SONIC Impulse Structure Emerging Wave 2 in ProgressSONIC has confirmed the end of its prior bearish cycle after completing a complex corrective structure, culminating in a breakout from a bullish falling wedge formation. The movement marks the initiation of a fresh impulsive sequence, with Wave 1 delivering a solid leg to the upside.
We can deduct from the current price action the start of a Wave 2 correction, unfolding towards the highlighted Buy Back Zone, which coincides with a key structural support range. This zone presents a potential low-risk re-entry opportunity ahead of Wave 3 development.
Support and Resistance
Gold – Bear Season 2 Incoming? | Big Rally, Bigger Pullback?Hey everyone! Sharing a long-term view on GOLD based on the weekly chart. We’ve had some wild moves lately, and there are signs that another Bear Season might be setting up. Let’s break it down:
Post-Halving 1 (Aug 2020)
After the first halving (marked as “Halving 1”), gold had a strong rally but entered a long sideways phase – which I’ve labeled as Bear Season 1.
Lots of ranging and no clear direction for a while.
Post-Halving 2 (Apr 2025)
After the second halving, gold exploded upwards again. Now we’re sitting near the $3,351 - $3,500 zone.
But here's the catch: just like after Halving 1, it might be time for the market to cool off.
Potential Bear Season 2?
There’s a red arrow marking a possible second Bear Season.
Price is extended, and we could be seeing exhaustion near the top.
Key Support Zones to Watch (for pullback):
Zone 1: $2,600 – $2,800
Zone 2: $2,300 – $2,500
Zone 3: $1,500 – $2,000 (strong accumulation zone)
Game Plan:
If we see rejection around the $3,500 area, I’ll be watching for short setups.
These support zones could be great areas to take profit or re-enter long for the long term.
Targets:
TP1: $2,800
TP2: $2,400
TP3: $1,800
Invalidation / Stop Loss:
If gold smashes through $3,500 with strong volume, this bearish idea is off the table – trend continues.
Let me know your thoughts or if you see the same setup forming. Good luck, and stay safe in the markets.
5/27 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood afternoon everyone!
Yesterday, gold fluctuated within the flexible trading zone, and we only executed a long entry near 3323, which brought decent profit.
Today, gold opened with an upward move toward 3350, but quickly pulled back. The recent market shows a sideways consolidation, with the $3340 level acting as a key pivot zone:
Below 3340: dense support areas
Above 3340: resistance clusters
In this context, any breakout without strong momentum can easily lead to capital flow shifts, causing false breakouts or rapid pullbacks, making trend continuation more difficult.
📉 Technical View:
On the 30M chart, bearish momentum slightly outweighs bullish, and gold is likely to remain range-bound within the zone defined yesterday.
🗞 Fundamental Reminder:
There are a few important U.S. economic releases during the NY session. Watch closely to see if they provide a clear directional push.
📈 Today’s Trading Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3366–3386 zone (resistance area)
📈 Buy in the 3278–3256 zone (support zone)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels to monitor:
3353 / 3341 / 3334 / 3317 / 3309 / 3296 / 3284
Trade with flexibility, beware of fake breakouts, and focus on NY session data-driven opportunities. Let me know if you have questions — good luck and happy trading!
NZDCAD SHORT Market structure structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at Both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.82500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.72
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
🇪🇺 EURUSD 15min Technical & Fundamental Analysis🇪🇺 EURUSD 15min Technical & Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD has reached a 4-week high at 1.14200, following President Trump's decision to delay tariffs on EU goods until July 9 — easing trade tensions and reinforcing investor confidence in the euro.
On the 15-minute chart, we’re seeing strong bullish momentum supported by clean price structure and liquidity patterns.
📈 Technical Structure
Price confirmed bullish intent after breaking below minor key support at 1.13800, triggering sell-side liquidity. This liquidity grab was followed by a strong bullish push, forming new Higher Highs.
The pair then broke above minor key resistance at 1.13960, where accumulation of retail buy orders occurred. Price is now sitting inside the liquidity zone, signaling a potential next move is near.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 1.13990
🛡 Stop-Loss: 1.13890 (just below liquidity zone)
🎯 Target Profit: Dynamic based on continuation above 1.14200 highs
This setup is ideal for short-term traders looking to capitalize on liquidity grabs and trend continuation.
📰 Fundamental Outlook
🇺🇸 USD Weakness Continues
Fiscal Concerns: Rising U.S. debt and widening deficits are weighing on dollar sentiment.
Investor Sentiment: A shift away from U.S. assets reflects uncertainty and risk-off positioning.
Market Performance: The dollar has fallen nearly 4% since early April, its worst stretch since 2023.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Short term is still dominated by short positions!Although the easing of trade tensions in the short term has led to a correction in gold prices, the three core factors supporting the strength of gold still exist: expectations of loose global monetary policy, rising geopolitical risks, and the long-term weakening trend of the US dollar. In particular, the market expectation that the Federal Reserve may maintain loose monetary policy will continue to provide momentum for gold to rise.
From the daily chart, the price of gold has shown a clear upward trend since this year. Although there have been several corrections in the middle, the bulls still control the medium and long-term market. After the previous rise in the H4 cycle, it is not so strong now. Instead, it is a volatile trend. The Bollinger band is closed, and the trend strength still needs market stimulation to rise again.
The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn, so the rising strength of gold bulls has been suppressed. The high point of the 1-hour rebound of gold has been getting lower and lower, and the low point has also begun to fall. The 1-hour gold has begun to fluctuate downward. The downward trend of the gold rebound is suppressed near 3340. Gold rebounds near 3340 and can still be shorted.
EURUSD – Confluence Support Test: Watch for Bullish Signals? OANDA:EURUSD is currently trading around a key technical support area, which is a confluence zone between the previous sideways range and the medium-term ascending trendline. The price previously broke out of the resistance zone and is now pulling back to retest this area – a common price behavior in a sustainable bullish structure.
If buyers successfully defend this support zone, there is a high possibility that another recovery leg may appear, targeting the technical level around 1.1425, which is the most reasonable target within this setup. However, to confirm the continuation of bullish momentum, there needs to be a clear candlestick signal such as a pin bar or bullish engulfing at the support zone. The absence of strong price reaction here could lead to a slip below the support level, invalidating the short-term bullish structure.
This is a personal viewpoint based on technical analysis, not investment advice. Always reconfirm your trade setups and manage risk carefully.
Skeptic | Watchlist #1 - May 27, 2025: XAG/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPYHey everyone, Skeptic here! Starting today, I’m kicking off a daily watchlist to share the setups I’m eyeing! 😎 These are the pairs I’m personally trading or watching for trigger activations. Feel free to create a dedicated section in your TradingView called “ Skeptic ” and plug in this watchlist with the triggers I provide. Then, based on your own strategy, jump into trades at those key levels if they align with your plan. My watchlist format will include a screenshot of the 4H or 1H timeframe with long/short triggers marked on the chart. If needed, I’ll add quick explanations or tips, but I’m keeping it short, sharp, and to the point to maximize your value. The goal? Help you blend these setups with your own strategy without overloading you with fluff. Let’s dive into today’s Daily Forex Watchlist!
👀XAG/USD
Long Trigger : 33.68855,
Short Trigger : 31.91991.
👀EUR/USD
Long Trigger : 1.14183,
Short Trigger : 1.12663.
👀USD/JPY
Long Trigger : 144.125,
Short Trigger : 142.218.
💬 Let’s Chat!
If this watchlist sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a ton! 😊 Thanks for joining me— let’s grow together! ✌️
Nine Failures at $33.50—Will Silver Bulls Finally Step Aside?How many more failures above $33.50 will silver bulls need to see before they step aside and let the market correct? Nine times since mid-April we’ve seen the level breached, only for price to reverse lower—providing a decent short setup if and when the bulls give up.
Positions could be established around the level with a stop above $33.69 for protection, targeting the 50DMA initially with $32.00 and $31.67 options after that. If the price is unable to break uptrend support, considering squaring the position. It’s found around $33.20 today.
Momentum indicators remain bullish, although there are signs upward momentum is waning.
If the bulls manage to break and hold above $33.69, the setup could be flipped, with longs established on the break and a stop beneath for protection. The March high of $34.59 screens as an obvious target.
Good luck!
DS
XAU/USD Consolidation Insight – M15 TimeframeGold is currently forming a symmetrical triangle within a broader consolidation zone, showing compression between lower highs and higher lows. Price is trading around the EMAs cluster, indicating indecision and a lack of clear momentum.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3347 – 3350 zone
Support: 3332 – 3335 zone
📈 Trade Idea:
Breakout Trade: Wait for a clear breakout and retest of the triangle pattern before entering. A breakout above 3350 with strong momentum and volume could open room toward 3362–3368.
Breakdown Trade: If price breaks below 3332 support with a bearish engulfing or strong volume, look for sell setups targeting 3320–3314 zone.
⏳ Wait for:
Breakout from triangle structure with strong impulsive candle
Volume confirmation
Clear direction and EMA alignment post-breakout
Avoid trading in the middle of the range to reduce risk of getting chopped. Let the market reveal direction first. Patience = Precision.
US30 INDEX TRADE IDEA 27 MAY 2025The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is showing a bullish outlook based on a confluence of Smart Money Concepts (SMC), price action patterns, and supportive fundamental analysis. From an SMC perspective, the recent price action indicates a clear market structure shift, highlighted by a break of structure (BOS) in early May 2025. This bullish reversal followed a significant liquidity sweep and mitigation around the 37,000 level, where smart money likely accumulated positions. A bullish order block between 40,679 and 41,189 now acts as a strong demand zone, providing a potential launch point for further upward movement. Technically, the chart features a descending wedge breakout and a bullish flag formation—both classical continuation patterns. Price is currently forming higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the bullish trend.
The trade idea aligns with these observations, suggesting a long entry around the 41,700 to 41,900 range, with a stop loss just below the key demand zone at 40,679. The first take profit is set at 44,472.5, aligning with historical resistance and liquidity targets, offering an approximate risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3. On the fundamental side, the mid-2025 U.S. economic outlook is improving, with inflation showing signs of cooling and the Federal Reserve expected to pause or consider rate cuts. A stable geopolitical climate and strong earnings seasons have further boosted investor confidence, supporting continued bullish momentum in equities. Altogether, this presents a high-probability swing trade opportunity to the upside on the US30 index.
USDJPY InsightWelcome, dear subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump announced a delay of the 50% tariff, which he had warned would take effect from June 1, until July 9.
- Nvidia’s earnings will be released after the market closes on the 28th, drawing attention as a potential catalyst for increased risk appetite.
- At the opening of the two-day conference themed “New Challenges in Monetary Policy” on the 27th, BOJ Governor Ueda stated that "Japan’s inflation is closer to the target than at any time in the past 30 years," and added, "As economic activity and prices improve, we will adjust the level of monetary easing as necessary to achieve the sustainable 2% inflation target, within the range that reinforces confidence in our baseline scenario based on incoming data."
Key Economic Events This Week
+ May 28: FOMC Meeting Minutes
+ May 29: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ May 30: U.S. April PCE Price Index
USDJPY Chart Analysis
While it initially seemed like a short-term uptrend was forming with 149 as the peak, the pair broke below the 144 level, failing to establish the uptrend. The breakdown below the support line suggests a possible decline toward the 140 level. After reaching the low, we will need to monitor the situation, but a rebound is expected at this point.
If the 140 level is breached, we will quickly develop a new strategy.
TESLA Index Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 052625Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 330/61.80%
Chart time frame:D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
UNIUSDT: A Massive Bullish Move Loading… or a Trap?Yello, Paradisers! Is UNIUSDT finally gearing up for a major breakout, or is this just another fake move before a deeper correction? Let’s break it down.
💎UNIUSDT is currently trading within a descending channel, increasing the probability of an upcoming bullish move. The key support zone is holding strong, and we might be witnessing the early signs of a double-bottom formation—a classic reversal pattern.
💎However, confirmation is everything in trading. To increase the probability in our favor, we need to see: Bullish divergence, Bullish I-CHoCH (Internal Change of Character), Bullish reversal patterns such as a W-pattern or inverse head and shoulders from our support zone.
💎If UNIUSDT retraces further, we expect a bounce from the strong support zone—but again, we must wait for clear bullish confirmations before taking any positions.
💎The invalidation level? If price breaks and closes candle below the strong support zone, the entire bullish setup gets invalidated. In that case, we wait patiently for better price action before considering any new trades.
🎖Patience and discipline are key, Paradisers. Many traders will get trapped in bad positions, but those who wait for the right confirmations will be the ones making money. Trade smart & stick to high-probability setups only.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Is SUSHIUSDT About to Bounce or Break? Yello, Paradisers! SUSHIUSDT is setting up an intriguing scenario after reacting to a key resistance trendline. Let’s break this down:
💎If SUSHIUSDT shows a bullish I-CHoCH (Internal Change of Character) from the key support zone—previously a resistance level—it could signal a higher probability of a bounce. However, patience is key here; we need to wait for confirmation of a bullish I-CHoCH on lower timeframes to take action.
💎On the flip side, if the price experiences further drops or shows signs of panic selling, the best approach would be to wait for it to reach a stronger support zone. At that point, we’d need to look for bullish patterns such as A W formation or An Inverse Head and Shoulders on lower timeframes to stack the odds in our favor.
💎If the price breaks down and closes a candle below the strong support zone, it will invalidate the bullish thesis entirely. In that case, it’s smarter to wait for a clearer structure to develop before considering any entries.
🎖 Remember, Paradisers, disciplined trading is the only way to achieve long-term success. Avoid impulsive decisions and always prioritize confirmation over speculation. The market rewards patience and preparation—stay sharp, stay focused.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
AVAX About to Nuke Longs Before Pumping to $30?Yello Paradisers — are you prepared for the next major #AVAX move, or will you once again fall into the trap smart money is setting right now? The chart is screaming probable bullish continuation, but not before one final trick to flush out weak hands. We warned you before — and now the game is unfolding exactly as expected.
💎#AVAXUSDT has clearly broken market structure by forming a higher high, confirming a potential trend shift. However, price failed to close above the 25.82–26.93 resistance zone, leaving the bullish breakout unconfirmed. This hesitation right at a critical level increases the probability of a fakeout or liquidity sweep before any continuation.
💎Right now, we are hovering just above the ascending trendline, and based on current structure, the most probable scenario is a sweep of that trendline liquidity, grabbing stops from impatient longs before the market forms a clean higher low and reverses aggressively to the upside.
💎The green zone around 22.00–23.00, which previously acted as resistance, has now flipped to support. As long as price holds above this level, the bullish probability remains dominant. However, if we see a temporary dip below the trendline toward the 19.08 region, where support lies, that would likely be a classic liquidity hunt — designed to trigger fear, force early exits, and then reverse powerfully into the next leg.
💎And while both scenarios favor upside, it is the path of maximum frustration — likely a wick into 19.00 — that has historically proven most probable before larger breakouts.
💎A sustained move above the 26.93 level, especially on a daily candle close, would significantly increase the probability of continuation toward the major resistance between 30.00 and 30.74. This zone remains the main upside target in the short to mid-term.
💎On the other hand, if price closes below 16.67, that would invalidate this bullish outlook and open the door to deeper downside. Until then, structure remains bullish, and the higher-probability outcome still favors upside after a potential short-term shakeout.
This is the point where the weak hands get shaken out and smart money reloads, Paradisers. If you're aiming for long-term success, wait for high-probability setups and protect your capital. Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Platinum Wave Analysis – 26 May 2025
- Platinum reversed from long-term resistance level 1095,00
- Likely to fall to support level 1075.00
Platinum recently reversed down from the major long-term resistance level 1095,00 (former yearly high from 2024), which stopped the previous weekly impulse wave A.
The resistance level 1095,00 was strengthened by the upper daily and the weekly Bollinger Bands.
Given the strength of the resistance level 1095,00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic, Platinum can be expected to fall to the next support level 1075.00.