$EURGBP | Sell Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
Price action is bounced off an Interest Zone and created a newer low
Price is breaking through a support trendline
To note, Stochastics is moving into Oversold conditions but fundamentally, there is support for OANDA:EURGBP to be weaker
Fundamental Confluences:
This FX pair is a trade-related pair and normally doesn't move much against one another unless there is a change in fiscal or monetary front
In this sense, we got a gauge of how both central banks, ECB and BOE stance are. ECB is taking on a data dependent stance and is trying to resist cutting interest rates while BOE sent out a hawkish note the other day that majority of them do not want to cut rates
Naturally from a yield perspective, holding GBP compared to EUR is more attractive and this is what we are aiming for.
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Will be taking on a short OANDA:EURGBP position when market reopens on Monday.
This trade may take some time to complete as it there is normally not much action with this pair except during London's trading hours.
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Supplyanddemandanalysics
$PYPL | Allocated & Watchlist | Buy Limit & Buy Stop |Technical Confluences:
- Stochastics are in Overbought conditions in the Daily Timeframe
- Price is close to the top of the Parallel Channel and is currently in the Interest Zone
- Price action bounced off the Mid of the Parallel Channel which strengthens a bullish trend
- Fundamental Confluences:
- Paypal is considered a market leader in digital payments space due to its extensive network, brand recognition and services
- Revenue has been constantly increasing every quarter but lacking in revenue growth
- Better EPS, good FCF and reduced operating expenses are good storylines
- However, digital payment systems are facing alot of competition these days and Paypal being one of the initial pioneers will definitely need to step up and conquer back this space
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I have previously allocated into Paypal previously at 58.80 (when it was bouncing off the 78% Fibo retracement line.
I am still watching to continue to build up my NASDAQ:PYPL allocation. I will be looking to add more in the higher Buy Limit zone if the price breaks the Parallel Channel and goes above the Interest Zone.
I will also look into buying again close to the 61% and 78% Fibo line; assuming price cannot break the parallel channel this round and retrace backs down.
Will continue monitoring it.
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$USDJPY | Buy Trade | Market Exec | Technical Confluences:
- Price has been trying to consolidate at these prices
- Prices have bounced off the Interest Zone but will face Resistance Trendlines and interest zones above
Fundamental Confluences:
- Similarly, like the earlier FX:USDCHF post
- Market seems to have overdone their expectation of many rate cuts and based on how FED normally reacts, they are more reactive than pre-emptive.
- In that sense, the Jackson Hole event this Friday may disappoint markets if Powell sticks to his affirmation that Sept cut is highly likely but any other cuts will remain data-dependent (If I'm wrong, then we will cut it if it breaks the 2024 low)
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Taking on a short punt on the FX:USDJPY long trade before Jackson Hole event.
It will be a digital event trade. Make or break.
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$SOFI | Allocation | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
- Price action has bounced off a 78% Fibo retracement
- Below the 78% Fibo retracement is also been a Demand Zone which breaking it would like lead to a new all time low
- For price action to move up higher, it needs to break above the Interest Zone (@ 61% Fibo) and also the resistance trendline
- Upon breaking that, it's next resistance would be the Supply Zone area above
Fundamental Confluences:
- SoFi has shown impressive revenue growth but struggled with profitability, posting net losses due to high operating expenses and investments in growth.
- The path to profitability is improving as the company scales and focuses on higher-margin products, but consistent positive earnings have yet to be realized.
- They have historically reported negative FCF but recent quarters have shown improvements. The company’s ability to generate positive FCF will be critical to sustaining its growth without needing to rely on external financing.
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I have previously allocated to NASDAQ:SOFI before as I feel this company is a high-growth potential with promising narrative as explained above.
Will be happy to add if there is again a dip in the price.
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$HIMS | Allocation | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
- Price action is near the 50% Fibo retracement area
- Price action have bounced off the 200 MA (Red) and has a valid Resistance Trendline with an Interest Zone nearby
- Stochastics is inn Oversold conditions in the Daily & Weekly timeframes
- Elliot Wave 4 seems to be completing at the 50% Fibo line and aim for the 100% Fibo Extension line @ 29.51
Fundamental Confluences:
- Telemedicine with US being a focus market is great as healthcare issues seems to be increasing; demographics start to shift right
- The main health markets that they target are issues that many in the society prefer to remain anonymous about and telemedicine solves that for them
- One negative would be the high expenses they are spending on A&P budgets, a drag but overtime, we can see the impact of what they have been pushing all these while
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Putting NYSE:HIMS as part of my medical/health category of my portfolio.
Will start my first allocation now and look at adding more into it if price moves into 50% - 61% Fibo range (Interest Zone).
Remember, DYOR.
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Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
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Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
Platinum A Complex Equilibrium - Unraveling Market DynamicsThe platinum market is currently navigating a complex equilibrium shaped by a confluence of factors. A persistent supply deficit, driven largely by robust industrial demand, particularly from the automotive sector, has exerted upward pressure on prices. However, the specter of electric vehicle adoption, a long-term threat to platinum demand in the automotive catalyst market, introduces a countervailing force. This dynamic interplay between supply-demand fundamentals and technological disruption creates a challenging environment for market participants.
Moreover, the geopolitical landscape, particularly in South Africa, the dominant platinum producer, adds an additional layer of complexity. Labor unrest, infrastructure challenges, and broader political instability in the region can significantly impact supply and, consequently, prices. The broader global geopolitical environment also plays a role, as tensions between major world powers can create uncertainty and market volatility.
Despite these headwinds, the potential for inventory depletion and ongoing industrial demand suggest that the market may continue to exhibit bullish tendencies. Yet, the magnitude and timing of these bullish impulses will be contingent upon the evolving dynamics of supply, demand, and geopolitical risks. As such, market participants must adopt a nuanced perspective, carefully considering both the short-term and long-term implications of these interconnected factors.
Essentially, the platinum market is a complex system characterized by non-linear relationships and feedback loops. Understanding these intricacies is crucial for developing effective investment and trading strategies.
Will EURUSD Drop Again ?I see EURUSD in the 1.08172-1.07836 area, there is a base area (DBD), as a supply area for UERUSD, and there is an EMA 200, with the trend formed by EURUSD being a downtrend, based on the above it is very realistic to determine a SELL plan in the Supply area with SL above the supply zone and TP 2R is very possible to achieve.
Hopefully I'm right and luck comes my way.
Note: this idea is not a recommendation for making your trading decisions. All losses and profits are not our responsibility. Happy Trading keep safe.
BTC | Short H4 | Market Exec |Crypto Toppish For NowTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 time-frame
- Price action is close to a Resistance Trendline
- Price action is close to a 200 EMA (still bearish for now)
- Price action is in a consolidation zone
- Targeting the 61.8% Fibo retracement
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Nothing new in the Crypto space to start any new hype to enter the market
- Crypto ETF craze has passed; wait for the next one maybe for ETH
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 62,700 - 65,300
SL @ 68,042
TP 1 @ 59,200 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 53,685
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.27 (Depending on Entry Level)
________________________________
Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
________________________________
Bitcoin Bull Run Brewing? Weekly Supply & Demand Analysis!Hello Traders,
Critical Zone Breakout from Supply Zone Indicates Potential Upside Momentum, While Failure to Respect Signals Downside Pressure Ahead.
We have one Demand Zone, and 2 Supply Zones. If The Price Breaks The Supply Zone, Take Entry While Retesting OR Pullback of The Move Otherwise If It Respects The Supply Area Then Look For The Short Entries!
Please Note That The Only Purpose of The Information On This Page is Purely Educational.
I Would Welcome Your Participation And Support in the Form of Likes, Comments, And Follow us to Offer Some Encouragement.
Thank You.
Will LINK Chain Up Further? Probing Supply & Demand for Bullish Hello Traders,
Critical Zone Breakout from Supply Zone Indicates Potential Upside Momentum,
We have 2 Supply Zones. If The Price Breached The Supply Zone, Take Entry While Retested and Looking For Bullish Momentum
Please Note That The Only Purpose of The Information On This Page is Purely Educational.
I Would Welcome Your Participation And Support in the Form of Likes, Comments, And Follow us to Offer Some Encouragement.
Thank You.
Short Opportunity for EUR/USDEUR/USD is currently in a strong downtrend, and a previous trade idea based on the break of the previous day's low and 4-hour support yielded a 40-pip gain . The analysis now indicates a potential opportunity as the price approaches another critical level.
Now Seems like price is pulling back to 1h resistance at 1.06949.
If the price retests this level with an entry confirmation, a short trade is recommended. There are three potential targets:
The first target is set at 1.06668, which is a 4H support level.
The second target is at 1.06482, representing 1H support level.
The final target is the another 1H support level at 1.06319.
This setup could potentially yield more than 60+ pips. Traders should closely monitor the price for entry confirmations and act accordingly.
if not price can pullback to 1.07317 level.
Please remember to exercise caution and implement appropriate risk management strategies. Trading carries inherent risks, and this idea is not financial advice. Conduct your own research, assess your risk tolerance, and consider seeking guidance from a professional financial advisor as needed.
USDCAD sept 27 2023 sellAs you can see, there is a shift in market structure 1H TF.
Before going further, there is also same scenario if you checked daily TF---> BOS and then going lower.
I waited for the level highlighted with institutional candle due to the fact that it sponsored the price to go lower. Upon checking I also see BOS following validity structure :)
After that I go to lower timeframe 15min ( where I would normally enter).
RR: 1:10
wyckoff distribution with validity/evidence.
You can also check the chart for more information.
Happy learning!
GBPUSD SHORT: H1 / M15This trade happened during the Asian session on the H1.
There was no chance to capitalise on this on the H1 chart.
It would seem we have now turned bearish with H1-OF.
I waited for an M15-CH to put me back in line with the current bearish OF.
1. H1 OF is bearish
2. H1 has moved into fresh supply which led to a H1-BOS
3. We have moved into the premium of the range
What could flip this?
1. The pullback is not finished
2. If a pullback broke the H1 high id have to re-think my bearish stance.
3. We also have some fresh unmitigated demand zones on the M15