Supply Zone
Bitcoin Short-Term Support & Resistance AnalysisPrices move because of supply and demand . When demand is greater than supply, prices rise. When supply is greater than demand, prices fall. Sometimes, prices will move sideways as both supply and demand are in equilibrium.
When support and resistance lines are broken, there is a high possibility of a significant uptrend in that direction. Be aware of the stop-loss area when trading on margin
ⓡ Resistance Line 28567$
ⓢ Support Line 28319$
ⓢ Support Line 27561$
ⓢ Support Line 27229$
ⓢ Support Line 26894$
The above price level represents an important tipping point, not an absolute analysis for buying and selling. You must be careful about your investment decisions.
Thank you for reading my poor analysi
Bitcoin Short-Term Support & Resistance AnalysisPrices move because of supply and demand . When demand is greater than supply, prices rise. When supply is greater than demand, prices fall. Sometimes, prices will move sideways as both supply and demand are in equilibrium.
When support and resistance lines are broken, there is a high possibility of a significant uptrend in that direction. Be aware of the stop-loss area when trading on margin
ⓡ Resistance Line 28829$
ⓡ Resistance Line 28440$
ⓢ Support Line 27723$
ⓢ Support Line 27045$
ⓢ Support Line 26540$
The above price level represents an important tipping point, not an absolute analysis for buying and selling. You must be careful about your investment decisions.
Thank you for reading my poor analysis.
GBPUSD 26TH marchLet's take a look at the British pound to the US dollar pair following our DXY analysis. Our short-term outlook is bullish, with a potential push towards one of the areas of supply above, before an overall bearish move to the downside. We anticipate short moves overall for this pair this week, as we have already broken through some key structures in our last move, suggesting significant downward momentum.
As always, we'll be closely monitoring market openings and adjusting our strategy accordingly. The areas of supply above look particularly attractive for potential sales, as there is clear imbalance and momentum coming from the downside. Additionally, we have a major swing low that has yet to be tested, as well as a major swing high, creating opportunities for trades between these areas.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!"
stock rfx
Revise - following our dxy analysis, this is the British pound to the US dollar. We are looking for this to have a short term bullish push into one of the areas of supply above, which will lead us into an overall bearish move to the downside. We will be looking for overall short moves this week on this pair. We did take out some structures inside of our last move indicating to us that we could see significant pushes lower for this week. As always, we will monitor this as the market opens. And adjust accordingly to what we see, the areas of supply above look very. Good for sales, we have clear imbalance and momentum coming from the downside. We also have a major swing low that has not been tested yet as well as our major swing high there has not been tested, so will be looking for trade opportunities in between these areas.
"Let's take a look at the British pound to the US dollar pair following our DXY analysis. Our short-term outlook is bullish, with a potential push towards one of the areas of supply above, before an overall bearish move to the downside. We anticipate short moves overall for this pair this week, as we have already broken through some key structures in our last move, suggesting significant downward momentum.
As always, we'll be closely monitoring market openings and adjusting our strategy accordingly. The areas of supply above look particularly attractive for potential sales, as there is clear imbalance and momentum coming from the downside. Additionally, we have a major swing low that has yet to be tested, as well as a major swing high, creating opportunities for trades between these areas.
DXY 26th march Get ready for a week of exciting opportunities with the DXY! Our analysis shows that we have broken a major swing low, indicating a potential shift towards lower prices. However, we also broke a major high, signaling a bullish week ahead for the DXY. We've identified several demand zones below and a selection of supply areas above our current price action. Our strategy is to look for a potential short-term bearish move if price opens bullish, or a longer-term bullish move if price opens bearish. If we see a corrective move off the higher swings, such as the swing high and short-term swing high, we will anticipate a move back towards the downside.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
GBPNZD - Over-Bought Zone ⬇️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
GBPNZD is has been overall bullish trading inside the rising red channel, however it is currently approaching the upper red trendline. So we will be looking for sell setups.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong supply.
🏹 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green supply and upper red trendline. (acting as non-horizontal resistance)
As per my trading style:
As GBPNZD is sitting around the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Commodity Outlook: Cyclical pressures vs structural strengthsCommodities have been enjoying a strong revival in recent years, with broad commodities returning 27% in 2021 and 15% in 2022. A combination of fiscal and monetary support in the early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic helped to soften the damage to demand from one of the deepest economic shocks in modern times. As COVID-19 restrictions lifted, commodity demand bounced back strongly.
In 2022, the Ukrainian invasion presented a supply shock, restricting energy and agricultural product supplies and further supporting commodity prices. Whilst many developed world central banks tightened monetary policy in the first half of 2022, inflationary pressures became the most extreme since 1981.
Commodities proved again to be one of the best asset classes to hedge this extreme inflation. After arguably falling behind the curve, developed world central banks sought to get ahead and became the most hawkish since the early 1980s. Commodities emerged as a refuge in the storm.
Cyclical headwinds have emerged
Commodities, often seen as a late-cycle asset performer, struggled in late-2022. Energy prices, which had been propelling the asset class, declined by Q3 2022, joining metals, which had been weak since Q1 2022. Economic deceleration resulting from monetary tightening in developed nations weighed on the asset class. Composite lead indicators (CLIs)—designed to provide early signals of turning points in business cycles—turned decisively even before 2022 started. Commodity performance peaked later in 2022. CLIs are still declining, indicating the cyclical headwinds faced by commodities are still present.
China reopening to counter economic headwinds elsewhere
The global economic rebound experienced in 2021 and 2022, and the accompanying commodity rally, occurred largely without China’s contribution. Chinese policy makers pursuing a zero-COVID policy up until November 2022 hamstrung their economy, and growth was disappointing. Although Chinese exports remained relatively strong due to international demand for Chinese goods, constant supply disruptions restrained export volumes during the zero-COVID period.
Now that China has abandoned its zero-COVID policies, domestic economic activity is picking up strongly. In fact, the January and February prints of Purchasing Manager Indices (PMIs) in 2023 look encouraging. Both manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs rose clearly above 50 (the demarcation between growth and contraction). The February figure (released on 01/03/2023) showed manufacturing PMIs hitting levels not seen since 2012, underscoring that the domestically driven recovery is reaching industry as well as services (manufacturing is more commodity-intense than services, so that is arguably the most important of two indicators).
What about the commodity supercycle?
We believe commodities should see long-term structural support from an energy transition and an infrastructure spending rebound. Furthermore, these catalysts could drive another supercycle in commodities. Supercycles coincide with periods of industrialisation and urbanisation when the supply of commodities failed to keep up with the growth in demand. The last supercycle occurred after China joined the World Trade Organization in 2001, which turbocharged development as barriers to commerce were removed. After two strong years of commodity market performance (2021 and 2022), could we be on the cusp of another supercycle? We believe there are some strong structural underpinnings but, for now, business cycle dynamics (including a rising risk of recession) could dominate price behaviour in the short term.
Energy transition
In a scenario where net zero emissions are targeted by 2050 in order to limit temperature increases to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, we should see a significant rise in demand for metals. Metals are critical for the manufacture of batteries, electrification of power energy consumption, electrolysers, heat pumps, and other technologies needed for the energy transition. International Energy Agency data indicates that, in a net zero emissions scenario, supplies of critical materials are going to be woefully short of demand, both in terms of mining and material production.
Infrastructure rebound
In the US, three Acts with partially overlapping priorities - the Bipartisan Infrastructure Bill (2021), the CHIPS and Science Act (August 2022), and the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (IRA, August 2022) – have a combined budget of close to US$2 trillion in federal spending and the infrastructure intensive projects are only just starting.
Just looking at the energy funding from the Bipartisan Infrastructure Bill and the Inflation Reduction Act, a total of US$370 billion is earmarked to be spent over the next 5 to 10 years, primarily to facilitate the clean energy transition. The IRA encourages the procurement of critical supplies domestically. In order to meet the supply chain requirements, we expect large infrastructure spending on mineral extraction, processing and manufacturing.
The European Union’s REPowerEU plan—designed to wean the economic bloc off Russian hydrocarbon dependency—will also require a large spend on energy infrastructure. The EU is already building liquified natural gas capacity at breakneck speed, aiming to expand capacity by one-third by 2024.1 The EU estimates that delivering the REPowerEU objectives will require an additional investment of €210 billion between 2022 and 2027.
The green industrial ‘arms race’ takes off
After decades of underspending for the climate policy goals governments have signed up to, we may be witnessing a tipping point. Some of the protective features of IRA (regional sourcing requirements) may propel tit-for-tat policies that drive local sourcing elsewhere. Many nations recognising China’s dominance in critical materials had already been designing policies to mitigate the risk of overreliance on the country. This process is likely to drive an upsurge in ex-China green infrastructure spending globally.
Conclusions
After several years of commodity market outperformance, the asset class is already experiencing cyclical headwinds. However, a China reopening is likely to mitigate some of these pressures, and we are seeing tentative evidence of China’s economy rebounding. Commodities are likely to be underpinned by global policy support for an energy transition. Whilst general infrastructure spending may also face cyclical headwinds this year, green infrastructure spending is likely to lead to a new ‘arms race’ as countries compete to support their industries and maintain energy/resource security.
40R EURUSD Long Swing Trade (Smart Money Concepts)Testing one of my smart money concepts swing trading strategies using an early entry based on day trading setup. The setup normally involves a sweep of a 4h choch/MSS deep in premium/discount, then a daily pin bar or hammer, or a 4h choch.
Previous Day Opening Gap has been filled on DXY as well as three months of liquidity swept.
This early entry utilizes a long from a trendline following another strategy of mine. If successful, will take the majority of the position off after daily FVG fills and leave some on to run as a swing trade.