Supply and Demand
Gold sell idea Gold's growth has stalled due to the US-China trade war uncertainty, repeatedly testing support levels. As a safe-haven asset, further decline to the 3270-3246 support zone is possible. Given the market's sensitivity to news, it's crucial to approach gold trading with caution, as sentiment can shift rapidly.
Tencent/Hong Kong Dollar Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Tencent / Hong Kong Dollar Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Reversal Argument)) At 783 HKD | Completed Survey
* Wave Feature + Long Entry Support | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* Retracement Area & Entry Bias | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 100.00 HKD
* Entry At 118.00 HKD
* Take Profit At 145.00 HKD
* (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
MKL - Markel Group Inc. (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long PositionMKL - Markel Group Inc. (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volatility risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.21
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 1793
Entry limit ~ 1793 on April 28, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 1835 (+2.34%; +42 points)
2. Target limit ~ 1855 (+3.46%; +62 points)
Stop order limit ~ 1765 (-1.56%; -28 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
titan up side titan up side
Current Price: ₹3,365.20 (as of April 25, 2025).
Average Target Price: ₹3,859.14, indicating an upside potential of 14.68%.
Broker Recommendations: Multiple analysts have given buy ratings, with target prices ranging from ₹3,689.71 to ₹4,300.
Recent Performance: Titan has shown steady revenue growth, particularly in its jewelry segment, driven by festive demand and higher gold price
Soybean Market Dynamics: Supply Shifts and Price StabilityGlobal soybean ending stocks are up 1.1 million tons to 122.5 million, while US stocks are down 5 million bushels to 375 million. Despite these fluctuations, soybean prices remain stable at $9.95 per bushel.
Global Soybean Supply: A Tale of Two Regions
The WASDE report highlights not so simple picture for global soybean supply in 2024/25. Beginning stocks are raised by 2.7 million tons, primarily due to a revised 2023/24 crop estimate for Brazil, now up 1.5 million tons to 154.5 million tons. This adjustment reflects stronger-than-expected production in Brazil, a key player in the global soybean market. However, global soybean production for 2024/25 is lowered by 0.2 million tons to 676.62 million tons, driven by a decline in Bolivia (down 0.3 million tons), partially offset by increases in South Africa (up 0.1 million tons), the UAE (up 0.05 million tons), and the European Union (up 0.05 million tons).
Despite the slight production drop, global ending stocks are up 1.1 million tons to 122.5 million, with Brazil and the EU leading the increase. Brazil’s stocks are bolstered by its revised 2023/24 output, while the EU benefits from higher production and imports. Global soybean exports are also raised by 0.2 million tons to 182.1 million tons, with Canada and Nigeria increasing shipments (up 0.1 million tons each), though Ukraine sees a decline (down 0.05 million tons). These supply shifts indicate a relatively balanced global market, but regional disparities offer opportunities for investors to explore.
US Soybean Market: Tightening Stocks and Stable Prices
In the US, the soybean outlook shows a tightening of domestic supplies. Ending stocks are lowered by 5 million bushels to 375 million, driven by higher imports (up slightly to 140.49 million tons) and increased crush (up 10 million bushels to 2.42 billion). The rise in crush reflects stronger domestic use of soybean meal (up due to ample global supplies) and increased soybean oil exports (up based on export commitments). Soybean oil use for biofuels is lowered due to tariffs impacting imports of alternative feedstocks like used cooking oil, though stronger use is expected later in the marketing year.
Despite these supply adjustments, the US season-average soybean price remains unchanged at $9.95 per bushel. Soybean meal prices are lowered by $10 to $300 per short ton, reflecting ample global supplies, while soybean oil prices are raised by 2 cents to 45 cents per pound, driven by export demand. This price stability amidst tightening stocks suggests a market in equilibrium, offering predictability for investors while hinting at potential upside if demand surges.
Demand Drivers: Soybean Meal and Oil in Focus
The WASDE report also shows to us growing global demand for soybean derivatives, particularly soybean meal and oil. Global soybean crush is raised by 2.0 million tons to 354.8 million tons, with increases in Brazil (up 0.5 million tons), Argentina (up 0.4 million tons), Ukraine (up 0.3 million tons), and the US (up 0.2 million tons). This rise goes straight from ample soybean meal supplies, lower prices, and a reduced supply of alternative oilseed meals, leading to increased global consumption of soybean meal.
However, global vegetable oil production is down 0.9 million tons to 228.1 million tons, as gains in soybean oil production (up 0.6 million tons) are offset by a 1.3 million ton decline in palm oil production to 78.2 million tons, primarily due to lower output in Indonesia (down 0.5 million tons), Malaysia (down 0.4 million tons), and Thailand (down 0.2 million tons). This reduction in palm oil supply could give a hand to demand for soybean oil, particularly in markets like India, where soybean oil imports are projected to rise to 4.6 million tons (up 0.2 million tons). The US, with soybean oil exports up to 1.17 million tons, is well-positioned to benefit from this trend.
Investment Opportunities in the Soybean Market
The soybean market’s dynamics present a wealth of long-term investment opportunities for those looking to capitalize on evolving supply and demand trends. With US soybean prices holding steady at $9.95 per bushel, investors have a predictable entry point to explore soybean futures or agricultural ETFs, such as the Teucrium Soybean Fund ( AMEX:SOYB ), which tracks soybean futures and could see gains if tightening US stocks-down to 375 million bushels-drive price appreciation later in the year, especially given SOYB’s assets under management reaching $50 million in 2024 amid growing investor interest. Beyond futures, agribusiness companies involved in soybean processing and export offer another avenue for growth, with firms like Archer-Daniels-Midland ( NYSE:ADM ) reporting a 5% increase in soybean crush volumes in 2024, aligning with the WASDE’s forecast of 2.42 billion bushels, potentially positioning ADM’s stock for upside as global soybean meal consumption rises. The vegetable oil market also holds promise, as rising US soybean oil exports of 1.17 million tons and a decline in global palm oil production to 78.2 million tons create opportunities for companies like Bunge Global ( NYSE:BG ), which processes soybean oil for food and biofuel and saw a 10% revenue increase in its biofuel segment in 2024 due to similar demand trends. Additionally, Brazil’s higher soybean stocks, bolstered by a 2023/24 crop of 154.5 million tons, make its agribusiness sector attractive, with companies like SLC Agrícola-boasting ( BMFBOVESPA:SLCE3 ) 450,000 hectares of soybean cultivation and a 15% production increase in 2024-offering direct exposure, while Brazilian ETFs like the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF ( AMEX:EWZ ) provide a diversified way to tap into this market’s potential.
Risks to Consider
While the soybean market offers opportunities, risks remain. The US-China trade conflicts, with tariffs impacting agricultural exports, could dampen demand if economic growth slows in key markets like China, which holds 83.16 million tons of soybean stocks. Inflationary pressures in emerging markets, such as Brazil, could increase production costs, affecting profitability. Additionally, the decline in palm oil production might be temporary, potentially easing pressure on soybean oil demand if output recovers in Indonesia or Malaysia.
Global ending stocks of 122.5 million tons and stable US prices at $9.95 per bushel offer predictability, while tightening US stocks (down to 375 million bushels) and rising soybean meal demand (crush up to 354.8 million tons) hint at potential upside. Opportunities in soybean futures, agribusiness companies like ADM, and soybean oil sectors provide diverse avenues for investment. Despite risks from trade tensions and production costs, the soybean market’s fundamentals-bolstered by Brazil’s supply strength and global demand for derivatives-make it a compelling area for long-term investors, seeking exposure to agriculture in a volatile global economy today.
XAUUSD - Gold trend reversed?!Gold is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly timeframe and is in the specified pattern. The continuation of gold's movement depends on the breakdown of one of the two established trend lines, and after a valid breakdown, we expect to reach the established targets.
In recent weeks, gold prices have experienced significant volatility. This precious metal, long regarded as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic uncertainty, faced a decline in Monday’s trading session. The primary reason behind this drop was signs of easing trade tensions between the United States and China, leading to decreased demand for safe assets. This decline occurred while investors awaited clarity regarding ongoing trade negotiations between the two countries.
Last week, media reports indicated that China exempted some American imports from 125% tariffs, signaling a reduction in bilateral tensions. In response, Donald Trump stated that trade talks were underway; however, this claim was rejected by China. Additionally, the U.S. Treasury Secretary announced that he was unaware of any active negotiations, further fueling market doubts.
According to a recent Federal Reserve survey, participants cited the outflow of foreign capital from U.S. assets and a decline in the dollar’s value as potential new economic shocks. Some respondents believed that increased tariffs might only cause limited market disruptions. The survey indicated that despite market turmoil in April, prices remained elevated relative to fundamental indicators.
Meanwhile, investors were closely awaiting key U.S. economic data set to be released over the coming week. While the previous week was relatively quiet in terms of economic indicators, market focus has shifted toward a series of critical U.S. employment reports. These include the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) on Tuesday, the ADP private-sector employment report on Wednesday, and weekly jobless claims on Thursday—all paving the way for the most crucial event of the week: the April Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, to be released Friday morning.
Beyond these reports, several major events are scheduled in the economic calendar: Canada’s federal election on Monday, the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index on Tuesday, preliminary first-quarter GDP data, pending home sales figures, and the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy decision on Wednesday, followed by the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI on Thursday—all of which could impact market sentiment.
On another front, the China Gold Association reported that gold consumption fell by 5.96% in the first quarter of 2025, reaching 290,492 tons. Although gold jewelry demand declined by 26.85%, investment-related gold demand surged by 29.81%, reflecting investors’ pursuit of safe assets amid economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
Domestic gold production in China increased by 1.49%, and assets held in gold ETFs rose sharply by 327.73%, indicating heightened financial caution among Chinese consumers in 2025.
A recent report from Goldman Sachs suggests that the downward trend of the U.S. dollar is far from over and that the currency remains significantly overvalued. Jan Hatzius, the bank’s chief economist, stated that despite the dollar’s recent 5% drop, it still stands roughly two standard deviations above its long-term real average since 1973. Historically, such levels have marked the beginning of multi-year correction cycles for the dollar.
Similar patterns occurred during the mid-1980s and early 2000s when the U.S. dollar experienced declines of around 25% to 30% following such valuations. Based on this, Goldman Sachs expects a similar scenario to unfold in the coming years.
One of the key structural factors fueling this anticipated correction is the portfolio composition of global investors. Specifically, non-U.S. investors hold about $22 trillion worth of assets in the United States, roughly one-third of their total portfolios.Half of these investments are unhedged against currency risk, which could lead to sharp fluctuations in the currency markets if investor sentiment shifts.
Goldman Sachs analysts believe that even a modest reallocation of global capital away from U.S. assets could significantly lower the dollar’s value. Therefore, they view the dollar’s gradual yet sustained decline not as a temporary fluctuation, but as a long-term structural trend.
Stromm | SOLANA Key Zones for Next MovesWe've seen a very solid reaction here — similar to Bitcoin, but still with its own flavor.
The Previous Monthly Low was swept and then reclaimed, which is always a strong bullish signal.
On top of that, the Monthly Open was reclaimed and successfully retested, flipping market structure back to bullish.
No doubt: the trend right now leans upward.
The big question is: where do we go from here?
When you look left on the chart, you see two massive candles:
One day, +30% straight up,
Followed by -22% the very next day.
Pure chaos.
Now, price is pushing back into that zone — and we need to watch how it reacts inside those previous candles.
For targets:
The Weekly Fair Value Gap near the Previous Monthly High is a major zone to watch.
After that, there’s the 2h Fair Value Gap around the Yearly Open — the next big magnet for price.
And it’s worth noting:
Compared to Ethereum, Solana’s Yearly Open is way closer and much more realistically within reach. Another subtle hint that SOL is showing way better relative strength.
Stromm | ETHEREUM No Life Signal YETCompared to Bitcoin, Ethereum is honestly still moving at a snail’s pace — and the performance is almost embarrassing at this point.
There’s still barely any strength showing on the CRYPTOCAP:ETH chart.
Yes, ETH has finally reclaimed the Previous Monthly Low, and it’s holding it — which is a positive step.
But let’s be real:
We’re still 83% below the Yearly Open — a mind-blowing distance when you consider how BTC is behaving right now.
I'm currently risk-free on my trade here, which is a nice position to be in.
If we get another drop, I plan to add at the next Monthly Order Block.
But something serious needs to happen at the Ethereum Foundation level — real fundamental shifts — if ETH is going to deliver the kind of rally people keep hoping for.
Otherwise?
Everything else in the market is outperforming ETH by a mile — and that’s the worst-case scenario for Ethereum:
It doesn't die,
It just gets left behind.
For now, at least I’m sitting in profit, and that's a good start.
Everything beyond this will need careful watching — no blind assumptions, no blind faith.
ETH needs to prove itself — and fast.
Stromm | GOLD Bullish Continuation in PlayIt’s good to see Gold OANDA:XAUUSD getting the attention it deserves again. But honestly, the performance it’s putting in right now is just insane.
If you zoom into the 4-hour chart, you’ll spot a clear Demand Continuation Pattern:
Rally → Base → Rally.
In simple terms: strong move up, sideways consolidation, strong move up again.
The first rally pushed Gold up 9.77% within a few days, followed by a sideways base, and then another 9.6% rally straight into the $3,500 mark.
With commodities like Gold, you really feel how powerful psychological levels are — $3,000, $3,500, $4,000 — all massive magnet zones where large investors naturally look to take profits.
Now, after tagging $3,500, we’ve pulled back.
If this Demand Continuation structure holds, here's how I see it playing out:
Inside the current base, there’s a 4-hour order block, and it’s the one I’m watching most closely.
Ideally, we get a push up into the 4h Balance Price Range between $3,336–$3,347, followed by a rejection that sweeps the Previous Weekly Low, tagging that 4h order block for a proper retest.
From there, a move toward the 8h Balance Price Range would be good.
Now, two possibilities:
Best case for bears: After retesting that 4h zone, we fall further — possibly targeting $3,050.
Sneaky scenario: We fake a drop to trigger stop-losses, push back up toward $3,510, then properly roll over.
On the monthly chart, it gets even more interesting:
Given the massive rejection off $3,500, I wouldn’t rule out a much deeper retracement toward $2,500–$2,000 before Gold makes another serious attempt at $4,000.
That would perfectly fit into a larger Elliott Wave structure, completing a Wave 3 or setting up a Wave 5 push later.
(And yes — catching a Wave 3 top is brutal — especially when it is an all-time high)
Unless geopolitical events massively change the landscape, it feels like $3,500 is a strong local top — for now.
But if the world starts burning again?
Gold might have other plans.
Bitcoin: Will Bitcoin reach $100,000?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin's upward movement towards the supply zone will provide us with its next selling position with an appropriate reward to risk. In case of Bitcoin's downward movement towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying positions.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
During the recent trading week, from April 21 to April 25, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded over $3 billion in capital inflows. This figure marks the second-largest weekly inflow in the history of these ETFs, following the $3.4 billion inflow recorded in November 2024.
Thanks to this momentum, Bitcoin managed to climb above the $95,000 mark for the first time since February. Data reveals a notable increase in market participants’ optimism, with bullish posts on social media reaching their highest level since the night of Trump’s election victory on November 5, 2024.
More than 7,000 Bitcoins, worth over $500 million, were withdrawn from the Coinbase exchange. This trend could signal institutional accumulation and reflect a strongly bullish sentiment in the market.
During the 2018 trade tariff war, Bitcoin experienced a sharp 84.5% collapse, plunging from around $19,400 in December 2017 to approximately $3,000 by December 2018. This price decline coincided with intensifying global trade tensions.
However, Bitcoin’s price later rebounded following the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts and an improvement in liquidity conditions. The attached price chart clearly illustrates Bitcoin’s steep decline between December 2017 and December 2018.
According to data released in March 2025, major global corporations have significantly strengthened their presence in the digital asset market. At the top of the list stands MicroStrategy, holding over 500,000 BTC — far surpassing other companies.
Following MicroStrategy, companies such as Marathon, Galaxy Digital, Tesla, Coinbase Global, Hut 8 Mining, Riot Platforms, Block, CleanSpark, and Metaplanet respectively hold the largest Bitcoin reserves. This group of key players from technology, mining, and financial services sectors view Bitcoin as a critical part of their long-term strategies.Moreover, between April 7 and April 13, MicroStrategy purchased 3,459 Bitcoins at an average price of $82,618 per coin, totaling $285.8 million.
NQ KEY ICT LEVELS - 28th APRIL 2025Levels marked on the chart using my free indicator which marks out all of the ICT key levels which can be used for potential POIs where price might react
Weekly Analysis for GBP/NZD📊 Weekly Analysis for GBP/NZD
🔍 Technical Outlook by Shaker Trading
✅ Bullish Structure in Play:
Breakout from Downward Channel (Weekly):
The pair has successfully broken out of a long-term descending channel, signaling a shift in market structure.
New Ascending Channel Formed (Weekly):
GBP/NZD is now trading within a rising price channel, confirming a strong bullish trend on the higher time frame.
Strong Bullish Trendline Support:
Price respects a clear ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support.
📌 Trading Outlook:
We expect a temporary correction toward the demand zones highlighted on the chart, followed by a continuation to the upside.
The bullish momentum is likely to remain in play unless major support levels are broken.
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NQ KEY LEVELS - 28th APRIL 2025Key levels marked by using low volume nodes for potential key levels where we may see price react.
EURNZD strong daily demand level at 1.89. Long biasSupply and demand imbalances are the driving forces behind price movements in the Forex market. By identifying these key zones or imbalances, traders can anticipate high-probability reversal or continuation setups. Today, we’ll analyze the EURNZD cross pair, which has recently formed a strong demand imbalance at $1.89—the most significant impulse in months.
The Power of Supply & Demand Imbalances
Supply and demand trading revolves around identifying areas where price has made a strong, impulsive move (demand or supply zone) and then waiting for a retracement into that zone for a potential reversal or continuation.
Key Characteristics of a Strong Imbalance:
✅ Extended Range Candles (ERC): Strong, wide-bodied candles indicate institutional buying/selling.
✅ Strong Imbalance: A clear shift in market structure after a strong rally or drop.
✅ Fresh Zone: The imbalance has not been tested yet or has only been tested once.
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H Timeframe
Here’s the detailed breakdown of the NAS100 1H Chart based on Volume Profile, Gann analysis, and custom indicators (CVD + ADX):
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
• Value Area High (VAH): 3,327.1
• Value Area Low (VAL): 3,291.09
• Point of Control (POC): 3,291.09
• High-volume nodes: Between 3,290 and 3,310 (visible dense volume clusters).
• Low-volume gaps: Below 3,270 and above 3,340, price can move fast through these zones.
b) Liquidity Zones:
• Potential stop clusters: Around 3,300 (recent highs), and 3,280 (recent lows).
• Order absorption zones: Strong at 3,291 (POC) and 3,327 (VAH), indicating large player interest.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
• Swing High (Volume Spike): 3,327 (strong rejection noted).
• Swing Low (Volume Spike): 3,283 (buying absorption observed).
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
• Trend Direction: Range-bound
• ADX Strength:
o ADX < 20, confirming a weak trend / ranging market.
• CVD Confirmation:
o CVD mostly falling slightly with weak price response → slight supply dominance but no strong push.
________________________________________
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
• Support:
o 3,291 (POC support zone)
o 3,283 (Volume-based swing low)
• Resistance:
o 3,327 (VAH resistance zone)
o 3,300 (Minor psychological resistance)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
• Recent Gann Swing High: 3,327
• Recent Gann Swing Low: 3,283
• Key retracements:
o 1/2 level: 3,305
o 1/3 level: 3,300
o 2/3 level: 3,315
________________________________________
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
• Range-bound (confirmed by flat ADX and neutral CVD behavior).
b) Notable Patterns:
• Potential descending channel forming between 3,327 resistance and 3,280 support.
• No strong breakout/breakdown yet, price oscillating around mid-volume zones.
• Possible re-tests at POC and VAH regions.
________________________________________
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
• Entry Zone: 3,283 – 3,291 (POC and volume support)
• Targets:
o T1: 3,305 (1/2 retracement and minor resistance)
o T2: 3,327 (VAH and major resistance)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 3,275 (below recent swing low)
• RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
• Entry Zone: 3,327 (VAH resistance)
• Target:
o T1: 3,291 (POC)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 3,335 (above VAH and minor swing highs)
• RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
• Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade.
Technical Breakdown on US100 | 1H TimeframeHere’s the detailed breakdown of the US100 1H Chart based on Volume Profile, Gann analysis, and custom indicators (CVD + ADX):
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 19,383
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,220
Point of Control (POC): 19,291.79
High-volume nodes: Clustered around 19,220 to 19,300 (heavy acceptance).
Low-volume gaps: Above 19,400 and below 19,200 — price can accelerate through these zones.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop clusters likely at: Above 19,400 (recent swing highs). Below 19,200 (recent breakout area).
Order absorption zones: Around 19,291 (POC) and 19,220 (high bid absorption).
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 19,382 (testing resistance with moderate volume).
Swing Low: 19,220 (breakout launch pad).
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Uptrend
ADX Strength: ADX > 20 and DI+ > DI-, confirming strong bullish momentum.
CVD Confirmation: Rising CVD + bullish candles = Strong demand and genuine buying pressure.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support: 19,291.79 (POC) 19,220 (VAL & previous demand zone)
Resistance: 19,382-19,400 (current tested highs and potential breakout point)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent Gann Swing High: 19,382
Recent Gann Swing Low: 19,220
Key retracements: 1/2 level: 19,301 1/3 level: 19,274 2/3 level: 19,328
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Strong Bullish (confirmed by rising ADX and CVD).
b) Notable Patterns:
Ascending Channel: Clear uptrend with higher highs and higher lows inside the purple channel.
Breakout retest: POC retest around 19,291 before moving higher.
No major topping signals yet — still holding structure.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 19,290–19,310 (near POC support zone)
Targets: T1: 19,400 (swing high breakout) T2: 19,500 (measured move from channel)
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,220 (below VAL and previous swing low)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 19,380–19,400 (at resistance failure)
Target: T1: 19,290 (POC retest)
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,450 (above resistance breakout trap)
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1-2% of trading capital per trade.
BTCUSD – Daily Timeframe (D1) Technical & Fundamental AnalysisBTCUSD – Daily Timeframe (D1) Technical & Fundamental Analysis
BTCUSD on the daily timeframe is showing a clear structure of new lower highs and lower lows, following a previous consolidation phase. Recently, two minor key levels — around 88,800 and 92,300 — have been broken, with the 92,300 break indicating a Change of Character (CHOCH) that suggests potential bullish sentiment building.
Currently, price action shows signs of accumulation within a liquidity zone. If a liquidity grab or stop-hunt occurs within this liquidity zone, it could create conditions for a possible breakout continuation. Should the bullish breakout materialize, potential areas of interest could be around 93,190.90 (potential breakout point), with a risk management perspective placing invalidation below 88,280.00. A longer-term target area could align with the next major resistance zone around 108,000.00.
This analysis reflects evolving market behavior and key technical levels to watch, while taking into consideration the strengthening fundamental backdrop.
Fundamental Insights:
Positive Fundamentals Supporting Bitcoin (BTC):
Corporate Bitcoin Treasuries Expansion:
Cantor Equity Partners is merging with Twenty One, a Bitcoin-native company, introducing a significant Bitcoin treasury to Wall Street. Backed by Tether, Bitfinex, and SoftBank, this venture aims to hold over 42,000 BTC, making it the third-largest corporate Bitcoin reserve globally.
This institutional backing boosts long-term confidence in Bitcoin’s valuation and adoption.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
How To Use The MACD Indicator In 3 Steps Have you ever heard of buying the dip?
Listen I was watching a short news report on CNBC.
It was about how the youngest workforce Gen Z..is now doing blue collar.Am from jumping on a call
With a young buddy of mine.He told he got me, if I ever need a blue collar job in the mines as a truck operator.
Am so happy to know I have options in case I decide to settle down.
I started trading a long time ago.
And the #1 indicator for dip buying has always been the MACD.
So how does it work?
👉When the 12 day moving average crosses above the 26 day moving average.This signals a buy signal.
👉Also notice the historical power bars.When they turn dark green.
👉Also the increase of demand and supply*
*Supply and demand come from macro economics.
Shout out to Mike Maloney for shedding light on this forex pair.I began to follow this particular one about 2 years ago after watching a video he did on gold and silver.
Now will I get a blue collar job? Maybe but I am happy that I sacrificed my time to learn how to trade the financial markets.
Rocket boost this content to learn more 🚀
Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn how to use Risk Management And Profit Taking Strategies.Also feel free to use a simulation trading account before you use real money.
BTC/USDTRight now, BTC is at a crossroads. We've completed the weekly Fibonacci retracement and returned to the main trading zone.
It's crucial to hold the key level at 94,400.
If we succeed, the next target is 99–100K for BTC.
At that point, we should watch for a local correction — we likely won't break through 100K on the first attempt.
Altcoins should also catch up accordingly.
Finally, everything looks nice locally, and it's a good time to start building strong swing positions
INFY - Infosys Ltd (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long PositionINFY - Infosys Ltd (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.83
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 1480
Entry limit ~ 1455 to 1435 (Avg. - 1445) on April 28, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 1485 (+2.77%; +40 points)
2. Target limit ~ 1530 (+5.88%; +85 points)
Stop order limit ~ 1415 (-2.08%; -30 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Long trade
Trade Overview: NZDUSD – Long Position (Trade 1) & 2
Entry Price: 0.59545
Take Profit: 0.60138 (+1.00%)
Stop Loss: 0.59391 (–0.26%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.85
🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM (NY Time)
📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🌍 Session: New York to Tokyo Overlap (PM)
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
Price action on NZDUSD leading into the New York close suggested bullish intent, as price had formed a higher low within a broader 1h bullish structure.
