Supplydemandanalytics
GOLD 1H | Bearish POI Reaction Setup – Clean Flow by CelestiaPipPrice is reacting to a high-probability POI formed via supply + imbalance on GOLD 1H.
After the sweep and minor bullish correction, we’re now back into the rejection zone.
As long as price holds below 3030 , we could see continuation toward 2981 .
Key levels, invalidation zone, and structure mapped clearly.
Watch how price responds — setup in motion.
— CelestiaPips
BTC on it's way up to the ATH, in about 50 or so days.I'm publishing this idea mostly for feedback. I am fairly new to trading, TA & price action. I've just begun to study Smart Money Concepts and am looking to see if it applies to crypto pairs. All constructive criticism is more than welcomed. Thank you!
XRPUSD: The Next Bull Run is NearXRPUSD is currently positioned for a bullish breakout, and I'm excited to share my analysis with fellow traders.
Market Context and Probabilities
In this environment, I will leverage probabilities to strategically position myself for long entries. The key support level at $0.54 has held strong, and breaking through the resistance at $0.68 could pave the way for a rally towards $0.93 and beyond. With the altcoin market gaining traction, XRP is poised to attract more buyers, especially if we see increased trading volume that confirms this bullish trend.
Global Fundamentals Aligning with Bullish Sentiment
On a broader scale, several fundamental factors are supporting this bullish bias. The recent US elections have injected optimism into the crypto market, contributing to XRP's impressive 134% increase since November 6. Additionally, ongoing developments in regulatory clarity around cryptocurrencies are fostering a more favorable environment for digital assets like XRP.
The combination of technical indicators and supportive fundamentals creates a compelling case for a bullish outlook.
Let's capitalize on these opportunities together!
P.S. If you have any questions about how I trade probabilities with the overall market direction, feel free to reach out.
12M:
2W:
4H:
fib levels; unwritten ruleSometimes you can predict market moves by price and S-D logic. Gold consolidated at 2500$, that works as a natural fib level? ie if market (SD dynamics) is strong enough -> either 3000$ is possible or 2500$ stays the limit. Bitcoin around 75k figures out which side is stronger --> does 100k make sense or 50k is greater. Which side market leans towards most - wins. ♟️
$USDCHF | Buy Trade | Market Exec | Technical Confluences:
- Price action is at a Demand Zone that has seen Demands for USD a few times
- Price is also supported by a descending support trendline
- Stochastics is in Oversold conditions in the H4 Timeframe
Fundamental Confluences:
- Market seems to have overdone their expectation of many rate cuts and based on how FED normally reacts, they are more reactive than pre-emptive.
- In that sense, the Jackson Hole event this Friday may disappoint markets if Powell sticks to his affirmation that Sept cut is highly likely but any other cuts will remain data-dependent (If I'm wrong, then we will cut it if it breaks the 2024 low)
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Taking an entry into long FX:USDCHF here.
Will have interest to add on as long as price remains within in my Orange Position area.
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$GBPUSD | Sell Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
- The previous Supply Zone broke and have moved up towards the next Fibo Retracement level at 100%
- Stochastics have started to reversed off the Overbought conditions
- Resistance Trendline present
- Another Interest Zone is right above the Price Action; should see price consolidating or bounce off this zone
Fundamental Confluences:
- No difference from previous posting
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Previous positioning got stopped out after market continued the Soft Landing narrative which sent the USD lower and GBP went higher.
Will take a new entry here with SL levels above the Interest Zone and will consider the Support trendline and the 78.60^ Fibo levels as the starting TP levels.
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$PFE | Allocation/Buy Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
- Price is in Oversold Conditions in D1 timeframe
- Price action bouncing off 150% Fibo Extension
- Price is trying to go back above the Interest Zone to give some bullish momentum to the stock
Fundamental Confluences:
-Regardless how bad the negative rumours are ongoing about the side-effects from Pfizer; they are still considered a strong market leader in the Pharma industry
- They had a good response on a testing of their recent respiratory drug
- Value?
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Health sector in your Portfolio will never be wrong with the global aging population.
I am putting this trade on as either into my Long-Term Portfolio or Swing trade for $PFE.
Depending on how market develops, I may decide to hold this bag and allocate more into it at the 178% Fibo Extension levels or cut my Buy position as shown.
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$CADCHF | Buy Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
- Price action is close to the 50% Fibo extension from the beginning of time
- Price action is bouncing off a strong Demand Zone to prevent a new all-time low
Fundamental Confluences:
- Higher interest rate environment compared to CHF will induce re-opening of carry trade positioning
- Canada being an oil commodity nation, will have the strength of oil to keep their GDP sustainable
- Even if the global economy weakens, oil will likely maintain it's pricing with OPEC and OPEC+ holding back supply
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Putting on a Long position in OANDA:CADCHF (1st Entry)
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Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
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Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
EUR/GBP potential shortContext:
• Market broke through monthly lows and stayed below
• Built a weekly FVG down
• On the daily, market builds a creeping trend into the weekly FVG
• The weekly FVG is supported by lower timeframe FVGs on the daily and 4h chart
Idea:
• Look for shorts in the area 0.8465 to 0.85 (i.e. lower bound of weekly FVG up to las broken low)
• Preferred entry timeframe: 4h
Caution / Scenario invalidated:
• Caution if market closes above 0.8484
• If market goes into 0.85, a sharp reversal should occur
• If the market accepts higher prices and builds up a bullish dynamic, returning into its previous range, I skip this one
Target:
• Low around 0.84
Stop:
• Above your entry signal
• Last resort: 0.8541
Watch for your CRV
Please feel free to comment!
POTENTIAL BUY GBPUSD M15 SCALPINGI see there is a demand zone in GBPUSD M15. After there is movement, the structure breaks. Starting scalping trading might be a sensible idea,If an ema user targets an EMA of 200 H1, I think the price is quite possible to get there. Hopefully I'm really. Happy trading. Keep trading safe with SL.
Note: any risks regarding this trading idea are not our responsibility.
EUR/USD ShortContext:
• DXY has upwarts potential: Supports short in EUR/USD
• Monthly neutral
• Weekly neutral to bearish bias
• Daily one confirmed bearish swing, respected daily FVG and disrespected bullish FVGs. Broke through prev. day low and took out weekly demand. Closed below these lows
Ideas / Entry:
• Short in the 4h-FVG
→ Shown with black arrow
• Preferred: Short around 1.072 which is in the area of the broken lows with 1h Reversal setup
1) Blue arrows: Reversal with respecting lower 1h-FVG. Look for entry on LTF, for example 5min-15min
2) Orange arrows: Last resort and higher risk! Needs strong and confirmed reversal on preferred 15min.
Scenario invalidated:
• 4h Close above 4h FVG
• Break above 1.0745
• High caution if 4h close above broken lows around 1.072! Immediate reversal needed (confirm on LTF), otherwise cancel trade
Stop
• Above your entry signal or 1.0745 if traded on 4h
Take Profit(s)
• 1st at daily low around 1.067
• 2nd around 1.065
• 3rd around 1.06 (optimistic)
Please feel free to comment!