Support and Resistance
Conflict breaks out, risk aversion rises, can 3400 be broken?Bowman's dovish comments in the afternoon eased the market, by which time risk aversion was deepening as sudden geopolitical conflicts continued to deepen. Will the USA make a corresponding response to this matter? This series of events has once again put gold into a complicated situation. Can gold hit the 3,400 mark today?
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OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
NzdUsd Trade IdeaNzdUsd is another bearish pair. There is a level of resistance on the higher time frame where price could potentially respect and flip structures at that specific level. If all goes well we could expect some sort of bearish range. I'll be looking to short the pair for a 1:3rr if the set up plays out as planned.
USD/CHF: The Next Big Impulse Down? Here's The PlanHello, traders! Let's break down a high-probability short setup that could potentially form on USD/CHF.
📉 Overall Bias & Context
After another powerful bearish impulse, the price entered a correction, mitigating the previous range and reaching the maximum 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. From this level, a potential continuation of the next impulse has begun.
The first confirmation was an impulsive reaction from the 4h order block that formed after interacting with the 78.6% Fib level. This reaction, in turn, created a 1h order block, which now acts as a magnet for price and is a key condition for the bearish trend to continue.
A mitigation and reversal from this 1h OB will confirm the bearish order flow and could initiate the next strong impulse down, with a minimum target of taking the low at 0.80384 .
Why This Setup is High-Potential
High Risk/Reward: This potential short setup could offer a very high RR. The deep corrective move has built up a significant amount of liquidity, which can fuel a fast and powerful move towards our target.
DXY Confluence: The Dollar Index (DXY) provides an additional trigger for this scenario. After its own bearish impulse, the DXY has also corrected to a 78.6% Fib level, bounced off a daily order block, and after a small pullback, looks ready to continue its fall, dragging the USDCHF pair with it.
The Entry Plan: Two Scenarios to Watch
We have two potential areas for a reaction. We must try not to miss this with-trend setup once we get an entry confirmation.
1️⃣ Scenario 1: Primary POI
* I'll be watching for a reaction from the aforementioned 1h order block, which aligns with the local 78.6% Fib level around 0.81840.
2️⃣ Scenario 2: Deeper Liquidity Grab
* If the first level is broken and the "whales" need additional liquidity, we could see a sweep of the 1h swing high at 0.81937, followed by a mitigation of the 1h FVG (Fair Value Gap) just above it.
The potential short entry zone will be within these two levels, after a clear reversal reaction.
Price is approaching the POI zone! Follow for live updates on every step of this trade idea as the price reaches the zone.
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CadJpy Trade IdeaWith CJ failing to create bullish structures above the previous high and above a level of resistance we could potentially look for price to pullback and retest the level of resistance. We have a clean break of structure on smaller time frames indicating a possible range continuation. Looking for a 1:3rr if all goes well. We'll see what happens.
BTCUSDT Update — Big Macro Forces In Play!!Hey Traders!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver!
Bitcoin once again testing key support levels as global tensions continue to fuel uncertainty in the markets.
Chart Overview:
BTC broke down from short-term resistance and is now retesting the major support zone between $102K–$103K. The structure still remains within a broader consolidation range, but this support zone is absolutely critical for bulls to defend.
Immediate Resistance: $106K → $110K
Immediate Support: $102K → $100K
A breakdown below $100K could trigger deeper liquidations towards $95K–$98K, while a successful defense here could push BTC back toward previous highs.
Geopolitical Impact:
Global headlines are heavily influencing risk assets right now:
🇮🇱 Israel-Iran tensions are escalating.
🇺🇸 The US is signaling stronger involvement diplomatically, adding more fear to markets.
📉 Traditional markets have already started to show signs of caution.
Bitcoin, as a risk asset, remains vulnerable to these global macro shocks in the short term.
The Game Plan Right Now:
If we see sustained support at $102K–$103K, there’s still room for a relief bounce towards $106K–$110K in the near term.
However, if global tensions escalate further, expect increased volatility with downside liquidity grabs.
Stay cautious with tight risk management. Macro headlines are still driving sudden sentiment shifts.
📊 My Bias:
Watching for potential sweep of $102K with possible reversal structure forming. Any clear reclaim of $105K may signal a local bottom.
📝 Key Takeaway:
Global narratives are bigger than technicals right now. The next few days could dictate whether BTC holds or faces another sharp liquidation event.
Stay patient. Stay disciplined. And most importantly: manage your risk.
👉 Follow for more real-time updates as we track both price action and macro headlines impacting crypto.
XAUUSD INTRADAY KEY LEVELS Greetings,
Hello traders, this is the XAU-USD 15m pivot resistance zone.
Based on market trend and previous day movement.
Intraday resistance 2 is represented by the yellow line. 3395.32
And circular figure 3100 may act as a resistance zone.
Key levels;
Entry: 3395.32
Target: 3385.32
Stop loss: 4095.32
Risk Reward Ratio 1:1
Your likes and boosts motivate us to keep learning and sharing ideas!
Bitcoin Tests Key Support-Healthy Correction Within Bull MarketHealthy Pullback, Strong Structure:
Bitcoin’s recent dip is a constructive correction within a broader bull trend, as it tests the critical $100,000–$105,000 support zone—a former resistance area from early 2025.
Institutional Demand Holds the Line:
Maintaining levels above the psychologically important $100,000 mark highlights continued institutional accumulation and reinforces the underlying strength of the trend.
Momentum Reset, Base Building:
This pullback has helped reset overbought conditions from the prior rally, laying the foundation for the next potential leg higher.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $100,000–$105,000
Breakout Trigger: A close above $108,000 would confirm uptrend continuation
Outlook: Bullish bias remains valid as long as support holds
Investor Opportunity:
With structure intact and downside contained, this consolidation presents a favorable risk-reward setup for long-term investors looking to position ahead of a potential breakout.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #BullMarket #RiskReward #InstitutionalBuying #MarketOutlook #PriceAction
$NVDA has topped, new lows incomingNVDA has now topped, you can see that we've just formed another high time frame lower high and the rejection up here has the potential to create a strong bearish move.
I think it's very likely that the bearish move will take us all the way down to the bottom support before it's completed.
The bounce from the bottom went higher than I initially thought it would (which is why I'm creating a new chart), but price can't escape gravity and the same outcome is inevitable.
Let's see how it plays out over the coming weeks.
Beeline Holdings | BLNE | Long at $0.72**This is a VERY risky penny stock. Please do not invest if you are risk averse.**
Beeline Holdings NASDAQ:BLNE
Book value = $5.00-$6.00
Revenue past 12 months: $5.21 million (grew by 27.4% over the past year)
Debt-to-equity: 0.21x (low)
Insiders purchased almost $500k in shares in the past 6 months and volume increasing
6 million float, 1.96% short interest, 0.85 days to cover
This is purely a gamble play based on value and insider purchases. Thus, at $0.72, NASDAQ:BLNE is in a personal buy zone.
Targets:
$1.00
$1.25
US 100 – Potential For Further Geo-Political Volatility AheadEarly trading this Monday morning has been dominated by President Trump's surprise weekend decision to launch airstrikes on three nuclear sites in Iran, which may increase the potential for a wider conflict in the Middle East.
After closing at 21,652 on Friday, this news led the US 100 to a gap open lower to 21,375 in early Asian trading, however, this drop didn't last long and the index has since recovered to trade back up to 21600 again at the time of writing (0800 BST).
Looking forward, the focus for traders may continue to be on Iran's next move. So far they have confined their retaliation to missile attacks on Israel, but they did issue a statement saying they reserve all options to defend themselves.
Fresh attacks on US bases in the region, or deciding to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping supply route for Oil and Gas from the region, may undermine risk sentiment which could lead to renewed selling of the US 100, while any options suggesting a potential quicker resolution to this conflict may be seized upon by traders to push the index back up to higher levels seen in the middle of last week.
There are scheduled events released across the week that may also be relevant, these include the testimony of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell to congress at 1500 BST on Tuesday and Wednesday, as well as the next US PCE Index update at 1330 BST on Friday, which is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge.
Technical Update: Assessing Support and Resistance Levels
Escalation of hostilities in the middle east over the weekend may leave traders uncertain as to the direction of the next price activity for the US 100 moving forward.
However, technical analysis can help to outline potential support and resistance levels, which if broken to the up or downside, might offer clues on where the index may move.
Potential Support Levels:
Looking at the chart of the US 100 index below, it could be argued that Monday’s lower opening level has already tested what traders may be viewing as support at 21373. This level is equal to half the May 23rd to June 11th phase of price strength.
Having seen an initial recovery following tests of this 21373 level, it may now have been strengthened as a support focus. This means closing breaks below 21373, while not a guarantee of further price declines, may suggest tests of the next support at 20666, which is the May 23rd price low, even 20360, the 38% Fibonacci retracement level, could be possible.
Potential Resistance Levels:
In terms of resistance levels to monitor this week, as the chart shows, Friday’s activity did see a sell-off from its 21905 session high. This confirms sellers have been active at this level previously and may prove to be again.
As such, traders may now be watching the defence of this 21905 level on a closing basis, as breaks above this resistance may now be required to see attempts to push to higher levels which may include a challenge of resistance at 22074, the June 11th session upside extreme, possibly then 2226, the February 18th high.
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Potential Bullish Scenario for DXY, target objective is 99.392Higher timeframe analysis
As discussed in last week's analysis of the DXY, the higher timeframe draw on liquidity is the bearish monthly Fair value gap set at 101.977. This warrants a higher timeframe bullish bias until this level has been achieved.
Intermediate timeframe analysis
We note the relative equal highs on the daily and 1H chart at 99.392. This serves as a intermediate timeframe draw on liquidity and target objective.
Also note that the buyside of the curve of the market maker buy model has commenced which further fuels bullish sentiment.
Scenario 1
On the 1H chart, note the relative equal lows at 98.482. These lows are expected to be ran to serve as a liquidity primer for the bullish 1H order block at 98.436 which is expected to be respected and held. This poses a rather handsome risk to reward ratio.
Scenario 2
Should price push past the invalidation point of the bullish 1H order block we could see it head to the bullish 1H order block at the initial accumulation at 98.219. The reward on this setup would make up for the loss of scenario 1.
Disclaimer
The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
It’s the right time to make a golden layout!Last Friday, the overall gold price continued to be suppressed and fell back to fluctuate and adjust. Finally, it stabilized at the 3340 mark before closing and rebounded and fluctuated. The daily K line closed with a fluctuating number K. The overall gold price continued to be suppressed and fluctuated in the near term. However, the US military attacked Iran's nuclear facilities over the weekend, exacerbating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and the market's risk aversion sentiment heated up. Today, the gold price jumped high and fell back into a volatile state. In the short term, the gold price is likely to continue the wide range of long and short fluctuations, and continue to trade time for space. Although gold opened high and went low, it still did not break the bullish trend channel. Looking for opportunities to go long after stepping back is also the current trend.
From the current market trend, today's technical support below is around 3345-3355, focusing on the gains and losses of the 3340 line; the upper short-term resistance is around 3380-3385, focusing on the 3395-3405 line. Relying on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation during the day, the middle position is always more watchful and less active, cautious pursuit of orders, and patiently waiting for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: go long when gold falls back to around 3350-3355, and add to long positions when it falls back to 3340-3345. The target is 3370-3380.Counter-trend short orders will be entered at an appropriate time based on market changes, and the specific points will be subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
Short gold, gold still has at least one chance to pullback!At present, gold has rebounded to the 3370-3380 area again, which largely confirms that 3350-3340 is the bottom area at this stage. However, what we still cannot underestimate is that even with the support of safe-haven, gold has still failed to effectively break through the resistance of 3385-3395-3405 area, and even fell under pressure several times. To a certain extent, it weakened the willingness and confidence of bulls, so it aggravated the trend of wide fluctuations in the short term. During this period, we must pay attention to the rhythm change of gold.
According to the current bullish strength of gold, I think gold does not have the conditions to directly break through the heavy resistance of 3385-3395-3405 area for the time being, so gold still needs at least one retracement expectation, so I think we can still try to short gold in the 3375-3385 area, but the retracement expectation should not be too large, 3365-3355 is enough!
Gold opens high and moves lower, focus on 3340 support📰 Impact of news:
1. Federal Reserve Board member Bowman speaks on monetary policy and the banking industry
2. The United States intervenes in the Iran-Israel conflict and pays attention to the geopolitical situation
📈 Market analysis:
In the early Asian session, gold prices surged but failed to break through the key watershed of 3405. The current risk aversion conflict failed to break through the key resistance level, so the short-term trend is still weak and bearish. On the hourly chart, gold continues to retreat. As the current short-selling momentum continues to gain momentum, we will first look at whether the double bottom support of 3340 is effective. If it fails to break through while retreating, we can consider a short-term upward rebound in the support and consider going long. Looking at the second decline point at 3370-3375, unless the news stimulates the gold trend, you can still consider placing short orders if it touches the 3370-3380 line! On the whole, pay attention to the resistance line of 3370-3380 above and the support line of 3345-3335 below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3350-3345-3335
TP 3360-3370-3380
SELL 3370-3380
TP 3360-3350-3345
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Is DOGE About to Explode or Collapse?Yello Paradisers! Are you ready for what could be DOGE’s most explosive move in weeks? DOGEUSDT is currently developing a very interesting bullish setup that deserves attention.
💎The pair has formed a falling wedge — a pattern that often precedes a breakout to the upside. This comes right after a confirmed bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicating that buyers are quietly stepping back in.
💎Even more important, we’ve seen a classic inducement grab, meaning early liquidity has been taken out, clearing the way for a potential real move. On top of that, there’s hidden bullish divergence on the RSI and clear bullish divergence on the MACD. This combination of signals significantly increases the probability of a bullish reversal from the current support zone.
💎If DOGE prints a convincing bullish candlestick pattern at these levels, it could offer a high-probability long opportunity with a strong risk-to-reward ratio. But be careful — if the price breaksdown and closes candle below this key support, the bullish scenario becomes invalid, and it’s better to wait for a more favorable structure to develop.
Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. This is the only way you will make it far in your crypto trading journey. Be a PRO.
MyCryptoParadise
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