THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for a test of that 3250 level, then looking for the short into the target level given. This move played out well giving our traders a great start to the week. We then identified the level we wanted as the bias level, gave the bias as bullish above and the targets to go with it. All targets were completed and we managed to end the week with a mega capture on gold.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Simple one this week. We would like to see how price adapts to the new range, and due to the slight stretch, we would say caution on long trades until we can see a support level confirmed. Our indi’s are suggesting a further move upside, so we would like to see an attack on that 3350-55 level first, which is where we may get a pull back, and then an attempt at higher pricing as shown on the chart.
We want to look to those higher resistance levels as potential short opportunities if visited first. Otherwise, we’ll look lower for the long trade again and as long as the set up presents itself, we’ll test the levels.
Due to news over the weekend and it being a bank holiday weekend, all of the above is subject to change as there are likely to be gaps on market open. Let’s see how it plays out, levels are levels!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Support and Resistance
EURCAD Approaching Major Resistance - Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURCAD is approaching a key resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 1.57500 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
USDCHF Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 0.85Hello traders.
I'm anticipating the momentum on USDCHF to carry on. Got my eyes locked on the 0.85 area. It might turn into a strong bounce point. If the signs are there, I'm jumping in with a short.
Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge
Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure.
There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you.
At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
GOLD Trending Higher - Can buyers push toward 3,500$?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clear ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting there's chances for potential continuation on the upside.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,500 target , which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary.
The recent surge in gold prices is driven by escalating U.S.-China trade tensions and a weakening U.S. dollar. Gold reached a record high of $3,390 per ounce, fueled by concerns over global economic stability and increased demand for safe-haven assets. Analysts have raised their three-month gold forecast, due to ongoing market uncertainties.
Despite the upward momentum, I think still gold may be overbought in the near term, indicating potential for a short-term correction . Nevertheless, the overall bullish trend remains strong, supported by geopolitical tensions, central bank purchases, and investor demand for strong assets.
BITCOIN Bulls in Control - Next Stop: $94,000?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading within an ascending channel, signaling bullish momentum. The price has consistently respected the channel boundaries, forming higher highs and higher lows, which aligns with the continuation of the uptrend.
After consolidating within a tight range for several days, COINBASE:BTCUSD has broken out with strong momentum. The price may now be pulling back for a retest of the previous resistance zone. If buyers step in and confirm this area as support, a move toward the channel’s upper boundary around $94,000 becomes likely.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong rejection wicks from the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
BITCOIN → Retest 86190. There are chances for growthBINANCE:BTCUSD is starting to show positive signs, but it is too early to talk about a change in the downtrend or a bullish rally. Strong resistance ahead....
Against the background of everything that is happening, from a fundamental point of view, bitcoin in general has withstood the blows quite well and is gradually beginning to recover, but the situation for the crypto community as a whole has not changed in any way, the promises are not yet fulfilled. Bitcoin's strengthening is most likely due to localized growth in indices and discussion of lower interest rates. But the focus is on the tariff war between China and the US, improved relations and lower tariffs could weaken bitcoin.
Technically, we see that the price is moving beyond the resistance of the descending channel. For a few days now, the price has been consolidating in front of the 86190 level, and we have chances to see a rise to the resistance of the 88800 range, from which the future prospects will already depend.
Resistance levels: 86190, 88800, 91280
Support levels: 83170, 78170
The price is slowly approaching the resistance 86190, consolidating without updating the local lows, forming a pre-breakout consolidation. There is a probability of a breakout attempt. Breakout and consolidation of the price above 86190 may give a chance to rise to 88800.
But, regarding 88800 we will have to watch the price reaction. A sharp approach with the purpose of primary testing of the level may end in a false breakout and correction....
Regards, R. Linda!
NZDCAD Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 0.83Hello traders and happy Easter Monday!
I'm expecting a bounce on NZDCAD. I'm interested in this 0.83 zone. It might turn into a strong bounce point. If the signs are there, I'm jumping in with a short.
Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge
Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure.
There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you.
At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
EURUSD - at Resistance: Will it drop to 1.11300?OANDA:EURUSD price is now at a strong resistance level, this is an area where it has struggled to break through in the past and reversed to the downside. It's also where sellers have stepped in before, so it’s worth keeping an eye on, especially for anyone considering short trades.
If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum, I think we could see a move down toward the 1.11300 level. But if price breaks through this zone clearly, that might dismiss the bearish idea and suggest even more upside will continue.
This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk wisely.
GOLD Bullish Continuation - Is $3,600 the Next Stop?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, signaling strong bullish momentum. The price has consistently respected the channel boundaries, forming higher highs and higher lows, which aligns with the continuation of the uptrend.
It has recently broken above a key resistance zone and is now pulling back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward the $3,600 level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. This setup reflects the potential for further bullish movement as buyers continue to dominate the market.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong rejection wicks from the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
#GBPCAD:Last Idea +400 Pips Up! Here is second entryIn our last analysis, the GBPCAD currency pair showed a smooth move. The price hit support levels, which means it might keep going up. We think it’ll go up by about 600 pips and might reach the 1.90 area.
Since there aren’t many places to stop for this trade, it’s important to set take profit levels based on your risk management plan.
We hope you’re doing well with your trading. If you find our ideas helpful, please let us know by liking, commenting, or sharing them.
Thanks for being a great supporter!
Team Setupsfx
GOLD → The rally continues. Waiting for correction to tradeFX:XAUUSD supported by the weakness of the dollar and increased trade tensions between the U.S. and China continues to renew highs. At the moment the market is testing 3400...
After Friday's pullback caused by profit taking, the demand for gold rose again - investors are looking for protection amid the threat of recession in the U.S. and instability in the markets. Additional pressure on the dollar is exerted by the threat to the independence of the Fed, after statements about the possible resignation of Jerome Powell.
It is not worth buying at the highs. Technically, against the background of the uptrend, the market can take a break in the form of a pullback. A bounce from support or a false breakdown of the liquidity zone may provide a good opportunity to enter the market
Resistance levels: 3400, 3410, 3430
Support levels: 3369, 3357, 3344
Undoubtedly, based on the overall fundamental situation, gold is absorbing capital as a safe haven and can continue its growth for a long time. But we should keep an eye on the situation between the US and China, as well as in Eastern Europe. Any de-escalation of the conflict may lead to a correction.
For trading now it is worth waiting for a correction to the above mentioned support levels to find a trading opportunity.
Regards R. Linda!
Will Nasdaq Test Liquidity at 17,800 Before an Upside Move?NASDAQ is experiencing bearish slow down at the support level for the past 3 weeks. A re-test of the recent low looks imminent. and if price could be rejected after clearing H4 liquidity at 17,800, then we could see a sharp upside move.
Key risks: Fed commentary, major tech earnings, and geopolitical headlines.
N.B!
- NASDAQ price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#nq!
#nasdaq
BTC Breaks Key Resistance –Pullback Your Last Chance to Enter!?To start today's analysis, it's best to look at the Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) analysis I shared with you on April 10 , which can give us good insight and has performed well so far .👇
Bitcoin seems to have finally managed to break through Important Resistance lines as well as the Resistance zone ($86,500-$85,150) . The break volume is also high and could be a good sign for the continuation of the upward trend .
According to Elliott Wave theory , with the breaking of important resistance lines , we should wait for the next 5 impulsive waves , which I will try to analyze step by step in this idea and future ideas.
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) for the first time after the pullback to the broken Resistance zone ($86,500-$85,150) (it is better to enter a long position on the pullback ). Basically, assets can NOT break such heavy zones for the first time . ( With very good news, it may break for the first time ).
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,022-$85,539
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,340-$88,000 = Important
Do you think the main uptrend has resumed or will Bitcoin correct again?
Note: The pullback is likely to start from the third point of contact with the Resistance lines.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,100, it seems we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GBP Holds the Upper Hand Amid Economic RealismThe British economy has taken a bold and proactive stance by acknowledging the reality of a looming recession earlier than most other major economies. While many nations continue to downplay or delay recognition of economic slowdown, the UK’s honest and strategic approach positions the pound for relative strength in the near term.
🇬🇧 Why This Matters for GBPUSD
Proactive Policy Making: By admitting economic challenges early and beginning to address them, the UK has earned credibility in global markets. This forward-thinking strategy often leads to greater investor confidence.
Currency Strength Through Stability: While other currencies are facing late-cycle policy adjustments and ongoing uncertainty, the GBP is likely to benefit from this perception of stability and transparency.
Comparative Resilience: Against a backdrop of monetary hesitation elsewhere, the pound could continue to outperform—especially as traders and institutions reward clarity and decisive leadership.
💡 What Traders Should Watch
If the UK’s measured steps toward economic recovery continue while others stall or scramble, GBPUSD may show strength, particularly in risk-off periods where relative macroeconomic discipline becomes a key asset. Still, always trade with a plan—use structure, confirmation, and adapt quickly if conditions shift.
Remember: being early is sometimes the most underrated form of being right.
GBPUSD | Blue Boxes Mark Solid Support Zones
Following the recent strength in GBP due to the UK’s proactive economic stance, it's crucial to keep an eye on the blue boxes highlighted on the chart. These levels have acted as key support zones during recent price action, and they could continue to offer high-probability opportunities if retested.
🔵 Why These Zones Matter:
Price Memory: These areas have previously been defended by buyers, indicating strong institutional interest. If the market revisits them, it’s very likely we’ll see some kind of reaction.
Strategic Patience: Entering trades around support zones requires confirmation. Look for reversal patterns or LTF bullish signs before committing. These setups are where smart money often steps in.
Risk-Managed Entries: Waiting for price to come to you around these levels can offer great R:R trades while keeping your downside limited.
📌 The Bigger Picture:
Combine this technical structure with the UK’s relatively more realistic economic outlook, and you get a compelling setup. While other currencies may still be adjusting, GBP could remain strong—especially if these support zones continue to hold.
In uncertain macro times, solid support plus good fundamentals can make all the difference. Patience pays off, especially at these critical zones.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Bitcoin may exit from pennant and fall to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Over the past weeks, the price traded inside a broad horizontal range, repeatedly testing the boundaries of the seller zone and the buyer zone. After several failed breakouts, the price sharply dropped from the upper range and entered a phase of lower highs, forming a downward pennant structure. Inside this pennant, the market continued consolidating under pressure from the resistance area. Each attempt to break above the resistance line was met with rejection, confirming strong selling interest near the current resistance level at 88500. At the moment, BTC is testing the upper boundary of the pennant again. This area aligns closely with the resistance level and the long-term descending trendline. Given this confluence and historical rejection zones, I expect BTC to face resistance and reverse, initiating a decline back toward the 79000 support level, thereby exiting from the pennant, which is my current TP1. The compressed price structure, repeated rejections, and clean pattern formation support this bearish outlook in the short term. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
#EURUSD: 1545+ PIPS Swing Sell Idea Concept! Comment Your Views!Hey there everyone! 👋
I’ve got some insights into the EURUSD currency pair. It’s been on a wild ride lately, with the USD taking a nosedive. But guess what? The EURUSD is on a bullish streak and it’s not stopping anytime soon, and it is very likely it will reach our entry point.
Now, I know what you’re thinking. “Is this a good time to jump in?” Well, let me tell you, it’s all about your risk tolerance. We’ve identified three potential entry points for the EURUSD pair, so you can decide if it’s time to make a move. 📈
Remember, trading involves risks, so it’s important to be cautious and stick to your risk management plan. 🛡️
Good luck with your trading journey 😊
Much Love❤️
Team Setupsfx_
HBAR I Monthly CLS, KL - FVG I Model 1, TP1 - 50% CLSHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
USDJPY: Moving Toward 140 Support
In the previous analysis, we mentioned a temporary strengthening of the yen followed by continued decline. Now, after a sharp drop and nearing the key 140 support level, a short-term weakening of the yen is expected, which could be driven by a strengthening U.S. dollar.
On the daily timeframe, a temporary rebound from the current price level is likely, followed by the anticipated decline. This potential bounce could provide a new selling opportunity targeting the 140 support level.
DeGRAM | GOLD Anchored Above the Channel📊 Technical Analysis
GOLD trades within an ascending channel, holding above $3 285 support.
A breakout from a triangle confirms bullish momentum. Key targets are $3 360 - $3 380.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Demand is rising amid safe-haven flows, Chinese insurer interest, and central bank buying. A weaker USD and US - China tensions support gold.
✨ Summary
Technical breakout and strong fundamentals favor XAUUSD growth. Holding above $3 285 keeps the path open to $3 360.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Weekly Analysis for EUR/NZD📊 Weekly Analysis for EUR/NZD
🔍 Technical Outlook by Shaker Trading
✅ Strong Bullish Structure:
Powerful Ascending Channel (Weekly):
The pair is moving strongly within a well-defined rising channel, confirming bullish market momentum.
Mild Oversold Signal on RSI:
A slight oversold condition has been detected on the RSI indicator, suggesting a potential slowdown in bearish pressure.
Key Demand Zones Identified:
Price is approaching strong demand areas, increasing the probability of a bullish reversal or continuation.
📌 Trading Outlook:
We expect the pair to bounce from the current demand zones, with potential for a continued move to the upside in alignment with the dominant trend.
🔥 Copy Trading for Free
Join our strategy and let the charts work for you – with no fees or subscriptions.
USDCHF: Classic Trend-Following Trading Setup Analyzing the price movement of 📉USDCHF.
Following a significant downward trend, the price started to consolidate within a horizontal channel on a 4-hour chart.
The violation of the channel's lower boundary indicates a strong bearish indication, suggesting a likely continuation of the downward trend.
Goal - 1.4902
ETH/USDT Weekly – Approaching Key Accumulation ZoneEthereum is currently approaching a major support zone between $1,440 and $880, a level that acted as strong demand during previous market cycles. Price is currently below the Ichimoku cloud (Span A: $2,433 | Span B: $2,746), and the overall structure remains bearish unless price starts to break above recent swing highs.
Both Trend Strength Index (TSI) indicators are firmly in oversold territory:
TSI(10): -0.89
TSI(20): -0.97
This reflects deeply negative momentum, but historically, these levels have preceded strong reversals, especially when price enters high-timeframe support zones, like the one ETH is approaching now.
The $1,440–$880 range can be seen as a potential accumulation zone, and unless ETH breaks below $880, the bullish continuation setup remains valid. If price stabilizes here and begins reclaiming structure, especially above the $1,750–$1,950 levels, we could anticipate a move toward the $3,875 high or beyond.
Trade Setup Summary:
Accumulation Zone: $1,440 – $880
Invalidation: Break and close below $880
Bullish Trigger: Reclaim of recent swing highs
Target: $3,875 (major resistance)
Bias: Bullish while holding above $880
TSI: Deep oversold – conditions favorable for mid-term reversal
Ethereum fundamentals remain solid despite recent weakness. The upcoming upgrades to the Ethereum network (such as scalability and rollups) continue to support long-term utility, while institutional interest grows through ETH-based products and DeFi developments. Macroeconomic uncertainty, along with renewed ETF talks, could fuel a stronger recovery in the second half of the year. However, technicals must align with improving sentiment for this reversal setup to activate.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.