GBPJPY Buy trade activated Oct 25 2024Another simple trade using the knowledge of supply and demand, liquidity capture, london session and new york session. This was an intraday trade -> buy limit using mt4. Always pay attention to the manipulations and Session you are trading, orderflow will always respect the higher timeframe. First analysis of this trade was from Daily structure to 1h structure.
Refinement : Using 15 min TF to find optimal entry.
RR: 6:1
#smarttrading
#supplydemand
Supplydemandtrading
TSLA SHORT TRADE IDEA**STOCKS VS USD & TREASURY BONDS - Currently Oversold signaling a bearish sentiment. Price would need a reason to for a bearish move and could take the highlighted Supply Zone.
Supply and Demand Analysis:
>Price could take the the daily Supply Zone and the PRICE GAP within the supply zone could get filled.
>Price could fill the Gap before a bearish move and go to the highlighted opposing Demand Zone
***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
NZDUSD SHORT TRADE OUTLOOK (SEPT. 24-27)>The New Zealand Dollar experienced an explosive rally today, deeply penetrating and ultimately invalidating the highlighted supply zone, indicating the exhaustion of any remaining unfilled orders.
>We can now observe five invalidated supply zones lined up on the chart.
>Above these zones lies a high-quality, fresh supply zone, where significant stop-loss orders and a large volume of sell orders could potentially accumulate in anticipation of the upcoming FED speech on Thursday, which may act as a catalyst for a sharp drop.
>The US Dollar Index remains undervalued ( refer to my USD analysis for more insights ).
>Given that the NZD is currently overvalued, the price may soon seek reasons to turn bearish. For this to happen, a considerable volume of sell orders will be needed to trigger a downward move.
***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
GBPJPY SELL TRADE PENDING ORDER SEPT 11This trade come to fruition during CPI news release. I set the pending order during New york Session after gbpusd selling pressure. Confluence of this pair along with USDJPY.
As you can see there was a previous Break of Structure to the downside on the previous day. I wait for an opportunity for Asian session to create supply and then wait for the supply area to setup my sell limit. Activated at around 9AM EST. Tap and then leaving the zone with a 3:1 RR. If you keep on studying and giving a lot of patience in this industry, Im sure all your hardwork will pay off. KEEP THE FAITH.
#Wyckoff
#SuppyandDemand
Confluence ( 4h BEARISH - 1h BEARISH Structure)
How Market Dynamics Can Improve Your Trades█ Understanding Optimal Trading Strategies: How Market Dynamics Can Improve Your Trades
As traders, whether seasoned professionals or newcomers to the market, we're constantly looking for ways to improve our trading strategies and reduce costs. One area that often goes overlooked is the dynamic nature of supply and demand in the market and how it can impact your trades. In this article, we'll break down the key insights from a study on optimal trading strategies and show you how this knowledge can be applied to enhance your trading performance.
█ The Basics: What You Need to Know About Supply and Demand Dynamics
When you place a trade, you're interacting with the market's supply and demand. Traditionally, many traders think of supply and demand in static terms—like the bid-ask spread or how deep the market is at any given moment. However, the reality is that supply and demand are dynamic—they change over time, especially after a trade is executed. One of the most important concepts from the study is market resilience. This refers to how quickly the market returns to its normal state after a trade has been placed. In simple terms, resilience is how fast new buy or sell orders come in after you've placed your trade. Understanding this can be a game-changer for your trading strategy.
█ The Strategy: Combining Large and Small Trades for Optimal Results
The study suggests an optimal trading strategy that might seem counterintuitive at first. Instead of splitting your trades evenly over time, it recommends a mix of large and small trades. Here’s how it works:
Start with a Large Trade: Begin with a significant trade that moves the market slightly. This "shakes up" the market and attracts new orders from other traders who see the opportunity.
Follow with Smaller Trades: After the initial large trade, continue with smaller, more frequent trades. These smaller trades allow you to absorb the new orders that come in without pushing the market too far in either direction.
Finish with Another Large Trade: As you approach the end of your trading window, place another large trade to complete your order. At this point, you're less concerned about future market conditions since your goal is to finalize the transaction.
█ Why This Strategy Works
This approach leverages the dynamic nature of the market. By starting with a large trade, you create a temporary imbalance that encourages other traders to place orders, which you can then capitalize on with your smaller trades. The key is understanding that markets don’t just respond to one trade—they continuously adjust. By strategically timing your trades, you can reduce the overall cost of execution.
█ How Retail Traders Can Apply This Knowledge
Even if you're trading smaller volumes, you can still benefit from understanding market dynamics. Here’s how you can apply these principles to your own trading:
Observe Market Depth and Liquidity: Before placing a trade, take a look at the market depth (how many buy and sell orders are available at different price levels) and consider the market's resilience. If the market is less liquid, be cautious about placing large trades all at once.
Adjust Your Trade Sizes: Instead of placing a single large order, consider breaking it up. Start with a larger trade to test the market, then follow up with smaller trades to take advantage of the new orders that might come in.
Be Mindful of Timing: Spread out your trades over time, especially in less liquid markets. This can help you avoid moving the market too much and keep your trading costs lower.
█ For Retail Traders Without Access to the Order Book: How to Spot Big Players
Not all retail traders have access to the order book or sophisticated market data. However, you can still benefit from the principles of dynamic supply and demand by analyzing price charts directly. Here's how you can do it:
⚪ Look for Imbalances in the Price Chart: When a large player enters the market, their trades can create noticeable imbalances in the price action. For example, if you see a sharp move in price followed by a series of smaller movements in the same direction, it could indicate that a big player has started trading and is following up with smaller trades, just as the strategy suggests.
⚪ Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Fair Value Gaps are areas on a price chart where there is little to no trading activity, often due to a large, quick movement in price. These gaps can serve as clues that a large order has just been executed, leading to a temporary imbalance. When the market later returns to these gaps, it can be an opportunity to place trades in the direction of the original move, anticipating that the large player might continue to influence the market.
█ The Big Takeaway: Trading Isn’t Just About Prices—It’s About Timing
Understanding that supply and demand in the market are constantly changing can give you a significant edge. By timing your trades strategically and mixing large and small orders, you can reduce the impact of your trades on the market, ultimately saving on costs and improving your returns. Whether you're a retail trader managing a small portfolio or a professional handling large orders, these principles can be applied to improve your trading strategy. And even if you don’t have access to the order book, studying price imbalances, Fair Value Gaps, and other price action cues can help you detect the underlying intentions of big players, allowing you to trade more effectively in their wake.
The next time you plan a trade, remember: it's not just about what you trade, but how and when you trade that can make all the difference.
█ Reference
Obizhaeva, A. A., & Wang, J. (2013). Optimal trading strategy and supply/demand dynamics. Journal of Financial Markets, 16, 1–32.
-----------------
Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
$AUDCAD | Sell Trade | Market Exec | Technical Confluences:
- Price actions are now at Stochastic Overbought conditions in Daily, H4 and H1
- Price action is at the 78% Fibo retracement levels which also coincides with a Interest Zone
Fundamental Confluences:
- Both currencies are considered as commodity currencies and both currencies require strong commodity prices to prosper and it all comes down to growth
- Australia's growth is more concentrated on China's outlook and Canada's very US-centric still.
- We are still not seeing much growth momentum in the China space and with US-side having a soft landing possibility, Canada's prospects should be better at the moment
-----
Will be taking a position into a sell OANDA:AUDCAD position.
Targeting to TP approximately half the position at the 50% Fibo Extension levels (in blue) and move my SL levels to B/E. It will depend on how the price action is at the 50% Fibo's Interest Zone.
This trade will be the battle of the Interest Zones.
Full TP are the 61%/78% Fibo Extension levels.
Remember, DYOR.
$CADCHF | Buy Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
- Price action is close to the 50% Fibo extension from the beginning of time
- Price action is bouncing off a strong Demand Zone to prevent a new all-time low
Fundamental Confluences:
- Higher interest rate environment compared to CHF will induce re-opening of carry trade positioning
- Canada being an oil commodity nation, will have the strength of oil to keep their GDP sustainable
- Even if the global economy weakens, oil will likely maintain it's pricing with OPEC and OPEC+ holding back supply
________________________________
Putting on a Long position in OANDA:CADCHF (1st Entry)
________________________________
Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
$BABA | Allocation & Watchlist | Market Exec & Buy Stops |Technical Confluences:
- Price action has been consolidating between a Wedge pattern
- Price action is at a Demand Zone of all-time lows
- Price is starting to slowly break above the 200MA
- A break above the resistance trendline (been a good support/resistance TL) would be a significant move.
Fundamental Confluences:
- Considerably cheap valuations
- Still one of the largest e-commerce players, don't see it dropping it off anytime soon
- China's economy has been weakening and we are seeing efforts by the China government to help boost back the domestic economy. Potential for revenue boost.
________________________________
Putting in my first tranche of NYSE:BABA allocation for my Long-Term portfolio.
Gonna be holding this share for years and will continue adding position with Buy Stop orders.
Remember, DYOR.
________________________________
Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
BAJAJ FINSERVE - DAILY TIME FRAME - MY VIEW ONLYThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
Thanks for your support
Tradelikemee Academy
Saanjayy KG
GBPCAD |Short D1 | Market Exec |Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1 and H1 time-frame. H4 is also entering Overbought Conditions.
- Price action is close to last month's Resistance Trendline
- Price action is well into a Supply Zone area
- Targeting between the 50.0% - 61.8% Fibo retracement
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.7180 - 1.7270
SL @ 0.1.7348
TP 1 @ 1.7002 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.6811
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.93 (Depending on Entry Level)
________________________________
Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
________________________________
GBP/CAD LongContext:
• Prev. month close above consolidation, this month broke prev. month high
• Weekly: Bullish FVGs, prev. week had negative close, this week broke the prev. weeks high significantly
• Daily: In bullish swing, left consolidation with close abote montly high and consolidation range. Yet showed a rejection (long wick)
Idea:
• Direction: Long
• Entry area: 1.7452 - 1.7527 (between montly high and low of the 1h-Demand zone showed in blue)
Trigger:
• I do not suggest a LMT on the upper entry area
• Rather look for 30min-1h Reversal setup in mentioned entry area
• After reaching entry area one wants to see fast upward movement and a close abote prev. month high / prev. day low lines
Stop:
• Below your entry setup
Caution when:
• Entry area is approached with momentum, i.e. strong 1h-4h FVGs. → Slow approach of area preferred
Scenario broken when:
• Prev. day high is taken out: New context with potentially higher yet to build entry level
• Confirmed 4h close below prev. day low
Be aware of the CAD News today: BoC Interest Rate Decision. Market could become very volatile
The Concept of Supply / Demand TradingThe principle of supply and demand trading involves identifying a counter-trend candle that precedes a sequence of three consecutive candles exhibiting strong bullish or bearish momentum. This specific candle is designated as the supply or demand level. The underlying theory posits that when the price retraces to the region where demand previously triggered a robust price movement, it is likely to encounter renewed demand, consequently attracting a larger number of buyers, thereby sustaining the prevailing trend.
Rule 1: The aggressive price movement must consist of 2-3 (3 preferred) candles that demonstrate remarkable strength in their respective directions.
Rule 2: The candle retracing to the demand zone should close outside of the zone, accompanied by a wick that reflects considerable strength.
EURAUD Buy at 1.6362 (has been trading in a bullish trend since)
Setup: The EURAUD is trading in a bullish trend and has recently broken out above the 1.6362 resistance level.
Entry: Buy at 1.6362 with a stop loss below 1.6316.
Target: 1.6450 and beyond.
This trade is based on the following technical analysis:
The 1.6362 resistance level was a key level of resistance, and the break above this level is a bullish signal.
The RSI indicator is in the overbought zone, which suggests that the trend may be nearing exhaustion.
The MACD indicator is bullish, which also supports the bullish trend.
The risk to reward ratio for this trade is favorable. The stop loss is relatively small, and the potential profit is significant. However, it is important to remember that no trade is guaranteed, and there is always a risk of loss.
GBPUSD: H2 ACTIVE SHORTThe markets seem to be in alignment on the H2 and the M15.
1. The CH signifies for me a change of character but its not enough just to just jump into a trade, I need further confirmation to give me more confidence to trade counter-trend.
The CH for me signifies the start of the pullback then I wait for an internal i-bos to really give me full confirmation.
Now these 2 phases are complete I'm ready to activate my supply zone limit order at the zone that caused the i-bos.
Whats important to mention here is that this is all mechanical. there is no discretion, no emotion.
These things have to happen or I will not take the trade.
The aim of the H2 is trade as close to the swing high/low as possible so these positions are more set & forget, this is more based on lifestyle design more than anything else.
GBPUSD: M15 SHORT POTENTIALThe current trend on the M15 is bearish internally.
So I'm looking for a quick 6:1 trade.
The internal trend might flip and take me out as the PA has been pretty complex this morning.
It will be interesting to see what happens here.
You can see I'm still in a positive M15 trade which got triggered on Friday 14th it's not ideal to still be in a day trade for this long....obviously.
I'm more of a swing trader learning to day trade....hehehe
Anyway lets see how this plays out
USDCAD 30 MINS TIME FRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
Tradelikemee Academy