XRPUSD: The Next Bull Run is NearXRPUSD is currently positioned for a bullish breakout, and I'm excited to share my analysis with fellow traders.
Market Context and Probabilities
In this environment, I will leverage probabilities to strategically position myself for long entries. The key support level at $0.54 has held strong, and breaking through the resistance at $0.68 could pave the way for a rally towards $0.93 and beyond. With the altcoin market gaining traction, XRP is poised to attract more buyers, especially if we see increased trading volume that confirms this bullish trend.
Global Fundamentals Aligning with Bullish Sentiment
On a broader scale, several fundamental factors are supporting this bullish bias. The recent US elections have injected optimism into the crypto market, contributing to XRP's impressive 134% increase since November 6. Additionally, ongoing developments in regulatory clarity around cryptocurrencies are fostering a more favorable environment for digital assets like XRP.
The combination of technical indicators and supportive fundamentals creates a compelling case for a bullish outlook.
Let's capitalize on these opportunities together!
P.S. If you have any questions about how I trade probabilities with the overall market direction, feel free to reach out.
12M:
2W:
4H:
Supplydemandanalytics
fib levels; unwritten ruleSometimes you can predict market moves by price and S-D logic. Gold consolidated at 2500$, that works as a natural fib level? ie if market (SD dynamics) is strong enough -> either 3000$ is possible or 2500$ stays the limit. Bitcoin around 75k figures out which side is stronger --> does 100k make sense or 50k is greater. Which side market leans towards most - wins. ♟️
$USDCHF | Buy Trade | Market Exec | Technical Confluences:
- Price action is at a Demand Zone that has seen Demands for USD a few times
- Price is also supported by a descending support trendline
- Stochastics is in Oversold conditions in the H4 Timeframe
Fundamental Confluences:
- Market seems to have overdone their expectation of many rate cuts and based on how FED normally reacts, they are more reactive than pre-emptive.
- In that sense, the Jackson Hole event this Friday may disappoint markets if Powell sticks to his affirmation that Sept cut is highly likely but any other cuts will remain data-dependent (If I'm wrong, then we will cut it if it breaks the 2024 low)
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Taking an entry into long FX:USDCHF here.
Will have interest to add on as long as price remains within in my Orange Position area.
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$GBPUSD | Sell Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
- The previous Supply Zone broke and have moved up towards the next Fibo Retracement level at 100%
- Stochastics have started to reversed off the Overbought conditions
- Resistance Trendline present
- Another Interest Zone is right above the Price Action; should see price consolidating or bounce off this zone
Fundamental Confluences:
- No difference from previous posting
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Previous positioning got stopped out after market continued the Soft Landing narrative which sent the USD lower and GBP went higher.
Will take a new entry here with SL levels above the Interest Zone and will consider the Support trendline and the 78.60^ Fibo levels as the starting TP levels.
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$PFE | Allocation/Buy Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
- Price is in Oversold Conditions in D1 timeframe
- Price action bouncing off 150% Fibo Extension
- Price is trying to go back above the Interest Zone to give some bullish momentum to the stock
Fundamental Confluences:
-Regardless how bad the negative rumours are ongoing about the side-effects from Pfizer; they are still considered a strong market leader in the Pharma industry
- They had a good response on a testing of their recent respiratory drug
- Value?
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Health sector in your Portfolio will never be wrong with the global aging population.
I am putting this trade on as either into my Long-Term Portfolio or Swing trade for $PFE.
Depending on how market develops, I may decide to hold this bag and allocate more into it at the 178% Fibo Extension levels or cut my Buy position as shown.
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$CADCHF | Buy Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
- Price action is close to the 50% Fibo extension from the beginning of time
- Price action is bouncing off a strong Demand Zone to prevent a new all-time low
Fundamental Confluences:
- Higher interest rate environment compared to CHF will induce re-opening of carry trade positioning
- Canada being an oil commodity nation, will have the strength of oil to keep their GDP sustainable
- Even if the global economy weakens, oil will likely maintain it's pricing with OPEC and OPEC+ holding back supply
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Putting on a Long position in OANDA:CADCHF (1st Entry)
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Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
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Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
GBPJPY ( BELOW FVG ) (4H)GBPJPY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level around 199.493 & 197.879 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 199.493 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 197.879 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 201.419 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 203.814 , for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 195.223 , for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 191.917 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 1.286 , have two scenario , first corrective turning level (1), before dropping to touch a turning level (2) , then breaking this level reach a support level (1), second corrective turning level (2) , to reach a turning level (1) , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 201.419 , 203.814 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 195.223, 191.917.
EUR/GBP potential shortContext:
• Market broke through monthly lows and stayed below
• Built a weekly FVG down
• On the daily, market builds a creeping trend into the weekly FVG
• The weekly FVG is supported by lower timeframe FVGs on the daily and 4h chart
Idea:
• Look for shorts in the area 0.8465 to 0.85 (i.e. lower bound of weekly FVG up to las broken low)
• Preferred entry timeframe: 4h
Caution / Scenario invalidated:
• Caution if market closes above 0.8484
• If market goes into 0.85, a sharp reversal should occur
• If the market accepts higher prices and builds up a bullish dynamic, returning into its previous range, I skip this one
Target:
• Low around 0.84
Stop:
• Above your entry signal
• Last resort: 0.8541
Watch for your CRV
Please feel free to comment!
POTENTIAL BUY GBPUSD M15 SCALPINGI see there is a demand zone in GBPUSD M15. After there is movement, the structure breaks. Starting scalping trading might be a sensible idea,If an ema user targets an EMA of 200 H1, I think the price is quite possible to get there. Hopefully I'm really. Happy trading. Keep trading safe with SL.
Note: any risks regarding this trading idea are not our responsibility.
EUR/USD ShortContext:
• DXY has upwarts potential: Supports short in EUR/USD
• Monthly neutral
• Weekly neutral to bearish bias
• Daily one confirmed bearish swing, respected daily FVG and disrespected bullish FVGs. Broke through prev. day low and took out weekly demand. Closed below these lows
Ideas / Entry:
• Short in the 4h-FVG
→ Shown with black arrow
• Preferred: Short around 1.072 which is in the area of the broken lows with 1h Reversal setup
1) Blue arrows: Reversal with respecting lower 1h-FVG. Look for entry on LTF, for example 5min-15min
2) Orange arrows: Last resort and higher risk! Needs strong and confirmed reversal on preferred 15min.
Scenario invalidated:
• 4h Close above 4h FVG
• Break above 1.0745
• High caution if 4h close above broken lows around 1.072! Immediate reversal needed (confirm on LTF), otherwise cancel trade
Stop
• Above your entry signal or 1.0745 if traded on 4h
Take Profit(s)
• 1st at daily low around 1.067
• 2nd around 1.065
• 3rd around 1.06 (optimistic)
Please feel free to comment!
CL / Crude Oil ShortContext:
• Monthly: First signs of bearish orderflow. Bearish FVG in the making
• Weekly: Bearish FVGs getting respeced
• Daily: Rejection and break below prev. day low. Caution because of two bullish FVGs
Idea:
• 1h-4h Mitigation Block with 1h close below prev day low.
• Respecting 1h FVgs
• Inside current 1h candle on 15min closed last 15min bullish FVG
• Potentially building a balanced price range on 15min
→ Long around prev. day low about 77.88
Target:
• 1st would be currend day low
• 2nd: Upper limit of daily FVG at 77.22
Entry / Stop:
• Reversal Setup with stop above the entry signal
• Or at 77.88 with stop about 78.05
Signal invalidated:
• breaking lower withoug looking back
• Prive going above 78.05
I want the current 15min-Candle to close inside the range of the previous 15min candle.
Be careful about News in about 30minutes!
Please feel free to comment
EUR/CHF ShortContext:
• Monthly Rejection confirmed
• Weekly build a RBD with FVGs
• Daily consolidated for 3 days below Swing Low and left that base
Idea:
• Short on 4h-Supply
Entry Area:
• 0.9642 - 0.9670
Entry Signal:
Two options
• LMT on 4h Supply
• Reversal on lower timeframe like 1h
Stop:
• Above Supply or entry setup
Target:
• 0.9565 (last bullish montly candle low)
Scenario invalidated:
• Bullish Reversal into breakout-Range, i.e. above 0.967
• If we build up momentum and create another base → would be new scneraio
Please feel free to comment!
USD/JPY LongContext:
• W and M showing (yet to be confirmed) rejections: Neutral with bullish touch
• Respecting Daily FVGs
• 2h big bullish FVG, 4h close above equal Highs
Idea:
• Entry in area between 156.600 - 156.15 with LTF reversal (e.q. 1h)
Scenario:
• Entry area should be approached without bearish FVGs
• 4h close below 156.49 (Equal Highs): Caution!
Scenario terminated:
• 4h Retracement below 156.15: Trade is off
Stop:
• Determined by your entry setup
Please feel free to comment with other ideas or questions.
AUD/NZD ShortContext:
• Monthly neutral / sideways
• Weekly bearish FVGs, ignored bullish order block
• Clearly bearish
Idea:
• Short at daily FVG
Entry:
• Entry Range: 1.0774 to 1.0787
• Entry Signal: Reversal Setup on 30min - 1h
Scenario:
• Liquidity sweep above 1.0774 (dashed line)
• Avoid building a FVG on 4h
Stop:
• Above your Reversal Setup / Entry Setup
Scenario invalidet
• 4h Close above 1.0771
→ Next location would then be 1.0806
Please leave a comment if you have any suggestion or question.
GBP/USD Short (short term)Daily fell below previous week high. We build a reversal and rally-base-drop on 4h, what indicates rejection above previous day high.
We are now trading and building rejections on the order block that brough us below the high around 1.2766.
If we get a 30min reversal candle, I would sell this with first TP around today days low at 1.2743
EUR/CHF ShortRejection Monthly, iFVG on W. "Bullish" prev. Day low broken. 4h all bear FVGs respected. If 4h-Close below prev day low: Short around 0.977, look for lower timeframe entry for propper CRV - or Stop above 4h-Candle about 0.9792. First Target 0.973, 2nd 0.969, runner (very long run) 0.9565
LINKUSDT | MT Long H4 | Chainlink's Supply-Demand ZonePair: HTX:LINKUSDT
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Long
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Price have bounced off 61.8% Fibo retracement levels
- Price action is within two different parallel channels; 1 acts as a bottom channel support and the other is within a supply-demand zone channel
- Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Chainlink's progress has been remarkable and their latest application, Transporter allows users to move crypto assets and data across multiple networks.
- Further escalation of war risk may see risk assets get affected
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 12.90 - 13.50
SL @ 11.59
TP 1 @ 14.48 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 16.03
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.26 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
SOLUSDT | Long H4 | Buy Limit | Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 & H1 time-frame to activate our trade idea
- Entry level will be a Demand Zone for Solana
- Price action is in a consolidation zone
- Targeting the 61.8% Fibo retracement after trade is activated
Suggested Trade:
Buy Limit @ 123.15
SL @ 110.24
TP 1 @ 143.74 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 169.42
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 3.26 (Depending on Entry Level)
________________________________
Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
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AUDUSD | MT Long H4 | Middle of Parallel ChannelPair: FX:AUDUSD
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Long
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames
- Price action is now at the middle of a parallel channel
- Price is at 61.8% Fib Extension Level
- Aiming for the 50% Fibo Retracement which the horizontal line shows a supply-demand zone.
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Higher commodity prices is a positive for Australia economy
- Further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension may bring on risk-off moves and affect this trade
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.6390 - 0.6415
SL @ 0.6351
TP 1 @ 0.6448 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.6516
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.09 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
USDCAD Daily downtrend continuationAt this moment in time price is demonstrating weakness, however, need to take into consideration that it has just touched an unmitigated area of demand, to which it has reacted strongly, with that said, we could see a deeper pullback into the 1.3546 area of supply to make a run for 1.3045.
Conversely, we've just mitigated an area of refined H4 Supply, causing the H4 to change the character and possibly go for a run at this reaction from the equilibrium point of Daily structure down to 1.03045.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/14/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 16817.25
- PR Low: 16774.00
- NZ Spread: 96.75
Key economic events
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Retail Sales (x2)
Continuing to push supply into ATH
- ATH marker 17700
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 12/13 +0.08% (open <16765)
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 224.46
- Volume: 48K
- Open Int: 252K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From ATH: -4.6% (Rounded) (adjusted for contract changes)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 17700
- Mid: 16391
- Short: 15819
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.