Opportunity to BUY GBPAUDI saw that there was a clear base ( RBR ) on GBPAUD, after the price rose on Friday last week.
The GBPAUD plan takes the BUY opportunity if the price enters the base. Look at the chart.
This plan is not a recommendation for making GBPAUD trading decisions, all profits and losses are not our responsibility.
Supplyandemandzones
Sell opportunity in the H1 supply area ?I see a strong supply area on H1 as evidenced by price rejections that have not been able to penetrate this supply area. For those of us who follow SnD, this can be used as a SELL setup plan in the RBD area of the GBPJPY supply area. The most important thing is to keep risk in mind. Happy Trading.
Disclaimer: always trade safely, trading risks are not our responsibility.
IMX Targets $1.89IMX has lost support and is now trading below the Value Area Low, signaling a selling imbalance. The next area of support (Demand Zone), sits at $1.89. With a nice reaction from that level, a solid bounce and follow.
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GBPJPY Bullish After RetestI see that GBPJPY will experience a decline and enter the demand area, our plan is to take a BUY setup if the price enters the demand area with a realistic target of 1: 2, setup, see chart image. Thank you happy trading.
Note: this is not trading advice. All risks are not our responsibility. Secure your account.
AUD/NZD ShortContext:
• Monthly neutral / sideways
• Weekly bearish FVGs, ignored bullish order block
• Clearly bearish
Idea:
• Short at daily FVG
Entry:
• Entry Range: 1.0774 to 1.0787
• Entry Signal: Reversal Setup on 30min - 1h
Scenario:
• Liquidity sweep above 1.0774 (dashed line)
• Avoid building a FVG on 4h
Stop:
• Above your Reversal Setup / Entry Setup
Scenario invalidet
• 4h Close above 1.0771
→ Next location would then be 1.0806
Please leave a comment if you have any suggestion or question.
USDJPY will continue bearish ?I see a bearish trend on USDJPY, marked by the price below the 200 EMA in black, and currently the price is entering the RBD Rally Base Drop supply area, I see the price will continue its decline, if you take 1: 2 from the SL plan, this is quite realistic. Happy Trading.
The risk of profit and loss is not our responsibility. This is not financial decision advice. Secure your account whit Stop Loss
EUR/CHF ShortRejection Monthly, iFVG on W. "Bullish" prev. Day low broken. 4h all bear FVGs respected. If 4h-Close below prev day low: Short around 0.977, look for lower timeframe entry for propper CRV - or Stop above 4h-Candle about 0.9792. First Target 0.973, 2nd 0.969, runner (very long run) 0.9565
BTC Range Bound on H1The potential reversal points for Bitcoin (BTC) within the specified ranges of $66,600-$67,200 and $70,100-$70,600 are critical levels to watch for traders. Here’s a detailed analysis based on current technical indicators and market sentiment:
Support Range ($66,600-$67,200):
Volume and Price Action: There is a noticeable increase in buy volume when Bitcoin approaches the $66,600 support level, indicating that buyers are stepping in at these lower prices to accumulate BTC. This accumulation can lead to a price reversal if sustained buying pressure continues.
Technical Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) often indicates oversold conditions when Bitcoin dips to this range, suggesting a potential upward correction. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator shows a bullish divergence in this zone, which is a strong signal for a potential reversal.
Resistance Range ($70,100-$70,600):
Volume and Price Action: Bitcoin has faced significant selling pressure near the $70,100 to $70,600 range, making it a crucial resistance zone. The price tends to reverse from this level due to profit-taking by traders who bought at lower levels.
Candlestick Patterns: Bearish candlestick patterns, such as the bearish engulfing or doji, often form near this resistance level, indicating a potential price reversal. Monitoring these patterns can help in predicting short-term pullbacks.
Technical Indicators: The RSI and Stochastic oscillators often show overbought conditions when BTC reaches this range, signaling that a correction may be imminent. Furthermore, the moving averages (e.g., 50-period and 200-period EMAs) can act as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the likelihood of a reversal at these levels.
Potential Trading Strategy
For Long Positions: Traders might consider entering long positions if BTC shows strong support and bullish confirmation signals within the $66,600-$67,200 range. Setting stop-loss orders slightly below $66,600 can manage risk effectively.
For Short Positions: Conversely, entering short positions around the $70,100-$70,600 range can be prudent if bearish signals and resistance confirmation are observed. Stop-loss orders just above $70,600 can protect against unexpected bullish breakouts.
Conclusion
Monitoring these key levels, along with volume and technical indicators, can provide a strategic edge in anticipating potential reversals in Bitcoin’s price. Keeping an eye on market sentiment and broader economic factors will also enhance decision-making in trading BTC within these range
Supply and Demand Trading Patterns and StrategiesSupply and Demand Trading Patterns and Strategies
Understanding the nuances of supply and demand is essential for traders to discern potential market reversals, identify trend continuations, and execute well-informed trading strategies. This article delves into the core patterns and strategies of trading based on these zones, providing a structured approach to identifying potential trading opportunities.
What Are Supply and Demand Zones?
Supply and demand zones are specific areas on a chart that indicate where the price of an asset has historically made significant moves, either upwards or downwards. These zones are identified by observing patterns where price action has shown a strong reaction—either a sharp increase (demand zone) or a sharp decrease (supply zone).
A demand zone is typically found where the market has stopped falling and then shot upwards. This area represents a level where buyers found the price attractive enough to enter the market in large numbers, driving it up. Conversely, a supply zone represents a level at which selling interest overcomes buying pressure, causing the price to fall sharply. This is typically where sellers find the asset overvalued and decide to exit their positions or open new positions to sell.
These zones are typically drawn at the ‘bases’ found in the patterns described below, from the consolidation’s low to high. Identifying these zones can provide traders with insights into potential future movements, as prices often retest these levels. When the price returns to a supply or demand zone, it can indicate an opportunity for traders to open new positions in anticipation of a repeat of past market behaviour.
The Role of Accumulations and Distributions
Accumulation and distribution are critical in understanding how supply and demand zones form and behave in financial markets. These terms describe the actions taken by influential market players—often large institutional investors or "smart money"—as they prepare for a potential price movement. They form a key component of Wyckoff trading.
Accumulation occurs when these entities begin to buy or "accumulate" a long position over a period, typically at lower levels. This phase is generally not accompanied by a notable price increase, as the buying is done gradually to avoid significant movements that could attract attention. The end of an accumulation phase is often marked by a reaccumulation, where buying resumes after a brief rally and pullback/consolidation, further establishing a demand zone.
Distribution reflects the opposite scenario, where large holders begin to sell their holdings, usually after a rise. This selling does not immediately lead to a drop; it happens subtly to prevent a drastic decrease in price. Following a distribution phase, a redistribution might occur where selling continues after a minor rally or consolidation—this process helps solidify a supply zone.
The Four Key Patterns in Supply and Demand Trading
Recognising specific patterns in supply and demand zones can significantly assist traders in determining potential market movements. These patterns, derived from price action and the behaviour of market participants, provide visual cues on charts that suggest future trajectories.
Here are four key patterns:
1. Rally-Base-Rally (RBR)
This pattern is a bullish indicator and occurs as the price leaves an accumulation/demand zone. The sequence starts with a rally, where there is a noticeable upward movement. This is followed by a base, a period where prices consolidate within a relatively narrow range, indicating a balance between buyers and sellers. The pattern completes with another rally, suggesting that demand has overwhelmed supply, pushing prices higher.
Recognising the Rally-Base-Rally pattern can signal traders to consider a long position as the market sentiment will likely continue upward.
2. Drop-Base-Drop (DBD)
Mirroring the RBR, the Drop-Base-Drop pattern is a bearish formation found after a successful distribution from a supply zone. It begins with a drop, indicating strong selling pressure. The base phase occurs next, where the price moves sideways briefly, showing uncertainty or equal force from buyers and sellers. A subsequent drop follows, demonstrating renewed selling pressure and an overpowering supply.
As the price leaves the base, there’s a potential selling opportunity for traders expecting further declines.
3. Rally-Base-Drop (RBD)
The Rally-Base-Drop pattern typically signals the formation of a supply zone and is indicative of a bearish reversal. It starts with a rally, where buyers temporarily gain control. However, this rally is short-lived and leads into a base phase—a period of consolidation. The critical phase is the subsequent drop, where sellers dominate, reversing the initial upward trend.
This pattern is particularly valuable for traders looking to capture the shift from a bullish to a bearish market.
4. Drop-Base-Rally (DBR)
Contrary to RBD, the Drop-Base-Rally pattern indicates a bullish reversal and creates a demand zone. It starts with an initial drop, reflecting strong selling. This phase is followed by a base, where the market finds equilibrium and the selling pressure begins to wane. The final phase is a rally, suggesting that buyers have regained control and are likely to push prices higher.
This pattern aids traders in spotting potential entry points for long positions as the market sentiment shifts from bearish to bullish.
To try spotting these patterns for yourself, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform to access real-time charts.
How to Trade Supply and Demand Zones
Trading supply and demand zones effectively involves understanding their potential role as areas of support (demand) or resistance (supply). In an established trend, these zones are formed from bases—periods of consolidation—that, once the price breaks out and moves in a consistent direction, are likely to act as areas of support or resistance on return.
For instance, in a Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) pattern, the base, after the initial rally, is likely to act as a demand zone. If prices revisit this base, it typically serves as a support level, where the price is expected to stop falling and start rising again. Conversely, in patterns like Drop-Base-Rally (DBD), the base also functions as a demand zone. Here, if the price falls back to this zone, it is anticipated to encounter support, leading to a potential bullish move away.
Supply and Demand Zones: Trading Strategies
Trading strategies based on supply and demand zones are centred around the identification and reaction to key levels that indicate underlying shifts in market sentiment. Traders often focus on how price exits these zones to gauge potential continuation or reversal of trends.
Strategy for Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) and Drop-Base-Drop (DBD)
This Drop-Base-Drop/Rally-Base-Rally strategy capitalises on the formation of a base after a distinct move that often breaks an established trend, i.e. moving sharply above a lower high in a downtrend or higher low in an uptrend.
Traders look to this pattern as it leverages the momentum generated from a strong initial move (rally or drop) followed by a stabilisation period (base) that offers a clear breakout point, indicating a potential trend continuation.
Entry
Traders typically monitor the price as it rallies or drops, forming a base.
A breakout from the consolidation zone is awaited, where the price moves above the high in RBR or below the low in DBD.
Entry may be made via a stop order at the breakout point to capture the movement as it happens.
Stop Loss
It may be placed just outside the opposite side of the base range to protect against false breakouts.
Take Profit
It may be set at previously identified supply or demand zones where price may potentially react and reverse.
Strategy for Rally-Base-Drop (RBD) and Drop-Base-Rally (DBR)
This approach focuses on reversal patterns forming in established supply or demand zones, offering insights into potential trend shifts. It utilises the inherent strength of existing supply or demand zones, coupled with a clear reversal pattern, to identify high-probability trades in line with the trend's direction.
Entry
Traders observe an established supply or demand zone and look inside it for an RBD or DBR pattern formation, respectively.
A break of a significant high (in downtrends) or low (in uptrends) within these zones signals the strength of the pattern.
Following the break, traders wait for a retracement back to the zone, placing a limit order at the edge of the zone.
Stop Loss
It may be positioned just beyond the opposite side of the zone to safeguard against the price moving beyond the established boundary of the zone.
Take Profit
It may be targeted at the next significant supply or demand zone that could oppose the current movement.
The Bottom Line
Supply and demand zones and their related patterns can offer traders a potential edge across various asset types, including forex, stocks, commodities, and cryptocurrencies*. The strategies described can be a great starting place for anyone looking to explore this trading style. If you’d like to put this theory into practice, consider opening an FXOpen account to access a wide range of assets and our advanced TickTrader platform.
FAQs
What Is a Supply and Demand Zone in Trading?
Supply and demand zones are specific areas on a trading chart where significant buying (demand zones) or selling (supply zones) activity has occurred, causing the price to move dramatically. These zones are used to identify potential areas where the price might either stall or reverse based on past trading activity.
What Is the Difference Between Supply & Demand Zones and Support & Resistance Zones?
While both supply and demand zones and support and resistance zones identify key levels, supply and demand zones are identified by areas that cause substantial price movements, whereas support and resistance are defined by frequent price reversals at certain price levels.
What Are the 4 Stages of the Market Cycle?
The four stages of the market cycle include Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and Markdown. These stages describe the systematic process of price movement in markets, from periods where smart money accumulates positions to phases where these positions are distributed, leading to price declines.
*At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
LINKUSDT | MT Long H4 | Chainlink's Supply-Demand ZonePair: HTX:LINKUSDT
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Long
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Price have bounced off 61.8% Fibo retracement levels
- Price action is within two different parallel channels; 1 acts as a bottom channel support and the other is within a supply-demand zone channel
- Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Chainlink's progress has been remarkable and their latest application, Transporter allows users to move crypto assets and data across multiple networks.
- Further escalation of war risk may see risk assets get affected
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 12.90 - 13.50
SL @ 11.59
TP 1 @ 14.48 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 16.03
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.26 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
AUDCAD | Short H4 | Market Exec | Similar to NZDCADTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 timeframe
- Price action is at a Supply Zone and has another Consolidation Zone nearby it
- Price action is at the top of a channel resistance
- Targeting the 50% Fibo retracement
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Same setup as the NZDCAD trade I just posted as well
- AUD has a RBA event risk if this trade is taken
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.9030 - 0.9060
SL @ 0.9093
TP 1 @ 0.8983 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.8921
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.14 (Depending on Entry Level)
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Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
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XAUUSD: $2330 area to be filled around! OANDA:XAUUSD
Our last idea on gold turned out to be 700+ pips opportunity, here we have seen some bearish movement that has started happening. There are some areas that needs to be filled around $2330 area which remain a vital key level for buyers. Please use accurate risk management and do your own research.
USDCAD: DXY strong bull run will continue to dominateDear Traders,
DXY strong bull run continue to dominate all the USD pairs, and it will likely to dominate the market in future. Because recent significant economic data came out in favour of DXY with great margin. We personally also think that price is likely to rebound strongly from our entry zone.
Price had accumulated for weeks in a pennant channel and broke out strongly, second confirmation is that price did restest the area after it broke out the channel. Third confirmation is price movement in 4h and 8h timeframe shows strong bullish volume invovement.
Like and comment what do you think of USDCAD.
GBPUSD: Price reaching premium selling zone| SetupsFX_ |Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, we have a upcoming great selling opportunity on GBPUSD. DXY may become weaker until Thursday where we can start having major news on DXY. The economic news expected to come in favour for USD although, the market will be too volatile so we ask you to follow accurate risk management.
As always if you like or agree with our idea, do not forget to like and comment :)
75: Analyzing ASML Sales Decline Potential Bearish MomentumIn light of the recent downturn in ASML sales, it's prudent to assess potential implications for the stock's trajectory. ASML faces lower than expected orders in Q1 amid industry downturn. CEO Peter Wennink remains optimistic about sector recovery in 2024. Orders dip to €3.6 billion, revenue at €5.3 billion. Our initial target lies at 826.1, where we anticipate a consolidation phase. However, if selling pressure persists, we could foresee a drop to 688.6. Monitoring validation of short positions is crucial. Conversely, stabilization around 826.1 could signify a potential reversal and pave the way for renewed upward momentum. Keeping a close eye on market dynamics and key support levels will be paramount in navigating ASML's current trajectory.
Gold ShortOANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has retraced 61.8% from the recent low, and indicators show that gold is overbought and a new peak has formed. During the retracement, gold moved almost in one steep impulse, which usually couldn't be sustained for long and followed by an abrupt decline. All this presents a good opportunity to sell gold with targets around the major demand zone.