$DXY Weekly Analysis: Bearish Divergence and Trendline Breakdown
DXY Shows Bearish Divergence and Breakdown – Bullish Implications for Bitcoin, Gold, and Forex
The U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has formed a clear bearish divergence on the weekly timeframe, indicating potential downside momentum. Additionally, it has lost key trendline support, further confirming weakness in the dollar.
Key Support Levels for #DXY
Next Major Support: 102 - 100 zone
If the 110 support level is breached, DXY could experience a sharp plunge, accelerating further downside.
Bullish Impact on Bitcoin, Altcoins, Gold, and Forex
Since the DXY moves inversely to risk assets and other currencies, its bearish outlook could support:
✅ #Bitcoin & #Altcoins: Potential for upward momentum
✅ #Gold: Increased demand as a hedge against a weaker dollar
✅ #Forex Markets: Currencies like EUR, GBP, and others could gain strength against the USD
The current bearish divergence and breakdown of trendline support in DXY suggest continued dollar weakness. If key support levels fail, we could see strong rallies in Bitcoin, altcoins, gold, and major forex pairs in the coming weeks.
Support
FB (META), What is going on?Stocks fall one after another !
We Saw a considerable decline in FB (Meta) Stoc k after earning report after hours of last trading session. What is happening for FB (Meta) in terms of Elliott waves?
FB (META), has likely completed a primary degree ascending cycle started on 4th Sept 2012 at 17.55 USD . This cycle took 9 years to be completed therefore, we can imagine how boring will be the correction phase before completion !
If true , FB (META) has started a correction decline form ATH (384.33) down to Retracement levels with today's pre-market price around 0.382 level.
Although 0.382 retracement is also possible for wave 2s , I give very low possibility to bounce back from this level according to timing and corrective patterns.
Retracement down to 200 , 157 and even 96 USD corresponding to 0.5 , 0.618 Golden Ration and 0.786 Retracement levels is very possible, I tried to show the probability of each possible Retracement with thickness of arrows with the thickest to be the most probable ( As I suppose ) and vice versa.
After completion of this primary degree wave 2 , there will be a huge up going wave which is primary degree wave 3 . This wave 3 will push the price up to at least 700 USD and even higher ( Very good news for long term investors ) depending on at which retracement level this boring correction phase ends. It is too soon to talk about this target we can update our targets in next years !
Please note this is a very long term prediction so, there will be lots of ups and downs and fluctuations in our path. What is happening on FB (META) is more than likely similar to whats happened for ETSY, SHOPIFY, SQ and many others in the market.
As I showed on the chart, this is what I see as the most probable scenario which means there are more optimistic scenarios. Mots probable more optimistic scenario is that FB ( META) is just correcting the wave cycle labeled as wave (5). As far as the stock is trading above 170 USD, this scenario is valid.
Hope this analysis to be helpful and wish you all the best.
GOLD UPCOMING ROUTE MAPIn this analysis we are focusing on 1H time frame. As we know that gold has manage to create a new all time high ATH. So the current market trend was strongly bullish. and there is no clear market structure. In my opinion and what I'm expecting that gold price retest at least the FVG key level, then we'll plan a buy trade this FVG area and demand area is best zone for buying. Now wait for price when it comes to our key levels and how price react. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
#OMUSDT Expecting further upside momentum📈 LONG BYBIT:OMUSDT.P from $6.2310
🛡 Stop Loss: $6.1400
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:OMUSDT.P is showing strong bullish momentum after breaking above $6.1965, confirming buyer strength.
➡️ The price is now above a key level, which could act as a support for further movement upward.
➡️ The main target for this move is $6.4600, a significant resistance level.
➡️ POC at $5.8242 suggests that major liquidity was accumulated below, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
➡️ Increasing volume indicates strong buying pressure, which supports further upward continuation.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter LONG from $6.2310 if the price holds above this level.
➡️ Risk management with Stop-Loss at $6.1400, to protect against false breakouts.
➡️ Main upside target:
🎯 TP Target:
💎 TP1: $6.4600 — key resistance zone for potential profit-taking.
🚀 BYBIT:OMUSDT.P Expecting further upside momentum!
📢 BYBIT:OMUSDT.P If the price stays above $6.2310, further upside towards $6.4600 is expected.
📢 However, if the price drops below $6.1400, a pullback or range-bound movement could occur.
Is Bitcoin Topping Out? Critical Levels to WatchSince the low of $15,476 on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin has surged to an all-time high of $109,588 on January 20, 2025. That’s an incredible +608% increase over 791 days. We also hit the long-anticipated $100K mark. But for almost three months now, Bitcoin has been stuck in a range between $90K and the all-time high, showing some indecision in the market.
Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends
Bitcoin spent over 250 days consolidating between $50K and $70K before finally breaking out in November 2024, right around the U.S. election. That breakout triggered a massive rally, pushing Bitcoin to 100K in just one month. Since then, bulls and bears have been battling it out, trying to establish control over this crucial psychological level.
A look at the pitchfork tool shows that Bitcoin has been rejected at the 0.618, 0.666, and 0.786 levels multiple times while trying to push higher. Recently, we lost the median line of the pitchfork and dropped below 100K, suggesting bullish momentum is fading. The 233 SMA/EMA on the 4-hour TF as well as the 21 EMA/MA on the daily TF has also flipped into resistance, adding to the bearish pressure.
Is February Shaping Up to Be a Bearish Month?
If we compare the current cycle to the 2020 bull market, the price action looks similar, forming a top where Bitcoin struggles to break higher. February could bring a healthy correction before any new leg up.
Key Support Zones & Confluences
Here’s where we could see solid support:
Unfilled CME Gap at $77,930 – Historically, Bitcoin tends to fill these gaps over time
Pitchfork Lower Support Line (~$80K) – If Bitcoin drops, this level aligns with multiple confluences by late February or early March
Fib Speed Fan (0.618 from $50K to ATH) – Perfectly lines up with the pitchfork lower support around $80K
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1.618) – Another confluence at the $79K mark
Fib Retracement (0.5 from $50K to ATH) – Adds more support at $79.3K
Negative Fibonacci Retracement (-0.618) – Lands right at the open gap, reinforcing this zone
Daily 233 EMA/MA – Sitting at $81.3K and $76.4K, further supporting this region
Key Support Zone: $80K - $78K – With all these confluences, this is a strong area for a potential long setup
Additional Support Zone: FWB:88K - $86K – Another important region to watch for a bounce
Resistance Levels & Confluences
Psychological Resistance at 100K – A major battle zone between bulls and bears
Daily 21 EMA/MA (~$99.5K - 101K) – A key resistance level that could cap any upward movement
233 SMA/EMA on the 4H Timeframe – Now acting as resistance, adding pressure to the downside
Potential Trade Setups
Long Setup #1: A potential entry from FWB:88K - $86K
Long Setup #2: $80K - $78K support zone with confirmation could present a high-probability trade
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is facing strong resistance at 100K, with multiple technical indicators suggesting a possible pullback. While the bigger trend remains bullish, February might bring a correction, providing great long opportunities around the FWB:88K - $86K and $80K - $78K region. Keep an eye on key support zones and look for confirmation signals before jumping into trades.
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The 4H, Daily, and Weekly support zones seen on the charts are from my new indicator, which I released for free a few days ago. Feel free to check it out and incorporate it into your analysis.
ZEN’s Reversal Zone – Perfect Time to Go Long?ZEN has seen a sharp 78.65% decline from its $46.28 high, dropping over the past 40 days. With six consecutive red daily candles, we’re at a critical point to determine whether a bullish reversal is near or if further downside is ahead. Let's analyse the key support and resistance zones and establish high-probability trade setups.
Support Levels & Confluences
1️⃣ Psychological Support – $10: Price bounced off $10, aligning with the 0.886 Fib retracement.
2️⃣ Trend-Based Fib Extension 0.786 – $11.33: Indicates potential correction completion
3️⃣ Yearly Open from 2021 – $11.61: Acts as a historical support level
4️⃣ Weekly Support at $11.48 (0.618 Fib Retracement): Aligns with the weekly order block ($12.13 - $11.45)
5️⃣ Monthly 21 SMA – $10.86: Aligns with the 0.786 Fib
Long Trade Setups – Laddering Strategy
Long positions can be laddered from $11.48 (0.618 Fib) down to $10.82 (0.786 Fib) for a better cost basis.
Long Entry #1: $11.48 (0.618 Fib Retracement)
Long Entry #2: $11.00 (Mid-range level between fibs)
Long Entry #3: $10.82 (0.786 Fib Retracement)
Stop Loss: Below $10.60
Take Profit: $14 - $15
R:R: 13:1 (for 0.786 Fib entry)
This laddering approach allows for better risk management and capital allocation.
Alternative Long Entry – Confirmation-Based Trade
Entry: If price reclaims $12.11 (Daily Open & Weekly Level) and retests it as support
Stop Loss: Below $11.48
Target: $14 - $15
R:R: 3:1
Resistance Levels & Short Setup
1️⃣ Weekly Open - $14.20
2️⃣ Monthly Level - $14.85
3️⃣ Weekly Level - $15.12
4️⃣ Key Resistance - $15
5️⃣ 0.5 Fib Retracement from Downward Wave - $15.25
6️⃣ Weekly 21 SMA - $14.92
Short Setup (If Price Reaches Resistance & Shows Weakness)
Entry: Between $14.85 - $15.25
Stop Loss: Above $15.50
Take Profit: $14.2 - wOpen
Key Takeaways:
Ladder long entries from $11.48 - $10.82 to maximise R:R
Alternative long trade if price confirms $12.11 as support
Strong resistance at $14.85 - $15.25, ideal for profit-taking or a short trade setup
Multiple confluences (Fib levels, moving averages, order blocks) confirm these setups
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Bitcoin (BTC) – Technical Analysis & Key LevelsCurrent Market Status:
Price: Trading near $97,000, below the $98,000–$100,000 resistance zone.
Weekend Movement: Recovered 10% of losses, but some gains have been retraced.
Directional Bias: Neutral, as BTC consolidates under key resistance.
Key Levels to Watch
Upside Targets (If BTC Reclaims $100K as Support)
$103,000–$108,000 → Next resistance zone, a breakout above this could trigger further upside.
$115,000+ → Potential medium-term target if bullish momentum strengthens.
Downside Support Levels (If BTC Fails to Hold 97K–$100K Zone)
$91,000–$95,000 → Immediate support range, likely to attract buyers.
$85,000–$87,500 → Stronger support in case of deeper correction.
Market Outlook & Trading Strategy
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above $100,000 would shift momentum toward $103,000–$108,000.
Sustained price action above $100K would indicate strength, supporting further rally potential.
Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to hold current levels, expect a pullback to $91,000–$95,000.
A break below $91K could expose BTC to $85,000–$87,500 support levels.
Final Thoughts
BTC remains at a critical juncture, with $100K acting as a key decision point. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation of either a breakout (bullish) or a rejection leading to further downside (bearish) before positioning for the next major move.
EURUSD before NFP
Yesterday, EURUSD held below the 1,0400 level, awaiting the news.
Later today, the NFP data data will be released.
This news will determine the next movement of the USD.
If a higher low forms, the target will be to test and break previous highs.
Key resistance levels:
1,0425
1,0522
1,0568
Entry signals will be confirmed after the news!
#BILLYUSDT expecting further decline!📉 SHORT BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P from $0.00367
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.00390
⏱ 1H Timeframe
📍 Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P continues to trend downward, forming new local lows. After retesting the $0.00387 zone, the price failed to hold and dropped again, confirming seller dominance.
➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $0.00475 shows the highest liquidity area, positioned above the current price. This confirms a bearish market sentiment, as major trading activity is still concentrated at higher levels.
➡️ A breakdown of support at $0.00367 strengthens the downtrend, opening the way toward $0.00336, where buyers previously showed interest.
➡️ If the price holds below $0.00367 , further downside movement is likely, with increasing sell pressure.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter short after confirming a breakdown below $0.00367 , signaling further downside.
➡️ Risk management through Stop-Loss at $0.00390 , placed above the nearest resistance zone.
➡️ Primary downside target – $0.00336, where buyers may step in.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.00336
🚀 BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P remains weak — expecting further decline!
📢 BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P remains in a strong downtrend with no signs of buyer recovery. If the $0.00367 level is broken with increasing volume, the decline may accelerate.
📢It's crucial to watch the reaction at $0.00336—if significant buying interest appears, a short-term bounce is possible.
📢However, in the long term, there are no clear reversal signals yet, and long positions should be approached with caution.
OLECTRA at tilted supportThe stock is currently trading near tilted support at 1250.
If it breaks the recent low of 1240, the target on the sell side is likely to be 1050.
It looks bullish only if it moves above 1700 or breaks out of the trendline based on the present available data.
For a successful breakout/breakdown, we should ideally see a strong respective timeframe candle on our chart to close —it’s crucial to use that timeframe.
Following the breakout/breakdown, the ideal entry point would be after a consecutive candle that breaks above/below the breakout/breakdown candle
As always, remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions!
LINK Long Spot OpportunityMarket Context:
LINK has retraced into a major support zone, setting up a potential retest and bounce. Given its historical price behavior at these levels, this provides a strong risk-to-reward opportunity for a long spot position.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $14.50 - $16.50
Take Profit Targets:
$19.40 - $21.50
$27.00 - $30.00
Stop Loss: Just below $12.00
This setup aligns with historical support zones and potential continuation of the uptrend. Manage risk accordingly and stick to the plan! 📈🔥
ADANI GREEN The stock can't be predicted clearly as there are abnormal moves due to various news.
However, it's likely forming an ascending triangle (not clearly).
look for bearishness if it closes below 870 on a weekly TF, and the target would be 600 again. Bullishness is only visible above 2300 or the breakout of the trendline.
For a successful breakout/breakdown, we should ideally see a strong respective timeframe candle on our chart to close —it’s crucial to use that timeframe.
Following the breakout/breakdown, the ideal entry point would be after a consecutive candle that breaks above/below the breakout/breakdown candle
As always, remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions!
TATA MOTORS accumulate for long termTata Motors experienced a fake-out at its all-time high, approaching the psychological level of 1000, and has since seen a significant decline.
Currently, the stock is trading near a solid support level of 700, making it a good opportunity for long-term accumulation.
However, if the price breaks below 700, a target of 620 could be expected.
Bullish sentiment is only apparent above the level of 820.
For a successful breakout/breakdown, we should ideally see a strong respective timeframe candle on our chart to close —it’s crucial to use that timeframe.
Following the breakout/breakdown, the ideal entry point would be after a consecutive candle that breaks above/below the breakout/breakdown candle
As always, remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions!
IRFC at supportAfter a good rally, the stock is trading near major support. If it breaks down with a close of the weekly candle below support, then the first target will be 116, and the second will be 90 easily.
It looks strong and will turn bullish on a weekly close above 170.
For a successful breakout/breakdown, we should ideally see a strong respective timeframe candle on our chart to close —it’s crucial to use that timeframe.
Following the breakout/breakdown, the ideal entry point would be after a consecutive candle that breaks above/below the breakout/breakdown candle
As always, remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions!
GOLD ANALYSIS In this analysis, we're focusing on gold's price movements on the M30 time frame. Recently, gold reached its all time high (ATH), and with the market trending bullish, the momentum from the bulls has been undeniable. Today, I'm looking for a buy opportunity around my key demand levels. Let's observe how the market unfolds. Confirmation is key.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD M30 Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Voltas is ready to fly in blue sky, a perfect swing trade setupHello everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your Trading as well. Today i have brought a company from a TATA Group. Stock name is Voltas and it is engaged in the business of air conditioning, refrigeration, electro - mechanical projects as an EPC contractor both in domestic and international geographies (Middle East and Singapore) and engineering product services for mining, water management and treatment, construction equipments and textile industry.
Voltas was created 6 decades ago when Tata Sons joined hands with a swiss company Volkart Brothers. Voltas is also one of the most reputed engineering solution providers specializing in project management. The company has 5,000+ Customer sites actively managed across India
Unitary Cooling Products(UCP)
Unitary Cooling products comprises Room Air
Conditioners (RAC), Air Coolers, Air Purifiers, Water Heaters, Water Dispensers, Water Coolers, Visi Coolers, Chest Freezers, Cold Rooms & Medical Refrigeration.
As of Q1FY25, company has 21.2% market share in room Acs and 36% in window ACs . It has 30,000+ touchpoints, 330+ EBOs and 5 Experience Zones. The company sold 1 mn units in 88 days.
Market Cap
₹ 46,365 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 1,401
High / Low
₹ 1,946 / 1,013
Stock P/E
65.4
Book Value
₹ 190
Dividend Yield
0.39 %
ROCE
8.51 %
ROE
4.40 %
Face Value
₹ 1.00
Industry PE
82.8
Debt
₹ 871 Cr.
EPS
₹ 21.7
Promoter holding
30.3 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 272
Return over 5years
15.1 %
Debt to equity
0.14
Net profit
₹ 709 Cr.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
BTC-USD 4h chartHello everyone, let's look at the 4H BTC chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price has dropped below the growth trend line, currently it moves in the local cloak of the inheritance tendu in which we are approaching the lower border of the channel.
However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = 99935 $
T2 = 101788 $
Т3 = 104663 $.
T4 = 106743 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 96795 $
SL2 = 93353 $
SL3 = 89041 $
SOL/USDT 8h Chart Hi all, let's look at the 8H SOL to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a downtrend channel, where the potential exit up has been reversed. Here we can also see how the price is based on a specific uptrend line, which is worth watching because breaking it could lower the price even more.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = $250
T2 = $269
Т3 = $284
Т4 = $298
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
First, we have a strong support zone from $226 to $216 visible, and then we can define two potential stop loss points
SL1 = $198
SL2 = $185
Looking at the MACD indicator, we can see how it shows an attempt to return to the uptrend, which is currently proving ineffective, while on the RSI we are in the lower part with room for a potentially larger rebound.
EURUSD Is Trading At Strong Support While Finishing A CorrectionEURUSD came lower as expected, broke into the fifth wave we talked about last few weeks, and it finally moved into important support levels at 1.02 area. Notice that we are actually tracking the final leg within this downtrend from 2024 high, so ideally its wave C of a higher degree A-B-C correction, meaning that pair can stabilize still some time this month, ideally after the completion of an ending diagonal around important and golden 61,8% Fibonacci retracement. Even RSI is showing a divergence. A bounce in impulse back above 1.0435 will suggest that low is forming.
GOLD ROUTE MAP FOR TODAYCurrently, we're analyzing the 1-hour chart of gold with a Bullish BIAS for the day. Our strategy is to wait for the price to pull back into the demand zone, and once we spot a clear bullish reversal confirmation, we'll look to enter a buy trade from there. Patience is key, but the setup looks promising.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analyze or prediction.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.