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Support and Resistance

Opportunities only come to those who ambush in advanceAfter Trump announced that Israel and Iran had reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement, the market's risk aversion sentiment cooled significantly, and the price of gold once plummeted by more than $30. Although the stability of the ceasefire agreement is in doubt, the rebound in risk appetite dominates the market trend, with stock markets rebounding, oil prices falling, and demand for safe-haven assets falling. Powell will deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony, and the market is paying attention to his statement on the timing of the July rate cut. At present, the internal differences of the Federal Reserve on interest rate cuts have intensified. If Powell sends a signal that the number of interest rate cuts this year is limited, it may strengthen the rebound of the US dollar and suppress gold prices; on the contrary, if the stance is dovish, it may ease the downward pressure on gold prices. In the short term, the fading of geopolitical risks and the warming of risk appetite are the main reasons for the decline in gold prices, but the weakening of the US dollar and the potential dovish tendency of the Federal Reserve still provide support. In the medium and long term, global economic uncertainty, geopolitical risks and expectations of the Federal Reserve's loose policy still constitute structural support for gold. From a technical perspective, the gold daily moving average system is in an intertwined state, and the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced. The current short-term resistance above is around 3320-3333, which is an important psychological level. If an effective breakthrough is achieved or the upside space is opened, the support below will focus on the 3285-3295 line, which is the lower edge of the May oscillation platform. If it falls below, the pressure of the correction may increase. The loss of the middle track in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure and provides technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long on the pullback near 3285-3295. At present, gold continues to fall in line with the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Gold LongsBullish weekly bias for Gold. Classic Expansion Weekly profile in play. Price opened lower first, Im treating this as the possible manipulation for the week. Tuesday swept key ssl and closed back inside the range. Drop to a 4h and OB is confirmed. 1h CISD aligned with 4h. Execution off 4h OB with stop at OB Low / Tuesday low. If BSL is the draw, I would like to see Tuesday low be protected. LRLR is first low hanging fruit objective. 3420 roughly, with equal highs at 3476 being final target.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by CEOTraders
The rebound is an opportunity to short goldAfter the ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel and Powell's hawkish remarks that strongly refuted the possibility of a rate cut, gold fell sharply and hit a low near 3295. Although gold has rebounded, it is particularly difficult during the rebound process, which shows that the bulls are not willing to attack, and the rebound is only a technical repair of the decline. Since gold fell below 3300 yesterday, the current bull structure has been changed in stages and the confidence of the bulls has been greatly weakened. As gold falls, it will be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. Before gold breaks through this area, any rebound may give us an opportunity to short gold; in addition, after gold falls below 3300 once, in order to move downward and test support, gold has the need to retreat again. So in the next short-term trading, we can try to use the 3345-3355 area as resistance, short gold appropriately, and look to the 3315-3305 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Long & Short Entry Forecast For GoldCooling war tensions seem to be cooling the Gold bullish rally as well. But we're still in the same range since April 15th and will likely stay in the range until further notice *or the next tweet* The Sell entry is great now cos we're near the top of the high volume node, so even if we consolidate around that POC this sell entry will still be putting us closest to the top of the node. Hold your sell and TP at the VAL . We have a very deep low volume area there and its being a point of support since April. So we can place bets with small risk on hoping it holds cos if it doesn't, it wont be pretty. That is still the best place to buy regardless. So manage your risk accordingly TP 1 for the Buy trade is at the POC , which also happens to be the top of the huge volume node. Totally make sense to take a decent chunk of profit of your position there, then move you stop loss into profit and grab some pop corn. Depending on the news , the best case scenario of for the uptrend is to continue all the way up to TP2 which is at the VAH Secure the bag :) Enjoy
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by ExoProtocol
Ebay Wave Analysis – 24 June 2025 - Ebay reversed from long-term resistance level 80.00 - Likely to fall to support level 71.15 Ebay recently reversed down from the resistance area between the major long-term resistance level 80.00 (which started the weekly downtrend in 2021) and the upper weekly Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from this resistance area created the weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Shooting Star. Given the strength of the resistance level 80.00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic, Ebay can be expected to fall to the next support level 71.15 (former resistance from the start of 2025).
NASDAQ:EBAYShort
by FxProGlobal
Microsoft Wave Analysis – 24 June 2025- Microsoft broke the resistance area - Likely to rise to the resistance level 500.00 Microsoft recently broke through the resistance area between the resistance levels 468.15 (a former multi-month high from the middle of 2024) and 455.85 (which reversed wave B in December). The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active minor impulse wave 5 – which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from April. Given the clear daily uptrend, Microsoft can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 500.00 (target for the completion of the active impulse wave 5).
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by FxProGlobal
CADJPY Wave Analysis – 24 June 2025- CADJPY reversed from the resistance area - Likely to fall to support level 104.75 CADJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance area between the resistance level 106.85, the upper daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the extended downward impulse from November. The downward reversal from this resistance area created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Shooting Star, which stopped the previous minor impulse wave 3. Given the strength of the resistance level 106.85, CADJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 104.75 (which reversed the pair earlier this month).
Short
by FxProGlobal
Give It The Gas I've got a long Idea for the Henry Hub Natural Gas ETF, UNG. After rising in late-2024/early-2025, UNG fell again (Mar-Jun), but recently (significantly) crossed above the trendline from that down move. Time to look for a long position. But UNG is volatile - to reduce risk it's best to pick it up after a minor pullback. That seems to be happening now. One thing I find useful when looking at an ETF backed by a commodity is to look at the chart for the underlying commodity future. To be clear, I am NOT trading the future, only looking to it for (more) guidance. In this case, for UNG, I chose the Aug Henry Hub Natural Gas contract (NGQ2025), which TradingView provides 10-minute delayed date for; Here we see the trendline (light blue) is even stronger (i.e., more points of contact). In addition, the contract made a series of slightly higher lows (yellow line) before breaking through strong resistance at ~3.82 (a level which may now be providing support). Trendline breaks alone can be very flighty - they often don't work - so it helps to have other supporting factors (e.g., higher lows preceding, strong resistance breaks). And, not shown here but useful, UNG/NG is not overbought on the daily chart. Now one could take a long position here, with a stop below the trendline, but I prefer my knives to at least slow down before I catch them. Looking at the 4-hour chart for a reversal to enter; A reversal and close above 3.92 would give a good entry point (using UNG), with a tighter stop at ~3.7 (or ~16.25 on UNG). This is a "work in progress", so the actual trigger levels may change a bit. Or the whole setup could invalidate itself if the instrument(s) corrects back to at/below the trendline. For targets, natural gas has resistance at 19.1 and again at 24.0 - best to trail a stop as UNG's price rises, bringing it up as each zone is hit. For the long position, I anticipate an ITM option ~90 days out. I'm doing this in a taxable account, and for tax purposes UNG issues a K-1 to shareholders. I can do without the hassle. Option holders do not receive K-1's* (unless assigned), making tax reporting more routine. Time to step on the gas? *To the best of my knowledge - if any tax experts here know otherwise please drop a comment. My ideas here on TradingView are for educational purposes only. It is NOT trading advice. I often lose money and you would be a fool to follow me blindly.
AMEX:UNGLong
by TheUncertainTrader
All That Glitters Is Not Gold (But Silver?)And another long Idea - this time in the Silver ETF, SLV. Looking at the daily chart for SLV, a couple of things standout from a few days ago; - The price just broke the all-time high at 31.80, along with significant resistance at ~31.50, and - SLV gapped up, leaving tight stops a bit problematic. As I've said before in this instance I do two things; 1. Wait for a pullback (which we're now seeing?), and 2. Switch to the commodity futures chart (emphasis - I'm not trading the future, just taking a look) Using the July Silver contract on the CME; We can see the breakout, and now the retest(s), of two critical highs from the last few months. Switching down '1' interval, to the 4-hour chart; We can see 3-4 retests of those old highs, which now may be acting as support. I've drawn in a short-term trendline and resistance. A cross of that trendline and a close above 36.260 should provide a good entry point. A stop could then be placed at 35.00 (with a close below that on the 4-hour), just below this recent turmoil. As for targets, this scenario has SLV making new all-time highs - best to just trail and let SLV tell you where to exit. All that glitters.. My ideas here on TradingView are for educational purposes only. It is NOT trading advice. I often lose money and you would be a fool to follow me blindly.
AMEX:SLVLong
by TheUncertainTrader
Stellantis | STLA | Long at $9.59Stellantis NYSE:STLA is the maker of the auto brands Fiat, Peugeot, Jeep, Citroën, Opel/Vauxhall, Ram Trucks, Dodge, Chrysler, Alfa Romeo, Maserati, DS Automobiles, Lancia, Abarth, and Vauxhall. The stock has fallen sharply due to a 70% profit drop in 2024, weak U.S. sales, high inventory, and tariff uncertainties. The turnaround for NYSE:STLA beyond 2025 hinges on new CEO Antonio Filosa’s focus on U.S. market recovery, new product launches (e.g., Ram 1500 Ramcharger, Jeep hybrids), pricing adjustments, aggressive marketing, $5B U.S. manufacturing investment, and mending dealer relations. The stock is trading at a P/E of 5.1x, debt-to-equity of 0.8x (not bad), a book value of $29 (undervalued), a tangible book value of $9.82, and earnings and revenue are forecasted to grow into 2028. Economic weakening and tariffs may hamper these predictions, but the new CEO and future interest rate drops may get this stock rolling again. However, if NYSE:STLA shows zero sign of near-term recovery or other fundamental issues arise, I truly think this stock could enter the high $5-$6 range before a true reversal begins. From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price is currently with my selected "crash" simple moving average. This area often signifies a near-term bottom, but like mentioned above, watchout out for the "major crash" simple moving average area currently between $5.83 and $7.09. Regardless of bottom predictions, NYSE:STLA is in a personal buy zone at $9.59 with a greater position likely if it enters my "major crash" zone, as mentioned above. Targets into 2027: $12 (+25.1%) $14 (+46.0%)
NYSE:STLALong
by WorthlessViews
ONDOUSDTCryptocurrency Futures Market Disclaimer Trading cryptocurrency futures involves high risks and is not suitable for all investors. Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, which can lead to significant gains or losses in a short period. Before engaging in crypto futures trading, consider your risk tolerance, experience, and financial situation. Risk of Loss: You may lose more than your initial capital due to the leveraged nature of futures. You are fully responsible for any losses incurred. Market Volatility: Crypto prices can fluctuate significantly due to factors such as market sentiment, regulations, or unforeseen events. Leverage Risk: The use of leverage can amplify profits but also increases the risk of total loss. Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulations related to cryptocurrencies vary by jurisdiction and may change, affecting the value or legality of trading. Technical Risks: Platform disruptions, hacking, or technical issues may result in losses. This information is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a professional financial advisor before making decisions. We are not liable for any losses or damages arising from cryptocurrency futures trading. Note: Ensure compliance with local regulations regarding cryptocurrency trading in your region.
COINBASE:ONDOUSDShort
by ydnldn
Ethereum Whale Buys $422M in ETH: Bullish Signal or False Hope? The cryptocurrency market has always been a playground for big players, often referred to as "whales," whose massive transactions can influence market sentiment and price action. Recently, one such Ethereum whale has made headlines by accumulating a staggering $422 million worth of ETH in less than a month. This aggressive buying spree has sparked curiosity and speculation among investors and analysts alike. Is this whale positioning for a massive rally, or are they simply hedging against market uncertainty? Let’s dive into the details of this significant accumulation and explore its potential implications for Ethereum’s price trajectory. The Whale’s Buying Spree: A Breakdown Blockchain analytics platforms like Lookonchain and Whale Alert have been tracking the movements of this Ethereum whale over the past few weeks. According to their data, the whale has been systematically purchasing large quantities of ETH across multiple transactions, totaling over 150,000 ETH at an average price of approximately $2,800 per token. This accumulation, valued at $422 million, represents one of the largest buying sprees by a single entity in recent months. What’s particularly intriguing is the timing of these purchases. The whale began accumulating during a period of relative market uncertainty, with Ethereum hovering near key support levels after a significant correction from its earlier highs. This suggests that the whale may have viewed these price levels as a buying opportunity, potentially anticipating a rebound or long-term growth in Ethereum’s value. Why Are Whales Accumulating Now? There are several reasons why a whale might choose to accumulate such a massive amount of ETH at this juncture. First, Ethereum remains the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), two sectors that continue to drive innovation and adoption in the crypto space. Despite short-term price volatility, Ethereum’s fundamentals—such as its developer activity, network usage, and upcoming upgrades—remain strong. Second, the whale may be betting on the long-term impact of Ethereum’s transition to Proof-of-Stake (PoS) via the Merge and subsequent upgrades like sharding. These upgrades are expected to make Ethereum more scalable, energy-efficient, and cost-effective, potentially driving greater adoption and value over time. Finally, macroeconomic factors could be at play. With inflation concerns and uncertainty in traditional markets, some institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals are turning to cryptocurrencies like Ethereum as a store of value or hedge against economic instability. This whale’s buying spree could be a signal of growing institutional interest in Ethereum as a long-term investment. Market Implications of the Whale’s Actions The actions of whales often have a ripple effect on the broader market. When a single entity accumulates such a large amount of a cryptocurrency, it can create a supply crunch, reducing the amount of ETH available for sale on exchanges. This, in turn, can drive up prices if demand remains constant or increases. Moreover, whale activity often attracts the attention of retail investors, who may interpret such moves as a bullish signal. Social media platforms like Twitter and Reddit are already buzzing with discussions about this whale’s accumulation, with many speculating that a major price rally could be on the horizon. However, it’s worth noting that whale movements can also be a double-edged sword—while accumulation can signal confidence, sudden sell-offs by the same whale could trigger panic and price crashes. For now, the Ethereum market appears to be reacting positively to this news. In the days following the whale’s most recent purchases, ETH’s price has shown signs of recovery, bouncing off key support levels. But is this just a temporary blip, or the beginning of a sustained rally? Let’s explore this further in the next section. ________________________________________ Ethereum Bounces Hard After Support Bluff: A False Alarm or Fresh Rally? Ethereum’s price action in recent weeks has kept traders on edge. After a prolonged period of consolidation and a dip toward critical support levels, ETH staged a powerful bounce, reclaiming key technical levels and reigniting hopes of a broader rally. However, the question remains: is this bounce a genuine signal of bullish momentum, or merely a false alarm before another downturn? The Support Bluff and Subsequent Bounce Ethereum had been trading in a tight range for much of the past month, with $2,500 acting as a crucial support level. This level was tested multiple times, and on several occasions, it appeared that bears would succeed in pushing the price lower. However, each time ETH approached this support, buyers stepped in, preventing a breakdown. This repeated defense of $2,500 created what some analysts call a “support bluff”—a situation where the market tests a key level multiple times, creating uncertainty about whether it will hold. Just when it seemed like the support might finally give way, Ethereum staged a hard bounce, surging over 10% in a matter of days to reclaim the $2,800 level. This move caught many traders off guard, particularly those who had positioned for a breakdown. Technical indicators also supported the bullish case for this bounce. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) moved out of oversold territory, signaling renewed buying pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on the daily chart. Additionally, on-chain data revealed a spike in transaction volume and active addresses during the bounce, suggesting that the move was backed by genuine market participation. False Alarm or Fresh Rally? While the bounce has undoubtedly injected optimism into the Ethereum market, it’s too early to declare a full-fledged rally. Several factors could determine whether this move has legs or if it’s just a temporary relief rally before further downside. On the bullish side, the whale accumulation discussed earlier could provide a psychological boost to the market. If other large players follow suit and start buying ETH at these levels, it could create a self-reinforcing cycle of demand. Additionally, Ethereum’s fundamentals remain strong, with ongoing developments like the upcoming Cancun-Deneb (Dencun) upgrade, which aims to reduce Layer 2 transaction costs, potentially driving greater adoption. However, there are also bearish risks to consider. The broader cryptocurrency market remains correlated with macroeconomic conditions, and any negative developments—such as interest rate hikes or geopolitical tensions—could weigh on risk assets like Ethereum. Moreover, if the whale who accumulated $422 million in ETH decides to take profits at higher levels, it could trigger a sharp sell-off, undermining the current momentum. For now, traders are closely watching key resistance levels around $3,000 and $3,200. A break above these levels could confirm a fresh rally, potentially targeting Ethereum’s previous highs near $4,000. On the other hand, a failure to sustain the current bounce could see ETH retest the $2,500 support, with a breakdown below this level opening the door to further declines. ________________________________________ Ethereum Developer Proposes 6-Second Block Times to Boost Speed, Slash Fees Ethereum’s scalability and transaction costs have long been points of contention among users and developers. While the transition to Proof-of-Stake has improved energy efficiency, issues like high gas fees and network congestion persist, particularly during periods of high demand. In a bid to address these challenges, Ethereum developer Barnabé Monnot has proposed a radical change: reducing Ethereum’s slot times (the time between blocks) from 12 seconds to just 6 seconds. This proposal aims to make the network more responsive, improve efficiency for DeFi applications, and significantly lower transaction fees. But what are the implications of this change, and is it feasible? Understanding Slot Times and Their Impact In Ethereum’s current Proof-of-Stake consensus mechanism, validators propose and confirm blocks in slots that occur every 12 seconds. This slot time was chosen to balance network security, decentralization, and performance. A shorter slot time means blocks are produced more frequently, which could theoretically increase transaction throughput and reduce latency for users. Barnabé Monnot’s proposal to halve slot times to 6 seconds is based on the idea that faster block production would make Ethereum more responsive, particularly for time-sensitive applications like decentralized exchanges (DEXs) and other DeFi protocols. Additionally, by processing transactions more quickly, the network could reduce congestion during peak periods, potentially leading to lower gas fees for users. Potential Benefits of 6-Second Slot Times If implemented successfully, Monnot’s proposal could have several positive impacts on Ethereum: 1. Improved User Experience: Faster block times would reduce the time users have to wait for transactions to be confirmed, making Ethereum more competitive with centralized payment systems and other blockchains like Solana, which boast sub-second transaction finality. 2. Enhanced DeFi Efficiency: DeFi protocols often rely on rapid transaction processing for arbitrage opportunities, liquidations, and other automated functions. A 6-second slot time could make these processes more efficient, potentially attracting more users and capital to Ethereum’s DeFi ecosystem. 3. Lower Gas Fees: By increasing the frequency of block production, the network could process more transactions per minute, reducing competition for block space during high-demand periods. This could lead to lower gas fees, addressing one of the most persistent criticisms of Ethereum. 4. Competitive Edge: Faster block times could help Ethereum maintain its dominance in the smart contract space, especially as rival blockchains continue to innovate with speed and cost efficiency. Challenges and Risks While the proposal sounds promising, it’s not without challenges. Reducing slot times could place additional strain on validators, particularly those with less powerful hardware. This could lead to missed slots or delays in block production, potentially undermining network stability. Additionally, shorter slot times could increase the risk of network forks or reorgs (reorganizations of the blockchain), where competing blocks are proposed simultaneously, creating temporary uncertainty about the canonical chain. Another concern is the impact on decentralization. If faster block times disproportionately favor validators with high-performance hardware or low-latency connections, it could lead to greater centralization of the network, as smaller validators struggle to keep up. This would go against Ethereum’s core ethos of maintaining a decentralized and accessible infrastructure. Finally, implementing such a change would require extensive testing and coordination among Ethereum’s developer community. Any misstep could result in bugs or vulnerabilities that compromise the network’s security. Community Response and Next Steps Monnot’s proposal has sparked lively debate within the Ethereum community. Some developers and users are enthusiastic about the potential for faster transactions and lower fees, while others caution against the risks of rushing such a significant change. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has expressed cautious optimism, noting that shorter slot times could be a viable long-term goal but emphasizing the need for thorough research and simulation to understand the full implications. For now, the proposal remains in the discussion phase, with no concrete timeline for implementation. If it gains traction, it could be tested on Ethereum testnets before being rolled out to the mainnet as part of a future upgrade. Regardless of the outcome, Monnot’s idea highlights Ethereum’s ongoing commitment to innovation and addressing user pain points. ________________________________________ Is Ethereum Staging a Repeat of 2021? Here’s Why a 200% Surge Could Follow Ethereum’s price history is full of dramatic rallies and corrections, with 2021 standing out as a particularly bullish year. During that period, ETH surged from around $700 at the start of the year to an all-time high of nearly $4,900 in November—a gain of over 600%. As Ethereum shows signs of recovery in 2023, some analysts are drawing parallels to 2021, suggesting that a 200% surge could be on the horizon. But are these comparisons justified, and what factors could drive such a rally? Parallels Between 2021 and 2023 Several factors from 2021 appear to be resurfacing in 2023, fueling speculation of a repeat performance: 1. Market Sentiment: In early 2021, the crypto market was riding a wave of optimism driven by institutional adoption, mainstream media coverage, and retail FOMO (fear of missing out). Today, while sentiment isn’t quite at 2021 levels, there are signs of growing interest, with major financial institutions exploring blockchain technology and retail investors returning to the market. 2. Network Upgrades: The lead-up to Ethereum’s London Hard Fork in 2021, which introduced the EIP-1559 fee-burning mechanism, was a major catalyst for price appreciation. In 2023, upcoming upgrades like Dencun and potential improvements to block times (as discussed earlier) could similarly boost confidence in Ethereum’s long-term value. 3. DeFi and NFT Growth: The explosive growth of DeFi and NFTs in 2021 drove massive demand for Ethereum, as most of these projects were built on its blockchain. While the hype around NFTs has cooled, DeFi continues to evolve, and new use cases like decentralized social media and gaming could reignite interest in Ethereum. 4. Macro Conditions: In 2021, loose monetary policies and stimulus packages created a favorable environment for risk assets like cryptocurrencies. While the macro environment in 2023 is more challenging, any shift toward accommodative policies—such as interest rate cuts—could provide a tailwind for Ethereum. Why a 200% Surge Could Happen If Ethereum is indeed staging a repeat of 2021, a 200% surge from current levels (around $2,800) would take ETH to approximately $8,400—a new all-time high. Several catalysts could make this possible: • Institutional Adoption: Increased participation from institutional investors, as evidenced by whale accumulation like the $422 million ETH purchase, could drive sustained demand. • Bitcoin Halving Effect: The upcoming Bitcoin halving in 2024 historically triggers bull runs across the crypto market, with Ethereum often outperforming BTC during these cycles. • Technical Breakout: If Ethereum breaks above key resistance levels like $3,200 and $4,000, it could trigger a wave of buying momentum from technical traders and algorithms. • Network Improvements: Successful implementation of upgrades like Dencun or shorter block times could enhance Ethereum’s utility, attracting more users and capital to the ecosystem. Risks to the Bullish Thesis Despite the optimism, there are significant risks that could derail a 200% surge. Regulatory uncertainty remains a major concern, with governments worldwide scrutinizing cryptocurrencies and DeFi. Additionally, competition from other Layer 1 blockchains like Solana, Avalanche, and Polkadot could divert developer and user attention away from Ethereum if it fails to address scalability and cost issues. Moreover, the macro environment remains unpredictable. Persistent inflation, geopolitical tensions, or a prolonged recession could dampen risk appetite, weighing on Ethereum’s price regardless of its fundamentals. Conclusion Ethereum is at a fascinating crossroads. The massive $422 million accumulation by a whale signals strong confidence from big players, while the recent price bounce suggests that bullish momentum may be building. At the same time, innovative proposals like Barnabé Monnot’s 6-second block times highlight Ethereum’s commitment to addressing long-standing issues like fees and speed. Whether these factors coalesce into a 2021-style rally remains to be seen, but the potential for a 200% surge is not out of the question if key catalysts align. For now, investors and traders should remain vigilant, keeping an eye on technical levels, on-chain activity, and broader market trends to navigate the exciting but volatile world of Ethereum.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by bryandowningqln
Diageo | DEO | Long at $101.15Diego NYSE:DEO is the owner of alcohol brands such as Johnnie Walker, Crown Royal, Smirnoff, Baileys, Guinness, Tanqueray, Don Julio, Cîroc, and Captain Morgan. The stock has fallen significantly since 2021 due to several factors, such as: post-COVID recovery slowdown; retail/travel disruptions hurting high-margin segments; inflationary pressures raising costs for materials like glass and agave, squeezing margins; consumer downtrading to cheaper alternatives; and macroeconomic headwinds. While tariffs may prolong overall recovery, I do not think it's the end for this company by any means. Factors likely to drive NYSE:DEO stock higher include: Interest Rate Cuts : Expected U.S. rate cuts in 2025 could boost consumer confidence and spending, benefiting premium brands. Lower rates may also reduce debt costs, easing pressure on its debt load. Productivity Initiatives : NYSE:DEO $2B savings program (2025-2027) aims to improve efficiency, margins, and cash flow, potentially restoring investor confidence. Undervaluation : Trading at 17.5x forward earnings (below historical 21x), the stock may attract value investors. From a technical analysis perspective, NYSE:DEO has been riding my "crash" simple moving average zone. While the momentum has a strong downtrend, entry into this "crash" zone typically only happens a few times before a trend reversal. But there is a good probability, that my "major crash" zone (currently in the $80s) is possible before a true reversal. Regardless, without a crystal ball, I am starting to form a position and plan to add more if the "major crash" happens with this stock. Thus, at $101.15, NYSE:DEO is in a personal buy zone with the noted potential for a drop into the $80s due to projected earnings revisions, etc. Targets into 2027: $120.00 (+18.6%) $140.00 (+38.4%)
NYSE:DEOLong
by WorthlessViews
Estee Lauder | EL | Long at $67.33Reentering Estee Lauder at $67.33 due to the persistence of the Director, Paul Fribourg, buying around $33,000,000 worth of shares between $63-$66 (even after the earnings debacle). While the company had a horrendous outlook for FY2025, the bad news may be already priced in (i.e. cutting 7,000 jobs, weak sales, etc.). A "profit recovery and growth plan" is underway, so buckle up for the high risk of further declines in stock price in the near-term. Personally, a buy and hold at $67.33 with the primary thesis being global expansion (recovering Chinese market) or potential buyout into 2027. Targets $80.00 $86.00
NYSE:ELLong
by WorthlessViews
Dow Jones in Long-Term Fibonacci Channel📈 Dow Jones Weekly | Fibonacci Channel in Play Since 2020 The Dow Jones Industrial Average has been trending within a well-defined Fibonacci channel on the weekly timeframe since the 2020 lows. 🔹 The price has consistently respected the Fibonacci levels as tilted support and resistance lines—a technical behavior that adds weight to this structure. 🔹 Three major horizontal support/resistance zones are clearly active and validated multiple times (highlighted on the chart). 🔹 Currently, the index is approaching the upper boundary of the downtrend resistance. 📌 The setup suggests it's only a matter of time before we retest this dynamic resistance zone, with potential rejection or breakout to follow. 🎯 Target zone around 45,000 as marked—aligning with previous highs and the upper resistance confluence. Stay tuned—momentum is building. #DowJones #DJI #FibonacciChannel #TechnicalAnalysis #WeeklyChart #StockMarket #Resistance #Support #Trendlines #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #US30 #MarketOutlook #PriceAction
DJ:DJILong
by helsamra
Everybody loves Gold Part 5Keeping it steady and reasonable Part 5 weekly path is as shown. Here's a breakdown of trading dynamics: 1. Expecting price to break past green line, level of significance (LOS) for continuation down 2. Price might bounce back for which; will be looking for a continuation from +50/+100 or +150pips to the downside 3. Will be looking for double tops/bottom along the way: Last week saw classic double top formed around level of significance (LOS) As always price action determines trades
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by PinchPips