Weekly FOREX Forecast: April 24 - 28th (Part 2)Welcome to another Forex Daily Forecast!
We will be preparing for the trading week ahead:
- Analysis of the individual currency Futures, to identify the strong and the weak
- Analysis of the FX pairs (EURCAD, EURAUD, EURNZD, GBPUSD, GBPAUD, NZDCHF, NZDUSD, AUDCHF, GBPCAD, CADCHF,...)
- Analysis of Gold, Silver, and OIl too!
- Plot and plan for the best setups.
I'm taking my time with this analysis with the viewer in mind. I want you to see the markets through my eyes, so the analysis is fresh, done live, for you to learn how to do this yourself. I want to raise independent traders, capable of reading the markets and planning their own trades. I'm hoping we can end up raising each other's level, in an "iron sharpens iron" kind of way, coming together and sharing trade ideas in our community of traders.
Always remember, just because they aren't setting up now, doesn't mean it won't set up later! So stay tuned for updates!
We are going to look in depth at the forex market, using top down analysis. If you have a question on any of the content, please leave a message in the comments section. For beginners, this is how you analyze forex markets, identify supply and demand zones, key levels of support and resistance, and look for swing trade setups.
Smash a LIKE and tell me what you think in the comments section! These things help to grow this channel! I appreciate your support and feedback, my people! It encourages me to continue to provide free content to the public, in hopes to grow a community of sharp traders.
Supplyanddemmand
GBPNZD I STRONG set up coming this week! Here's How to trade it.Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPNZD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
NZD/CAD Potential Forecast |HTF Analysis| Thursday 20 April 2023Hi everyone !!
On NZD/CAD we have a huge demand above. Because overall structure bias is bearish and that can confuse a lot of the traders if the price starts to reverse.
The Demand (POI) market on the chart is on a daily TF so it can mean that whoever buy from this it can buy again and make trend reversal.
Every time you place a trade make sure that your confirmation is confirmed with your system/trading plan.
Good luck!
$BTC Supply and Demand Zones as well as Support and Resistance Based on the 15 min intraday chart of BTC as of March 24, 2023, here is a possible analysis:
Supply Zone: $28,500 - $28,800 Demand Zone: $27,000 - $27,200
Support: $27,000 Resistance: $28,800
The analysis is based on the following factors:
Technical Analysis: The supply zone is formed by the high of March 23 and the open price of the last candle, while the demand zone is formed by the low of March 24 and the close price of the previous candle. The support and resistance levels are also derived from these zones. The chart shows a downtrend within these zones, with lower highs and lower lows. The volume is relatively high, indicating strong selling pressure.
Fundamental Analysis: BTC tracks the performance of Bitcoin, which is the leading cryptocurrency by market capitalization and adoption. Bitcoin has been trading near its all-time highs, supported by growing institutional and retail demand, innovation and development, and network effects. However, some challenges such as regulatory uncertainty, scalability issues, and competition may limit further upside potential.
News and Events: BTC may react to any major news or events that affect the market sentiment and expectations. For example, on March 24, 2023, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rejected a proposal for a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) by VanEck, citing concerns over market manipulation and investor protection. This may have triggered a sell-off in BTC in the morning session.
Sentiment Analysis: BTC may also reflect the prevailing mood and emotions of the traders and investors. One way to measure this is by using indicators such as the Fear & Greed Index (FGI), which measures the implied sentiment of Bitcoin options. A high FGI indicates greed and optimism, while a low FGI indicates fear and pessimism. As of March 24, 2023, the FGI was at 40, which is in the fear zone, suggesting some caution and nervousness in the market.
Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence: BTC may also be influenced by algorithms and bots that use advanced techniques such as machine learning and artificial intelligence to analyze data and execute trades. These methods may be able to identify patterns and trends that are not visible to human eyes or conventional tools. However, they may also introduce noise and unpredictability into the market, especially during periods of high volatility or low liquidity.
Price Action: BTC may also follow its own logic and behavior based on supply and demand forces. Price action is the study of how price moves and reacts to various factors without relying on any indicators or external information. Price action traders use tools such as candlestick patterns, trend lines, chart patterns, and Fibonacci retracements to identify entry and exit points based on price movements alone.
Based on the 15 min intraday chart of BTC as of March 25, 2023, here are some possible supply and demand zones as well as support and resistance levels:
Supply Zone: $28,800 - $29,000
Demand Zone: $27,200 - $27,400
Support: $27,200
Resistance: $29,000
These zones and levels are based on the previous day's high and low and the current day's open and close prices. The chart shows an uptrend within these zones, with higher highs and higher lows. The volume is relatively high, indicating strong buying pressure.
However, if price breaks above or below these zones, new supply and demand zones as well as support and resistance levels may be formed. For example:
If price breaks above the supply zone ($28,500 - $28,800), a new demand zone may be formed around this area, while a new supply zone may be formed around the next resistance level of $30,000¹, which is a psychological round number and a potential target for many traders.
If price breaks below the demand zone ($27,000 - $27,200), a new supply zone may be formed around this area, while a new demand zone may be formed around the next support level of $26,000², which is the low of March 22, 2023 and a previous resistance level.
I hope this helps you understand my supply and demand zones better. Do you have any questions or feedback?😊
$SPY Supply and Demand Zones as well as Support and Resistance Based on the 15 min intraday chart of SPY as of April 5, 2023, here is a possible analysis:
Supply Zone: $407.91 - $408.67 Demand Zone: $405.88 - $406.50
Support: $405.88 Resistance: $408.67
The analysis is based on the following factors:
Technical Analysis: The supply zone is formed by the high of the day and the open price of the last candle, while the demand zone is formed by the low of the day and the close price of the previous candle. The support and resistance levels are also derived from these zones. The chart shows a sideways trend within these zones, with no clear breakout or breakdown signals. The volume is relatively low, indicating a lack of momentum.
Fundamental Analysis: The SPY tracks the performance of the S&P 500 index, which reflects the overall health of the US economy and stock market. The index has been trading near its all-time highs, supported by strong earnings growth, fiscal stimulus, and vaccine rollouts. However, some headwinds such as inflation fears, rising bond yields, and geopolitical tensions may limit further upside potential.
News and Events: The SPY may react to any major news or events that affect the market sentiment and expectations. For example, on April 5, 2023, the US released its ISM Services PMI data, which came in better than expected at 63.7, indicating a robust expansion in the service sector. This may have boosted the SPY slightly in the afternoon session.
Sentiment Analysis: The SPY may also reflect the prevailing mood and emotions of the traders and investors. One way to measure this is by using indicators such as the VIX (volatility index), which measures the implied volatility of S&P 500 options. A high VIX indicates fear and uncertainty, while a low VIX indicates complacency and confidence. As of April 5, 2023, the VIX was at 25.51, which is above its historical average of 20, suggesting some caution and nervousness in the market.
Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence: The SPY may also be influenced by algorithms and bots that use advanced techniques such as machine learning and artificial intelligence to analyze data and execute trades. These methods may be able to identify patterns and trends that are not visible to human eyes or conventional tools. However, they may also introduce noise and unpredictability into the market, especially during periods of high volatility or low liquidity.
Price Action: The SPY may also follow its own logic and behavior based on supply and demand forces. Price action is the study of how price moves and reacts to various factors without relying on any indicators or external information. Price action traders use tools such as candlestick patterns, trend lines, chart patterns, and Fibonacci retracements to identify entry and exit points based on price movements alone.
If price breaks out of the current supply and demand zones ($407.91 - $408.67 and $405.88 - $406.50), the next zones may depend on how far and how fast price moves and how it reacts to other support and resistance levels.
One possible way to estimate the next zones is to use the size of the current zones as a guide. For example:
If price breaks above the supply zone ($407.91 - $408.67), the size of the zone is $0.76 ($408.67 - $407.91). Adding this amount to the high of the zone gives a possible target of $409.43 ($408.67 + $0.76). This could be the end of a new supply zone, while the start of it could be around the next resistance level of $412.35, which is the high of March 3, 2023. Therefore, a possible new supply zone could be $409.43 - $412.35.
If price breaks below the demand zone ($405.88 - $406.50), the size of the zone is $0.62 ($406.50 - $405.88). Subtracting this amount from the low of the zone gives a possible target of $405.26 ($405.88 - $0.62). This could be the start of a new demand zone, while the end of it could be around the next support level of $402.35, which is the low of March 1, 2023. Therefore, a possible new demand zone could be $402.35 - $405.26.
These are just rough estimates and may not be accurate or reliable, as price may not move in a linear or predictable way and may be influenced by other factors such as volume, news, sentiment, or machine learning. Therefore, traders should always use other tools and methods to confirm their entries and exits and adjust their zones and levels accordingly.😊
NASDAQ UPDATEThis is an update of the previous analysis. The price reached the offer zone, never confirmed entry in 5m, and with the volume of 09:30 NY and the news of the Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment. The price eliminated the zone, taking liquidity from it and then distributed below the low, breaking structural points. After breaking the zone I expected a confirmation in 5 m to take shorts but he never gave it. He left a valid zone of 30 minutes in which he can test before the market closes or in any case perhaps for next week.
If you liked it, help me by leaving a boost and a comment telling me what you think.
GBPUSDThis is what I see on GU. The price is in the sales area. In a 4H zone. At the moment what I see that the price is doing is an AMD. I am waiting for the price to distribute below the low that the last high created to take sales.
This is my vision in GU, if you liked it leave a comment and a boost.
My social networks are in my profile in case you want to see more trading.
EurusdThe price made a strong move higher from an area of higher demand. Leaving me a valid H4 zone with imbalance. In the area above we have that the price made an EQH that according to my operation is liquidity that the price is going to look for later.
This is my vision. Leave a comment if u like it.
My networks are in my profile!!
Watch BTC closley ...Check out my last analysis about bitcoin, it gives you great vision about what's going on.
clearly there was an impulse wave as i counted in the chart and now the correction is happening but this but this correction is going to take a little bit more time to finish . I demonstrated a authentic supply zone in the chart. You can start buying when the downtrend got weak and there was a divergence in the RSI indicator
AXSUSDT is testing the key level!AXSUSDT is testing the weekly support at the $9.9 area, which is a crucial level for traders and investors.
The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level is also in close proximity, which is a key level for traders who use Fibonacci retracements to identify potential areas of support. It is expected that the price will bounce off this level, as it has done in the past, as traders look to enter long positions.
However, in order for this bounce to occur, the price needs to break out from the descending channel and static resistance, which has been acting as a significant barrier to upside movement. Once this breakout occurs, it is likely that we will see a strong move to the upside, potentially towards the $12.5 area.
According to Plancton's rules, a new long position should be opened once the breakout occurs and the price closes above the resistance level. This is because the breakout is a strong indication that the trend has shifted in favor of the bulls, and that further upside movement is likely. As such, traders who follow Plancton's rules may look to enter long positions in anticipation of a strong move higher.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <= 1h structure.
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
XAUUSD SHORT BIAS IDEAHello all!
Once again my projection played out perfectly (last week XAUUSD video analysis).
Now, retracement is playing out, looking at the next Daily Supply Zone (refined to 4H), GOLD is heading towards the zone!
I will look to enter on a CONFIRMATION ENTRY ONLY! I will look for LIQUIDITY to build up just below (Potential outcome), then monitor LTF for a POI to follow the next leg down on GOLD!
In other cases, GOLD may just push up, and mitigate the zone before NFP, and sell hard after NFP release! But, we will see! We can only project the market! :)
Take care!
EURUSD LONG BIAS (UPDATED)Hello all!
EU Idea! I will be looking to take a LONG position on EURUSD.
Imbalances filled, and Demand zone mitigated earlier this week..
Was waiting for a nice POI to BUY from. For now, i will monitor LTF like usual, if this POI mitigates during news, i will enter AGGRESSIVELY!
Take care!
US30 SHORT BIAS (UPDATED)!Hello all!
US30 Idea for you!
I will be looking to sell Dow to 32250. From there a Strong DEMAND zone would be mitigated.
This isn't my exact entry on this pair, as i will look for confirmation due to the BUY volume (Looking at hourly TF)
Monitor LTF and execute the SHORT position accordingly! Will only enter aggressively if the POI is mitigated during US news tomorrow!
Take care!
USDJPY SHORT BIAS (UPDATE!)Hello all!
UJ Idea for you!
The pair was analysed Top-Down before, projected UJ to mitigate the monthly Demand @ 128 and SHOOT up from there.
Since then the pair was controlled by BUYERS, now i expect a retracement to collect liquidity, as it is approaching a STRONG Supply zone!
Will enter on CONFIRMATION! Monitor LTF and take a SHORT position..
Take care!
GBPJPY LONG BIAS! (UPDATED!)Hello all!
Hope you are all well!
GJ is still very BULLISH, like projected in January, the pair bought from 157 area, and now i am looking for entries to take LONG positions until we hit 166.
I have marked my POI for you (LTF) where i will monitor 15min and 1h time frame and look to enter a LONG position.
Take care!
GBPJPY LONG BIAS! (UPDATED)Hello all!
Like Projected last week on GJ! Pair MITIGATED my POI shared from last time and moved up towards 166!
I will look to find a new entry for a LONG position when something presents on LTF! For now the Hourly trendline is super BULLISH..
So, safest option is waiting for a POI then monitoring it correctly before executing..
Take care!