Supplyanddemmand
USOIL Slides to Crucial Support Region on Demand JittersThe commodity staged a four-week relief rally recently and the longest profitable streak of the year, helped by OPEC+ supply curbs extension and summer travel demand. At the same time, soft US inflation and dovish Fed commentary have boosted market pricing for multiple cuts, which can provide another tailwind. Above the EMA200 bulls have the ability to set higher highs (84.54), but don’t inspire yet confidence for new 2024 highs (87.66).
Despite the near-term favorable supply-demand dynamics, longer-term prospects are gloomy, as OPEC+ will start returning oil to the market and usage is likely to decelerate substantially this year. This week’s data from China (the world’s largest importer) aggravated demand concerns, as the economy grew by 4.7% y/y in Q2 and the slowest pace in more than a year.
USOil faces pressure as a result and threatens a key support region, provided by the 200Days EMA (blue line), the 38.2% Fibonacci of the last leg up and the upper border of the daily Ichimoku Cloud. Although this cluster has the potential to contain the fall, a breach would shift bias to the downside. This would expose WTI to 76.13 and bring the June lows to the spotlight (72.40), although sustained weakness is not easy under current conditions.
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Axie Infinity (AXSUSD): Eyeing a Key BreakoutOn the 12-hour chart for AXS, we've completed Wave 2 at the $5.82 level. Since then, we've been in a continuous upward phase, forming higher lows three times and now a higher high. This pattern suggests continued upward movement.
There are two key areas to watch: the 12-hour supply zone starting at $10.31 and the 12-hour demand zone at $7.50, which aligns with the current trendline. We expect the trend to continue upwards, particularly if the price touches the demand zone at $7.50, providing a potential entry point. Our target on the upside is the supply zone at $10.31. Whether the price moves beyond this level is uncertain and will require monitoring. The low volume between these zones suggests that the price could rise rapidly once it starts moving.
Analyzing the monthly VWAP for AXS, we see that the December VWAP provided resistance at a high of $8.70. The price tagged this level perfectly before falling back down. We believed the price might dip further to similar levels and he did. The demand zone started at $7.50 and extends down to $7.25. For us, the absolute maximum level to watch is the December VAL at $7.23, where we expect to find support. However, it's possible that the price could dip slightly lower to clear the liquidity from the last dip in early June.
Once this liquidity is taken out, we anticipate a potential push higher, aiming to break above the December VWAP. This setup provides a clear structure for potential entry points and targets based on current resistance and support levels. In summary, we are looking for an entry around the $7.50 demand zone, with an initial target at the $10.31 supply zone. Further movement will depend on market conditions and volume dynamics at that time.
AUDNZD | Short H4 | Market Exe | Trade-Related TradeTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H1 & H4 time-frame
- Price action is close to a Supply Zone (Blue Area) & has Resistance Trendlines around
- Aiming for the 38.2% Fibo retracement to TP
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Nothing much can dictate the movement of this FX pair as they are heavily trade-related. Any major movement will come from supply-demand areas, monetary policies or economic data gyrations.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.0970 - 1.1010
SL @ 1.1060
TP 1 @ 1.0920 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.0838
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.04 (Depending on Entry Level)
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Great Short Trades on the DOW as price dumped on FOMCThe DOW was sold lower as traders looked to lock in some profit.
By planning ahead and assessing recent price action, you were able to steer clear of the early rally and focus on Sell Setups to take advantage of the selloff.
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XAUUSD LONG AND SHORT Hi Friends
I'm back with another analysis, To begin with gold is in a downtrend and there are multiple supply levels which the immediate one is a 5 min supply level around 2025-2026. then above it we have 2027 level which this morning market reacted to. Currently market is above the demand level of 19 and has reacted to it multiple times already. incase market continues downward other levels do exist for a long trade.
In case we go up supply levels are also drawn.
* As always add your intuition and logic into this analysis and trade cautiously
*Be honorable
gold bullish after retest of supprt zonebullish trend on the background of favorable fundamental. the price is testing the support. growth may continue
With further collisions with the resistance level, it is possible that the price will not be able to return and we will see that in the next collisions the price will pass through this area and reach the next levels of 2075 2082
The Concept of Supply / Demand TradingThe principle of supply and demand trading involves identifying a counter-trend candle that precedes a sequence of three consecutive candles exhibiting strong bullish or bearish momentum. This specific candle is designated as the supply or demand level. The underlying theory posits that when the price retraces to the region where demand previously triggered a robust price movement, it is likely to encounter renewed demand, consequently attracting a larger number of buyers, thereby sustaining the prevailing trend.
Rule 1: The aggressive price movement must consist of 2-3 (3 preferred) candles that demonstrate remarkable strength in their respective directions.
Rule 2: The candle retracing to the demand zone should close outside of the zone, accompanied by a wick that reflects considerable strength.
Small timeframe Short on Gold.I think price will come back down to retest the projected area just under the take profit (1934.50). Then I think we'll see a continuance to the upside (around 1953).
This is just my opinion, not trading advice. Let me know what you guys think if you come across this! -- Again this is a short term trade. If it hits SL so be it. That comes with the game.
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OANDA:GBPUSD OANDA:EURUSD
XAUUSD Possible tradesHi Guys I'm back with Analysis on Gold this time.
Last Friday gold touched major supply zone around 1930 and started selling off. It was a perfect opportunity since we had a supply area + trendline, a perfect confluence. Now we could wait for the area to be tested second time and upon reaching there make sure you get the confirmation in lower time frames.
Below the current market price we have multiple areas of demand which the immediate one is 1907 that has been tested once on last Friday and this could be the second time. Again make sure you check for the confirmation in lower time frames.
Beneath our immediate demand level there are other demand zones which you could take trades should price reach there.
Just like always I'll try to keep it simple.
Be honorable
GBPJPY Sept 28 2023 BUY TradeGBP JPY:
Starts with Daily Structure--->BULLISH
4H Bullish--TAP of Demand Zone
1H---> DEMAND
15Min ENTRY.
A Clear Wyckoff Accumulation seen on 15minTF. Upon checking , It is aligned with the higher time frame bias.
London Open Entry because of Validity and Liquidity Grab in 15min TF.
If you zoom on the chart, you can see BOS after validity. Another confirmation of demand.
Asian session introduced demand
RR: 1:7