LONG ON GOLDGold has fell almost $100 or 1000 pips since Monday from its high.
Its currently at a major demand level that was created 2/7/25 that caused it to rise $100 points to 2/24//25.
History from 2/7/25 looks like it will be repeating itself.
Dollar (DXY) looks bearish and PCE news comes out at 8:30 for Inflation which I believe will come out bad causing the dollar to tank and gold as well as the indices to rise.
I will be buying gold looking to catch that $100 move or 1000pips.
See you at the Top! OANDA:XAUUSD
Supply and Demand
USDNOK at Key Resistance Zone – Potential Reversal Setup OANDA:USDNOK is currently trading at a key resistance zone, where sellers may regain control. This level has been a strong area of interest in the past, leading to price reversals. The recent bullish momentum has pushed price into this supply zone, suggesting a potential for bearish continuation if price action confirms a rejection.
If the price confirms rejection from this zone, a move lower toward 11.2010 is likely. However, a strong breakout above could invalidate this setup, shifting momentum back to the bulls.
Do you agree with this analysis? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Solana (SOL) Technical Analysis Based on Support & Resistance1. Key Support & Resistance Levels
From the chart, we can identify the following key levels:
Resistance Levels:
139.19
149.65
159.38
171.37
179.92
Support Levels:
133.40 (Current Price)
118.54 (Next Key Support)
101.85
89.33
SOL is currently trading at $133.40, testing the support level of 139.19, which has now turned into resistance. If this level holds as resistance, further downside movement toward 118.54 is possible.
2. Reversal Pattern Forecast
The recent breakdown below 139.19 suggests continued bearish pressure.
A potential double bottom or bullish divergence near the 118.54 – 101.85 zone could indicate a reversal.
If SOL finds strong buying momentum around 118.54, a reversal towards 149.65 - 159.38 could occur.
However, if it breaks below 118.54, expect further downside to 101.85 and 89.33.
3. Trading Idea
Bullish Scenario: Wait for confirmation of support around 118.54. A strong bounce with volume could signal a long opportunity targeting 139.19 - 149.65.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below 118.54 would confirm a continuation of the downtrend, making short positions viable towards 101.85 - 89.33.
4. Risk Management
Stop-loss for long trades: Below 118.54
Stop-loss for short trades: Above 139.19
Risk/Reward Ratio: Maintain at least 1:2 for better risk management.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Although we had a bearish below bias and the targets, we still maintained caution on gold today due to it being at a huge confluence level which is where it's made the undercut low, completed our targets and temporarily bounced.
We now have that red box level below which is open, so we'll play this two ways. We'll either let price come down, if we see the set up we'll attempt the long, otherwise, ideally we want to see this go up into the resistance RIP and then complete the move downside.
Levels to watch - 2886, 2895, 2902, 2910
Red boxes and bias levels today worked well.
Price: 2888
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bearish below 2920 with targets below 2875✅ and below that 2870✅
Bullish on break of 2920 with targets above 2942, 2945 and above that 2950
RED BOXES:
Break above 2890 for 2900, 2906 and 2918 in extension of the move
Break below 2875 for 2870✅ and 2868✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Short trade
1Hr TF overview
Pair: EURUSD
Sellside trade
Fri 28th Feb 25
6.00 am (NY Time)
Tokyo to LND Session AM
Entry 1.03943
Profit level 1.03192 (0.72%)
Stop level 1.04080 (0.13%)
RR 5.48
Reason: I am observing price action on the 1Hr TF using a supply-and-demand narrative for directional bias and a sell-side trade idea.
BTC no panic sell just liquidity sweepNo reason for panic. Whales are just chasing liquidity in lower areas which if removed now prevents price drops later so keep smiling as this is definitely you would want to do if you were whale. Just wait, alts are not dropping at light speed, some are growing and this is good sign the BTC bottom is near. Hold tight.
Once this is done, we are going up.
SOL BuySOL/USDT Analysis & Trade Signal
Chart Overview:
The Solana (SOL/USDT) chart is on a 4-hour timeframe.
The price is currently in a downtrend, trading inside a descending channel.
Major support zone: $124 - $112 (marked in red).
Major resistance zones: $152, $177, $227, and $285.
Trade Plan & Signal:
📌 Buy Zone (High Risk Entry):
The price is around $124.67, which is near the support zone.
The chart suggests waiting for a strong bullish candle before entering.
If the price holds this support, it could trigger a reversal.
📌 Stop Loss:
Below $112.93 to minimize risk.
📌 Target Levels:
First target: $152
Second target: $177
Third target: $227
Final target: $285
📌 Risk Management:
If the price breaks below $112, the downtrend could continue.
Enter only after confirmation of a bullish reversal.
Conclusion:
Bullish scenario: A bounce from $124 could lead to $152+ targets.
Bearish scenario: A break below $112 might push the price lower.
Recommendation: Wait for a bullish confirmation before entering.
Would you like further analysis or modifications in risk management? 🚀
AUDCHF at Key Demand Zone – Potential Rebound?OANDA:AUDCHF has reached a key demand zone, where buyers have historically stepped in to push prices higher. This area has previously acted as a significant support level, making it a crucial point to watch for potential reversal signals.
If price shows clear bullish confirmation, such as rejection wicks or bullish candlestick patterns, we could see a rebound toward the 0.56550level, aligning with a potential short-term uptrend. However, a break and close below this support zone would invalidate the bullish outlook and could lead to further declines.
Traders should wait for confirmation before entering long positions to avoid potential false breakouts.
Do you agree with this analysis? Share your thoughts below!
Best LevelsGeneral Observation:
📉 Strong Bearish Candles: After a sudden price spike, the price has undergone a sharp correction, forming strong bearish candles.
📊 Support & Resistance Levels: Several key levels are marked on the chart:
🔴 Resistance Levels: 1.00, 1.50, 2.00, and higher.
🟢 Support Levels: 0.50, 0.10, 0.05, and 0.01.
📉 Trading Volume: Initially high but then declined, indicating seller dominance and weakening buyer strength.
⚠️ Possibility of Further Decline: The price is near the 0.70 support. If broken, further drops to 0.50 or even 0.10 could follow.
🚀 Bullish Scenario: If the price reclaims 0.80, an upward move towards 1.00 might occur.
China Vanke: Assessing the Investment Potential Company Overview
China Vanke Co., Ltd. ( HKEX: 2202 ) is one of China's largest real estate developers, known for its diversified portfolio spanning residential, commercial, and mixed-use properties. Established in 1984, the company has expanded its presence beyond mainland China, with projects in Hong Kong, Southeast Asia, and even the U.S.
Vanke has built a reputation for sustainable urban development, integrating green building practices and smart city technologies into its projects. Despite macroeconomic headwinds, the company remains a key player in China's housing market.
Financial Performance and Market Position
China Vanke's financial stability has been tested by the broader real estate crisis in China, exacerbated by regulatory constraints and declining consumer confidence. The company's revenue in 2023 stood at approximately CNY 450 billion ($63 billion), marking a slight decline from previous years as property sales slowed. However, its debt-to-equity ratio remains one of the lowest among major developers, making it relatively resilient in a highly leveraged sector.
Key financial highlights:
• Total Assets: CNY 1.75 trillion (~$245 billion)
• Net Profit (2023): CNY 17 billion (~$2.4 billion)
• Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 1.1 (compared to industry average of 2.5)
• Liquidity: Strong cash reserves (~CNY 150 billion)
While many competitors, including Evergrande ( HK:3333 ), have struggled with debt repayment, China Vanke has maintained a more conservative approach to leverage, avoiding the severe liquidity crises that have plagued other developers.
China’s Real Estate Market: Risks and Opportunities
The Chinese government’s efforts to stabilize the real estate sector have had mixed results. While stimulus measures, such as reduced mortgage rates and relaxed home-buying restrictions, have provided some relief, consumer sentiment remains weak. Additionally, population decline and urbanization trends are shifting, altering demand dynamics for new developments.
However, China Vanke's diverse portfolio and focus on high-demand metropolitan areas may help mitigate risks. The company's expansion into rental housing, commercial properties, and urban redevelopment projects also provides alternative revenue streams beyond traditional home sales.
Stock Performance and Valuation
China Vanke's Hong Kong-listed shares have declined by approximately 40% over the past two years, reflecting broader concerns about the real estate market. However, its current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.8 suggests the stock may be undervalued compared to global peers.
Valuation metrics:
• Current Share Price: HKD 9.50 ($1.21)
• P/E Ratio: 6.8 (historical average: 10-12)
• Dividend Yield: 4.2%
Given its strong balance sheet and diversified business model, some investors may see China Vanke as a long-term recovery play rather than a short-term speculative investment.
Conclusion: Investment Outlook
China Vanke stands out as a relatively stable player in an otherwise volatile real estate sector. While risks remain due to the broader economic slowdown and policy uncertainties, the company’s strong liquidity, diversified revenue streams, and strategic focus on urban redevelopment position it better than many of its peers.
Investors considering China Vanke should weigh the potential for a long-term market recovery against the ongoing risks in China's housing sector. The company's ability to navigate regulatory changes and sustain profitability will be crucial for its future performance.
XAU/USD 28 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS as per alternative scenario mentioned over the last few weeks.
Price is now trading within an internal high and fractal low.
Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS in accordance with analysis and bias dated 26 January 2025.
You will note price has printed several bullish CHoCH's followed by bearish iBOS's, however, I have left them unmarked due to low volume candles printing erratically. This would in-turn distort internal structure.
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation, however, I will continue to monitor price action.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,851.115.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
NZDJPY at Key Support Level – Rebound Toward 86.660?OANDA:NZDJPY is approaching a significant support zone, marked by prior price reactions and strong buying pressure. This area has historically served as a key demand zone, suggesting the potential for a bullish reversal if buyers step in.
The current market structure indicates that if the price confirms a rejection from this support zone, there is a high probability of an upward move. I anticipate that if buyers defend this level, the market may head higher toward the 86.660 target, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or see an alternative perspective, feel free to comment!
CADCHF at Major Support Level – Bullish Rebound ExpectedOANDA:CADCHF is approaching a significant support zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if buyers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support zone, there is a high likelihood of an upward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 0.62870 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
#TVS MOTORS Demand ZoneA Demand Zone for TVS Motors refers to a specific price range or area on a stock chart where buying interest is significantly strong, leading to potential price reversals or bounces. This zone typically forms after a period of decline, where buyers step in to accumulate shares, creating support. Traders often identify demand zones using technical analysis tools like volume spikes, price consolidation, or key support levels. For TVS Motors, a demand zone could indicate a strategic entry point for investors anticipating upward momentum in the stock price.
BTC/USD Smart Money Analysis – 1H Timeframe📊 BTC/USD Smart Money Analysis – 1H Timeframe
🔹 Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmed
🔹 Fair Value Gaps (FVG) Identified
🔹 Key Supply & Demand Zones Mapped
📉 Bearish Outlook Before Potential Reversal:
📍 Supply Zones:
🔺 83,705-83,209
🔺 92,323-92,523
🔺 90,924-91,580
📍 Demand Zone:
🟢 73,997
⚡ Trading Plan:
🔹 Watching for liquidity grab near supply zones
🔹 Potential short opportunities at key levels
🔹 Looking for bullish confirmation at 73,997 for a reversal
#Fxforever #BTCUSD #BitcoinTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #PriceAction #LiquidityGrab #Crypto
XAU/USD– 30M Timeframe📊 XAU/USD Smart Money Analysis – 30M Timeframe
🔹 Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmed
🔹 Fair Value Gaps (FVG) Identified
🔹 Key Demand & Supply Zones Mapped
📉 Bearish Outlook Before Potential Reversal:
📍 Supply Zones:
🔺 2954-2956
🔺 2943-2947
🔺 2923.8-2929
📍 Demand Zones:
🟢 2874-2882
🟢 2834-2838
🟢 2807-2816
⚡ Trading Plan:
🔹 Watch for price reaction at demand zones
🔹 Look for bullish confirmation before entering long positions
🔹 Possible short opportunities if price rejects key supply zones
#Fxforever #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #PriceAction #LiquidityGrab #Forex