Alikze »» MOVR | Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Super cycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D
📣 MEXC:MOVRUSDT currency has encountered demand after a zigzag correction in the 3.61 range, which has had a rapid upward rally
🟢 After that, the price has had a double complex zigzag correction to the origin of the third upward wave.
🟢 Again, in the origin of the third movement, with a three-wave movement, it has encountered demand again in the area of the bottom of the ascending channel.
🟢 Currently, selling pressure is also observed in the ceiling of the ascending channel and the supply area.
💎 If this correction is broken in the form of a zigzag to the minor ceiling, it can be extended to the minor ceiling. It can again encounter demand and an upward rally to the minor ceiling of the previous rally.
💎 Depending on the momentum, this cycle can be a super cycle wave 3 or C to touch the red box area.
⚠️In addition, if the area touches the bottom of the previous wave, the bullish scenario is invalidated and should be re-examined and updated.⚠️
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Support_and_resistance
USDCAD - Potential Short from Key Resistance ZoneThe USDCAD pair is testing a significant supply zone, a level that has consistently acted as resistance in the past. The strong upward momentum approaching this area may lead to a reversal as sellers look to regain control.
A bearish confirmation, such as rejection candles (e.g., shooting stars), bearish engulfing patterns, or long upper wicks, would strengthen the case for a short position. If this setup plays out, the price could head toward the 1.43928 level.
Traders should monitor price action closely for signs of selling pressure before entering short positions.
GOLD - Potential Bullish Break & Retest SetupGold is currently trading above the $2,700 level, which previously acted as resistance and could now serve as support. If the price pulls back and buyers defend this level, it could confirm bullish momentum, leading to a continuation toward the next target at $2,712. However, failure to hold above the zone may invalidate this setup and signal potential bearish pressure.
This scenario aligns with the broader ascending channel structure, suggesting the potential for further upside if key support holds.
CADCHF – Potential Short Opportunity on RetestCADCHF has broken below a key support zone, indicating a shift in momentum to the downside. This zone previously acted as support and may now turn into resistance, aligning with the break-and-retest strategy.
A bearish confirmation, such as rejection candles, a bearish engulfing pattern, or slowing bullish momentum, would strengthen the case for continued downside. Should this scenario play out, the next target for sellers would be around the 0.63387 level.
Traders should remain patient and wait for the price to revisit the resistance zone and provide clear rejection signals before considering short positions.
APPLE - Bullish Setup at Channel SupportApple stock has recently rejected a significant support zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This rejection was accompanied by a strong bullish candlestick, signaling renewed buying momentum. The price is now positioned for a potential move toward the $250.00 level.
This setup suggests further bullish continuation as long as the support zone holds. Traders may look for additional signs of buying strength as the price approaches higher levels.
GOLD - Potential Pullback to Retest SupportGold is trading near a key resistance zone within an ascending channel, suggesting a potential pullback. If price rejects the resistance zone, this could present an opportunity for sellers to re-enter the market.
The immediate target for sellers lies at $2,677.99, a key support zone where buyers might re-enter. A decisive break below this level could pave the way for further downside, with the broader ascending channel potentially invalidated.
This setup reflects a clear shorting opportunity if the price fails to sustain above resistance. Traders should wait for bearish confirmations before considering short positions.
GOLD – Potential Bullish ContinuationGOLD has recently broken above a key resistance level, signaling sustained bullish momentum within the broader ascending channel structure. This breakout aligns with the ongoing upward trend, reflecting the market's current bullish sentiment.
If the price revisits the $2,678.17 level for a retest and displays strong bullish confirmation—such as a rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or consistent buying pressure—it would strengthen the case for further upside potential. Should this scenario unfold, the next target for buyers is the $2,691.72, a level that has previously attracted significant selling interest.
This setup reflects the broader bullish structure, offering potential opportunities for continuation trades. However, a failure to hold the retest level or a breakdown of the ascending trendline could challenge this outlook.
Traders are encouraged to monitor price action closely at the retest zone for clear signs of bullish momentum before committing to long positions.
GOLD - Short Setup from Resistance ZoneThe XAUUSD pair has recently broken out of the bullish channel, signaling a shift in momentum toward bearish conditions. After this breakdown, the price is currently retesting the resistance zone. This retest is a critical point for the pair, as rejection from this resistance could confirm the bearish outlook. Traders should look for bearish confirmation signals such as rejection candles, bearish engulfing patterns, or a series of lower highs to validate further downside potential.
If the resistance holds, the next significant target for sellers is the $2,650.43 support level, which could act as a key demand zone. A break below this level would open the door to further declines, potentially extending the bearish trend.
This setup suggests a high-risk zone for buyers and presents an opportunity for short positions if bearish confirmations are observed. Careful monitoring of price action around the retest is essential for planning entries and exits.
What are your thoughts on this bearish scenario?
Sugar Up for a Potential RallySugar prices have reached a strong demand zone around 1825–1830, a major support level. The price action suggests potential accumulation, with buyers likely stepping in. A rebound could target the 1983 level as the next resistance.
A sustained breakout above 1983 could open the door for further upside momentum, while a failure to hold 1825 may signal increased bearish activity.
Follow up for results.
AUDNZD: Bearish Setup at Key ResistanceThe currency pair is testing the upper resistance zone following a recovery from previous lows. This movement reflects market hesitation around the key levels, with both buyers and sellers showing strength at different intervals. What does this imply? A decisive move is yet to emerge, but the setup suggests potential bearish momentum in the short term.
At present, the price has approached the resistance zone marked between 1.1117 and 1.1150. Historically, this zone has acted as a strong barrier, with sellers often stepping in to push prices lower. The price has yet to break and consolidate above this resistance, making it a critical trigger point for decision-making.
I expect a rejection from the resistance zone near 1.1117. A failed attempt to break above this level, followed by bearish price action, could signal a move toward the support at 1.1025. The price may then test the lower consolidation zone around 1.0800 if bearish momentum persists.
However, the pair could also be breaking through the resistance zone and consolidating above it. In such a case, the bias could shift toward bullish continuation, with targets set at higher levels.
GBPCHF - Bullish Setup at Key Support ZoneThe GBPCHF pair is currently testing a key demand zone, where previous price reactions suggest potential for a bullish reversal. This area has historically been a support level, indicating that buyers could regain momentum at this juncture.
A confirmation of bullish sentiment, such as the emergence of a bullish candlestick pattern or a strong rejection wick, would reinforce the likelihood of a rebound. Should this scenario unfold, the price could target the 1.12417 level.
What are your thoughts on this outlook?
XAUUSD: Bullish Momentum Heading for Key ResistanceXAUUSD is trending within an ascending channel and is currently respecting its structure. Price action is approaching the upper boundary of the channel, which aligns with the marked resistance zone near 2705.302. This area may act as a supply zone, triggering retracements or reversals.
A short-term pullback toward the mid-channel or the highlighted demand zone near 2684.00 could occur before a continuation toward the 2705.302 target. Traders should look for bullish continuation patterns, such as a breakout above resistance or higher lows on the pullback, to confirm further upside potential. Conversely, a break below the demand zone might indicate bearish momentum.
GBPCHF - Potential Rejection at ResistanceThe GBPCHF pair is trading near a key resistance zone around the 1.13646 level, which has acted as a significant area of interest in the past. This region has previously led to reversals, suggesting that sellers may regain control at this point. The price action indicates a potential for bearish momentum, especially if rejection patterns form at this level.
A rejection from the resistance zone could be confirmed by bearish candlestick patterns such as engulfing candles, long upper wicks, or other signs of selling pressure. If the rejection occurs, a potential move toward the 1.12850 target level is anticipated. This aligns with the broader expectation of a bearish correction within the current market structure.
If you have a different perspective or additional data, feel free to share!
NZDUSD - Potential Long from Key Support ZoneThe NZDUSD pair is currently approaching a significant demand zone near the 0.55800 - 0.54700 level. Historically, this area has acted as a strong support, leading to notable bullish reversals. The recent decline into this zone suggests a potential for buyers to regain control and push prices higher.
A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would indicate an increased likelihood of a move upward. If this scenario unfolds, the price may head toward the 0.57580 level.
This setup aligns with a potential short-term rebound within the broader bearish market structure.
What are your thoughts on this outlook?
Alikze »» PEOPLE |Corrective structure in ascending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Corrective structure in ascending channel
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the daily time frame.
- At present, the supply area is faced with sales pressure.
- According to the downward momentum, it can have a pullback with a broken structure.
💎Possible scenario: Therefore, any attempt to the supply zone, if it does not break it upwards, can continue the downward path and touch the 0.04880 range first.
💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if the region breaks the supply, it can grow to the next region.
🛑 Resistance range: 0.10986 - 0.12207
🟩 Support range: 0.03662 - 0.04272
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Alikze »» LTC | Ready to defeat the dynamic triggerIn time W1, after a three-wave correction cycle, now after an upward movement with the failure of the swing and pullback, it has encountered support in the area of 61.8 Fibo, which must now be above the $75 range to break the dynamic trigger. Consolidate to advance to the $100 range supply zone. Therefore, if it is placed above the area, it will have the ability to grow up to the specified supply area. We should probably see a demand for failure in this area.
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3.5% Decline on The Dow Jones 30 But Is This Unusual?Looking at the trend structure over the last 8 months, we can see a pattern play out.
Since April, pullbacks of between 3.5% and 7% have been part and parcel of the Dow Jones’s trend structure. (highlighted in red)
The current pullback of 3.5% falls within this range.
Note also how our trend filter remains mostly green and grey, with speckles of red, since April, in line with the long-term bull trend.
The index has now fallen to the d50sma (orange line), where we want to see it find support, bounce, break out and continue its climb to 50,000, as it has done since April.
The Dow Jones is also a good example of how trend structures can change despite no change in direction.
October to March saw a much faster trend, using the d20sma (blue line) as support, eventually breaking through in April and leading to a change in trend structure.
The Dow Jones is currently lagging behind the Nasdaq 100, which is setting record highs above 20,000 for the first time, and the S&P 500, which has settled into a mini consolidation above the 6000 level.
We ideally want to see Santa deliver in the final 2 weeks of December.
However, if the indices and stocks don't show new trend continuations through the rest of 2024, we want them to hold within consolidation, which will act a bases for trends in the New Year.
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If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment. :0)
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Alikze »» BITCOIN | Wave 3 of 3 bullish super cycle scenarioAccording to the previous analysis regarding Bitcoin, it is moving in a long-term ascending channel in the monthly time frame.
💎 Currently, according to the type of behavior and movement structure, it is in wave 3 of 3 super cycles.
💎 But since 2018, after a movement cycle and a correction in the form of a three-wave to the bottom of the channel in the range of $16,000, this correction ended.
💎 After that, it started another kinetic wave, which ended in the support range of the green box of its corrective wave 2, and is currently in wave 3, which overlaps with 100% Fibo of the previous wave, which is the range of $78,000.
💎 If this current wave 4 correction wave has started, it can be reviewed according to the analysis of the previous post ( here ), which you can follow its updates by referring to that post, at the same time, this wave should not enter the territory of wave 1. The chart is specified. In that case, the post should be updated and the scenario should be checked instead.
💎 But in its super cycle, as mentioned, this wave is in wave 3 of 3, which will have the ability to reach the red box numbers of the specified supply limit and up to 1.618 fibo to the range of $369,000.
💎 Going through a full cycle of 5 waves will have the ability to reach the range of $2,700,000. Please note that these numbers are in the monthly time frame and it is natural that the time to reach these goals will certainly require more time, which should be reviewed and updated step by step.
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Alikze »» APT | Forming a head and shoulders pattern - 2D🔍 Technical analysis: Forming a head and shoulders pattern
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the daily time frame.
- After the touch neck line and also the failure of swing and poleback to it, it has continued its growth up to the ceiling of the channel.
- Currently, an AB=CD pattern is formed.
- In addition, a head and shoulder pattern is also observed in the daily and weekly time frames.
- Therefore, it can have another growth in the middle of the channel after a temporary correction, up to the area of the width and roof of the channel.
💎In addition, it can continue its growth until the next supply zone after the failure of the supply zone and pullback to it.
🚨 Note: The support area of 6.25 is the validity area of the analysis, if the candlestick stabilizes below the area, the bullish pattern will be invalidated. 🚨
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BINANCE:APTUSDT
Alikze »» GRT | Ascending channel - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 8H
- In the analysis presented in the weekly time frame , it was mentioned that an AB=CD pattern has been formed.
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the 8-hour time frame.
💎 In the OB area, it can face the demand again by creating demand and liquidity hunt at the bottom of the channel and continue its growth up to the top of the channel.
- Then I expect it to continue its growth to the supply area to form the third wave or wave C.
⚠️In addition, if the correction extends to the Invalidation LVL range, the bullish scenario in the 8-hour time frame is invalidated and must be reviewed and updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:GRTUSDT
Nifty Prediction for 28th November 2024Nifty Prediction for 27th November 2024
Follow for more updates and information.
From a technical perspective, the Nifty index has been consolidating within a range over the past two sessions, hovering around its 50-day exponential moving average (DEMA) at 24,350. A breakout above this level could signal further positive momentum, with potential targets at 24,550 and 24,700. Indicators such as RSI and MACD show a positive crossover on the daily chart, underscoring bullish strength in the near term.
On the downside, the index is holding firm support at 24,100, with additional safety nets at 24,000 and 23,900. On the upside, key resistance levels are positioned at 24,550 and 24,700.
Alikze »» ETH | Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1W
🟢 BINANCE:ETHUSDT Ethereum currency in the weekly time frame: As mentioned in the previous analysis , the supply area can have two movement paths.
🟢As mentioned: The first scenario, after completing the first wave in the supply area with a correction to the support area of the green box area, the range of $2,500 extended. Meanwhile, in the lower time frames, the details of the behavior of the Ethereum currency were also fully discussed.
🟢 However, in the 4-hour time frame, the ascending micro-waves of the first cycle were examined, as predicted, the ascending wave extended to the supply area of 3,200 to 3,500.
🟢 Therefore, the first cycle can end in the current range or slightly higher and form a zigzag correction to form a 3-of-3 ascending wave.
🟢 However, according to the movement path predicted in the previous analysis, this ascending cycle has the ability to grow at least to the 0.78 Fibo area of the previous wave.
🟢 Considering that this cycle is inside a triangle, it can continue as long as the triangle base.
🔴 Important:
Due to the application of the triangle base and the ability to grow to the supply area specified according to the Elliott scenario, this bullish cycle will be able to grow to the large supply area after breaking the 0.78 Fibo area.
Considering the current momentum and the bullish engulfing candle in the green box area, the following targets can be touched.
🎯Previous major ceiling,
🎯 Next target 6832
🎯 9357
🎯 Specified supply area (large red box)
⚠️ In addition, in the first step, considering the first bullish cycle, I expect no correction to extend to the Invalidation LVL area. ⚠️
After that, and after the previous major ceiling area is broken, the Invalidation LVL area will be updated.
In case of a change in behavior and structure, its details will be reviewed and updated.
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