Bearish potential detected for BAPEntry conditions:
(i) lower share price for ASX:BAP along with swing of DMI indicator towards bearishness and RSI downwards, and
(ii) observing market reaction around the share price of $4.82 (close of 18th June).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) above the high of the recent swing high once the trade is activated (currently $4.92 from the high of 19th June), or
(ii) above the prior resistance zone of $4.87 from 8th November 2024, depending on risk tolerance.
Support and Resistance
BTCUSD Analysis | is 100k the Next Target?🔍 Chart Breakdown:
Price previously formed a range under key resistance at $108,800.
A Triangle Pattern emerged after a sharp rejection from the resistance zone.
The recent breakdown from this pattern signals bearish momentum.
Support Level: $100,513 — Key level to watch for a potential bounce or further breakdown.
📊 Scenarios to Watch:
🔴 Bearish Case (Preferred):
Breakdown continuation below $104,000 could trigger a move toward the $100,500 support.
Clean rejection from triangle breakdown area confirms the bearish structure.
🟢 Bullish Case (Less Likely):
If BTC holds above $104,000 and breaks above the mid-range zone (~$106,500), a retest of $108,800 is possible.
Watch for fakeouts at the top of the range.
💡Trade Ideas:
Short opportunities on breakdown retest or rejection from $106,000–106,500.
Potential long only if $108,800 is broken with strong volume confirmation.
🛑 Risk Management:
Always use stop-loss. Monitor BTC dominance and macro sentiment for confluence.
💬 What do you think? Bearish breakdown or fakeout trap? Let’s discuss below!
BITCOIN → Possibility of retesting 100K. Buyer weakeningBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is in consolidation after the rally stalled due to the exhaustion of the bullish driver. The price updates local lows and starts looking at 100K
Bitcoin is under pressure after the escalation of conflict in the middle east and after the FOMC speech. There is also another observation: large companies, politicians, funds and investors have long and aggressively motivate the crowd to buy, verbally confirming that they bought dozens and hundreds of bitcoins at a time for the balance, but bitcoin is standing still and updating lows. At the same time, various services such as "cryptorank" fix bullish sentiment at the lows. The market either lacks liquidity or something more unpredictable is happening (chart drawing????)
Technically, bitcoin is following the behavior of the SP500 quite strongly, which closes Friday's session quite weak and close to key support, which could trigger a continuation of the decline. Bitcoin won't stay on the sidelines and could also follow the index....
Resistance levels: 104K, 105K, 106K
Support levels: 102K, 100.6K, 97.5K
The price is coming out of the “symmetrical triangle” consolidation breaking the support, thus confirming the bearish mood. After a small correction after a false breakdown of 102500 the price may again return to storm (retest) the level under market pressure, which will only strengthen expectations of further decline. The target is liquidity 100600 - 100K. From 100K rebound and growth is possible.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin and the descending channel it consistently followsAccording to the UTC+3 time zone, there is a Bitcoin channel between the 23:00 and 03:00 candles on May 21, which uses the width of the channel (the yellow channel). If we copy the same channel and place it at the upper wick of the 15:00 candle on May 27, we get the green channel. Similarly, by copying the yellow channel and aligning it with the lower wick of the 03:00 candle on May 22, which is one of the first two white candles at the start of the channel, we get the orange channel. The blue channel, on the other hand, is my prediction. In addition, not only the 0 and 1 points (solid line) of the channels but also the 0.5 (short line), 0.25, and 0.75 (dotted lines) levels act as support and resistance.
$BTC Breaks Key Support – Bearish Signal Bitcoin has lost the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Breaks Key Support – Bearish Signal
Bitcoin has lost the critical 50 EMA on the daily chart, which has historically acted as a strong support level. This breakdown mirrors the 2021 double top structure and is now hinting at a deeper correction.
🔸 Key Support Zone at $100,000:
Losing this zone increases downside risk. If $100K fails to hold, next visible supports are at $96K and $91K, aligning with past consolidation zones.
🔸 Risk Level at $104,500:
A daily close back above $104.5K would invalidate this bearish view and indicate strength recovery.
🔸 Outlook:
Wait for further confirmation below $100K for potential short setups. Avoid long entries until clear reversal signs appear.
S&P 500 E-mini Futures In the S&P 500 futures (/ES), a decisive break and close below 5965 would confirm bearish structure on the higher time frames, signaling a shift in market sentiment. Following the break, we anticipate a corrective pullback toward the 6000–6010 supply zone. This retracement can offer an optimal short entry, with the initial downside target set at 5900, aligned with the next liquidity pool and previous demand zone
Wait for the key points to be confirmed before taking actionThe trend of gold on Friday is still in line with my analysis. Before the market opened, I suggested that gold would rebound from the bottom. Considering the resistance level, I would arrange short orders with a light position. I clearly emphasized that I should not chase short orders at low levels. The actual market price fluctuated upward after hitting the 3340 line at the lowest point, and maintained a range-bound fluctuation pattern as a whole. We arranged long orders in batches at 3342-3353, successfully stopped profit near 3358, reversed shorting, and stopped profit again at 3342. After that, the market hit the top again and was blocked. Short orders were arranged at 3370-3375. It is not recommended to hold positions over the weekend. I have already left the market with a small profit near 3365. Although there was no significant breakthrough, all ended with profit, but it was quite satisfactory for Friday's market.
News: Gold prices were stable on Friday, but fell 1.8% this week. It closed at 3368. The latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement reinforced the Fed's cautious stance, keeping interest rates in the 4.25%-4.50% range. However, the statement also lowered the number of expected rate cuts this year, which put downward pressure on gold prices. In addition, U.S. Treasury yields did not change much but rose slightly, reflecting the stabilization of market risk sentiment. The 10-year Treasury yield rose by more than 2 basis points to 4.421%, and the 30-year Treasury yield rose to 4.924%. Rising yields often put pressure on non-yielding assets such as gold, further suppressing the upward momentum of gold prices. The Fed's failure to immediately launch an easing policy, coupled with a stronger dollar and a reduced urgency of geopolitical risks, have all exacerbated selling pressure. Unless tensions escalate again or the Fed unexpectedly turns, short-term gold price forecasts point to further weakening.
The price of gold has rebounded since it fell from its historical high of 3500 to 3120, After continuous rise, due to the decline of risk aversion in the market, it fell under pressure at 3452. It rebounded to 3340 on Friday. The K-line combination arrangement was bearish. The 4H chart showed a stop-loss signal. It is expected that the market will consolidate below 3400 in the short term. In the medium term, attention should be paid to the geopolitical crisis and the July interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve. It will break through the node after confirming the upper resistance of 3400. In the short-term 4-hour chart, the lower support is around 3340-3345, and the upper short-term resistance is around 3380-3385. Focus on the suppression of the 3400-05 line. The overall idea of retracing back to long positions remains unchanged, and the middle area is mainly kept on the sidelines. Be cautious in chasing orders and wait patiently for the key points to be confirmed before intervening. If the upper resistance is not broken, you can still consider light positions to arrange short orders, and pay attention to the bottom for the specific entry point.
Bitcoin Expecting Relief moveBitcoin Poised for 109K
Bitcoin is showing resilience around the key psychological support level of 100K which appears to be holding firm despite recent volatility. The current price action reflects a complex consolidation pattern, but overall sentiment remains bullish, driven in part by ongoing geopolitical tensions that are boosting Bitcoin’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
If this support holds, the structure suggests a potential move toward the next resistance level at 109K.
You may find more details in chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Birlasoft Ltd (BSOFT) – Long-Term Technical Analysis (TF-1D)📊 Chart Pattern Observed:
• The stock is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, a consolidation pattern often leading to a breakout.
• Points A-B-C form higher lows, showing long-term support.
• The upper resistance lies near ₹739.90, indicating a potential breakout target.
⸻
📉 Current Price:
• ₹421.40, which is just above the highlighted “Best Buying Range” zone.
⸻
🟨 Best Buying Zone:
• Marked between ₹387.25 and ₹351.25.
• This zone is close to the lower trendline support (rising support), making it an ideal accumulation level.
⸻
📈 Upside Potential:
• If the stock sustains above the trendline and continues the triangle structure, it may head toward the ₹739.90 level.
• A breakout above ₹739.90 could trigger a strong upward move.
⸻
🔍 Momentum & RSI:
• The RSI is at 43.28, which is near the lower end — suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
• Good for long-term entry if bullish confirmation appears.
⸻
📌 Key Support Levels:
• ₹387.25 (first support)
• ₹351.25 (strong support)
🚀 Key Resistance:
• ₹739.90 (major breakout level)
⸻
📝 Conclusion:
Birlasoft is currently in a long-term consolidation phase within a symmetrical triangle. The current price is above a strong support zone, making it a good risk-reward entry for long-term investors, especially between ₹387–₹351. A breakout above ₹740 could signal a major bullish rally.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI registered advisor. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
HYPE Long-short-Long planHYPE is good for the short-term long-position at this moment, as it could go as far as 40 from 34.18 to form a Second shoulder.
But it will not sustain over there, and will come down to 22.
There could be another possibility that it may come between 28-29 and form shoulder 2, and then come back to 22.
I will only enter a long position when it takes support from 28 or 22.
Future traders may see short opportunities near 40-41. You will have to wait for price rejection at 40-41.
If it fails these 2 support areas, then I will look for 15-16.
MicroStrategy another pull back before all time high?NASDAQ:MSTR analysis update..
📉 𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 The weekly R5 pivot target is bold at $1500 but definitely possible as a max greed scenario when the triple tailwind of Bitcoin, SPY and Bitcoin treasury companies trends return.
📉 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 retracement is expected to end around the S1 pivot at $341 and a secondary target of $321.
Irans conflict has investors shaken and not willing to hold assets over the weekend on the fear of worse. However, if the conflict is resolved soon investors could have a great buying opportunity.
𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙞𝙨
Price appears to have completed wave (B) of an ABC correction in wave 4. Wave C is underway with an expected thrust down (such is the nature of wave C) towards the daily S1 pivot $341. This is also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, a high probability area for wave 4 to end. A deeper correction will bring up a triple shield of the High Volume Node, ascending daily 200EMA and 0.5 fibonacci retracement at £321.
Daily DEMA has death crossed.
Safe trading
AERO: Clears the Runway! Can it gain altitude!?AERO gave a valid long setup
We were eye a possible retrace of an impulsive move and it displayed enough to trigger a rules-based entry.
Technical Breakdown
Key structural elements supported the setup:
Initial leg up showed impulse-like behavior
Pullback found support at a clearly defined AOI
Multiple MLT levels aligned with a common zigzag framework
Swift bounce off the Golden Corner Pocket (GCP)
Break and close above 0.54 completed the impulse structure
Prior resistance flipped into support
Volume confirmed the move, and price reached the first algo target, producing a reactive wick and confirming potential of algo activity.
This created a textbook TDU-style GCP/Algo/C-3 setup with measured entry and exit.
Risk Management
Partial profit was taken at the first MLT zone
Stop loss was moved into profit post-structure break
Scenario planning:
If move continues: positioned
If move stalls as a larger zigzag: no loss
Outlook
Attention now shifts to the next actionable level, possible second entry long
0.62 is the AOI for re-entry atm
Ideal scenario = Continuation in a wave 3, obvi
Alt scenario = Clean corrective to AOI + long
Bear scenario = Zig Zag complete
Conclusion
The trade played by the book!
Confluence across AOI, GCP, MLT, and volume created a qualified entry — not a guess.
This remains a great example of structure over sentiment and waiting for the market to meet criteria before engaging.
Nifty 50 at a Turning Point? Key Levels & Market Outlook AheadThe Nifty 50 ended the week at 25,112.40 with a gain of 1.59%
If Nifty sustains below 25,033, selling pressure may increase. However, a move above 25,192 could restore bullish momentum.
Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone:
The crucial range to watch for potential trend reversals or continuation is 25,033 -25,192.
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels:
Support:
S1: 24,797
S2: 24,482
S3: 24,093
Resistance:
R1: 25,431
R2: 25,750
R3: 26,144
Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 25,192 could attract buying momentum, driving Nifty towards R1 (25,431) and beyond.
❌ Bearish Scenario: A drop below 25,033 may trigger selling pressure, pushing Nifty towards S1 (24,797) or lower.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Google MUST hold this critical level!NASDAQ:GOOG local analysis update
📈 𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 Further decline below the daily 200EMA, High Volume Node (HVN) and pivot point which it closed below on Friday could see google price fall back below $140.
📉 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 the bullish run has ended with Fridays bearish engulfing, first support below the support it is currently sat at is $156.
Irans conflict has investors shaken and not willing to hold assets over the weekend on the fear of worse news. However, if the conflict is resolved investors could have a great buying opportunity.
𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙞𝙨
Price is challenging a triple shield: major support HVN, daily pivot and the daily 200EMA. Holding this level is critical and locks in a corrective Elliot Wave pattern from the $140 level completing between the 0.5-0.618 Fib retracement.
Daily DEMA Is about to produce a death cross while RSI is neutral with plenty of room to fall.
Safe trading
Bank Nifty Weekly Insights: Key Levels & TrendsBank Nifty ended the week at 56,252.85 with a gain of 1.31%
Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone:
The critical range to monitor for potential trend reversals or continuation is 56,135 to 56,372
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
S1: 55,781
S2: 55,308
S3: 54,726
Resistance Levels:
R1: 56,729
R2: 57,206
R3: 57,786
Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above 56,372 could trigger buying momentum, potentially driving Bank Nifty towards R1 (56,729) and beyond.
❌ Bearish Scenario: If the index falls below 56,135, selling pressure may increase, pulling it towards S1 (56,729) and lower levels.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Indus on the MoveIndus Towers Ltd is India’s largest telecom tower infrastructure company, operating over 220,000 towers and enabling more than 340,000 colocations across all 22 telecom circles. Backed by Bharti Airtel (holding ~50%), the company offers long-term revenue visibility, steady cash flows, and a crucial position in India’s telecom value chain—especially as the country rapidly expands its 5G infrastructure.
In Q4 FY25, the company reported a standalone revenue of ₹7,727 crore, up 7.4% year-on-year. Consolidated revenue also rose to ₹7,547 crore. Net profit margins remain robust at around 33%, while the return on equity (ROE) stands strong at 30–33%. Operating efficiency is also reflected in the return on capital employed (ROCE), which is approximately 28.6%.
Liquidity remains healthy, with ₹33.4 billion in cash and short-term investments, positive working capital of ₹31.4 billion, and operating cash flow of ₹11,582 crore in FY2024. The company has a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of ~0.65 and net debt around ₹178 billion. Valuation metrics are attractive: a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio near 10.8x and EV/EBITDA of ~5.6x suggest the stock is undervalued relative to its cash-generating strength. The Piotroski F-score of 7–8 reflects solid financial health.
Overall, the fundamentals indicate that Indus Towers is a stable, cash-rich business with long-term growth potential linked to telecom and data consumption growth in India.
📉 Technical Outlook
The 2-hour chart reflects a significant breakout pattern. A long-standing descending trendline has acted as dynamic resistance since April, repeatedly pushing the price lower. However, recent price action shows a strong breakout above this trendline, accompanied by bullish candles and higher volume.
The reversal zone between ₹388–392 acted as a key support area where buyers stepped in. The breakout above this zone followed by a push beyond the ₹404–408 zone signals strong upside momentum.
Key levels to monitor:
Close Above ₹408: Confirms the breakout and initiates bullish momentum.
Resistance Targets: ₹424 (R1), ₹438 (R2), and ₹462 (R3).
Support Zone: ₹388–392 remains a demand area. A move below this may invalidate the setup.
The pattern suggests a shift from lower highs to potential higher highs, which can attract swing and positional traders.
✅ Conclusion
Indus Towers is a classic case where fundamentals and technicals align. On one hand, it boasts strong earnings, consistent cash flow, low valuation, and strategic importance in India’s 5G rollout. On the other, the recent breakout from a long-term resistance trendline shows a potential trend reversal on the chart.
For investors and traders, this confluence presents a compelling opportunity. An entry in the ₹404–408 range could yield solid returns, with targets at ₹424, ₹438, and ₹462. A stop-loss below ₹388 is advisable to manage risk.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
EURUSD Gearing Up for Next Leg Up – DXY Weakens After PPI MissToday, key U.S. economic indexes were released, providing fresh insights into inflationary pressures and the state of the labor market:
Core PPI m/m:
Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.4%
Lower than expected – suggests weaker underlying producer inflation.
PPI m/m:
Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.5%
Slight miss – overall inflation at the producer level remains soft.
Unemployment Claims:
Actual: 248K | Forecast: 242K | Previous: 247K
Slightly higher than forecast – signaling some cooling in the labor market.
Market Outlook :
These data releases point toward cooling inflation and softness in job growth, which may strengthen the dovish narrative around the Fed’s next move.
DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) is under pressure, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is showing signs of bullish momentum .
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Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame .
EURUSD is trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) and Monthly Resistance(2) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD appears to be completing microwave 4 . Microwave 4 could be completed at one of the Fibonacci levels .
I expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) at least once more after completing microwave 4 and could even rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1446 , we can expect more dump.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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