Gold is stubborn1. Gold hit my Stop loss
2. The market is still on a support zone, multiple liquidity grabs have occurred.
3. A diamond pattern on the M15
4. At the CMP, the market is mostly Bearish.
5. Waiting on the market to come back up, FOMC @20:00EST Time
6. Trusting your analysis when it might go sideways, gives you a mental edge
Support and Resistance
Wayfair | W | Long at $34.62Wayfair $NYSE:W. Recession fears are valid. But long-term, once this company becomes truly profitable, this will be a multi-bagger. I won't go on much about the fundamentals because there are too many economic unknowns ahead, but from a technical analysis perspective, the historical simple moving average lines/area is repeatedly converging with the price and leveling out. Often, this means a change in directional momentum. There are no more open price gaps below the current price on the daily chart. Thus, at $34.62, NYSE:W is in a personal buy zone.
Note: The price entering the teens in the near-term is a possibility.
Targets:
$40.00
$50.00
Thoughts before the Golden Decision
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices continued to fluctuate at high levels this week, lacking a clear direction. The Federal Reserve is about to announce its June interest rate decision. Although the market generally expects that the interest rate will remain unchanged this time, the key focus lies in the update of the dot plot and Powell's wording in the press conference. The market is currently betting that a rate cut cycle may begin in September, mainly based on a series of weak US economic data released recently. US retail sales fell 0.9% month-on-month in May, significantly lower than the market's expectation of -0.7%, while industrial output also unexpectedly shrank by 0.2%, indicating that the US economic momentum has slowed down.
At the same time, the US CPI data in May cooled down across the board, with both the annual rate and the core annual rate lower than expected, which further strengthened the market's expectations for a rate cut in September. Against this background, the US dollar fell from its high on Tuesday, boosting the short-term decline in gold prices.
In terms of geopolitical situation, according to Reuters, the six-day conflict between Israel and Iran showed no signs of cooling down. US President Trump publicly put pressure on Iran and released remarks that he would impose tariffs on the pharmaceutical industry. Coupled with the uncertainty of the trade outlook, the market's risk aversion sentiment has been strengthened, which will help gold maintain a high level.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart, the gold price has been running between the middle and upper tracks of the Bollinger Bands since late May. The Bollinger Bands have gradually converged, suggesting that volatility has decreased and the market is on the eve of a change.
The current gold price is hovering between the middle track of the Bollinger Bands at $3,322.96 and the upper track at $3,446.14, in a typical oscillating pattern.
In terms of MACD indicators, the current bar chart is close to the zero axis, and the DIFF line and the DEA line are in a state of convergence, and no effective golden cross or dead cross is formed, reflecting that the current situation is a typical consolidation market. RSI remains near 56, indicating that the market is not obviously overbought or oversold, and the short-term momentum is neutral.
Based on the above judgment and analysis, it is believed that gold is currently at a critical node. If it breaks through the 3400-line resistance band and is accompanied by a large volume, it will be expected to challenge the high of $3450. On the contrary, if it falls below the $3360 support, it may trigger a short-term adjustment, with the target pointing to the lower track of the Bollinger band at $3200.
At present, the overall adjustment of gold is supported by the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut, and the bulls are relatively strong. Long positions are deployed before the decision.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:3380-3385,SL:3370
First target: 3400, second target: 3450
HUM: Multi-Year Support & Trendline ConfluenceAnalysis:
On the monthly timeframe, Humana (HUM) presents an intriguing long-term setup. After a significant multi-year bull run, the stock has experienced a substantial correction from its all-time highs. However, it now finds itself at a critical confluence of long-term support levels, suggesting potential for a significant bounce or a reversal of the recent downtrend.
1. Long-Term Bullish Channel:
Since the 2008 financial crisis, HUM has been trading within a remarkably well-defined bullish channel (depicted by the two green parallel lines). This channel has guided the price consistently higher for over a decade, with price action respecting both the upper and lower boundaries multiple times.
2. The "200 to 215 Key Level" - A Major Confluence Zone:
* Multi-Touch Support: The price has historically found strong buying interest in this zone, notably during the 2020 market correction and now in the present.
* Trendline Confluence: Crucially, this horizontal support zone perfectly aligns with the lower boundary of the long-term bullish channel. This dual support from both a horizontal key level and the long-term trendline creates a powerful confluence zone, making it a high-probability area for buyers to step in.
Potential Targets (Upside Scenario):
• 1st Resistance / Target $300: Should the 200−215 support hold firm, the immediate upside target for HUM is the $300 level. This zone previously acted as a minor pivot point, where price saw both support and resistance. A break above $300 would confirm bullish momentum.
• Long-Term Target $380 to $400: Beyond the initial 300 target, the next significant long−term target is the∗∗300target, the next significant long−term target is 380 - $400 range. This area previously served as strong support after the initial peak in late 2021/early 2022 before the major breakdown. Reclaiming this zone would signify a substantial recovery and a potential return to previous highs.
• Invalidation & Risk Management:
While the setup appears compelling, it is crucial to consider the downside risk. A decisive monthly close below the $200 level would invalidate this bullish thesis. Such a breakdown would suggest a failure of the long-term trend channel and could lead to further downside, potentially towards the 150−175 region. Traders should monitor price action for confirmation of support and manage their risk accordingly.
Conclusion:
Given the strong historical significance and the powerful confluence of technical indicators at the
200−215 level, Humana (HUM) presents a compelling long-term buy-the-dip opportunity for those looking for a potential reversal and recovery. Patience and confirmation of support at this key level will be paramount.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
SUI Long Swing Setup – Confluence of Support and Fibonacci LevelSUI has pulled back into a key confluence zone, aligning with both the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal support. We’re now eyeing the $2.70–$2.80 area for a potential long entry.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $2.70 – $2.80
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $3.40 – $3.60
o 🥈 $4.00 – $4.20
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $2.65
The interest rate remains volatile,and the gold operation layout📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data
2. US-Iran conflict continues
3. Pay attention to the Fed's decision
📈 Market analysis:
Gold has been trading sideways recently. It is expected that there will not be much fluctuation before today's Fed interest rate information and Powell's speech. It is expected to continue to fluctuate in the range of 3405-3365. At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the short term is also a point we need to pay attention to.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3375-3365-3355
TP 3395-3400-3405
SELL 3405-3395
TP 3380-3375-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Wide range fluctuations continue, the latest layout of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data
2. US-Iran conflict continues
3. Pay attention to the Fed's decision
📈 Market analysis:
At present, the gold price is testing the 3380 line again, and the strong support below is 3365-3355. As long as it does not fall below this key support, the bulls will remain strong. At the same time, the two key points of 3405 and 3420 above are still short-term resistance. Breaking through may directly test 3450. In the short term, gold fluctuates repeatedly at the 3405-3365 level, temporarily maintaining a high-altitude low-multiple cycle. There is also initial jobless claims data released today. At the same time, the geopolitical situation in the short term is severe, so we need to be cautious. In addition, the New York Stock Exchange will be closed tomorrow. The focus this week is mainly on Friday, especially when it is superimposed with the Fed's interest rate decision, we need to be vigilant about the transmission effect of sudden changes in liquidity on the market.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3365-3355
TP 33395-3400-3405
SELL 3405-3390
TP 3380-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Stick to shorting goldGold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range of 3380-3385, and the trend is relatively slow. We also need more patience. In comparison, I think the current short-selling force has a slight upper hand, because gold has shown signs of accelerating decline after a difficult rebound many times, and has fallen below 3380 many times. According to the current gold structure, gold does not have sufficient room for decline, and it is still possible to continue to fall to the 3365-3355 area.
It is expected that gold will not fluctuate too much before the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's monetary policy press conference. For this interest rate decision, I think the possibility of a rate cut is not great, and the current interest rate may still remain unchanged. The reduction in the expectation of a rate cut may stimulate a wave of gold declines in the short term. So in the short term, I still prefer a short trade in gold. Obviously, gold is currently under pressure in the 3395-3405 area, so we can still try to short gold in this area.
Massive Oil Move Incoming? Only One Thing Can Stop ItOIL – Overview
Oil Rallies to 5-Month High as Israel-Iran Tensions Escalate
Oil prices surged to a five-month high early Wednesday amid escalating conflict between Israel and Iran. The ongoing airstrikes between the two nations, along with reports that the Trump administration is considering military involvement, have intensified concerns over a broader regional war.
Since Israel launched a surprise strike on Iran last week targeting nuclear sites, oil has risen nearly 10%, fueled by fears of potential supply disruptions. President Trump has publicly called for Iran's "unconditional surrender," signaling heightened geopolitical risk.
Despite the ongoing conflict, Iran's oil exports remain largely unaffected, and the country has not yet disrupted shipping through the Persian Gulf — a critical route supplying around 20% of global oil demand. However, markets remain on edge over the potential for further escalation that could directly impact supply.
Technical Outlook:
Oil maintains bullish momentum as long as it trades above 72.21, with upside targets at:
➡️ 77.21
➡️ 79.50 — key breakout level
➡️ 85.40 — next resistance zone
➡️ Potential extension to 88.40 if momentum continues
🔻 A shift to bearish sentiment is only likely if negotiations begin between Iran and Israel, signaling potential de-escalation.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 73.20
• Resistance: 77.21 / 79.50 / 85.40
• Support: 69.55 / 68.33 / 66.03
Caution: Any signs of de-escalation or negotiations between Iran and Israel could quickly reverse the trend.
Bitcoin Long Setup: Two Potential Entry Zones After The DropHello, traders! As predicted, Bitcoin is perfectly following Scenario #2 from my previous analysis.
📉 What Happened?
The instrument showed a fake rally, luring impatient traders into premature long positions, only to liquidate them with a sharp downward move. The primary Point of Interest (POI) remains below us — this is where the "whale" aims to deliver the price to fill their orders and close the shorts they used for the initial SSL manipulation.
My Trading Scenarios & Entry Plan
1️⃣ Scenario 1: Mitigation of the Primary POI
My expectation remains the same: a reaction upon the mitigation of the 4h order block , which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci level.
Entry Condition: The level must hold on at least the 4H timeframe, confirmed by a bullish reversal and an order flow shift on the Lower Timeframe (LTF).
Zone: $102,745 - $103,868
Invalidation: A clear break and close below the 78.6% Fib level would invalidate this scenario.
2️⃣ Scenario 2: Deeper Liquidity Grab
If the liquidity at the 4h OB isn't enough for the whale to continue the uptrend, they might trigger a more aggressive decline to grab liquidity from the low at $100,370.
Entry Condition: A swift sweep of this low, followed by a sharp reclaim of the level and the beginning of a bullish order flow on the LTF.
Zone: $100,700 - $102,000
Invalidation: A candle close below the $100,370 liquidity level would invalidate this scenario.
Final Thoughts
Do not open positions just because the price has reached a POI. Wait for a clear reversal reaction and LTF confirmation for more conservative and safer entries. Always use stop-losses to protect your capital; no setup has a 100% win rate, and for every whale, there can always be a bigger one.
To be consistently profitable, you just need to find setups with a win rate greater than 50% — this is how casinos and professional traders operate.
Happy hunting with the whales — don't be the plankton. Follow their tracks.
Accurate operation, both long and short gains!Gold has experienced a typical volatile market today, first rising to 3400 and then falling back to around 3380 as expected. The short order plan we arranged in advance was successfully closed, and we successfully took this wave of callback profits. What is more worth mentioning is that we also accurately entered the long order in the previous round of retracement and steadily harvested the rebound profits. The rhythm of long and short switching is smooth, the strategy is clear, and the execution is decisive - this is what trading should be like. The market is repetitive, and opportunities are always there. Whether you can put the profit steadily into your pocket depends not on how many times you are right, but on whether you can execute it at the key points.
At present, the trend of gold shows that although there is a rebound after each decline, the strength is generally weak and it has never been able to break through the 3405 suppression level. The overall situation is still in a range of fluctuations, and market sentiment is still waiting for further guidance from the Fed. Therefore, short-term operations are still based on key points, and the market rhythm is slow, requiring more patience. In the case of no break at present, continue today's thinking to operate, unless there are sharp fluctuations in the short term or sudden news or geopolitical situations, then make adjustments.
Gold operation suggestions: 1. Gold short orders: short near 3397-3405, target 3385-3375. 2. Gold long orders: long near 3375-3370, 3365-3360 can cover positions, target 3380-3390-3400.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
Tesla May Be StallingTesla bounced between early April and late May, but now it may be stalling.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the weekly low of $331.39 from May 22. TSLA fell below that level two weeks ago and was rejected at the same price area last week. Has old support become new resistance?
Second, the stock has fallen under its 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs). The 8-day EMA is also at risk of slipping below the 21-day EMA. Such patterns may reflect short-term bearishness. Falling MACD paints a similar picture.
Third, the EV stock peaked at $488.54 in December -- above its previous high of $414.50 from November 2021. But it failed to hold, which could be viewed as a false breakout.
Those signals could focus traders’ attention on the April low of $214.15, which is still more than $100 below TSLA’s close on Tuesday.
Finally, TSLA is an active options underlier. (Its average daily volume of 2.6 million contracts last month ranked third in the entire market, according to TradeStation data.) That could make it easier for traders to take positions with calls and puts.
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How Bitcoin can impact alt coins like sol and sui This video is a very quick update on the potential for bitcoin to drop into the 96/97k region and the effect it will have on alt coins .
If you hold altcoins and you see them bleed in price then its important to know and understand whats ahead for Bitcoin .
Understanding this will help you with your entry's and your exits on all altcoins .
ATI Still Has More Upside PotentialATI broke out above the key $67.35 resistance level in early May and is now attempting to consolidate its recent surge. While the stock has nearly reached the consensus analyst price target—suggesting limited near-term upside—the recent Middle East visit by Trump may have changed the outlook.
ATI is a U.S.-based specialty materials and components manufacturer, focused on high-performance metals for the aerospace, defense, and energy sectors. During Trump’s visit, large aerospace orders were announced, especially for NYSE:BA and NYSE:GE . The total value of these orders is expected to reach $115 billion.
ATI could be one of the main beneficiaries of this deal, as nearly 16% of its revenue comes from sales to Boeing and GE. In addition, broader demand growth in the aerospace and defense industries may directly or indirectly support ATI’s business.
From a valuation standpoint, ATI is currently trading at 13.9x forward earnings—26% above its two-year average. However, many valuation models and forecasts remain outdated and may not yet reflect the impact of recent developments.
If ATI pulls back to retest the $67.35 breakout level, it could present a strong buying opportunity with a close stop. The upper boundary of the trend channel, currently near $90, may serve as a medium-term target.
GBPNZD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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