Support
Dollar rally slows after jobless claims; EURUSD ready to rise?EUR/USD has just touched a key support zone on the daily chart between 1.0900 and 1.0950, an area that previously acted as resistance in March and July 2024 but now appears to be turning into support.
Yesterday’s candle formed a long lower shadow, signaling a possible rejection of selling pressure and a hint of buying strength. Additionally, the 1.0950 level aligns with the 61.8% bullish Fibonacci retracement on the daily chart, further reinforcing the potential for support.
A little further down, the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) appears to be strengthening the whole area and increasing the possibility of it working as a support level.
Several factors are currently converging around the 1.0950 mark:
1. EUR/USD is in a former resistance area, which now appears to be functioning as support on the daily chart.
2. The 61.8% Fibonacci bullish level is present at 1.0950.
3. The 200-day SMA adds strength to the support zone.
4. A daily candle with a long lower shadow suggests initial buying strength.
Higher-than-expected US inflation data leads to short-term strength in USD, fades after jobless claims
From a macroeconomic perspective, the release of CPI data in the US, which came in higher than expected, initially boosted the US dollar at the start of the trading session. However, optimism about the dollar faded by the end of the day, causing the price to retrace and leave a long shadow on the daily candle.
This shift was driven by higher-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims (258,000 actual vs. 231,000 forecast), reminding investors that the Federal Reserve is balancing two objectives: controlling inflation while protecting the labour market. As a result, despite higher inflation, the Fed may remain lenient to support job growth in the short term.
Based on these factors, if EURUSD manages to break above the 1.0960 level, it may rise to 1.1010 and 1.1090 over the next few days.
Alternatively, if EURUSD breaks below 1.0890, it could fall to 1.0775, where a significant support area is likely to be found.
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BIGTIME/USDT: LOW RISK, HIGH REWARD TRADE SETUP!!Hey everyone!
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BIGTIME is showing strong potential! It’s forming a descending triangle and has created a confirmed deviation. Currently, it’s bouncing off the lower trendline of the triangle, presenting a solid buying opportunity. Consider entering here and adding more on dips.
Entry range: CMP and accumulate up to $0.106
Targets: $0.121 / $0.132 / $0.149 / $0.175 / $0.20 / $0.222
Stop Loss (SL): $0.0965
Leverage: 2x - 4x
What do you think of BIGTIME's current price action? Are you spotting a bullish setup? Share your thoughts and analysis in the comments below!
Mastering Support and Resistance: An Essential Tools for SuccessSupport and resistance are cornerstone principles in trading, offering crucial insights into price dynamics and market behavior. These levels act as key indicators, signaling points where an asset's price is likely to either pause or reverse direction. Support refers to the price level where strong demand prevents further declines, while resistance marks the point where selling pressure halts a price rise. Understanding and effectively utilizing these concepts can make a significant difference in trading success.
In the realm of technical analysis, which focuses on using historical market data to predict future price movements, understanding support and resistance is essential. Traders rely on these levels to pinpoint optimal trade entry and exit points while also managing risk effectively. By recognizing where the market may reverse or maintain its trajectory, traders can craft more robust strategies.
Decoding Support and Resistance Levels
Support and resistance levels are vital price points on a chart that traders use to forecast future market behavior. Support represents a level where a downtrend is likely to pause, driven by a concentration of buying interest. In other words, it's the price point where demand is strong enough to stop further declines. For instance, if a stock repeatedly drops to $100 and then bounces back, $100 becomes a recognized support level.
On the flip side, resistance is the price level where an uptrend often halts due to a high volume of sellers. Unlike support, resistance is where selling pressure overpowers buying interest, preventing prices from climbing further. If a stock consistently hits $150 and then retreats, $150 serves as a resistance level.
Example Support and Resistance on Silver
These levels are significant because they represent psychological thresholds for market participants. When prices approach support, buyers may step in, seeing it as a good entry point. Conversely, when prices near resistance, sellers might take action, expecting the price to struggle moving higher. Understanding how these levels work helps traders refine their timing and make more informed decisions.
The Impact of Support and Resistance in Technical Analysis
Support and resistance are pivotal in technical analysis, guiding traders in interpreting market movements and predicting future price trends. These levels act as psychological barriers that help determine whether a price trend will persist or reverse.
For example, if a stock repeatedly approaches a resistance level but fails to break through, traders may interpret this as strong selling pressure and consider selling or shorting the asset. Conversely, if a price consistently rebounds off a support level, traders might see it as a buying opportunity.
Example Resistance and Support on Apple Stock
Visual tools like charts and diagrams are indispensable for identifying support and resistance levels. By drawing horizontal lines at points where the price has historically reversed, traders can easily spot critical levels and predict potential market movements. These visual aids enhance decision-making by providing a clear picture of where key price barriers lie.
The Crucial Role of Support and Resistance Levels in Trading Strategies
Support and resistance levels are the foundation of successful trading strategies, offering traders the tools to optimize entry and exit points, maximize profits, and manage risks effectively.
For example, when a price hovers near a support level, a trader might take a long position, anticipating a rise in value. Simultaneously, they could place a Stop Loss just below the support level to limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly drops. Similarly, resistance levels provide invaluable insights for deciding when to exit trades or set profit targets. If a price approaches resistance, it might be wise to close a position to secure gains or prepare for a possible reversal.
Understanding and identifying support and resistance levels also play a vital role in risk management. Setting Stop Loss orders near these levels helps traders protect their capital from significant losses if the market turns against them. This disciplined approach not only enhances profitability but also promotes long-term success in trading.
Different Forms of Support and Resistance
Support and resistance levels come in various forms, each providing unique perspectives on market behavior. The most common types include horizontal levels, trendlines, and moving averages.
--Horizontal Support and Resistance: These levels are drawn at points where the price has consistently reversed in the past, making them straightforward and widely recognized.
Horizontal Resistance on Tesla Stock
--Trendline Support and Resistance: Trendlines connect a series of higher lows in an uptrend or lower highs in a downtrend, acting as dynamic support and resistance. In an uptrend, the trendline can signal buying opportunities, while in a downtrend, it might serve as resistance.
Trendline Support on EUR/USD
--Moving Averages: Moving averages, such as the 50-day or 200-day average, often act as support or resistance. For instance, during an uptrend, a pullback to the 50-day moving average can indicate a buying opportunity.
Moving Averages Used as Support and Resistance on USD/CAD
How to Identify Key Support and Resistance Levels
To identify strong support and resistance levels, traders use several strategies:
--Spot Price Clusters: Look for areas where the price consistently reverses direction, signaling strong support or resistance zones.
--Use Technical Indicators: Tools like Fibonacci retracements help identify potential reversal levels during pullbacks by dividing a price move into key percentages (38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%).
Fibonacci Tool used as Support and Resistance areas on DXY
Common Pitfalls When Using Support and Resistance in Trading
While support and resistance are essential, there are common mistakes traders should avoid:
--Over-Reliance on Exact Numbers: Support and resistance are better viewed as zones rather than exact values. Prices may fluctuate slightly above or below these levels before reversing.
--Ignoring Confirmation Signals: Jumping into trades without confirmation can lead to losses. Always look for signs like candlestick patterns or increased volume to confirm that the level will hold.
--Chasing Breakouts Too Hastily: Not all breakouts result in sustained trends. Waiting for confirmation, such as increased volume, helps avoid being caught in a false breakout.
--Impatience: Many traders act prematurely at support or resistance levels. Patience is key—stick to your trading plan and wait for the right setup.
Advanced Strategies for Support and Resistance Trading
For more experienced traders, support and resistance levels can serve as the basis for advanced strategies:
--Breakouts: A breakout occurs when the price moves above resistance or below support, often signaling the start of a new trend. Confirming breakouts with increased volume helps reduce the risk of false signals.
Breakout Confirmation on BTC
--Fakeouts: Prices may temporarily breach support or resistance before reversing direction. Advanced traders capitalize on these by waiting for the price to return within the range and then taking positions in the opposite direction.
Fakeouts on BTC
--Reversals: Traders use reversal strategies when the price changes direction after hitting support or resistance, often signaling the start of a new trend.
Area $72000 resistance used as reversal on BTC
Conclusion
Mastering support and resistance levels is vital for any trader aiming for long-term success. These concepts are the backbone of technical analysis, guiding traders in making informed decisions about when to enter, exit, and manage risks. By understanding and identifying key support and resistance zones, traders can predict price movements, spot opportunities, and refine their strategies.
Incorporating technical analysis into your trading routine will boost your confidence in navigating the market. Whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned trader, honing your skills with support and resistance can lead to more disciplined and profitable trading.
Long AVAXTraders,
Though the indicator is weak having not received full confirmation at the time of this post, I have chosen to go long AVAX once again. AVAX is one of my favorite alts and from the chart we can see that we have several good support underneath us.
First, there is that ascending trendline. Secondly, we have that VRVP PoC. And the third indicator is not seen on this chart. We have many coins flipping green today. Visit my weekly update for more on what I am seeing on a macro scale. I posted this update yesterday.
Again traders, keep in mind I am earlier in entry than I normally feel comfortable with on this trade. I really would like to see a strong cross of the MA on the RSI chart. Thus, entry risk is a bit higher. Trade accordingly.
Head and SouldersXRP retraced, settling itself at a lower low and a new resistance. A head and shoulders formed, signaling a rally short trade. I believe XRP will bounce and retrace, possibly dropping below $0.50. The previous head and shoulders from Nov 23 to Jan 24 caused XRP to dip below $0.50, and then it rallied after the dip. The previous head and shoulders formed in a 3-month window, identical to its recent head and shoulders that started at the beginning of July 2024.
Support - 0.50
Resistance - 0.57
Momentum - Selling
Fear & Greed Index (Binance) - Neutral 50
Bear vs Bull - Bearish
Fundamental analysis: A major factor in the dip was a whale selloff at approximately 32% volume. Market sentiment appears mixed, with some analysts indicating that the current price movements reflect manipulation and uncertainty in the market.
NOT/USDT BREAKOUT ALERT: READY FOR TAKEOFF!!Hey everyone!
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NOT is showing potential here. It’s breaking out from a falling wedge-like structure on the daily time frame and is currently hovering near the wedge. This could be a good buying opportunity, with a chance to add more on dips.
Entry range: Current Market Price (CMP) and accumulate up to $0.0068
Targets: $0.0104 / $0.0136 / $0.0172 / $0.0225
Stop Loss (SL): $0.0054
What are your thoughts on NOT's current price action? Do you see a bullish setup? Share your analysis in the comments below!
APT - The signal is crystal clear.#APT/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ APT has clearly bounced from the support zone, and we are now seeing a defined trend.
+ The price is moving towards the next resistance around $18.
+ This presents a clear opportunity to capitalize on the trend and maximize profits.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 9.13
Stop Loss: 6.43
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Target 1: 10.84
Target 2: 12.96
Target 3: 15.23
Target 4: 18.57
Target 5: 26.78
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Timeframe:1W
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
Head and Shoulders with price retestA drastic dip occurred with week buy action. FTM value has been reset to the low 0.60 zone. I expect a price bounce from the head and shoulder retract. I called a head and shoulder earlier this week on the XRP chart, and FTM has also followed that trend. 20MA and 200MA are still playing the break for all long positions. The moving average holds uptober excitement, but we will have to wait and see if it will hold strength and value next week.
Support - 0.56
Resistance - 0.65
Momentum - Low
Volume strength - Sell
Fear & Greed Index - Greed (73)
Fundamental analysis—With new price discoveries, it has been a rough week for all cryptocurrencies. I've noticed that the world crisis events will determine crypto price bounces. A lot of selling occurred with whale accumulation.
LISTA/USDT: READY FOR AN ATH!!Hey everyone!
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LISTA is showing strong potential here. It has broken out from the descending triangle pattern and performed a clean retest of the breakout level. It's a good time to consider entering, with opportunities to add more during any dips.
Entry range: Current Market Price (CMP) and accumulate up to $0.29
Targets: $0.42 / $0.54 / $0.66 / $0.85
Stop Loss (SL): $0.235
What are your thoughts on LISTA's current price action? Do you see a bullish setup? Share your analysis in the comments below!
NOT buying USDCADThe USDCAD price has moved into the Daily sell zone, which suggests the possibility of new sell positions entering the market, potentially driving the price down. In the case that the zone is broken, there is a high likelihood of further price increases (which, in my opinion, is less likely).
For those looking to short, I would recommend looking for a simple breakout pattern on lower timeframes and participating accordingly. BUT make sure to wait until after the NFT news and observe what market will do with price.
Good luck, and stay cautious, don't forget it's Friday!
[SOL/USD] In need of serious bounceFirst, let's take a look at 4 hr chart of CRYPTO:SOLUSD . The 220 EMA line has now breached & the price dive further to 136-138 zone at the moment. So, what's next ?
Why don't we try to zoom it out a bit, see the daily chart. It is now resting at 220 EMA line, which as well the trend line support.
To continue its bullish journey, the price need to bounce from here (duh...) as it needs to avoid the EMA making death cross, as well as the MACD need to breakout from its downtrend line.
The long term view of this token is actually looks pretty. There's a beautiful pattern in the making on the higher time frame, but let see how this daily setup played out first.
Cherio...
EURO - Price can rise a little and then bounce down to $1.1010Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price bounced from mirror line and made upward impulse, thereby breaking $1.1010 level.
Then price started to trades inside flat, where it at once rose to resistance level, which coincided with top part of flat.
After this, EUR turned around and in a short time fell to mirror line and then bounced up again.
Later price reached $1.1200 level again and some time traded near, after which turned around and started to fall.
Euro fell to mirror line and recently broke it, so, now it trades very close to this line inside flat.
I think that price can make a move up, higher mirror line, and then continue to decline to $1.1010 level.
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[SOL/USD] Just when you think you're out of the woodRight...what we think market will do is one thing...what it does, is another whole thing.
Let see COINBASE:SOLUSD 4 hr chart here. Price has dive from 160 & now resting at 220 EMA, which happen to be the trend line support. Let see if this holds & the price is able to bounce from here.
Gold BuyIn my previous anylisis i have seen that gold will touch its support level down there now as time passed it has gain its previous momentum back and moving towards its resistance level now as we can witness that gold has broke its Resistance which became support for now we have seen a retest now as being bullish we are moving towards it Ath resistance level so we are bullish to that level of resistance
BIGTIME/USDT: LONG SCALP SETUP! Low Risk, High Reward Setup!!Hey everyone!
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BIGTIME looks promising right now. It’s forming a symmetrical triangle on the 4-hour time frame and is currently hovering near the lower trend line of the triangle. Additionally, there’s support at the 100 MA, which strengthens the bullish outlook. Consider going long here and adding more on any dips.
Entry: Current Market Price (CMP) and add more up to $0.129
Targets:
$0.149
$0.168
$0.185
$0.204
Stop Loss (SL): $0.122
Leverage: 5x
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:6
What are your thoughts on BIGTIME's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern developing? Share your analysis in the comments below!