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Support_and_resistance

AUDJPY Technical Breakout - Targeting 97.400 Next?TRADENATION:AUDJPY has recently broken decisively above a key resistance zone that had previously capped price for several months. This breakout was preceded by a period of compression and range-bound price action, where bullish momentum steadily built up, indicated by higher lows pressing against the resistance level. This type of structure typically leads to an explosive breakout, which we are now seeing unfold. After the breakout, price came back for a clean retest of the broken resistance zone, which has now flipped into support. The retest held firmly, suggesting strong buyer interest at this level and confirming the validity of the breakout. With this structure in place, the bullish momentum is likely to extend further toward the next target zone around 97.400, provided price remains above the current support. As long as the price holds above the retested zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. A breakdown back below this area, however, would be a warning sign and could open the door to a deeper pullback. Remember, always wait for confirmation before entering trades, and maintain disciplined risk management.
Long
by TrendDiva
10
Gold Short Term OutlookGold continues its short-term recovery after bouncing from the Support Zone and reclaiming the $3,300 level. Price is now testing the $3,328 resistance zone, with both the 50MA and 200MA converging just below price. A confirmed break and hold above $3,328 would open the door to higher resistance levels. However, failure to clear this zone could lead to a retest of the Support Zone. If that fails to hold, a deeper retracement toward the HTF Support Zone may follow. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ $3,328 ‣ $3,341 ‣ $3,356 ‣ $3,383 Support: ‣ $3,313 ‣ $3,300 ‣ $3,267 ‣ $3,241 🔎 Fundamental Focus All eyes on U.S. unemployment claims today Expect volatility around the release – stay sharp.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
NZDCAD reached key resistance: Rebound to 0.82450 likelyPrice on NZDCAD has reached a pretty significant resistance level, that has been a key turning point in the past, with several strong reversals from the area. So naturally, I’ve been watching to see how price reacts here again. We can already see early signs of rejection, so I will monitor this pair and I’ll be looking for short setups from the zone again. 🟥 My sell idea is based on the expectation that this resistance will hold. I would be targeting a move down toward the 0.82450 level , which I feel is a realistic target before any reversal could take from the gains, especially if price respects this structure continuously. But if price breaks above and starts holding strong above the zone, then I’ll back off the bearish bias and reassess, and I’d consider the bearish idea invalidated, with potential for further upside. Just sharing how I see the chart right now, not financial advice
Short
by TrendDiva
25
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we noted that gold was attempting a recovery from the Support Zone but remained below both the 50 and 200 MAs, meaning bearish pressure was still intact. Since then, price has broken and held above $3,298, and is now trading around $3,330, just beneath the 200MA. This marks a shift in short-term momentum — gold has reclaimed the 50MA and is now challenging the 200MA. If bulls manage to break and hold above the $3,327 resistance, it could open the path toward $3,352 - $3,364 and potentially higher resistance zones. However, if price rejects the 200MA and fails to hold above $3,327, we may see a pullback toward $3,298 or deeper into $3,270, where bulls could look to reload. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,327 • $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400 Support: $3,298 • $3,270 • $3,241 🧠 Fundamental Focus: 📌 Fed Chair Powell speaks today at the ECB Forum in Portugal. Markets will closely watch for any shift in tone on inflation or rate outlook. His comments may influence USD direction and gold volatility. 📌 ISM Manufacturing PMI – a key gauge of economic activity. A strong print may pressure gold; a weak reading could support it. 📌 JOLTS Job Openings – offers insight into labor market strength. A tighter market could delay rate cuts and weigh on gold. With multiple risk events packed into today, expect increased volatility across the board.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
EURUSD heads towards resistance, short-term reversal expectedEURUSD has been in a strong uptrend, and we’re currently observing price action is reaching a notable resistance zone. I am watching for a reversal here as marked on my chart, not expecting a major move, but rather a short-term rejection with a downside target at around 1.13670 , which also aligns with the POC. This is where it can become a decision point, either price finds support and bounces, or it breaks below, and that’s when we might see the move start to extend lower. If we get a decisive breakdown through that ascending trendline, my next area of interest is marked as TP2. From there we can expect either potential accumulation or another reaction, depending on broader market sentiment at the time. That said, we're navigating a complex backdrop currently: The EU macro environment is under pressure, as weak economic data from Europe is contributing to cautious sentiment around the euro. Meanwhile, a sustained USD bid continues, supported by stronger U.S. growth expectations, favorable yields, and persistent global demand. This further weighs on EURUSD. Adding to the uncertainty, escalating tensions between Israel and Iran have rattled markets this week. This geopolitical risk could be pushing oil prices higher: It’s important to note that if price convincingly rejects here and loses structure, especially with high volume and obvious bullish structure, this setup would become invalid. In that case, I would reassess and adapt
Short
by TrendDiva
36
Everybody loves Gold Part 5Keeping it steady and reasonable Part 5 weekly path is as shown. Here's a breakdown of trading dynamics: 1. Expecting price to break past green line, level of significance (LOS) for continuation down 2. Price might bounce back for which; will be looking for a continuation from +50/+100 or +150pips to the downside 3. Will be looking for double tops/bottom along the way: Last week saw classic double top formed around level of significance (LOS) As always price action determines trades
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by PinchPips
Gold’s in a Trap — And That’s Exactly Why You Should Be CarefulGold is stuck in a tight sideways range. It’s been bouncing between $3,370–$3,380 for two days now. Everyone sees it. Every trader watching gold knows this level acted as support — and judging by the candle shadows, buyers are getting aggressive here. So if you're purely technical — yeah, looks like a solid buy right now. But here’s the twist… ___________________________________________________________ I’m not buying. And I’ll tell you why — because it's too obvious. When something screams "buy" from every chart and every textbook, that’s when you pause and ask yourself: “Am I about to walk into a classic setup… or actually catch a real move?” Because history shows us — these textbook setups often play out like this: Motivation → Encouragement → Payback. (See Chart 2) It goes like this: Price breaks a visible high or low (Motivation) Traders jump in and get some pips(Encouragement) Then — brutal reversal (Payback) Only then will everything get off the ground, and it will be fast, so that the "unnecessary" passengers who were "dropped off" should not have time to return to this train. So why are they "unwanted"? Well, here's one possible answer: because retail tends to hold losing trades too long , but gets spooked early on winners. We’re wired that way. So what happens when everyone starts booking profits after a small bounce? You get limit sell orders piling up , slowing momentum — sometimes even flipping the trend. And then what do big players do? Then come back in — buying at higher levels, averaging their positions. Not the best case scenario.... Key Takeaway: ______________________ Here’s my advice — especially if you’re in this game long-term: 1. Avoid those super obvious setups everyone else is jumping into. 2. Instead of asking, "Why should I open a trade now?" Try asking: "Why shouldn’t I open a trade now?" p.s. If you liked this kind of deep-dive — follow along. We don’t just read charts. We read the market behind them. Conclusion: _________________________ 📍 Gold is testing a key zone — but don’t let the crowd pull you in. 🧠 The first quick impulse is often a trap 📈 Stay sharp, stay ahead.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ClashChartsTeam
1
Gold’s back on track, paying attention to momentum and hintsXAUUSD is still climbing steadily within its upward parallel channel, respecting structure beautifully as we’re now seeing early signs of bullish interest returning, right after we got a nice rejection from the support zone. Currently I’m watching this bounce to have a target near 3,380 , somewhere around the middle line of the ascending channel. If this bullish push continues with strong volume and momentum, I’ll be locking in that bias and planning my entry accordingly. Patience first, I always wait for price to prove itself before getting involved. This could be a beautiful continuation… Or just one more fakeout before a deeper drop.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
120
EURUSD - Mark up for the rest of the weekAfter the CPI data was released today we had a lovely upside move. The move has caused us to trade into the previous weak higher timeframe high which I am hoping we can break and close above before the day is out. I am now focusing on what kind of pullback we may get into out POI's. Because there is no buy side liquidity on the first POI I will need to see a structural shift on the 15min TF to confirm that internal structure swing to move back towards the upside. If the 1st POI fails to hold I will be more aggressive with my secondary POI as that will be the premium discount price in order for us to move higher. If that POI fails and we break the 4H structure swing then this could signal we are about to move lower. If I can be of any assistance to anyone don't be shy to give me a message
by BenFxLDN
USD/JPY – Short-term bullish structure within a larger downtrendThe USD/JPY pair has been in a well-established downtrend on the daily timeframe, showing consistent weakness over recent weeks. Daily timeframe The pair recently bounced from a significant and well-respected support zone around the $140.00 level. This area has historically provided a strong base for price, and once again, it appears to be holding as reliable support. Although the overall daily trend remains bearish, this bounce introduces the potential for a short-term retracement or consolidation phase. Clear Rising Trendline on the 4H Chart Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, the price action shows a notable shift in momentum. A clear rising trendline has formed, acting as a dynamic support level and guiding the pair higher in the short term. As long as this trendline remains intact and unbroken, the bullish bias on the 4H remains valid. This upward move suggests a corrective phase within the broader daily downtrend, supported by increasing demand at higher lows. Approaching Key Resistance — FVG and 0.786 Fibonacci Level The pair is currently approaching a key resistance area near the $145.50 level. This zone aligns with the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) left by the previous strong downward move and coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, measured from the most recent swing high to swing low. A few days ago, price action briefly tested the lower boundary of this FVG but failed to fully fill the imbalance. Given the current momentum, another attempt to fill the entire FVG and test the 0.786 Fibonacci level is likely. This confluence of technical factors creates a strong resistance zone that could trigger significant price reactions, potentially resuming the broader downtrend. Target Levels — Where to Look for Reversal or Profit-Taking A sensible short-term target would be the previous lower high around the $144.00 level. This zone may serve as an initial resistance or take-profit area before price challenges the $145.50 resistance region. Additionally, if the pair breaks below the rising trendline on the 4H, this $144.00 zone could become a support level from which the pair might attempt another move higher. Conclusion To summarize, the USD/JPY pair remains in a broader daily downtrend but has shown signs of short-term strength after bouncing from the $140.00 support zone. On the 4-hour timeframe, bullish momentum is evident, supported by a rising trendline and upward movement toward a significant resistance area. Traders should closely watch the $145.50 zone, as it represents a confluence of the FVG and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement — both of which could act as a strong ceiling for price. Until the rising trendline breaks, the short-term outlook remains cautiously bullish, but the medium-term bias leans bearish if resistance holds and selling pressure resumes. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
25
[GEX] TSLA Breakdown & Options Trade Idea for 39DTELast week, TSLA dropped hard, likely due to political tensions. Let’s not forget — just a month ago, their EVs were showcased at the White House entrance... In the span of 30 hours, TSLA fell -22% (see red line below), while SPX barely reacted. Why? Because both realized and implied volatility dropped — remember VIX is around 17/18. This sharp TSLA drop already seemed overdone, which helped fuel the +5% bounce on Friday.Most TSLA options positions are near-term and still show negative sentiment — but further expirations grow increasingly bullish. 🔍 If you use options GEX matrix , you’ll see the bearish hedging flow gradually turns more neutral-to-bullish. Most cumulative support/resistance zones lie between 250–340, with spot currently just under the chop zone. 🧠 TSLA Trade Idea It’s been a while since I posted a neutral Iron Condor, but TSLA might be an exception. Despite last week’s IV spike, call pricing skew still dominates across expirations — as seen in our Options Overlay indicator.This tells me the market doesn’t fear TSLA crashing below 200. So, I’m aiming to capture premium on the July 18th expiry without day trading. I’m thinking of something simple, well-manageable in either direction.To refine leg placement, I use visual GEX zones. 🐻🔴 Downside: Strong put support at 250 Gradual support layers up to 280 🐂 🟢 Upside: Target area: 340–350 for the July 18 expiry. 📅 Closing the Trade:I'll consider closing or adjusting at 21 DTE or when 50% max profit is hit — per TastyTrade’s studies. 🔁 Rolling Plan:IF short delta on one side drops below ~14 and price pulls away, I’ll roll the untested side to collect more credit. 🧑‍🏫 I’ll likely post trade management live in Discord for educational purposes. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 🦋 Bonus Idea: TSLA Broken Wing Butterfly If you think TSLA has more downside, a Put Broken Wing Butterfly — like the one shown in my previous YT video — is also a great way to structure this trade using the same GEX levels. There’s no single way to use Gamma Exposure — it’s the most actionable hedging signal we have. Combine it with your knowledge of strategies and you can trade almost any scenario. One thing’s for sure — this market moves faster than ever.A single day of internal conflict wiped -22% off TSLA…The next morning, the market already moved on, so as always: Trade Safe Out There!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TanukiTrade
Once It Starts, It Might Be Too Late to Jump InHey guys, vacation’s over — time to get back behind the screen and into the reports. Naturally, I kicked things off with a deep dive into ETH options activity , because that’s where the real market whispers come from. Here’s what stood out: Over the past week, the biggest trading volume and open interest inflow came at strikes $3000–$3200–$3400 (see screenshot). Most of the action was in standalone calls , though a portion showed up as call spreads — meaning some players are betting on a controlled rally, not just blind bullishness. The June 27, 2025 expiry remains the clear leader in open interest — still the date everyone’s watching. With implied volatility at 67.9% , ETH has about a 68% probability (1σ) of reaching $2,950 by expiry — just 18 days away . Key Takeaways: $3000–$3200 looks totally within reach. $3400 , though? Less than 15% chance based on current levels. The sentiment among options traders is clearly bullish — they’re positioning for a breakout up from the sideways range, roughly by the full width of the pattern.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by ClashChartsTeam
$ETH Pressing Resistance – A Break Above Could Fly!CRYPTOCAP:ETH Update Ethereum is looking strong right now. The price is pushing against a key resistance zone near $2,725 and forming higher lows showing pressure is building for a breakout. If it breaks above this zone clearly, ETH could rally toward $4,000 (that’s a 55% upside). Support to watch on the downside is around $2,465 if price pulls back. Keep an eye on ETH, this breakout could be big. DYOR, NFA #ETH #Ethereum
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
4
$BTC Liquidity Squeeze Incoming – Breakout or Breakdown?#Bitcoin According to the liquidation heat map, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is building a large cluster of liquidations on both the upside and downside, creating some confusion in the market. However, the nearest major liquidation zone is around $112K–$113K, which increases the chances of a move toward that range. Technically, BTC is forming a symmetrical triangle, and the breakout from this pattern will likely determine the next major move. So keep a close eye on it. I’ll keep you posted as things unfold. If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more!
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
15