BTC/USDTWe are currently experiencing a healthy correction in BTC. This is the worst-case scenario I mentioned earlier in my YouTube videos. We could still be pulled down to 76-71k. For spot holders – hold. For those in futures with large losses – it’s better to re-fix and look for a reasonable entry on spot.
What’s next? Ideally, we need 2-3 weeks of consolidation and sideways movement, so by the end of March, we can make an ATH on some news, and altcoins will follow Bitcoin's lead.
Moreover, LTC and ETH are showing good expectations according to smart money. The market will still move forward. The only question is which direction it will go. I think only specific sectors will move now. We’ll be watching the flow of capital from one sector to another
Supply and Demand
UK HOUSE PRICES: RELENTLESS UPTRENDIn January 2025, the latest figures reveal that UK house prices have risen by 0.7%, pushing the average price to a staggering £299,238, a new all-time high. For the mainstream media, the narrative of an impending house price crash has been a constant refrain over the past two years, fueled by the belief that prolonged high interest rates would spell disaster for the housing market.
Indeed, these elevated interest rates have significantly hindered the natural upward trajectory of house prices, which typically rise in response to inflation, a growing population, and a persistent shortage of new housing construction.
The current stagnation in UK house prices resembles a pressure cooker, building up energy that is bound to release in a dramatic surge. The government’s ongoing strategy of printing money to appease voters will inevitably flow into asset prices, leading to inflation in these markets, much like the consumer price inflation we’ve already witnessed.
The government finds itself in a bind, compelled to continue this money printing to meet the electorate's demands for free money and to manage an ever-growing debt burden. As the debt increases, so does the need for borrowing to service it. This cycle makes it increasingly challenging for the UK to lower long-term borrowing rates, especially compared to the US, which still holds sway over the global financial landscape.
UK house prices are gradually regaining momentum following the fallout from the Liz Truss debacle, a situation she seems to remain blissfully unaware of, despite the havoc her brief six-week tenure as Prime Minister wreaked on the British economy.
The financial landscape was nearly sent tumbling into chaos, prompting the Bank of England to step in with an unprecedented commitment to purchase UK Government Bonds. The economy is so fragile that the UK is now compelled to invest in US government bonds to shore up its financial system against the spectre of another crisis reminiscent of the Truss era under Labour. We were perilously close to a financial meltdown!
Currently, UK house prices are inching towards a potential increase of around 10% per year, indicating a modest upward trend rather than a frenzied housing boom, while also avoiding the catastrophic price drop that the media seems to obsess over.
Ultimately, average house prices in the UK are set to rise, irrespective of government actions or economic conditions. Therefore, those considering the purchase of a standalone house should act without hesitation, as flats and new builds present more complicated challenges—flats can become a logistical nightmare, and new developments might be situated in flood-prone areas, among other concerns.
I have been emphasizing that gold is in a bearish trend recentlyI have been emphasizing that gold is in a bearish trend recently. Gold tested the support of 2830 as expected, and I made a lot of profit in all short trades. However, after gold touches 2930, you cannot directly chase short gold. According to the structure of gold, there is a certain degree of technical support near 2830, so gold may rebound to 2850 again after touching this level; and once gold fails to break through the 2850-2860 area as expected during the rebound, gold will fall again.
Then gold will easily pierce the 2830 mark during the second decline, and once gold effectively falls below 2830, gold will continue to fall and test the 2820-2810 area, and may even go lower to the area near 2800.
At present, shorting gold near 2850 has made a lot of profits. I wonder if you have followed the trading signals of shorting gold? Then the short-term will still focus on the resistance area of 2850-2860 above, and the break of 2830 below.
RUNE sell/short setup (4H)The RUNE token, after experiencing heavy drops due to negative news, is now trading within a range.
A price top has been fake out, leading to a drop. On a retracement to higher levels, we can look for a sell/short setup.
We have identified two entry points for a short position.
Targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this view.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Long trade
4Hr TF Overview
Trade Setup
Date & Time: Friday, Feb 28, 2025, 7:00 AM NY Time
Session: London AM (High Volatility & Institutional Activity)
Entry: 81,345.8
Take Profit (TP): 84,672.0 (4.09%)
Stop Loss (SL): 80,683.2 (0.81%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 5.02
Reason: Observed price action on the 4hr tf for volatility and directional bias buyside trade idea.
EURAUD at Key Resistance Zone – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURAUD has reached a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections, suggesting strong selling interest. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers regain control.
If the price confirms resistance within this zone through bearish price action (e.g., wicks or rejection candles), we could see a move toward 1.66260, which aligns with a logical target based on recent structure.
However, if the price breaks and holds above this resistance area, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially opening the door for further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
EURUSD: Confirmed Bearish Trap 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD formed a confirmed bearish trap
after a test of a key daily support.
As a confirmation, I see a bullish breakout of a neckline
of an inverted head & shoulders pattern with a bullish imbalance.
The pair is going to reach 1.044 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
PYPL IS BEING PREPAREDI think the price will rise from the 65-67.5 price range. It is a nice range and we can see it as a test of the area it breaks. Although 75 is the first resistance, it should not bring much selling. After staying above 78, I expect a movement towards the 86 gap and the 110 region.
USDJPY - BULLISH SCENARIOHello Traders !
On Thursday 20 FEB, The USDJPY reached the support level (149.356 - 148.639) and failed to break it !
So, We have a bullish scenario:
If the price breaks and closes above the lower high (150.733 - 150.469),
We will see a bullish move🚀
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TARGET: 153.700🎯
SOL | Solana Drops 54% | WHERE TO NEXT?The recent ByBit hack seems to have sent the market into a downward spiral. But, if you look at it from a few weeks back, prices were already beginning to drop even before the news of the hack.
Solana follows Ethereum pretty closely, and considering the hard sell-off on ETH, SOL followed suit with a -26% drop over the past week.
This is quite a substantial correction, and considering the past 6 candles were red - it's likely that we can expect a bounce from next week, or at least a green candle. If we fail to bounce here, the short term is looking bleak for SOL:
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KUCOIN:SOLUSDT
HMSTR Analysis (1D)HMSTR appears to be forming a diametric pattern, with wave F potentially completing in the red zone.
Wave F is a bullish wave, and the next wave, wave G, is a bearish wave.
To enter a position, create your own trading setup, meaning your entry and stop levels should be clearly defined.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
MIDCPNIFTY Futures Analysis – First Half of MarchThis analysis is for **educational purposes only** and is intended to provide a structured view of potential market movements based on key technical levels.
#### **Bullish Scenario:**
- **Entry Condition:** If MIDCPNIFTY secures an **hourly close above 10,850**, it may indicate further upside potential.
- **Target Levels:**
- **First Target:** 11,125
- **Second Target:** 11,320
- **Final Zone:** 11,500–11,600
- **Stop-Loss Strategy:**
- Initial **stop-loss at an hourly close below 10,650**.
- Once the first target is achieved, **adjust SL to cost** and continue to trail upwards to protect profits.
#### **Bearish Scenario:**
- **Entry Condition:** A short position may be considered only after **two consecutive candle closes below 10,650**, along with a **bearish candlestick formation on a smaller timeframe** to confirm momentum.
- **Target Levels:**
- **First Target:** 10,500
- **Second Target:** 10,250
- **Final Target:** 10,000
- **Stop-Loss Strategy:**
- Initial **stop-loss slightly above 10,650**.
- As price moves in favor of the position, **continuously trail the SL downward to secure gains**.
Traders should maintain disciplined risk management and adapt strategies based on evolving price action.
DOGE New Update (3D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
It seems to be forming a large diametric pattern. Currently, wave F is completing.
Wave F is a bearish wave.
Upon reaching the green zone, we expect the price to bounce upward.
A weekly candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
LONG ON GOLDGold has fell almost $100 or 1000 pips since Monday from its high.
Its currently at a major demand level that was created 2/7/25 that caused it to rise $100 points to 2/24//25.
History from 2/7/25 looks like it will be repeating itself.
Dollar (DXY) looks bearish and PCE news comes out at 8:30 for Inflation which I believe will come out bad causing the dollar to tank and gold as well as the indices to rise.
I will be buying gold looking to catch that $100 move or 1000pips.
See you at the Top! OANDA:XAUUSD
USDNOK at Key Resistance Zone – Potential Reversal Setup OANDA:USDNOK is currently trading at a key resistance zone, where sellers may regain control. This level has been a strong area of interest in the past, leading to price reversals. The recent bullish momentum has pushed price into this supply zone, suggesting a potential for bearish continuation if price action confirms a rejection.
If the price confirms rejection from this zone, a move lower toward 11.2010 is likely. However, a strong breakout above could invalidate this setup, shifting momentum back to the bulls.
Do you agree with this analysis? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Solana (SOL) Technical Analysis Based on Support & Resistance1. Key Support & Resistance Levels
From the chart, we can identify the following key levels:
Resistance Levels:
139.19
149.65
159.38
171.37
179.92
Support Levels:
133.40 (Current Price)
118.54 (Next Key Support)
101.85
89.33
SOL is currently trading at $133.40, testing the support level of 139.19, which has now turned into resistance. If this level holds as resistance, further downside movement toward 118.54 is possible.
2. Reversal Pattern Forecast
The recent breakdown below 139.19 suggests continued bearish pressure.
A potential double bottom or bullish divergence near the 118.54 – 101.85 zone could indicate a reversal.
If SOL finds strong buying momentum around 118.54, a reversal towards 149.65 - 159.38 could occur.
However, if it breaks below 118.54, expect further downside to 101.85 and 89.33.
3. Trading Idea
Bullish Scenario: Wait for confirmation of support around 118.54. A strong bounce with volume could signal a long opportunity targeting 139.19 - 149.65.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below 118.54 would confirm a continuation of the downtrend, making short positions viable towards 101.85 - 89.33.
4. Risk Management
Stop-loss for long trades: Below 118.54
Stop-loss for short trades: Above 139.19
Risk/Reward Ratio: Maintain at least 1:2 for better risk management.