SasanSeifi| Will the Price Continue Its Short-Term Rise?In the 4-hour timeframe, as observed, the price entered a consolidation (range) phase after correcting around the 0.65500 price zone. It then broke previous highs at 0.65950. Following this structural break, the price returned to the gap zone and, supported at the 0.65800 level, experienced positive fluctuations with slight growth, currently trading at the 0.66000 level.
In the short term, it’s expected that the price could reach levels of 0.66250, 0.66450, and 0.66500, continuing this short-term upward trend toward these target zones. A possible scenario for the next price movement is that if it consolidates above 0.66000, the price may move upward in the short term towards the mentioned areas and supply zones.
To assess the continuation of this uptrend and anticipate future price behaviour, it’s essential to closely monitor price reactions at these levels. Key support areas in the 4-hour timeframe include 0.65800 and 0.65650.
💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
Supply and Demand
SasanSeifi| Can It Break Above $0.70?Hey there, ✌ Currently, in the daily timeframe chart, we can see that after a correction, Phantom has reacted to the previous resistance level at $0.55. The price is currently trading at $0.65. Given the current market conditions and the potential for Bitcoin growth, there is a possibility of positive fluctuations and price increases in the short to midterm.
One possible scenario for BINANCE:FTMUSDT in the daily timeframe is that if the daily candle closes with a strong body and the price breaks above the $0.70 level, the potential for further growth to $0.88 and even reaching the $1 supply zone increases. These levels can be considered as important price targets.
To validate this scenario, maintaining the $0.55 support level is crucial. On the other hand, if the $0.55 level is broken, the likelihood of further correction increases.
💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
USDCAD - Trump gave a new trend to the dollar!The USDCAD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bullish channel. If the upward movement continues, we can see the supply zone and sell within that range with the appropriate risk reward. The correction of this currency pair towards the demand zones will provide us with the next buying positions.
Following the announcement of Donald Trump’s election victory, the U.S. dollar has risen against almost every currency globally. Markets are not only preparing for Trump’s presidential win but also foresee a Republican-controlled Congress, which is crucial for the incoming president’s ability to implement policy changes through the U.S. government.
Ahead of the October 23 monetary policy meeting, officials at the Bank of Canada believed that inflationary pressures were on a downward trend and further tightening of monetary policy was unnecessary. They considered a 0.25% rate cut, though strong consensus emerged for holding off based on economic data observed since July.
Officials noted that a rate cut would require time to sufficiently impact per capita consumer spending and counterbalance the overall consumption decline driven by slower population growth. They agreed to continue normalizing their balance sheet through maturing bonds.
According to informed sources, OPEC+ has reached a preliminary agreement to postpone an increase in oil production for December. This agreement includes countries such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman, which have decided to extend their voluntary oil production adjustments until the end of December 2024.
One key factor weakening the Canadian dollar is the country’s economic challenges. The Canadian housing market is facing serious difficulties due to rising interest rates, and the decline in demand for new home purchases has dimmed future prospects for the market. Additionally, slower population growth, largely dependent on government immigration policies, is negatively impacting the economy. Nonetheless, some hope that China’s economic stimulus efforts and rising natural commodity prices might support the Canadian dollar, though these factors carry their own risks.
BlackRock has stated that expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut are overly optimistic. The bank cited the following reasons:
U.S. third-quarter GDP data show that consumers remain the main driver of economic growth. The average monthly job creation over the past three months has been 104,000 jobs, a healthy rate, which is likely to rise considering hiring pauses due to storm disruptions.
Alikze »» TAO | Ascending corner pattern - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending corner pattern - 1D
- In the analysis presented in the previous post , in the 4H time frame according to the direction of movement, after the short-term ascending channel was broken, a correction was encountered, which continued until the correction range of $217.
- Demand was met in the range of $217, which has continued its growth by forming a return pattern up to the range of $690.
- Currently in the supply zone, it has formed a bullish angle pattern.
- Therefore, I expect that after breaking from the bottom in the range of $500, it will face demand again and complete the 5-wave cycle up to the ceiling of the channel.
💎 Alternative scenario:
In addition, if the pattern breaks and there is no support in the range of $500, the correction can extend to the green box.
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BINANCE:TAOUSDT
THE KOG REPORT - ELECTION SPECIAL THE KOG REPORT:
This week’s KOG Report is a little different this week due to the upcoming elections. For that reason, we’re going to share the levels and potential movement since we are almost guaranteed to see some extreme movement over the coming sessions. The chart was shared in Camelot together with the analysis 4yrs ago which worked well.
On the left chart you can see the 2020 reaction to the elections giving a powerful movement across the markets and gold moving over 2000pips in days. We’ve shown this chart to make new and less experienced traders aware of what can happen based on any result! Price will whipsaw, they will chop and change direction and when they move, it will really move. IF, and it’s a BIG IF, you’re going to attempt to trade it, please make sure your lot sizes are sensible, and your risk model is flexible enough to adapt to sudden changes in direction.
Now the chart on the right. We have drawn a path, but it’s based more on a potential fractal rather than set in stone. The levels however are important, and potentially if targeted can give traders opportunities to capture the bounces or, give them a better understanding of where price can go before taking a breather. We’re close to the 2800 level but as you can see, we’ve struggled to break it, this usually just means that price has travelled enough to take a slight pause in direction, and requires a pullback, which is what we analysed and traded last week. How far thought, with extreme news and volatility entails caution, our immediate support and resistance levels hardly work in these scenarios.
So, when we look at extreme levels on the chart we can see the following:
We have resistance above on the daily at 2745 which needs a daily close above to go higher. This flips our support level into the 2715 level which looks like a decent level for price to attempt in the coming sessions. Our order region is sitting at the psychological level of 2700 with the extension of the move into the 2680-5 level. This, if attempted could give traders and opportunity to take the long back up towards the 2730-35 red box level which will have also flipped into resistance. This is the level currently in play and needs to be monitored as this is the order region they’re using to propel the price in either direction. It’s also the reason they’re accumulating here and start the pre-event range. Break above, and we should see bulls’ step in and force price higher, as shown in the illustration on the chart.
The range is big, the high in sight is the 2820-34 region, which if attacked and rejected can give us opportunities to capture the larger short trade, while the 2575-65 level is sticking out for the undercut low. To be totally honest, knowing what can happen and how price can move, it’s the same strategy as trading NFP and FOMC. Don’t trade the volume driven candles, wait for price to move, use the levels and the red boxes, and then, with a risk model in place take a sensible trade if you’re going to trade it.
The above is just our view and more for educational purposes. We will continue to use our proven red box strategy, indicators and our trusted algo Excalibur to guide us through the markets.
Good luck for the week ahead!
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2744 with targets below 2720, 2714 and below that 2702
Bullish on break of 2744 with targets above 2792 and above that 2803
Red boxes:
Break above 2744 for 2753, 2765, 2780
Break below 2730 for 2715, 2705, 2695
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GBPJPY - Yen will continue its weakness?!The GBPJPY currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bullish channel. If the upward movement continues, we can see the supply zone and sell within that zone with the appropriate risk reward.
The BRC retail report in the UK indicated that retail sales in October 2024 only grew by 0.3%, a significant drop compared to the 1.7% growth in September. This decline is attributed to consumers’ caution ahead of Black Friday promotions and school half-term holidays, which were delayed compared to usual.
Helen Dickinson, CEO of the British Retail Consortium (BRC), stated, “After a strong start in autumn, October sales growth was disappointing. Part of this decline was due to the later timing of school half-term holidays, which reduced sales, but it is expected that November will show better performance.” She also noted that consumer sentiment has been affected by uncertainties surrounding future budgets and rising energy costs.
According to the latest Citi/YouGov survey, British households’ inflation expectations for the coming year have reached 3.3%, and long-term household inflation expectations remain at 3.8%. Analysts at Citi Investment Bank suggest that these figures indicate that despite efforts by the Bank of England to curb inflation, public inflation expectations remain high.
In Japan, the government has designed a support plan for the country’s semiconductor industry that involves leveraging assets such as its shares in NTT, with the program spanning several years. Instead of direct subsidies, the plan includes a multi-stage approach. Semiconductor equipment manufacturers receive subsidies while moving towards mass production, and once they reach this stage, the government shifts to other forms of support such as private sector investments and financial guarantees, extending this process until around 2030.
Sakurai, a former board member of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), announced that the central bank is likely to raise interest rates again in the coming months, with January being a potential timing for this action. The aim is to increase short-term interest rates to 1.5% or 2% by the end of Ueda’s term in early 2028.
WTI - How will oil react to the elections?!Oil is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. If the descending channel is preserved and its ceiling is not broken, we can witness the continuation of the oil decline up to the midline of the descending channel. Breaking the ceiling of the channel and the resistance range will provide the way for oil to rise to $75.
A member of Trump’s campaign stated that victory in Michigan and Pennsylvania is nearly certain. Meanwhile, Fox News has predicted that Trump will win the U.S. presidential election.
According to information from three informed sources, the United States and Saudi Arabia are in talks for a security agreement that would be independent of any broader agreement with Israel. This agreement is not aimed at achieving a comprehensive defense pact; however, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and the White House wish to reach a security deal before President Biden’s term ends in January.
Prior to Hamas’s attacks on Israel on October 7, the Biden administration was in discussions with Saudi Arabia and Israel for a broader agreement that included normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel. This agreement would have involved a U.S.-Saudi defense pact and civilian nuclear cooperation, which the White House believed had a higher chance of Senate approval.
However, the outbreak of conflict in Gaza and Lebanon and Saudi Arabia’s demand for the establishment of an independent Palestinian state delayed these negotiations. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia’s national security advisor, Musaad bin Mohammed Al Aiban, traveled to Washington last week and met with U.S.
national security advisor Jake Sullivan and other officials, including Secretary of State Antony Blinken. Their discussions focused on U.S.-Saudi bilateral relations and a series of security, technological, and economic agreements they aim to sign before Biden’s term ends.
This security agreement was separate from efforts for a broader deal that included normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel. The initial plan is to draft an agreement similar to what the Biden administration has signed with other Gulf countries in recent years. For instance, in March 2022, Qatar was recognized as a major non-NATO ally, and in September 2023, the U.S. and Bahrain signed a comprehensive security agreement.
Over the past four years, the Biden administration has sought to curb the growing influence of China and Russia in the Gulf region. U.S. officials have indicated that several countries previously leaning towards China and interested in purchasing strategic systems from Russia have now moved closer to the U.S.
The OPEC Secretary-General has stated that the global economy is in good condition and estimates global economic growth at 2.9%. OPEC holds an optimistic view of oil demand in both the short and long term. Although there are challenges, the overall picture is not as negative as some suggest. The OPEC Secretary-General believes that peak oil demand will not occur and that the global economy continues to grow.
XAU/USD 06 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As outlined in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 05 November 2024, I mentioned that price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
While price has not yet printed a bullish CHoCH, it has moved up to the premium of 50% EQ, allowing me to confirm the internal structure.
Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low.
Note: Given the ongoing Presidential elections, the Fed’s softer stance, and heightened geopolitical tensions, price is expected to remain highly volatile.
M15 Chart:
Flare Crypto Currency to buy. Long-term investmentFlare Crypto Currency is a long-term investment now that the strong monthly demand level at 0.0119 took control. Expecting a decent rally from this demand level.
Flare is an EVM-based layer 1 aiming to make blockchain more useful by giving developers decentralized access to high-integrity data from other chains and the internet. This enables new use cases and monetization models, while allowing dapps to serve multiple chains through a single deployment.
GBPUSD: Updated Support & Resistance Analysis 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for GBPUSD.
Horizontal Structures
Resistance 1: 1.304 - 1.310 area
Resistance 2: 1.331 - 1.332 area
Resistance 3: 1.341 - 1.343 area
Support 1: 1.284 - 1.286 area
Support 2: 1.277 - 1.280 area
Support 3: 1.266 - 1.269 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
LRC looks bullishThe LRC appears to have completed a correction that was ABC and wave C was a terminal.
We are looking for buy/long positions on the green range
The target is the red box on the chart.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate this analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Tether Dominance UPDATE (4H)Due to the US election and the heavy decline and rejection, Tether Dominance is expected to reach the lower support range.
Support and resistance ranges are marked on the chart
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate this analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
GBP/JPY: Likely to Move HigherHi there,
The support zone of 197.545-197.464 needs to hold, and a higher low must form above it for a possible bullish continuation. The price is in a bullish trend on the daily and weekly timeframes, moving toward the 199.026 area.
Overall the price has low volatility with strong bullish volume; it will require monitoring.
Happy Trading,
K.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/6/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 20364.75
- PR Low: 20335.75
- NZ Spread: 65.0
Key scheduled economic events
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction
High vol session open, 317 point (~1.43%) range
- AMP temp margin increase remains in place for expected volatility
- Strong auction lift back towards 20800 pivot
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 11/6)
- Weekend Gap: -0.13 (filled)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 307.30
- Volume: 81K
- Open Int: 251K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
XAU/USD Remains Range-Bound Amid USD Strength and Geo TensionsGold (XAU/USD) continues its consolidative movement below the $2,750 mark as it struggles to break out of its current trading range during the European session on Wednesday. This sideways trend is supported by profit-taking in the US Dollar, which has slightly softened after reaching its highest levels since July. The slight pullback in US Treasury yields, alongside ongoing Middle Eastern geopolitical tensions, provides some demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
However, the upside for XAU/USD remains limited due to strong bullish momentum behind the USD, which is underpinned by increased odds of a potential Donald Trump victory in the upcoming US presidential election. Additionally, concerns about the US deficit and expectations that the Federal Reserve may not adopt aggressive easing measures continue to bolster US Treasury yields, strengthening the dollar further. Given this backdrop, any positive intraday movement in gold is likely to be viewed as a selling opportunity , keeping the precious metal confined within its current range.
Thanks for your time <3
Trade with Cation !!
The 3 New Rules For Trading Nvidia StockIts been a long night i really feel
the night was very long and tiring.
I had a cup of coffee around 17 hours
Almost before the sunset.
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When the market closes I will have enough
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Of course, I will do a little exercise before
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Watching the financial market can be a stress
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This is why I have developed the 3 rules for
trading NASDAQ:NVDA
Rule 1:The price has to be above the 50 ma
Rule 2:The price has to be above the 200 ma
Rule 3:The price should gap up in a trend
Now I do love dip-buying stock prices
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Approaching W1 Possible Consolidation ZoneWhen I view W1 chart, what I can see if possibility of big consolidation zone. One of this zone can be long term entry. If price hit sell zone first, then there is possibility that price can go down until buy zone. And if price hit buy zone first, then there is possibility the price can go up until sell zone. In the zone also there is possibility for consolidation. So you might want to hold and buy low or sell high in the buy/sell zone. What do you think?
If price makes a pullback above PWH I will..be looking for the short to 0.59 from wher it can bounce. But again as with my other predictions for this week. Its US elections week so...
If we get the confirmation, I will be looking to position myself with my students and followers as highlighted on the chart.
Accumulation / Manipulation / Distribution
- No liquidity raid = No trade
- Never buy high and never sell low
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Future of KASPA!Hello, fellow traders!
KASPA is nearing to its support zone based on its ATL and swing movements.
If we can confirm the reversal here with the favorable outcome of the election, we might see a swing opportunity to 0.19 or even beyond.
We will also make sure to confirm the reversal first: if the price drops additionally before making its turn, this is not out of ordinary.
My approach mostly contains technical analysis, drawing lines and boxes in the chart. However, I also find understanding the background of the crypto (or any market product in this matter) equally important if not more. So I've done some research about Kaspa, and I've noticed a lot of comments in social media regarding its political stance, security budget issue and such. Here are my thoughts: I do not think these concerns should be overlooked, but I also appreciate the active responses and enthusiasm from the developers, and I think catching people's attention is already a positive part about this crypto.
Among all the cryptos I've traded (besides BTC, ETH, SOL), I think this crypto has some potential even when looked outside of the chart.
Back to the charts, we already see the price has risen by 10% after it touched the zone.