NZDCAD: Classic Pullback Trade From ResistanceThe NZDCAD pair appears to have been heavily sold off following a significant test of a key resistance level.
A descending triangle pattern has now formed after this test, indicating strength in selling pressure with a breach of the horizontal neckline.
It is likely that the price could decline to levels between 0.8099 and 0.8088.
Support and Resistance
EurUsd- A nice bullish setup with 1.06 targetLike most major pairs, EUR/USD experienced a challenging final quarter of 2024, with the price dropping approximately 1,000 pips following the double top at 1.12.
The start of 2025 saw a further decline, breaking below the 1.0350 support level and reaching a low of 1.0180.
However, the market quickly reversed after this low.
On Monday, a strong Bullish Engulfing candlestick formed, reclaiming the 1.0350 support level.
Yesterday, this support was confirmed again, leaving a continuation Pin Bar on the daily chart. Adding to this bullish picture, the price also broke above the falling trend line, signaling a well-structured bullish setup.
Currently, the bulls have the upper hand. If the price manages to break above the horizontal resistance at 1.0440, the path should be clear for a rise toward the 1.06 zone.
In conclusion, buying on dips appears to be the ideal strategy, with invalidation of this setup occurring if the price falls below 1.03.
Bitcoin teases a record high (but I'm not 'buying' it)While my bias for bitcoin futures to reach 125k remain in play, I'm a tad suspicious of its attempt to take out the previous record high with any conviction this week. I take a closer look at trading volumes and futures market positioning to explain why.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and TradingView
Gold- On its way to new ATH?In my post yesterday, I mentioned that Gold is trading within an ascending channel, which should give bulls added confidence. The suggested strategy remaining to buy on dips.
During Monday's session, price action was relatively quiet, with the market ranging.
However, there were signs of buying pressure, with the price steadily pressing against the resistance line.
Overnight, Gold finally broke above the confluence resistance zone between 2715 and 2720, and at the time of writing, it is trading at 2728, suggesting a genuine break.
Looking ahead, I expect this momentum to continue.
Key levels for bulls to watch are 2750 and 2765. Also, a successful break above 2765 could pave the way for a new all-time high and only a drop below 2690 would put a pause in this bullish scenario.
For now, the strategy remains to buy on dips.
XAUUSD S/R Levels And 3 Possible TradesThere are 3 possible trades for today.
Trade 1 Sells : if 30 min candle rejects 2749 than Sell with Target @ 2741.
Trade 2 Buys : if 30 min candle closes above 2750 than Buy with Target @ 2760.
Trade 3 Buys : 30 min candle rejects 2741 than Buy with Target @ 2749.
AUDUSD InsightHello, subscribers!
It's great to see you all here. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points:
- U.S. President Donald Trump refrained from announcing tariffs during his inauguration but later stated that he is "considering imposing a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada, with February 1st being a potential timeline."
- China expressed a conciliatory stance towards the U.S., stating, "There are no winners in a trade war, but we will import more products."
- Atsushi Mimura, Japan's Vice Finance Minister, voiced concerns over yen depreciation, noting that "a weaker yen will raise import prices, triggering inflation," and added that "real wages must turn positive to support consumption."
- In Australia, the number of bankruptcies in the 2025 fiscal year surged by over 50% compared to the previous year. The market expects this trend to continue until mid-2025, when the Reserve Bank of Australia is anticipated to cut interest rates.
This Week’s Key Economic Event:
+ January 24: Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision
AUD/USD Chart Analysis:
While the price showed a short-term sharp rebound off the trendline support, it remains capped by resistance at the 0.63000 level, limiting further upward momentum. There’s a high probability of a bearish reversal in the current range, and if the anticipated move occurs, the price is expected to drop to the 0.60000 level.
On the other hand, if the 0.63000 resistance is unexpectedly breached, a rally towards the 0.66000 level becomes highly likely.
$SPY hold of $580-588 region sets up long to $614-630AMEX:SPY looks like it's formed a low for the short term when it failed the H&S pattern.
From here, I think it's likely that we fall back into the $580-588 to scare everyone into thinking there's more downside, but if that region holds, it'll set up a trigger long all the way up to the $614-$630 region.
I think the move higher should play out by mid-February (again if that $580-588 region holds). If it fails, then we're looking back down at the lower support level $545.
If we do end up going higher, I think that $630 region will be the short term top and it'll set up a move down to $545 before we move higher.
DXY SELL ENTRY MODULEThe DXY is currently testing a key demand level. If a further drop is to unfold, I anticipate a valid retest before it taps into the supply OB and continues its descent. Watch for the price to enter our expected zone, confirm the setup, and then execute your trade.
Always set a stop-loss for your trades to protect your capital and manage risk effectively.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#DXY 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
VELODROME FINANCE. 0.34 USDT BY END OF MARCH 2025 GOD WILLING.HOW IS ALL THIS POSSIBLE YOU SAY? REMEMBER TWO WORDS " KRAKEN" AND " SONEIUM"
From the technical perspective, **Velodrome Finance (VELO)** appears to be completing a classic corrective phase following its previous strong rally. Multiple indicators suggest that selling pressure may be subsiding, setting the stage for a potential bullish reversal. Below are the key observations:
1. **Elliott Wave Structure**
- The chart labeling points to a clear five-wave advance (1 through 5), followed by an A-B-C corrective pattern. Prices now appear to be completing the final leg of this correction.
- Often, once a final C wave completes, the market transitions into a new bullish impulse.
2. **Hidden Bullish Divergences**
- On both the **Williams R%** and **Stoch RSI** panels, hidden bullish divergences have formed as price made lower lows while the indicators made higher lows.
- Such hidden divergences indicate that selling momentum is weakening and may foreshadow an upswing in price.
3. **Decreasing Net Outflows from OKX EXCHANGE**
- The chart’s “Net Money Flow” metric for OKX shows that net outflows have tapered off after reaching peak selling levels.
- A reduction in outflows can signal that strong selling activity is slowing down, possibly leaving room for a price recovery if buyers re-enter the market.
4. **Support Zones Holding**
- Key horizontal supports around the current price region (labeled as areas of “Hidden Bull” in the chart) have consistently held price action.
- Each time the market has tested these support levels, buyers have managed to keep the price from collapsing further.
5. **Upside Potential**
- If the corrective wave is indeed reaching completion, a sustained move above the nearest resistance levels (around the 0.12 – 0.15 USDT range) could spark a stronger bullish push.
- In a highly optimistic scenario, momentum buyers returning to Velodrome might drive price back toward prior swing highs in the 0.20 – 0.30 USDT zone.
**Bottom Line**
While market conditions are always subject to change, these signals—hidden bullish divergences, tapering net outflows, and firm support—point to a potentially favorable shift in momentum for Velodrome. A breakout above immediate resistance could solidify this bullish thesis and kick-start a meaningful rally in the weeks ahead.
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🟩 Green Zone: Potential bullish breakout area above 106,653.60
⚫ Support: Watch 104,746.89 for bearish action.
📊 Our projection: Breakout above the green zone for a potential rally to 107,039.48 or a dip below key support zones for bearish momentum.
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Potential bull flag breakout on AUD/JPYA potential bull flag on the 1-hour chart of AUD/JPY has caught my eye, and a closer look at volumes also suggests it worthy of consideration.
The weekly CVM (cumulative volume delta) has confirmed the recent rally into the bull flag pattern, but is also breakout out of its own flag to suggest bullish pressure is building. It is also near its own weekly high, a break above which provides another bullish clue.
Trading volumes were rising alongside prices before they entered the sideways consolidation (bull flag), so I am now on guard for a break higher of prices.
Bulls could seek dips towards the daily pivot point (97.32) for a move up to 97.80, just beneath the daily S1 pivot.
A break above 98 assumes bullish continuation up to 98.50 near a weekly VPOC (volume point of control).
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The NASDAQ closed higher, combining two days of movement into one candle. As anticipated, it rose during the pre-market session but declined during the main session. The daily chart formed a bullish candle, confirming yesterday's buy signal. The bullish trend on the daily chart is likely to continue, but with the current significant gap between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages, a pullback followed by renewed buying pressure is expected.
It is essential to focus on dip-buying rather than chasing prices. However, keep in mind that the weekly chart still shows a sell signal, and both the MACD and signal line on the daily chart remain below the zero line, indicating the possibility of a reversal to a bearish wave at any time.
On the 240-minute chart, the buy signal is intact, and the upward trend continues. However, there is no significant improvement in market liquidity. A strong bullish candle that breaks the box range is needed, but such a move has not yet materialized. Therefore, pre-market sessions may show mixed movements. Selling at resistance levels for box-range trading is advisable. Be mindful of potential volatility due to executive orders from President Trump, which could lead to sharp price swings.
CRUDE OIL
Crude oil closed lower, finding support at the $75 level. As mentioned previously, the $74–$75 range aligns with the 5-day moving average on the weekly chart and serves as a critical support zone, making it a favorable area for dip-buying.
With a 400-tick drop from the $79 high and no dead cross between the MACD and signal line on the daily chart, there is a high probability that oil will rebound as the MACD supports the signal line. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD and signal line have dipped below the zero line, which could accelerate selling momentum. However, the 60-period moving average on the 240-minute chart continues to slope upward, suggesting that selling should be avoided and buying at key support levels is a better approach.
GOLD
Gold closed higher, leaving a lower wick near key support levels. On the weekly chart, resistance remains overhead, but the daily chart indicates that the trend could continue upward, making dip-buying a favorable strategy.
The MACD and signal line on the daily chart remain in an upward trajectory, and a breakout above the 2760 resistance level could open the way to 2780. On shorter timeframes, consolidation followed by a golden cross of the MACD and signal line is evident, while the 240-minute chart has also confirmed a golden cross.
Although further upside is likely, the significant divergence between the MACD and its previous peaks on the 240-minute chart increases the probability of divergence after a substantial rally. Therefore, refrain from chasing prices after a sharp rise and instead focus on buying dips near key support levels while monitoring the breakout above 2760.
Market volatility is intensifying due to President Trump’s remarks. Similar patterns were observed during his first term, as his statements, often made via social media, caused significant fluctuations in the futures markets. Ensure proper stop-loss levels and manage risks carefully in this volatile environment.
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21770 / 21710 / 21630 / 21590 / 21530
-Sell: 21880 / 21940 / 22040 / 22110
Crude Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy: 75.10 / 74.60 / 73.60 / 73.00
-Sell: 76.30 / 76.70 / 77.10 / 77.50
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2751 / 2743 / 2738 / 2731
-Sell: 2767 / 2777 / 2782 / 2787
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
QQQ Trade IdeaLong and short trade ideas for QQQ.
Hard to tell where price is going in the short term, so avoiding swing trades for now.
Long Trade Idea
Entry: Below previous high and a 1.618 Fibonacci level.
Target: A past day's 1.618 Fibonacci level
Short Trade Idea
Entry: Above the channel drawn on the Daily chart
Target: Past day's 1.618 Fibonacci level.
Exact entry and targets are based on price action. I do not set limit orders.
KEY:
-White Horizonal Lines: Support/resistance level.
-Green Horizontal Lines: 1.618 Fibonacci level from a previous day
1/21/25 - RIGL: new BUY mechanical trading signal.1/21/25 - RIGL: new BUY signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
RIGL - BUY
Stop Loss @ 16.25
Entry BUY @ 21.81
Target Profit @ 27.80
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed above the lower channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed.
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3 BUY pattern...where the current lowest bottom breakout price is greater than the preceding bottom price.
Higher timeframe: Price peaked below the ATR (Average True Range) breakout low and then reversed.
AMZN Trade IdeaAmazon is playing well with this resistance zone. I have a short and long entry set based on Fibonacci levels.
Long trade idea:
Entry: Above Supply zone
Target: A 1.618 Fibonacci level drawn in the past.
Short trade idea:
Entry: Below Supply zone
Target: 1.618 Fibonacci
Whither I enter the trade or not depends on price action.
KEY:
-White Horizonal Lines: Previous resistance levels.
-Green Horizontal Lines: 1.618 fib level (previous days).
-Green boxes: Supply and demand
Why dips appear favourable for AUD/USD bullsTrump's reluctance immediately sign an executive order to implement tariffs on China has allowed the yuan to rise against the US dollar. And where the yuan goes, AUD/USD tends to follow these days. And give AUD/USD has already seen an extended move to the downside, some bullish mean reversion is surely due.
The weekly RSI reached oversold ahead of a false break of the 2022 low, and a bullish divergence also formed on the daily RSI. A higher low has formed on prices, and I suspect AUD/USD is due at least one more leg higher.
Bulls could seek dips towards 0.621 or the 10/20-day EMAs in anticpation of a move up towards the August low, a break above which brings 65c into view near the high-volume node (HVN) from the decline from September to January.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com