GBP JPY - Fresh supply since 2016, what now?G'day,
Firstly, welcome back to 2024. It's been a good start with some great consolidative moves within trading ranges, but now let's see the longer term movements for this pair of focus. GBP JPY.
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed.
For simplicity purposes, terminology is provided in layman's terms to reach a wider audience.
Monthly
Weekly
Daily
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXIV
Supplyandemandzones
AUD USD - Fresh supply in play, awaiting the PCPG'day,
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed
Monthly
Weekly
Daily
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 7+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXIV
Gold Buy Possibility
Opening Rush Takes out Sellers and creates new all time High
Quick Pullback has traders Sceptical of Direction
Weak Liquidation attempt adds more early buyers to the pool
Next move is a Structural attempt to break most recent consolidation high ( a failed attempt at the FVG or structural high signifies another liquidation attempt)
Possible area of final liquidation attempt has a great deal of confluencial factors, signifying a potential opportunity to join the uptrend
NB!
Theory 1
A break at the most recent consolidation high (above FVG) might cause another liquidation none the less, and has a stronger potential to signify continuation of the uptrend, it would also add buyers, which would possibly be liquidated and turned to sellers, adding more sellers for when the market actually rests and continues with the uptrend,
Theory 2
The final Liquidation does come to fruition due to structure attempt not failing, missing an opportunity to buy with the lowest risk
Theory 3
if Everything goes as expected, however the final liquidation area is taken out, no trade, Possible change in market direction.
Strategy Management
if All goes as planned,
Entry somewhere at golden Zone, with candlestick confirmation
Risk would be around 800 - 1000 points on 2 decimal brokers 8.00 - 10.00
Take profit around 3 - 10 times that total (Exits based on algorithmic confluences)
#Let Winners ride and cut losers short
#Buy Low, Sell High
#SMC
EURUSD Top-Down Analysis-BearishTaking into account that the higher timeframes dictates the price movement I started to analyze
the Monthly and Weekly chart first.
I noticed that on Monthly the order flow is Bearish and that we are right now in a Supply Zone .
On Weekly the price Changed the Structure from the big monthly Supply by liquidating a Structural Low .
Then I noted the Supply Zones in the weekly Range.
I dropped down on the 4h chart to see what the price is doing inside the weekly Supply Zone.
On 4h chart the trend is still bullish but can confirm the bearish continuation by closing below the structural low .
On the 30m chart the trend is bearish but we can take longs on 15m chart until the Supply zone on 30m is reached.
Then we will need to wait for either a confirmation that the trend will continue bearish or a change of structure to confirm the bullish continuation on 4h.
The Concept of Supply / Demand TradingThe principle of supply and demand trading involves identifying a counter-trend candle that precedes a sequence of three consecutive candles exhibiting strong bullish or bearish momentum. This specific candle is designated as the supply or demand level. The underlying theory posits that when the price retraces to the region where demand previously triggered a robust price movement, it is likely to encounter renewed demand, consequently attracting a larger number of buyers, thereby sustaining the prevailing trend.
Rule 1: The aggressive price movement must consist of 2-3 (3 preferred) candles that demonstrate remarkable strength in their respective directions.
Rule 2: The candle retracing to the demand zone should close outside of the zone, accompanied by a wick that reflects considerable strength.
December 1 2023 - GBPUSD Buy Trade ActivatedHi guys!
I have here a simple trade this week, checking the daily TF of pound dollar, i noticed a supply above (nov. 29 2023) -Nov. 30 move.
After checking the bullish move on daily---> 4h---> 3h-->2h--> 1h. I checked for possible demand zone and set a pending order in my mt5 raw account.
Nov 30 2023--> it reacted to my POI (point of interest) . so i wait until my pending order was activated . Indeed it really touched the price im aiming for and then i look for validity and proof of the zone. wyckoff accumulation on 5 min and 15 min tf. (please check chart for reference.
RR: 1:8
1% of capital aiming for 8 % on this trade.
Another great trade and wisdom from GOD. :)
Patience is always the key.
November 24, 2023- USDCAD SELL TradeRR: 1:6.6
Daily Structure is Bearish because of the 1D( supply zone 1.38880) , upon checking lower timeframe i saw a clear manipulation of highs and BOS to the downside starting from London to N.Y session last nov 23, so i set a pending order in my mt5 to anticipate the sell trade. After waiting for several hours, the trade was confirmed because of validity (check charts for full detail and clear annotation).
from Daily---> down to 4H----> to 1H structure then set pending order using POI of 15 min TF.
A clear wyckoff distribution takes place here.
another great week :)
XAUUSD BUY AND SELL Hi guys,
Today price tapped into 91-94 sell side area and it's been selling off ever since, Now there is an imbalance area from 79-74 which has to be resolved. Just below imbalance area there is a demand level should price fall i would expect a reversal from there. If our immediate demand level is broken next level would be 1967.
Be honorable
XAUUSD SHORT AND LONG SCENARIO Hi guys, I'm back with another gold analysis.
So currently price is below 1943 supply level and has already touched it once. If price breaks below then demand level at the bottom around 1928 could be a possible long opportunity. and if the breakout is to the top then 1952 level is the potential sell side area. In addition to having a supply level around 1952 also a trendline exists so it makes it much more reliable then a normal area of supply. But before we get there price has to go through the resistance level which is around 1945.
Make sure you have these areas on your chart and act accordingly upon market reaction.
Be honorable
GBPJPY pending order activated Nov 13 2023This was a pending order trade that was activated during New york session (Nov 13 2023)
higher TF-- Daily has a clear signs of manipulations and bullish movement.
Upon checking I also noticed the 4H confluence (see chart for reference)
IC and Proof of Demand.
Going further, 45 minutes produce IC after bullish Break of Structure.
My favorite entry is 15min. Accidentally bumped in the same IC and overlapped by 15 min and 45 min (DEMAND) . pending order was set and activated.
Another wyckoff perspective.
RR: 1:30
Amazing move from bulls.
XAUUSD SHORT AND LONG SCENARIOHello Dear friends,
In this gold analysis I have multiple areas of supply and demand which I'm waiting for. Currently price is at the supply level which reacted this morning and i took 60 pips profit. As long as the current area is not breached, short opportunities exist. In my last analysis I drew a demand area around 1957 which yesterday reaction happened and price rallied up to 1971. Now same area could still prevent the selling off but you need confirmation if you are willing to take a buy there.
Just below 1957 area there is another demand area around 1940 so make sure you watch for it. In case price rallies up because later today Mr Jerome powell is giving a speech , I have a supply area around 1983.
As always make sure you add your logic into it prior to taking any trades.
Be honorable
XAUUSD BUY AND SHORT POSSIBILITIES Hi Guys, I'm back with another analysis on gold.
In my last idea I highlighted a supply area around 2002 and a demand area around 1979 which price reacted to both of them perfectly and ultimate result was a substantial profit. Now pretty much same levels reside on my chart and second reaction to these levels could be expected should price reach them. Today as the market opened price started selling off to the point of QM level which was formed on Thursday and currently is moving higher toward a resistance level. which could drive the price down and give us a good profit.
If our immediate demand and supply levels break there are other levels below and above them which could turn into lucrative opportunities. As always I'm gonna update this analysis as price progresses toward each direction.
Be honorable
GBPUSD LONG ENTRY NOV 2 2023Accumulation schematics shown in 1h TF.
Check the market structure and you can find liquidity grab from 45min timeframe down to 5min time frame. Its funny how fractals work because as you can see the daily is bearish but if you zoom in to 4h----> 1H you can notice the retracement because of demand zone interaction .
I go to 30min and 15 min timeframe for entry. wait for validation and pull the trigger.
check the charts and see the exact entry november 2 new york session activated the pending order.
RR: 1:14
ACCUMULATION