📌 Smart Money Breakdown:
After explosive rallies, institutions often offload in supply-rich OB zones while retail buys the top. This setup shows textbook SMC signs of distribution, imbalance below, and a clean trade idea toward unmitigated demand.
🧠 Chart Ninjas Tip:
“Never short early — wait for price to enter the OB and show weakness. That’s where smart entries live.”
EURUSD - at Resistance: Will it drop to 1.11300?OANDA:EURUSD price is now at a strong resistance level, this is an area where it has struggled to break through in the past and reversed to the downside. It's also where sellers have stepped in before, so it’s worth keeping an eye on, especially for anyone considering short trades.
If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum, I think we could see a move down toward the 1.11300 level. But if price breaks through this zone clearly, that might dismiss the bearish idea and suggest even more upside will continue.
This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk wisely.
MOODENG Up 1561% — Is a 50% Crash Next?MOODENG has gone full parabolic — launching from $0.0206 to $0.34 in just 36 days. That’s a staggering +1561% gain. But after a move this vertical, it’s time to ask the real question: can it sustain this pace… or is a correction looming?
Let’s break it down.
Technical Snapshot
MOODENG just tapped a major resistance zone — the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement (log scale) of the entire bear trend from $0.70 down to $0.0206. That drawdown was a brutal -97% over 143 days, defining the last macro bear cycle. The current rally has now retraced almost 80% of that decline.
And now? It’s knocking on exhaustion’s door.
RSI Screaming Hot
The RSI on the daily chart is currently at 96 — a level rarely sustained for long. Historically, these readings lead to sharp corrections as early bulls take profit and late buyers get trapped.
Key Structure:
The key swing high at $0.31982 was just taken out, possibly as a liquidity grab.
Price is now hovering at this level — hovering… or topping?
Potential Retracement Zone
If MOODENG enters a standard corrective phase, the $0.15411 level stands out. — it lines up as a logical 50–61.8% retracement zone from the recent parabolic leg. A return to that level would mean a -50%+ crash from current highs.
Short Trade Idea (On Confirmation Only)
Entry: Break below $0.32 and retest it as resistance
Stop-Loss: Above $0.34 (structure invalidation)
Target: $0.15411 (0.618 Fib retracement)
R:R: 7:1+
This setup requires patience. Don’t front-run it — let price lose $0.32 with conviction and treat a clean retest as your trigger.
📘 Bonus Insight:
Whenever you see extreme RSI paired with major Fib levels (like 0.786), you’re likely looking at the exhaustion phase of a move — especially when paired with psychological price levels and historical resistance. That’s where smart money exits… and emotional money enters.
🧠 Educational Note: Why You Should Be Cautious with Parabolic Moves
These kinds of explosive rallies are exciting, but they’re often unsustainable. When price goes vertical and indicators like RSI hit extreme levels, smart money starts exiting — and emotional money starts chasing.
Parabolic moves often end with sharp, sudden crashes. Chasing these tops may feel tempting, but more often than not, it leads to losses. The real edge comes from waiting — for structure, confirmation, and setups with defined risk. Don’t trade hype. Trade the chart.
Summary
MOODENG up +1561% in just over a month
Tapped the 0.786 Fib of its entire macro downtrend
Daily RSI at 96 → overheated
Break & retest of $0.32 = ideal short setup
Targeting a possible -50% correction to $0.15411
Keep your emotions out of it — parabolic runs like this are exciting, but it’s discipline that gets you paid. Let price confirm. Then strike. 📉🔥
Nifty levels - May 15, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
BankNifty levels - May 15, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
Gold Strategy UpdateGold has entered a major downtrend, however the market needs a high increase to break out. Looking at the clouds, I see that in the coming days, the gold price fluctuation range is very large. So everyone should consider allocating volume to suit investment assets as well as adjusting leverage appropriately. Good luck!
ENS SWING Trade SetupENS Showing strong momentum towards upside and dropped without touching POI, So it can go higher first then it may take correction, spot and future trader can take risk on this. Wait for the entries and enter from 20-19 level, if price reverse from any other point, then wait for the 4hrs candle closing above 26 and target the 30-32$ level. for scalp and day trading get long from 22.40 SL 21.65 and set tp 25.56 & 27.79$.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
So we followed the path on yesterdays Report and ideally, on a good day we would have wanted an undercut low and then the bounce. Instead, we got the high, got the move down and then decided, due to CPI we would take what the market gave and wait. Fortunately, it was a no show CPI and the range continued.
So now, we'll stick with the plan and follow the bias levels, above 3240 we'll look for higher pricing and maybe tomorrow Excalibur will give us that BOOM that we want.
For now, support 3230, resistance 3265 on the attack.
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bullish above 3240 with targets above 3258✅ and above that 3265✅
Bearish on break of 3240 with target below 3230✅ and below that 3210
RED BOXES:
Break above 3265 for 3272, 3275, 3288 and 3006 in extension of the move
Break below 3250 for 3235✅, 3230✅, 3226✅ and 3207 in extension of the move
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3310 with targets above 3335, 3345, 3350, 3350, 3362 and 3370
Bearish below 3310 with targets below 3306✅, 3301✅, 3297✅, 3285✅ and 3274✅
RED BOXES (TAKE NOTE)
Break above 3335 for 3342, 3350, 3354, 3365, 3370. 3373 and 3385 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3306✅, 3298✅, 3293✅, 3285✅ and 3279✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
AUDUSD..LONG
Analysis complete — scenarios outlined. The zone could be a decision point
for [ OANDA:AUDUSD ]. Price reaction here may define the next move.
**** If price breaks and pulls back to retest, a reversal setup might emerge.
Smart Forex Analysis | Weekly Setups
Clean charts. No noise. Just levels.
EURAUD...SHORTPrice is nearing a critical level around . No setup, no trade. For me, a solid plan always comes before any prediction.
****If the zone is broken and confirmed with a retest, I’ll adjust my plan accordingly for a possible reverse trade.
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP