Price Trap (USD/JPY) IDEA......Wait for break AND retest on the 1 hour TF
enter 15 min TF
CONFIRMATIONS OF 2 BULLISH or 2 BEARISH candles DEPENDING ON BREAK OF ZONE (FLOOR OR CEILING)
25 Pips TP
25 Pips SL
1;1 RISK/REWARD
EXAMPLE
0.01 per every £100 in account
0.02 = £200
0.03 = £300
0.04 = £400
0.10 = £1000
Support_level
LTCETH - REVERSALLTCETH Expected to Reverse and Outperform Ethereum
Price has been trading in a downward channel for the past months and is approaching the long term support where price has rebounded before multiple times
Technicals:
MACD on the daily is bearish, so may need a few days to reverse but weekly and monthly histograms are about to turn green (weekly) or reverse (monthly).
Stoch RSI shows oversold and is about to turn upwards in the next few days/+- 2weeks
Reversal Hammer weekly candle formed 10 Aug
Wait for a bounce from long term support and break in the downward channel to confirm a reversal
Support Holds and now Intraday Resistance being testedIn yesterday's trade ideas we looked at this market and the support level price was moving into on the 4 hour chart.
Price has now held at this area and made a small push back higher.
If price can now break the intraday resistance around 11545.47 we could see another leg higher to continue the longer term trend.
Price Moves Back Into Box,ConsolidationThere have been some solid contrarian moves in the last 24 hours.
The GBPUSD is a good example of this with price quickly snapping back below the major resistance level just as quickly as it broke out.
The support level of the recent consolidation and sideways pattern looks a key level for where this market moves next.
Bollinger BandsBollinger Bands
Timing for options trades relies on many price signals and confirmation. Even so, knowing when trends are likely to continue or to end is a skill of its own and many traders have timed entry and exit poorly because the trend was misread. One signal helps overcome this problem.
Bollinger Bands (BB) track the trend with three bands. The middle band is a simple moving average of 20 sessions, and the upper and lower bands are each two standard deviations of that average. This sets up a great visual, forming a “probability matrix” of both price and trend.
Because price is not likely to trade above the upper band or below the lower band for very long, any move outside of this matrix is likely to be followed by a retreat back into range.
However, BB is not just a price-specific analytical tool. It also sets up a version of resistance and support as a dynamic factor rather than the traditional straight line. The chart of the Nasdaq 100 Index shows this relationship between the upward-moving trend and resistance.
It is possible to draw straight lines to identify resistance or support as well as times of breakout. BB tends to provide a dynamic version, which is more accurate and more predictive. As the price trend is upward-moving, the upper band tends to track resistance with extreme accuracy. And as a trend moves downward, the lower band tends to track support
In the NDX chart, three examples of the relationship between the upper band and the dynamic price movement are circled. The most revealing aspect of this is how accurately the band points to both entry and exit. As the price moves close to the upper band, it marks the beginning of a strong bullish move. This is seen in all three of the highlighted examples. These are highly reliable entry points for bullish trades such as long calls or short puts.
The bullish trend ends as price moves away from the upper band. This is also seen clearly in all these instances on the chart. Logically, this marks an exit point, but not necessarily the start of a bearish move. Unlike most reversal signals, the move of price away from the upper band signals only the end of the price move. The next phase could be resumption of the trend, retracement, or reversal. To decide, requires a new set of signals.
The interaction between the bands and identification of the trend also works when a dynamic trend ends and moves into a period of consolidation. This occurred at the beginning of December. Notice how strongly the band width narrows, going from 600 points in beginning November down to under 250 points. This shrinking band width signals a likely period of consolidation, which serves as a rest between dynamic trends, a plateau before trend resumption or reversal. This also points to the timing for a different type of option trade, which exploits a range-bound tendency in the short term. In fact, consolidation may be the most profitable trend for short-term trading because breakout is easily identified. Look for a widening of the band width to anticipate a new dynamic move. It does not matter whether that will be bullish or bearish; the issue is that a widening band width signals likely end to consolidation.
Entering a consolidation-type trade like an Iron Condor (with strikes far outside the band width), a short covered straddle, are well-timed as consolidation begins, but should be closed as consolidation ends. At that point, a new trade can be opened to exploit dynamic price movement, such as synthetic stock (long or short) or simply a long option.
The issue to keep in mind in all of these timing decisions is that BB provides more than a reliable tracking device for price. It also marks the nature of short-term trends, whether dynamic or sideways-moving. It is one of the most reliable predictive signals options traders can find.
How To Drow Propper Support & Resistance Support & resistance is really something that works in all financial markets, it's worth studying how to determine the proper way to finding and drawing it to be able to find the best trades possible available in any given time.
I use support & Resistance to find direction, (you can find it on any time frame), The way this works is you connect highs and lows, as you can see in the picture above, you must have at least 2 touches, and of course the more you have the stronger it is,
Imagine for example a Floor and a Ceiling. Support is like the floor and Resistance is like the ceiling.
what you do before you want to step on a new build floor, how do you know if the floor is strong enough before you step on it, what you do is you obviously step on it once and twice and the more you step on it and the more weight you put on it you gain more and more confident that its strong enough, and the same goes with the ceiling if you punch it once and twice and the ceiling doesn't break you know its a strong ceiling.
The same goes in trading when you see the market has hit the same price point 2-3 times you know its a strong point where it's really hard for the market to break through it, it must take a massive amount of effort to break through it,
And this you can actually monitor with Volume,
How volume works is a whole new thing for itself to explain so I will do another one on Volume or you can check my recents post where I had live trades based on volume and support and resistance.
Keep in mind that support and resistance can be determined in any angle as you see on the resistance from the picture above.
I hope You Learned A Lot From This I tried Breaking It Down The Simplest Possible For You To Be Able To Understand, But If You Still Have Questions How This Works Don't Be Afraid To Massage Me.
Enjoy Your Trading Journey.
Support and Resistance breakout box (Prototype)Pretty self explanatory, uses simple support and resistance as well as time resistance which influences the box's size. The time resistance zone is an area that we should see either a strong move, reversal, or even breakout. Either way this should be an interesting experiment.
We can honestly go either way, up because a golden cross looks to be occurring on the 4h, down because we got rejected off of resistance. Personally, I predict we'll break downward back the weekly 200MA or lower.
Bullish Butterfly & Good Support NANO/BTCBullish butterfly has to be formed at 2202 sats. 9 sats below so i think its ok.
It's a very good support level also.
Stop 2165
TP ----> C
Good luck.