Gold continues to fluctuate, and range operations are effective!Gold opened high on Monday and then fell sharply. On Tuesday, it fluctuated and corrected with a cross-yang line. On Wednesday, the overall trend was also volatile. However, after the Fed's interest rate decision was announced on Wednesday, the price of gold fell to around 3362. The low point of this decline was just supported by the 10-day moving average. From a technical point of view, the support of the 10-day moving average at 3350 has become a key point. If this support can be effectively maintained, the gold price is expected to maintain a volatile pattern; once it breaks down, the short-selling force may continue, and then it will be necessary to look at the support of the 20-day moving average near 3350. In terms of upper resistance, the 5-day moving average is currently near 3390, which will suppress the upward movement of gold prices. Further resistance depends on the gains and losses of 3405.
There is not much change in the 4-hour chart. The lower track has not opened, and the support of 3360 is strong. It is still a bullish trend. However, it is worth noting that in the continuous rebound, the Bollinger middle track suppression point has not been broken. Relatively speaking, gold is weak and volatile in the medium term. Under the trend today, if it continues to rise, we must pay attention to the gains and losses of the dense suppression point 3405. If 3405 is broken, the trend strength will come out and we can see the high point of 3430. For intraday trading, we still maintain high-altitude and low-multiple, waiting for the trend strength to break through the space, and we are bullish above the support of 3350 during the day.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to short at the rebound of 3385-3390, with a target of 3370-3365; gold falls back to 3350-3355 and buys, with a target of 3375-3385;
Support and Resistance
Coca-Cola Wave Analysis – 19 June 2025
- Coca-Cola broke the support zone
- Likely to fall to support level at 68.55
Coca-Cola recently broke the support zone located between the support level 70.35 (which reversed the price twice from May) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse 1 from May.
The breakout of this support zone coincided with the breakout of the daily Triangle from April – which accelerated the active correction 2.
Coca-Cola can be expected to fall to the next support level at 68.55 (former monthly low from May and the target for the completion of the active correction 2).
ASX200 short term bias has turned negative.ASX200 - 24h expiry
Short term bias has turned negative.
A shooting star has been posted on the weekly charts.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
Previous resistance located at 8550.
50 4hour EMA is at 8528.
We look to Sell at 8529 (stop at 8581)
Our profit targets will be 8375 and 8355
Resistance: 8543 / 8574 / 8594
Support: 8476 / 8400 / 8335
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 19 June 2025- Nasdaq-100 reversed from long-term resistance level 22000.00
- Likely to fall to support level 21000.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently reversed down from the major long-term resistance level 22000.00 (which has been steadily reversing the price from the end of last year).
The downward reversal from the resistance level 22000.00 will form the weekly Shooting Star candlesticks reversal pattern if the price closes this week near the current levels.
Given the strength of the resistance level 22000.00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to fall to the next support level at 21000.00.
FTSE 100 Wave Analysis – 19 June 2025
- FTSE 100 reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 8700.00
FTSE 100 index recently reversed down from the resistance zone located between the strong resistance level 8900.00 (which stopped the weekly uptrend at the end of February) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous impulse wave i of the intermediate impulse wave 3 from May.
Given the strength of the resistance level 8900.00, FTSE 100 index can be expected to fall to the next support level at 8700.00 (the former low of wave 2 from last month).
XAU/USD (Gold) – Educational Chart Breakdown [1H Timeframe]We’re currently observing a consolidation phase just below a well-tested resistance zone (~$3,377), while price remains supported by an ascending trendline — a classic setup where structure tightens before a significant move.
Two Potential Outcomes:
Bullish Case
If price closes convincingly above $3,378 with strong volume, we may see a continuation toward the $3,400–$3,410 zone. This would confirm the resistance break and shift market structure bullish on the 1H chart.
Bearish Case
Failure to break above resistance may lead to a reversal and a drop into the $3,345–$3,355 demand zone — especially if price loses the ascending trendline. This would reflect a liquidity sweep and continuation of the larger corrective move.
Patience is key — wait for confirmation before taking action. Consolidation often precedes expansion.
German 40 Index – Sentiment Facing a Sterm TestSince hitting its most recent all time high of 24469 on June 5th the Germany 40 index has experienced some downside pressure as traders have moved to lock in profits on a very strong start to the year. This move has the potential to turn June into the worst monthly performance of 2025 so far, although there is still another 8 trading days to go.
This short-term shift in sentiment has been related to a combination of factors. The new all time high of 24469 hit on June 5th coincided with the latest ECB interest rate cut. However, at that meeting Madame Lagarde indicated in the press conference that more data on the path of inflation, trade tariffs with the US and Eurozone growth would be required before the ECB would consider cutting interest rates again.
This was followed by comments and headlines which suggested that progress on a trade deal between the US and EU was slow and would potentially continue past the original July 9th pause deadline set by President Trump.
Then in the last week sentiment has been rocked further by the spike in Oil prices driven by an escalating conflict between Israel and Iran that has seen them trade missile attacks for 7 straight days, alongside a growing concern that the US may also be seriously considering entering a direct conflict with Iran after Bloomberg reported yesterday that senior US officials are preparing for a possible strike in the coming days.
At the time of writing (0700 BST) this leaves the Germany 40 trading at 1 month lows around 23142 and suggests a consideration of the technical outlook, including potential support and resistance levels could be useful.
Technical Update: Watching 23235 Last Correction Low
Having posted a new all-time high on June 5th at 24469, a more extended price correction has developed in the Germany 40 index. Interestingly, as the chart below shows, this phase of weakness has seen closing breaks under what some might have anticipated would be support, marked by the Bollinger mid-average (currently 23862).
In previous reports, we have suggested that traders may use the Bollinger mid-average as an indicator of the possible direction of the current price trend. If the mid-average is rising with prices above it, the trend may be classed as an uptrend, while if the mid-average is falling with price activity below it, a downtrend might be in place.
As the chart shows, following the latest breaks below the mid-average, this has now turned lower, and traders might now be focusing on the possibilities for an extended phase of price weakness.
Let's consider the possible support or resistance levels that could be worthwhile for traders to focus on.
Potential Support Levels:
With Thursday’s initial price activity so far seeing further selling pressure, as the chart below shows, it might be suggested the next relevant support is already currently being tested with moves below 23235. This level is equal to the last correction low posted on May 23rd at 23235.
Traders might now be watching how this 23235 low support is defended on a closing basis over coming sessions, as confirmed breaks lower, while no guarantee of deeper price declines, might skew risks towards tests of the next potential support at 22303, which is equal to the 38.2% retracement of April 7th to June 5th strength.
Potential Resistance Levels:
Since the June 5th all-time high, an extended decline in price has already been seen, so a reactive recovery might be a possibility. However, having recently seen the mid-average turn lower, closing breaks back above its current 23862 level might now be required to trigger a phase of price recovery.
While much will depend on future price trends and market sentiment, if successful upside breaks above the 23862 mid-average are seen, it might lead to tests of 24469 which is the June 5th all-time high.
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Gold's Next Move Up: Why I'm Waiting for This 1H Order Block.Hello, traders! 👋 Let's take a look at the current price action on Gold (XAU/USD).
📉 Current Situation: Correction Phase
After a strong impulse that swept the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL), Gold has entered a correction. This corrective move has a clear target below: a key 1-hour order block that aligns with the 61.8% daily Fibonacci level. This area acts as strong support and a potential reversal zone for the continuation of the uptrend.
⚠️ Patience is Key
Price has not yet reached a safe discount zone for considering long positions. This is where the "whale's" Point of Interest (POI) lies. It's highly probable that large players will deliver the price to this zone to "refuel" (mitigate their positions) before continuing the move up, or at least to test the manipulation that swept the initial BSL.
My Trading Plan
🎯 The Long Setup
The primary condition for considering a long setup from the $3356 - $3365 area is:
Mitigation of the 1-hour order block.
The 61.8% Fib level must hold with a clear reversal reaction on at least the 4-hour timeframe.
I don't expect this to happen today. It's likely that price will first build liquidity above our POI before dropping into it. Only from that zone, and with LTF confirmation, can we consider safer long positions.
This is not financial advice. My analysis is for educational purposes only.
EUR/USD 1H Time Frame – Bearish Trend FormingEUR/USD 1H Time Frame – Bearish Trend Forming
The EUR/USD pair continues to exhibit a bearish trend on the 1-hour chart, indicating increasing downside pressure. The price remains below key resistance levels, suggesting that sellers are still in control.
Technical Overview:
Resistance zone 1.15200
Support Level 1.14400
do you know some tips about this analysis check free and share in comments Thanks.
Dollar Index Analysis: Compression, Divergence, Breakout?Greetings to the TradingView community, here's a detailed look at DXY where technical structure and macro context may be hinting at a shift.
Dollar Index (DXY) Approaching Key Breakout | Bullish Divergence and Macro Shifts in Focus
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently approaching a structurally important juncture where technical compression is intersecting with potential macroeconomic shifts. Over the past several months, DXY has remained in a well defined downtrend, consistently printing lower highs and lower lows. However, the recent price action reveals signs of exhaustion in bearish momentum, opening the door for a potential trend reversal or a meaningful corrective rally.
Technically the index has been trading within a broad descending wedge pattern since late 2024. This structure, often interpreted as a bullish reversal formation, is now nearing its apex. Price has been hugging the upper boundary of the pattern a descending trendline that has acted as dynamic resistance and appears to be preparing for a possible breakout. Each subsequent test of this trendline has occurred with less momentum on the downside, a common precursor to a breakout when price compresses tightly within narrowing ranges.
More importantly, momentum indicators are beginning to diverge from price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI 14), for instance, is forming a series of higher lows while price continues to record lower lows. This bullish divergence is a classic signal that downside pressure is weakening and that buyers may be gradually absorbing supply. Divergence of this nature, especially in confluence with trendline resistance, often leads to a shift in price behavior.
A key horizontal level to monitor remains 101.75, which has historically acted as a strong resistance zone. This level marked the previous breakout rejection and coincides with the mid-range structure of the wedge. A sustained close above this zone would effectively break the prevailing lower-high formation and could signal a shift in market structure toward a more neutral or even bullish bias.
In terms of projected targets, if a breakout confirms, the logical areas to watch would be the previous swing highs from the downtrend. These include levels in the 102.50 to 104.00 range, where the market has previously paused or reversed. These prior lower highs may now act as resistance on the way up and can be used as checkpoints to gauge the strength of any bullish follow-through.
From a macroeconomic perspective, several factors could support or accelerate such a breakout. Recent U.S. inflation data has shown signs of softening, with both Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) prints coming in below expectations. This has increased market speculation that the Federal Reserve may pivot toward a more accommodative stance later in the year. Although the Fed has not confirmed any immediate easing, market expectations around rate cuts are beginning to influence bond yields and, by extension, the dollar.
However, it’s also worth noting that monetary policy divergence among global central banks remains an important theme. While the Fed may lean toward caution, the European Central Bank and the Bank of England are facing their own unique inflationary challenges, which could either reinforce or limit relative dollar weakness. In such an environment, if other central banks appear more dovish than the Fed, it could provide relative strength to the dollar index.
Geopolitical uncertainty and equity market volatility are also important to consider. The dollar has historically acted as a safe-haven asset in times of global distress. If geopolitical tensions escalate or global risk sentiment weakens, capital flows into the dollar may accelerate regardless of interest rate trajectories.
In conclusion, the current DXY setup is a technically rich and macro-sensitive zone where price compression, bullish RSI divergence, and policy shifts are aligning. While confirmation is still needed, particularly via a breakout above the descending trendline and the 101.75 level, the probability of a structural shift is increasing. This setup is not a trading recommendation but rather an important chart to watch for clues about future dollar direction and its cascading impact on global FX pairs, commodities, and broader market sentiment.
Thanks for reading hope you like this publication.
Regards- Amit.
EURNZD Breakout Incoming? Watch This Zone Closely!The Euro has broken out of a long-standing bearish trendline, signaling a potential shift in momentum.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 2.0000 (psychological & technical level)
Support: 1.9042
Current Price: 1.9202
What I'm Seeing:
Price has broken the descending trendline and is consolidating above support.
A successful retest of the 1.9042 support zone could trigger a bullish wave toward 2.0000.
Two scenarios to watch:
Aggressive move: Price continues upwards from current consolidation.
Retest play: Price pulls back to support, forms a higher low, and then launches.
📊 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Buy zone: 1.9050–1.9100 (upon confirmation)
Target: 2.0000
Invalidation: Clean break below 1.9000
Momentum is building, and a rally toward 2.0000 could be on the horizon. Patience is key — wait for confirmation.
What are your thoughts on EUR/NZD? Bullish or bearish?
EURUSD Under Pressure Amid Geopolitical TensionsEURUSD – Technical Overview
EUR/USD is currently trading below the pivot zone at 1.1530, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend.
If the price remains below 1.1450, we may see an extension of the downtrend toward 1.1373, and potentially 1.1270.
However, if the pair holds above 1.1450, it may regain bullish momentum toward 1.1558 and 1.1625.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could impact EUR/USD if the situation escalates, increasing risk-off sentiment and USD demand.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 1.1530
• Support: 1.1450 / 1.1373 / 1.1270
• Resistance: 1.1558 / 1.1625 / 1.1675
BTC Approaching Key Confluence Zone: Pivot + PRZ + LiquidationsBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) appears to have broken the Support lines and is currently declining .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a corrective wave C . The corrective wave structure is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again from the Support zone($104,380-$103,660) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($104,471-$103,124) , Monthly Pivot Point , Support line , and 50_SMA(Daily) , and the small CME Gap($106,190-$106,150) will also fill.
Note: Stop Loss: $102,520
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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SUPER Long Setup – Confluence of Fibonacci and Major SupportSUPER has retraced into a strong confluence zone, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci level and a major support area. The $0.55–$0.58 range offers a solid opportunity to enter a long swing trade.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $0.55 – $0.58
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $0.75 – $0.90
o 🥈 $1.05 – $1.20
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.50
Apple Near Key Support — Long Setup DevelopingIntroduction:
Apple NASDAQ:AAPL is approaching a critical support zone that has consistently held over the past two months. As price retraces toward this level, it presents a potential long opportunity for traders looking to position ahead of the next bullish leg.
Technical Setup:
Support Zone: $193 – $196
This area has acted as a strong demand zone, providing multiple bounce points since April.
Price is now pulling back into this region, offering a potential entry for a long trade.
Trade Idea:
Entry: $193 – $196 (on confirmation of support holding)
Take Profit Targets:
First Target: $210 – $215
Second Target: $225 – $233
Stop Loss: Just below $184 (to protect against a breakdown from support)
#AAPL #Apple #Stocks #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportZone #LongSetup #TradingStrategy #NASDAQ #TechStocks #RiskReward
GBPUSDOn the current GBPUSD chart, price action is exhibiting a bullish market structure with consistent higher highs and higher lows on the 4H and 1H timeframes. Price recently broke above a key internal range high, signaling strength from buyers and a likely continuation of the current trend.
Key Technical Points:
Structure Shift: After clearing previous liquidity above 1.2810, the pair established a new bullish internal structure, indicating strong momentum from institutional participants.
Demand Retests: We observed multiple retests of higher timeframe demand zones, which held cleanly with impulsive bullish reaction, confirming the presence of buy-side interest.
Volume and Momentum: Volume increased significantly on the last bullish leg, suggesting participation aligned with the directional move.
Trendline Support: A dynamic trendline from early June lows has acted as support and continues to guide the trend upward.
Scaling back into $AAVE – 3x Leverage Setup📍Entry zone: $250 → $240 (scaled)
📍Support confluence:
• Daily Supertrend touch
• Rising trendline support
• Major horizontal level near $240
🛑 Stop Loss:
• 5% price move (→ $232.75 avg) = 15% capital loss at 3x
• Or Daily Supertrend flip (closes in ~9 hours)
🎯 TP1: $295 (trim 33%)
🎯 TP2: $372 (full exit)
⚖️ R/R Ratio: 8.29
• ✅ Reward: +124%
• ❌ Risk: -15%
Just booked +133% on the last one. Back in—structure’s still bullish until it’s not.