Alikze »» OP | Ascending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel
- In continuation of the analysis presented in the previous post, after dealing with the descending channel, it was corrected for a while. which led to the completion of correction leg C. Finally, the modification leg in the range of PRZ-1 met with demand.
- Currently, it is moving in a short-term ascending channel.
- Due to the exit from the medium-term downward channel and pullback to it, an upward trend has been formed.
- Therefore, I expect it to move upward in this channel and continue its growth until the supply range.
💎 Alternative scenario: If it does not have the ability to exit the golden zone and faces the weakness of the trend, the correction can continue until the origin of the movement.
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BINANCE:OPUSDT
Support-and-resistance
Alikze »» TRX | Wave 3 or C bullish scenarioIn time 2W, after an ascending wave and a double correction at the bottom of the channel, after successfully exiting the concentration, it is moving towards the specified targets. This upward wave is due to the structure in wave 3, whose micro waves will be presented in the next updates. But this upward move will have the ability to reach at least $0.58 and $1.2 in the long term. If no candlestick penetrates below 0.5177, this analysis will be valid for the specified purposes.
🟩Sup:0.097
⛳️Tp 1:0.177
⛳️ Tp2 : 0.58413
⛳️ Tp3 :1.23008
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XRP Price Analysis: Potential 20% Drop Amid Key Support LevelsXRP is currently trading within a box pattern, with a lower high suggesting a higher probability of a downside breakout. If the crucial support level of $0.5213 is lost, there is a 20% potential drop in price, targeting $0.4164. If you are holding XRP, you might consider selling, or alternatively, you could take a short position upon a clear break of the $0.5213 level. Given the importance of this support, a sharp decline is expected if it breaks. Keep an eye on this critical zone for any significant moves.
Title: Key Support Levels for Short and Long Positions: CriticalIt seems we have experienced enough upward momentum, and now, with the support level at 66,842, a short position can be considered. However, since this position goes against the main trend, it’s crucial to set a tight stop-loss to manage risk and ensure an early exit with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The next support level for this strategy could be 65,359.8.
On the other hand, if you're planning to open a long position, you might consider entering at 67,898.7, but be cautious with the stop-loss placement. A wider stop-loss would be advisable, possibly below 66,687.4, to allow room for market fluctuations.
USDJPY: Slight Bullish Bias This Week? (19/09/2024)As of September 19, 2024, traders are closely monitoring the USDJPY pair for potential bullish momentum. Several fundamental factors and market conditions indicate that the pair might see a slight upward bias this week. Let’s dive into the key drivers affecting the USDJPY price action.
1. Diverging Central Bank Policies
One of the primary influences on USDJPY is the monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
- Federal Reserve’s Stance: As we move into the week, the market expects the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance or at least keep interest rates elevated. Although there’s some speculation about a possible pause in future rate hikes, the Fed's priority remains controlling inflation. This higher interest rate environment in the US makes the US dollar more attractive, pushing USDJPY upwards.
- Bank of Japan’s Ultra-Loose Policy: In contrast, the BoJ continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, aiming to stimulate Japan’s sluggish economy. Despite rising inflation in Japan, the BoJ has shown little inclination to raise rates aggressively. This Interest rate differential between the US and Japan tends to weaken the yen, giving a bullish outlook for USDJPY.
2. Risk Sentiment in Global Markets
Risk sentiment plays a crucial role in the movement of USDJPY. When global markets are in a risk-off mode, investors tend to flock to safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen, strengthening it. However, recent global economic data and financial news have maintained a somewhat stable risk appetite, leaning towards a risk-on environment.
- US Economic Data: Recent reports from the US, such as better-than-expected retail sales and strong labor market data, continue to support the narrative of economic resilience. This fuels demand for the dollar and supports USDJPY’s bullish momentum.
- Global Geopolitical Risks: While geopolitical tensions in regions like Europe and the Middle East may inject some volatility, there hasn’t been a major shift toward a risk-off sentiment that would heavily favor the yen. For now, dollar strength seems to dominate.
3. Japanese Economic Conditions
Japan’s economy continues to struggle with low growth despite rising inflation. The BoJ’s consistent approach to stimulus, combined with the government's push for wage growth, has not yet translated into significant yen strength. Additionally, trade deficits in Japan, exacerbated by higher import costs, have weighed on the yen’s valuation.
Without a major shift in BoJ policy or a significant improvement in Japan's economic performance, the yen will likely remain under pressure, keeping USDJPY on a slightly bullish path.
4. US Bond Yields
US Treasury yields are another major factor driving the USDJPY. Higher US bond yields, often seen in response to tighter monetary policy and strong economic data, make the dollar more attractive to foreign investors. The upward trajectory of bond yields has been a persistent theme, reinforcing dollar strength. If this trend continues through the week, we can expect additional support for USDJPY.
5. Technical Indicators
Looking at the technical analysis for USDJPY, the pair has been trading near key resistance levels in recent sessions. If the pair breaks above these resistance zones, we could see further bullish momentum.
- Key Support and Resistance Levels: The 145.00 level has been a psychological support level for USDJPY, while 148.50 serves as resistance. Should the pair break beyond this resistance, it could trigger more buying pressure, pushing USDJPY higher.
Conclusion: USDJPY’s Slight Bullish Bias
In conclusion, the USDJPY pair is expected to exhibit a slight bullish bias this week, primarily driven by:
- Monetary policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ.
- Favorable US economic data and rising Treasury yields.
- Limited economic growth in Japan, with persistent trade deficits.
- Stable global risk sentiment supporting the dollar over the yen.
Traders should keep an eye on US bond yields, Fed comments, and any sudden shifts in risk sentiment or geopolitical events, as these could influence USDJPY’s trajectory throughout the week.
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Keywords:
- USDJPY forecast
- USDJPY bullish bias
- USDJPY analysis September 2024
- USDJPY technical analysis
- USDJPY key drivers
- USDJPY trading strategy
- USDJPY and Federal Reserve policy
- USDJPY support and resistance levels
- USDJPY risk sentiment
- USDJPY bond yields impact
Gold prices enter a recovery period and the plunge is overOANDA:XAUUSD Against the backdrop of concerns about economic recession, global assets are experiencing a sell-off.
But as a safe-haven asset, shouldn't gold rise? Instead, it followed the sharp drop of $100.
This situation is very abnormal, so I don't think gold will continue to fall. Once investors calm down and look back, gold will soon highlight its safe-haven characteristics.
The market now believes that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September is 90%, and the US dollar index is also falling, and the probability of gold prices continuing to fall is shrinking.
And the Middle East geopolitical crisis has not yet passed, and you don't know when it will break out again, leading to rising risk aversion.
Under the above multiple premises, we should not be overly bearish on gold
Technically speaking, 2420 is a watershed, which has already highlighted its importance in the previous trends that have served as resistance and support many times. Once it breaks through, it will open up room for growth.
On the contrary, gold will maintain a low-level oscillation pattern, because such actions will be carried out after a big drop or a big rise. The main support area below is 2380-2365. Be prepared to sell if it falls below.
★Welcome to share your views and questions below, let's discuss TVC:GOLD 's latest ideas
GBPUSD idea invalidation (idea correction)News pushed the price through the resistance level. Expect a potential retest of around this level (1.28214). If resistance becomes support, the price may continue in the direction of the current prevailing trend. However, if the price breaks this support level with momentum, it may reverse. In that case, we'll wait for a retest of support now become resistance (again), and confirm the reversal by new lower high or lower low.
Alikze »» ONE | Wave 3 or C bullish scenarioAccording to the previous analysis, the currency of Harmony One reached its target. Currently, it is in the microwaves of rising wave 3, which can increase this wave to 0.063. to continue But in the higher time, it is expected that the started wave will return at least 100% of its previous wave to the area of $3.27. But in short-term goals, the specified supply areas can be considered as profit limits.
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Alikze »» KSM |Upward wave 5 scenarioAccording to the analysis of the previous post, both targets are touched with the support of $40. Again, after touching the bottom of the channel, there is a demand that will be able to break this supply area to the $59 range. But in the daily and weekly time, it is in the 5th rising wave, which will at least have the ability to reach the previous supply range or the previous major ceiling. After completing this cycle in the weekly time, if the $100 area is broken, its path will be paved to the $250 area to continue climbing.
🟩Sup:50
⛳️Tp 1:59
⛳️ Tp2 : 64
⛳️ Tp3 :81- 87
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Alikze »» EURUSD | Wave 5 correction scenario from leg CIn the daily time, it moved up after a complete 5-wave cycle, which is currently correcting the previous movement wave in a complex three-wave cycle. The last correction log after the breaking of the support area that corrected itself at 61.8 the previous wave has broken the area downwards, which is currently a resistance area for it. This upward correction wave of wave 4 is a correction of a full cycle of the correction log of wave C, which can continue until the support floor before this correction in the form of wave 5, which can include 5-wave correction microwaves, until the support zone. If the behavior and structure of the post changes, it will be updated.
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XAUUSD Bullish Trend - All-Time HighAUUSD (Gold/US Dollar) is currently experiencing a strong bullish trend, marked by consistent upward momentum and robust buying pressure. This bullish sentiment is underscored by the recent attainment of an all-time high price level.
Key Indicators:
Price Action: XAUUSD has been steadily climbing, forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating a clear uptrend.
Moving Averages: Short-term moving averages (e.g., 20-day SMA) are positioned above longer-term ones (e.g., 200-day SMA), signaling bullish momentum.
Volume: Trading volume has been increasing alongside price gains, reflecting heightened investor interest and participation in the market.
MACD: The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator shows a bullish crossover, with the MACD line rising above the signal line, suggesting upward momentum.
RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in the overbought territory, indicating strong buying pressure and potential further upside.
Alikze »» Yooshi | Breaking dynamic triggerIn time 1W, it is breaking the dynamic trigger and according to the guard it took in the first step, it will have the ability to grow up to the specified supply area. If the area fails, it will have the ability to reach its high supply areas. According to the momentum in the 3rd rising wave, this guard will continue until the initial areas.
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GOLD CONTINUES TO RISEGold has yet again hit record highs due to safe haven demand.the yellow metal has been rising steadily from march as investors are betting on interest rates cut by the Fed's this year.
Another rulling factor for this rise is led by the depreciation of other currencies against the dollar which is causing the yellow metal to rise together with a strong dollar.
The gold market is currently led by speculations across investors and retail traders so tell me what do you think will happen in the coming months?
#forex #xau/usd
Alikze → GRT| Swing failureAt time W1, D1 is currently returning in the form of a three-wave movement after a corrective cycle. Therefore, in the range of the green box, after the failure of the swing, it can continue its growth with a pullback to the specified range, at least up to the range of 0.34, and then in the Fibonacci levels, which are areas with supply areas.
🟩Sup: 0.1587 - 0.1953
⛳️Tp 1:0.3418
⛳️ Tp2 : 0.5047
⛳️ Tp3 : 0.8546
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Alikze »» MINA | Pullback to dynamic trigger is brokenIn the daily time, after the failure of the dynamic trigger and the support in the green box range, it has already tried to break the neckline several times, which it has not succeeded in breaking so far. But according to the structure that created higher floors and pits facing up, a triangle corner pattern was also formed. If the fake break occurs from the bottom and is supported in the green box range, it will have the ability to continue to the next supply area.
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Gold rebounds slightly, still bearishGold rebounded from a slight decline during the day, and it can still be shorted after the rebound. Although the K-line of gold currently maintains a high level of shock in the daily trend, the price is showing signs of gradually moving out of the high-level shock range. The K-line has gradually begun to come under pressure from the short-term moving average. In the short-term trend, the technical form has begun to gradually weaken. signs. The 4-hour trend fell below the early linkage support and then a slight rebound just completed the technical form repair. At present, the short-term moving average continues to diverge downward, and the weak trend in the short-term trend has not changed for the time being.
I currently tend to short gold after a rebound.The current short-term resistance of gold has moved down to the 2165-2160 area.
Alikze »» ALGO | Pull back to the trigger lineIn the weekly and daily times, after going through a complex correction cycle, it finally entered a motivational wave in the range of 0.082 with a floor, which is currently breaking the dynamic pullback to the structure, which is a retest to the supply area. has also had Therefore, with floor construction in the area, it will have the ability to grow to the next supply area of 0.39, and after its failure, the path to the next supply area will be smooth.
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Alikze »» WAVES | Short-term rising wave 3 scenarioIn time D1 and W1, it is moving in a long-term ascending channel. After exiting the density and an upward correction, the zigzag is currently moving towards the targets specified in the chart in the microwaves of the 3rd ascending wave. In the weekly time, the first supply range must be broken to continue the path to open the path for the next targets. Therefore, the most important resistance in front of it will be the first supply range.
⚠️The failure of the first supply area will be corrected.3
🔰 At the beginning of micro wave 3 or C rising is located. Therefore, there is a possibility of rapid movement.
🔰 If this wave is extended, there will be the ability to break and break the first supply area to the second area.
🔰 The bottom of the current wave can be considered as invalidity of the analysis.
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ICP Price Analysis: Bullish Breakout Signals Potential 76% UpswICP has been on a tear since breaking out of its weekly accumulation box. The price has surged over 50% in just a few days and is now approaching its next major resistance level at $13.61.
A bullish engulfing candle on the weekly chart suggests that the bulls are in control and that the price is likely to continue its upward trend. If the price can break above $13.61 with conviction, it could open the door for a rally to $76, representing a potential upside of 76%.
However, traders should exercise caution before entering a long position. The cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile and prices can reverse quickly. A stop-loss order should be placed below $8 to mitigate risk in case of a sudden sell-off.
It is important to note that this analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Key Technical Indicators:
Support Levels: $12.00, $10.00
Resistance Levels: $13.61, $15.00, $18.00
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 65 (Overbought)
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): Bullish crossover
Trading Strategy:
Buy: If the price breaks above $13.61 with conviction.
Target: $76
Stop-Loss: $8
Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions
Alikze → GMX| Leaving the cornerIt is moving in an ascending channel, which after forming a floor at the bottom of the ascending channel and exiting the corner, it is moving towards the supply area and the $50 range. If it breaks the $50 area, the path will be opened to continue climbing to the next range and the ceiling of the channel.
🟩Sup: 43.80 - 45.30
⛳️Tp 1:50 - 53
⛳️ Tp2 : 56.20
⛳️ Tp3 : 62.5 - 68.80
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Alikze => CHZ| The scenario of wave 3 ascending or CAfter several short-term analyzes regarding the CHZ currency, this time we will examine the currency in the long term. In the weekly time, it is moving in a descending channel, which has made a zigzag correction in the form of wave 2 correction with the bottom of the 50% Fibo range. It is currently in wave 3 of 3. At the moment, it has returned 100% of the wave, which will have the ability to grow up to the ranges of 0.17 and then 0.195. The most important resistance area to continue climbing up to the 0.78 Fibo range and also 0.34 cents is the 0.19 resistance. I will go into detail in the daily analysis and lower time frames.
Support areas: 0.1220 and green box
In addition, considering that it is big in wave 3 or C, for the long-term goal, it has the ability to return to the 100% Fibo wave in the range of $14.
🟩Sup: 0.1220 and green box
⛳️Tp 1:0.17
⛳️ Tp2 : 0.195
⛳️ Tp3 : 0.34
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