GBPJPY: Important Breakout 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY successfully violated and closed above a major
daily resistance cluster.
It opens a potential for more growth now.
Next resistance - 197.3
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Supply and Demand
AUDUSD: Bullish Move After Breakout 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD broke and closed above a key horizontal resistance yesterday.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a tiny ascending
triangle pattern on an hourly time frame.
I expect a bullish continuation now.
Goal - 0.6492
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/14/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21273.00
- PR Low: 21249.50
- NZ Spread: 52.5
No key scheduled economic events
Value continues to creep another 2%, increasing distance from weekend gap
- Mechanically, holding previous session highs
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 5/14)
- Session Open ATR: 543.13
- Volume: 33K
- Open Int: 281K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -5.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
GBPUSD Swing trade shortWe have a 1D supply zone open above the current equal highs (marked by red line), this 1day supply zone is around the 1.36 mark and takes us back a little while but has not been mitigated as yet.
1day supply zone will need to see a 1H break of structure to the downside within this supply zone to show a rejection of this price and will then look to get in on a short to the demand zone marked below.
Entry - TBC - between 1.353-- 1.36
SL - 1.375
TP - 1.28
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 Cash CFD – 1H Chart Analysis using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 21,250
Value Area Low (VAL): 20,850
Point of Control (POC): 20,847.54 (Previous), 20,084.76 (Earlier POC)
High-volume nodes:
Strong cluster near 20,850–21,000: confirmed price acceptance.
Minor node around 21,235–21,250: current area being tested.
Low-volume gaps:
Between 21,050 and 21,150 – fast move area if price breaks.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Upside:
21,250 (new high, recent wick rejection) – likely stop clusters above.
Downside:
21,000 – last breakout consolidation zone.
20,850 – absorption and prior POC zone.
Absorption Zones:
Significant delta volume activity near 20,850 – signs of large orders being filled.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Volume spike reversal high: 21,250 (upper wick + rejection)
Volume spike reversal low: 20,850 (strong bounce)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Confirmed uptrend, now showing signs of range-bound behavior post-breakout.
ADX Strength:
ADX > 20, DI+ > DI- earlier = strong uptrend.
Currently flattening, indicating possible transition to range/consolidation.
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD during breakout leg, now diverging (sideways/slight dip) = demand exhaustion possible.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 20,850
POC: 20,847.54
Psychological & structural: 21,000
Resistance:
VAH: 21,250
Previous intraday top: 21,243–21,250
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Swing High: 21,250
Swing Low: 20,084
Key retracement levels (from 20,084 to 21,250):
1/2: 20,667
1/3: 20,472
2/3: 20,889
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Bullish overall, transitioning into range-bound consolidation at the top.
b) Notable Patterns:
Channel/Wedge forming above 21,000 with downside risk to mid-level support.
Potential double top near 21,250 with divergence in CVD.
Volume gap retest likely if price slips below 21,100.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend continuation):
Entry Zone: 21,000–21,030 (retest support + consolidation base)
Targets:
T1: 21,200
T2: 21,250
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,850
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm trend reversal):
Entry Zone: 21,240–21,250 (supply zone + divergence)
Target:
T1: 21,000
Stop-Loss (SL): 21,300
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of trading capital per trade for optimal capital preservation.
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) – 1H Chart Analysis using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,260
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,217
Point of Control (POC): 3,234.27
High-volume nodes: Around 3,234 – confirms consolidation and price acceptance.
Low-volume gaps: Below 3,210 and above 3,275 – potential zones for fast moves.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters Likely At:
Upside: 3,260 (prior swing highs).
Downside: 3,200 & 3,175 (multiple swing lows).
Order Absorption Zones (Delta Spikes):
Near 3,234 and 3,217 – large volume with minimal price movement (potential absorption).
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High (Volume Spike): 3,275 (bearish rejection)
Swing Low (Volume Spike): 3,200 (bullish absorption)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently range-bound, with a possible bullish structure forming (wedge channel).
ADX Strength:
ADX < 20: Weak trend, range likely.
CVD Confirmation:
Recent rising CVD + price holding above POC = early demand signs
Watch for breakout above 3,240 for stronger confirmation.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 3,217
POC: 3,234
Swing Low: 3,200 (absorption)
Resistance:
VAH: 3,260
Swing High: 3,275 (recent rejection zone)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Gann Swing Low: 3,200
Confirmed Gann Swing High: 3,275
Key Retracements from 3,275 to 3,200:
1/2: 3,237.5
1/3: 3,250
2/3: 3,225
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Neutral to Bullish Bias – structure forming higher lows within ascending channel.
b) Notable Patterns:
Falling wedge breakout attempt.
Retest of POC zone (3,234) – critical for bullish continuation.
Potential double bottom formation near 3,200.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 3,234–3,230 (POC support zone)
Targets:
T1: 3,250 (Gann 1/3 retrace & mid-channel)
T2: 3,275 (swing high resistance)
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,215 (below VAL + structure invalidation)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If breakdown below 3,217 confirmed):
Entry Zone: 3,215–3,217
Target:
T1: 3,200
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,235 (above POC)
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of trading capital per trade.
SWARMS Is Bulish (12H)A key flip zone on the SWARMS chart has been reclaimed.
The trigger line has been broken, and we have a bullish CH (Change of Character) on the chart.
As long as the flip zone holds, price may move toward the identified targets.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
EURCAD: Your Trading Plan For Today⚠️EURCAD is currently testing a recently violated horizontal support level within a trading range.
It is highly likely that this broken structure has now become resistance.
We will look for a confirmation to sell upon a bearish breakout of the neckline of a descending triangle pattern on the 1-hour timeframe.
A close of the hourly candle below 1.5545 will confirm this violation, with an anticipated bearish continuation targeting at least 1.5538.
USUAL Looks Bullish (12H)A double bottom pattern has formed on the chart, leading to a breakout from the price channel.
A support zone has been established, and a bullish CH has appeared on the chart.
Considering the breakout and the bullish structure, we can set up a buy position on this coin.
Targets are marked on the chart, and reaching the third target is also possible.
The invalidation of this setup will occur if a daily candle closes below the invalidation level.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
$AXS Breakout & 44% Pump:
AXS broke out of the falling wedge and surged 44%, confirming a strong bullish reversal.
🔸 Key Support at $3.05 – $3.10:
This zone may be retested. Holding above it keeps the bullish trend intact.
🔸 Upside Target: $4.80 – $5.20
Next leg up could push toward $5+ if momentum continues.
🔸 Risk Level: $2.98
Break below this invalidates the bullish setup.
🔸 Action Plan:
Look for entries near $3.10–$3.30 on pullbacks. Watch for bullish confirmation before riding toward higher targets.
Market in Crab Mode, but $SUI Still within Trend – Bidding at $2Bidding CRYPTOCAP:SUI under $2.1.
Although the market looks weak right now, this seems like a simple retrace into a good area. If it manages to hold the weekly trend, I don't see any problem with placing bids in this zone.
I believe BTC will need to create a new yearly low around the 75-76k range for my bids to trigger. For now, I'm fine with waiting.
Still think March will be mostly sideways or down. BINANCE:SUIUSDT
BTC/USDT: Long Opportunity After Order Block Breakout #### **Market Context**
- Price has **broken and closed above** the key order block resistance, invalidating sell setups.
- Current structure favors **bullish continuation** with a clean retest of the new demand zone.
#### **Key Levels**
- **Entry Zone**: **104,018.6** (Retest of bullish order block)
- **Stop Loss**: **103,627.7** (Below recent swing low)
- **Targets**:
- **TP1**: 104,809 (Initial liquidity pool)
- **TP2**: 105,179 (Next swing high)
- **Risk/Reward**: **1:3+** (Conservative)
#### **Analysis**
- **Breakout Confirmation**: The previous resistance (order block) has flipped into support.
- **Entry Logic**: Price retraced with a **healthy pullback** (not aggressive selling) into the new demand zone.
- **SL Placement**: Below the recent swing low to avoid false breakdowns.
#### **Trade Execution**
- **Long Entry**: **104,018.6** (Limit order preferred for better fills).
- **Stop Loss**: **103,627.7** (~0.4% risk from entry).
- **Take Profit**:
- **TP1**: 104,809 (Partial close to secure profit).
- **TP2**: 105,179 (Runner position if momentum continues).
#### **Risk Management**
- **Do Not Risk More Than 1-2%** of capital per trade.
- Adjust position size if volatility expands.
#### **Chart Notes**
- **Green Zone**: New demand area (retest entry).
- **Red Line**: Invalidation level (stop loss).
- **Blue Arrows**: Expected price path.
---
### **Why This Setup?**
- **Trend Alignment**: Higher timeframe (HTF) bias remains bullish.
- **Order Block Confirmation**: Old resistance now acts as support.
- **Optimal R/R**: Favorable risk-reward with clear invalidation.
**Next Watch**: If BTC holds above **104K**, next target is **105.5K**.
ETH Wyckoff update. Spring absolutely sprang. $3200 then LPS?🚀 The Spring Has Sprung – Wyckoff Update 🌱
We’re right in the heart of the Wyckoff Accumulation schematic, and it's playing out beautifully. The spring phase is complete, we had the test and now we’re clearly seeing the markup phase.
Price has launched off after the test and is now targeting a return to the prior breakdown level—around $2800—which was the last structural high before the drop into the spring. Now to about 2850 is our first major resistance. I think it will break through before the first LPS, last point of support
📍 Key Levels:
Target: $3,200 (the global 618 retracement the next 3D OB)
Backtest Zone: $3,000 to to as low as $2,500
Max Pullback IMO: $2,300 (unlikely to go that low)
POC (Point of Control): right around current levels—this could serve as a backtest zone after the breakout.
Expecting a classic LPS last point of support) and then a Back-Up to the top Edge of the Creek
Where we are now...around the 50% mark of the trading range—lining up beautifully with the old POC which price is currently above.
📉 If you missed the spring, this LPS back test might be your second chance. or you could long the BO from here , which is a very bad trading plan IMO. or wait for the next pull back which might be around 2580 at the VWAP. maybe btc goes to 106.2 first. maybe it just keeps going to 3200. I'm cautious on adding to LONGS until 3200 is tapped. but you do you.
Let’s see how it plays out. Smart money appears to have already made its move.
Short trade
5min TF entry
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: BTC/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout (Downside)
📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025
🕔 Time: 5:55 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 104,320.89
🔹 Profit Target: 103,710.98 (-0.58%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 104,475.64 (+0.15%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.94
🔍 Reasoning:
The sellside breakout trade was initiated following a clean breakdown through local support during the NY PM session. Price action showed strong momentum and follow-through beneath the key structural level, confirming bearish intent. The setup aligned with a downside liquidity run and order flow shift, with stop placement just above the breakout level to minimise risk exposure.
Short trade 🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: ETH/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout (Downside)
📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025
🕕 Time: 6:20 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 2,702.20
🔹 Profit Target: 2,654.27 (-1.77%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 2,710.31 (+0.30%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.91
🔍 Reasoning:
Sellside breakout trade assumes a clear momentum-driven directional bias during the NY PM session. The move was reinforced by forming a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the lower timeframe (5min), indicating institutional selling pressure and inefficiency. Price broke below a key structural level and continued into the FVG, confirming bearish intent. Entry was taken with confluence from the gap, targeting the next liquidity pool while maintaining tight stop control above the invalidation zone.
5min TF entry
Google Wave Analysis – 13 May 2025
- Google reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 166.15
Google recently reversed up from the support area between the key support level 147.30 (which has been reversing the price from July), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the uptrend from the end of 2022.
The price previously formed the 2 weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal patterns Bullish Engulfing near the support level 147.30 – which signalled its strength.
Given the weekly uptrend, Google can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 166.15 (former support from the end of 2024).
Long trade
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: BTC/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY to LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
🆔 Trade ID: #BTCUSD-0513A
📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025
🕦 Time: 11:55 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 101,540
🔹 Profit Target: 104,638.11 (+0.98%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 103,453.78 (-0.16%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 6.01
🔍 Reasoning:
Buyside breakout trade taken during the NY to LND session overlap. Price broke cleanly above a key intraday resistance level with strong momentum, confirming structural strength. Order flow supported bullish continuation, and the setup aligned with a broader liquidity run toward the next major high
Tesla Wave Analysis – 13 May 2025- Tesla broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 360.00
Tesla recently broke the resistance area between the round resistance level 300.00 (which stopped the previous waves 4 and (1)) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse (C) from January.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active medium-term impulse wave (3) from the end of April.
Tesla can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 360.00, top of the previous wave 2 from February and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3).