Supply and Demand
IRENs Incredible Surge Continue next wWeek?NASDAQ:IREN has been on a rampage since the April surging 175% and nearing all time high! A great couple of trades for us so far!
Price is likely to hit all time high next week with such a strong trend, where resistance and a pullback is a high probability.
The weekly pivot is $9.77, the most likely area for price to find support just above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (which will be dragged up to the weekly pivot once a new high is made).
Price discovery terminal target are the R3 & R5 weekly pivot points at $28 and $40.
Safe trading
$HUT Macro Chart Preparing for Breakout?NASDAQ:HUT looks poised for a strong breakout with a wave 3 long term target of $58 and a short term resistances of $21 and $33
HUT is moving strong almost up 100% from the recent swing low, overcoming its weekly 200EMA with ease. A test of the 200EMA as support is likely before continuation.
Price is consolidating under major resistance High Volume Node (HVN) and the weekly pivot point. Consolidation under resistance often leads to a breakout.
A series of 1-2s appears to be taking place on the Elliot Wave count finding support at the 'BTC-Miners golden pocket' of 78.6 Fibonacci retracement.
Analysis is invalidated below $10.10
Safe trading
Bitcoin: Curve AdjustmentsBottoms can be expressed as a curve which matches logarithmic growth patterns. In the long-term perspective it serves as signal of trend's transition phase in broader scale. Coordinate of top adjusted accordingly.
Extending them is crucial because together they gives boundaries of range compression. Some sort of wave limits which help to clarify price-based levels.
BTC.D Nearing a Historic Inflection PointBTC Dominance (BTC.D) is fast approaching the 67.64% resistance level, sitting firmly within a key supply zone marked at point D. This area represents a high confluence region, aligning with a long-term descending trendline and the upper boundary of a bearish wedge structure.
If validated, this would complete a potential ABCDE reversal formation suggesting a macro top in Bitcoin dominance may already be forming.
A rejection from this zone could trigger a pullback towards the immediate support at the 60% level. Should this level break, further downside may unfold toward 54.64%, with a deeper long-term target resting around the 45% zone.
This setup could mark a significant turning point if dominance begins to unwind, we may witness an aggressive rotation into altcoins. Keep a close eye on structural breaks and liquidity sweeps.
Alt season might just be closer than we think.
What’s your take on this potential shift? Let’s discuss in the comments.
Eur/Jpy breaks the previous🔍 Key Observations:
Supply Zone (169.713):
Price is approaching a marked supply zone, where sellers previously stepped in with strong momentum. This zone could act as a resistance area, potentially rejecting price downward.
Previous Low Break:
The structure shows that price broke below a previous low, indicating bearish pressure and a possible shift in market sentiment.
Demand Zone Below (~168.700):
There's a strong demand zone marked below the current price, which may serve as a target for short sellers or an area for bullish entries if reached.
Projected Move (Orange Arrows):
The orange path suggests a potential move:
Price may first retest the supply zone around 169.713.
A rejection from that level could trigger a downward move, breaking recent support levels.
The price may bounce slightly midway before continuing the drop toward the demand zone.
RSI Indicator (Relative Strength Index):
Currently at 54.80 (blue line), the RSI is nearing overbought territory but not yet extreme. This leaves room for a bit more upside before a potential reversal, aligning with the idea of testing the supply zone first.
Gold – Can It Recover From 3 Week LowsGold is back in focus this morning after it fell to a 3 week low at 3287 in early European trading.
Part of the reason for the fall may have been the on-going ceasefire agreement holding between Israel and Iran, which can reduce the need for Gold as a safe haven, or prices may have been influenced by comments from US Commerce Secretary Lutnick made to Bloomberg TV overnight which suggested that the Trump administration have plans to reach agreements with a set of 10 major trading partners ahead of the July 9th pause deadline to reinstate higher tariffs.
Of course, these potential Gold negatives need to be balanced against the potential positives of increased optimism in recent days that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by more than expected into the end of 2025 as the US economy stalls, and the US dollar printing a fresh 3 year low yesterday.
Looking forward, the release of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE Index at 1330 BST later today could hold the key to whether Gold falls below support to even lower levels (see technical section below) or moves back higher again into Friday’s close.
Whatever the outcome, its setting up for an interesting end of the week for Gold.
Technical Update:
With selling pressure developing in Gold again so far this morning, traders might well be searching for next support levels that may be successful in limiting current price declines, or if broken, could in turn lead to a more extended phase of weakness.
Much will depend on future price trends and market sentiment, but as the chart above shows, latest price activity is this morning posting new 3-week lows for Gold. This suggests traders might now be focused on 3245, equal to the last correction low in price posted on May 29th as the next possible support level.
While not a guarantee of further declines if broken, 3245 closing breaks could lead to further price weakness towards 3120, the May 15th downside extreme.
Of course, it is possible this 3245 low does continue to act as support to price weakness and may turn activity higher again. However, if this is to lead to a more sustained period of price strength, resistance might now stand at 3356.
Equal to the Bollinger mid-average, closing breaks might be required to suggest possibilities to resume price strength back towards the 3435/3452 May 6th and June 16th price failure highs.
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Long trade
30sec TF entry
📍 Pair: USDJPY
📅 Date: Thursday, June 26, 2025
🕒 Time: 4:15 AM (London Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 15min
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 143.803
Profit Level 144.825 (+0.71%)
Stop Loss 143.733 (−0.05%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 14.6 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes
🔄 15 Minute Structure Support:
The trade was based on a reactive low from the 5-minute TF, aligning with a buy-side imbalance zone formed on the 5-minute chart (Monday, 16th June, 10:00 AM).
📉 RSI in Low Region:
RSI was observed in an oversold condition on LTFs, providing additional confluence for a short-term reversal setup.
30sec TF entry overview
Final $LINK in the corrective chain?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
LINK could be finishing a double zigzag correction. Recent reaction at the channel’s most likely target area shows promise. Watching for an internal retrace that holds above key support.
Key Levels:
11.81: Ideal retrace floor
11.00: Break kills impulse idea
13.25: First upside flip needed
15.00: Big level to break for bulls
Bulls have been tricked before with possible impulse starts. This one has the right look and confluence, but caution is warranted. Ideally, we get consolidation and push above 13.25 to build confidence in further upside.
As long as price holds above 11.81 and builds higher lows, potential remains for an impulsive move up. Break below 11 and bias flips back to bearish continuation.
Trade Safe!
Trade Clarity!
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 27 June 2025
- Dow Jones broke pivotal resistance level 43000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 44500.00
Dow Jones index recently broke above the pivotal resistance level 43000.00 (which has been reversing the price from the end of March, as can be seen from the daily Dow Jones chart below).
The breakout of the resistance level 43000.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from the end of May.
Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 44500.00, which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C).
Don't Miss Your Port Call (NCLH & CCL)Hello Everyone! Please, remember this is for educational purposes only, you MUST do your own research. Investing involves risk and should be evaluated with your own financial advisor...
Nonetheless, I am personally invested in NCLH. When you look at each industry mentioned, specifically into the individual companies mentioned, they have ALL recovered. I expect this will take more time, but macroeconomic conditions are favorable although everyone though we were going into a recession several months ago lol... Cruise line companies have been showing record revenue and strong sales for 2025 and 2026.
When you evaluate interest rates and inflation, you might think we are still a bit too high, yet discretionary spending has not ceased much, yet it is expected a possible rate cut in July or August and what do you think will happen to the market...? Just Saying.
Don't Miss your Port Call, next stop BAHAMAS!
Have a great weekend everyone. Feel free to share with others. Drop your comments below if I missed anything or you would like me to look at other companies. Happy Trading!
BA, Boeing1. Higher Timeframe Context
Price is currently trading within a well-defined higher timeframe supply zone between 214–218, which previously acted as a major distribution area. This zone aligns with a prior bearish impulse leg and represents unmitigated institutional sell-side interest.
2. Current Price Action
On the 15-minute chart, price has aggressively rallied into the supply zone with low retracement, suggesting an imbalance created by passive sellers.
The move into this zone has occurred without a clear internal structure shift to the downside yet, but early signs of exhaustion are evident.
There's a visible cluster of equal highs around 218, indicating resting buy-side liquidity that smart money may target.
3. Liquidity & Market Structure Outlook
We anticipate a liquidity sweep of the highs at ~218, which is typical when price revisits a premium zone filled with uncollected orders.
The projection is for a short-term rejection or distribution reaction from current levels, which could lead to a retracement into the newly formed demand zone at 208–210.
This area represents a bullish order block, which could act as a reaccumulating point before a continuation to the upside.
4. Trade Planning Framework
Short Bias (Reactive Play):
Look for signs of lower timeframe distribution, such as a break of internal structure or supply engulfing at 214+.
Potential target: 208–210 zone for partials or full exit.
Long Bias (Continuation Play):
Upon reaction from 203–205demand, anticipate bullish PA such as a CHOCH (Change of Character) or BOS (Break of Structure) on LTF.
Entry on confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or mitigation entry).
Target: 218+ liquidity sweep zone.
5. Risk Management Considerations
Avoid blind entries within the resistance zone; confirmation is key.
Size positions based on RR parameters (minimum 1:2) and predefine invalidation levels—especially in the short scenario, as failure to reject this zone could lead to a breakout.
Be aware of potential news catalysts or macro events that may add volatility to BA during the setup period.
XAUUSD/GOLD/SellThe pressure from the bears is too great. In the end, the pressure from above was not broken. Instead, it broke out and fell after being under pressure. The stop loss was hit.
The current price is 3285. After gradually boosting the US dollar index. The trend of gold prices has continued to fall. More importantly, the tariff issue has been eased. At the same time, geopolitical factors are also orderly and stable. This is the news that caused the bears to attack.
History has not become the savior because of repeating itself. Of course, this is also an emergency. In some transactions, the extremely low probability of causing losses is a common problem in transactions. However, our analysis team has stabilized a high trading win rate.
Then the next trading plan is still to focus on the pressure from above. If the London market rebounds above 3300. It is still mainly selling. 3314 is an important level for short-term rebound, and we need to pay attention. Although there is no obvious sign of rebound yet, the release of short-selling pressure has been alleviated because the decline is slow. Today's main trading idea is still to sell at high levels.
The target is to focus on the position of 3264-3248. Remember the risk of buying at low levels. Do not trade independently.
DOT ANALYSIS (3D)Polkadot appears to have reached a fresh and significant support zone, which is potentially where the corrective wave C may come to an end.
If wave C completes here, the price could begin a strong recovery. However, it’s important to note that this is a higher time frame setup, so reaching the targets may take some time.
As long as the green support zone holds, the price can move toward the mentioned targets. The targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
NKE at 52-Week Lows Oversold Giant or Value Trap?Nike is a blue-chip name going through a rough patch. But this recent dip, fueled by disappointing earnings and macro uncertainty, could present a classic oversold opportunity. The stock is now in a high-probability reversal zone where risk/reward becomes extremely attractive.
🎯 Updated Entry Plan:
$58.00 – Soft support zone; start building a position
$53.00 – Close to the 52-week low; likely strong bounce area
$50.00 – 49.00 Psychological round number and historical demand zone
📈 Target Levels
Profit
TP1: $68
TP2: $77.50
TP3: $88.50
Pro Tip: Nike doesn’t stay down forever. The brand is fundamentally strong. This is not a growth story right now, it’s a value + patience play.
📢 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research, manage your risk, and never risk more than you’re willing to lose.
BITCOIN - SHORT OPPORTUNITY AND LACK OF MOMENTUMBINANCE:BTCUSDT has been lacking momentum in the last few days. It looks to me that "Good News" is almost "No News" in regards to the Iran war or any crypto legislation. Summer is looking a lot like sideways movement, and due to the previous explosion in momentum and volume, I think the lack of it will bring the price down in the following days or weeks.