GOLD Consolidation Ahead of Key Fed DecisionGold Technical Analysis
Gold continues to consolidate between 2,638 and 2,653, awaiting a breakout. Currently, the price may attempt to test 2,638, and a 4-hour candle close below this level would confirm a bearish trend, with a target of 2,623. Conversely, stability above 2,653 would support a bullish move, with a potential target of 2,665.
Today's Fed rate decision will significantly impact the market. A 0.25% rate cut would likely have a bullish effect. However, the key focus will be on Powell's remarks during the meeting—if he signals further rate cuts in the next meeting, this could strongly support a bullish trend.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2645
Resistance Levels: 2653, 2665, 2678
Support Levels: 2635, 2623, 2612
Bearish Momentum: Below 2,638
Bullish Momentum: Above 2,653
Support and Resistance
Price Retest Scenarios and Key Levels for Trend ConfirmationTechnical Analysis
The price has surged to a new historic high. It is now expected to retest 21900. A confirmed 4-hour candle close below 21900 will indicate a bearish move toward 21770.
On the other hand, if the price stabilizes above 22120 with a confirmed 1-hour candle close, it will support a bullish trend toward 22230.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 22120
Resistance Levels: 22230, 22400, 22510
Support Levels: 21900, 21770, 21620
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Momentum with stability below 22120
- Bullish Momentum by stability above 22120
US30 / Consolidation Ahead of Key Breakout LevelsTechnical Analysis
The price has reached the support level we mentioned earlier and is now consolidating between 43,350 and 43,765 until a breakout occurs. Initially, the price may attempt to test 43,760 or 43,900, driven by the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut. However, it is also possible for the price to drop again, potentially breaking the support zone at 43,350.
A break below 43,350 and 43,200 would confirm a bearish trend, with further downside targets at 42,900 and 42,770.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 43580
Resistance Levels: 43765, 43900, 44070
Support Levels: 43350, 43210, 42900
Trend Outlook:
Bullish Momentum: Possible within the consolidation range of 43,350 to 43,900
PREVIOUS IDEA:
S&P 500 Technical Analysis: Market Reaction to Fed Rate DecisionS&P 500 Technical Analysis
The Fed Rate Decision is Coming Today!
The market is expected to be volatile due to the Fed’s rate decision, with a potential decrease of 25 basis points.
As mentioned earlier this week, the S&P 500 has been following a bullish trend, pushing up from 6022. Today, the index is likely to attempt to reach 6099. If it successfully breaks above 6100, it would confirm a bullish zone, with the potential to climb further toward 6143, especially if the Fed reduces rates by 25 bps.
On the other hand, failure to maintain momentum above 6099 could result in the index trading between 6099 and 6022. A bearish trend could begin if 6099 is broken on the downside.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 6099
Resistance Levels: 6143, 6166, 6190
Support Levels: 6058, 6022, 5971
Trend Outlook:
Upward Trend: Above 6099
Downward Trend: Below 6022
previous idea:
NASDAQ 100 - kiss and say good byeAfter years of solid growth, the signs for distribution beetween bulls and bears has arrived.
Shares are changing the hand, from investors to speculants. And I suppose extreme speculatants. There are some players on market which are preparing an extreme short selling.
Technical side, there a enough signs to say good bye and change the river side, from long to short.
11 th of dec: open to short NDX @ 21715.87
Dan, 11th dec 2024
NZDUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.99
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
Gold Analysis==>>PumpingToday, U.S. Retail Sales figures were released. Retail sales increased by 0.7% , surpassing the forecast of 0.6% . However, Core Retail Sales rose by only 0.2% , below the anticipated 0.4% .
These figures indicate continued strength in U.S. consumer spending, which can lead to a stronger U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY ) . A stronger dollar typically exerts downward pressure on gold prices, as gold is priced in dollars, making it more expensive for international investors when the dollar appreciates.
However, it's important to note that multiple factors influence gold prices, including upcoming Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates and global economic conditions.
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Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) continued to fall as I expected and is currently moving through the Support zone($2,642-$2,620) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold seems to be completing wave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys.
I expect Gold to start rising again from the PRZ and Support lines and attack the Resistance lines .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($2,642-$2,620), we can expect more dumps.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Grinch drop, Santa popSPY is at it's 2 year trend channel resistance level. There's very little upside reward left. There's a greater downside risk. The Grinch may try to steal Christmas with a temporary SPY drop towards support. But then a Santa Claus rally will pop SPY back up to it's resistance level.
SPY 2 year trend channel levels:
resistance = 605
pivot = 585
support = 565
trade ideas:
1) collar strategy
hold 100 shares
sell 585 call
buy 605 put
2) buy 605 put
3) short call spread
sell 585 call
buy 605 call
4) long put spread
buy 605 put
sell 585 put
SPY options data:
12/6/24 expiry
Put Volume Total 219,329
Call Volume Total 125,297
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.75
Put Open Interest Total 750,130
Call Open Interest Total 233,054
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 3.22
12/13/24 expiry
Put Volume Total 69,042
Call Volume Total 43,893
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.57
Put Open Interest Total 317,687
Call Open Interest Total 228,869
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.39
12/20/24 expiry
Put Volume Total 336,702
Call Volume Total 139,171
Put/Call Volume Ratio 2.42
Put Open Interest Total 3,273,537
Call Open Interest Total 1,426,800
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 2.29
12/27/24 expiry
Put Volume Total 13,062
Call Volume Total 14,931
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.87
Put Open Interest Total 72,224
Call Open Interest Total 59,538
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.21
1/17/25 LEAPS
Put Volume Total 191,268
Call Volume Total 63,574
Put/Call Volume Ratio 3.01
Put Open Interest Total 2,376,812
Call Open Interest Total 855,976
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 2.78
[GEX] 12/16 Weekly SPX AnalysisNow, let’s take a look at the expected SPX trading range for the week based on the auto GEX levels for TradingView:
It’s clear that we’re currently in positive gamma territory , primarily due to the December 20 expiration. However, the mid-week expirations leading up to that date remain in negative gamma territory, a direct result of last week’s bearish moves—though this can change within a single day.
Looking ahead to Friday, we expect a range-bound, more predictable trading environment, likely holding above 6045 and below 6100 based on current levels.
IVR and IVx remain low, and we don’t anticipate any increase before Christmas unless the market reaches the “total deny zone” between 6025 and 6040.
The greatest IV backwardation is present between December 20 and December 23, as average IV ticked up slightly following last week’s bearish action. This makes that particular expiration combination potentially appealing for time spread strategies.
Stay alert! The deny zone is near, and a quick move through the HVL could suddenly disrupt what currently appears to be a relatively predictable trading range. Conversely, a breakout above 6100 could spark a permabull end-of-year rally to the upside.
[GEX] levels for QQQFirst, let’s examine what we see on our chart using options indicators:
Summarizing the GEX levels through December 26, we have a strong call wall at around 540. If price can break above and hold that level, it could easily pave the way toward 550. However, if we’re expecting a Christmas selloff after Friday’s close, this bearish assumption might prove worthwhile.
This brings up a point that often comes up:
“How do I interpret whether the optoins indicator is bullish or bearish?”
There’s no such definitive signal! The levels and options metrics show certain conditions, but no one can tell you exactly what will happen next. This is where you need to have a directional hypothesis. Once you have it, the indicators can help you fine-tune your positioning, identify realistic targets, and select viable legs—but they won’t decide your directional stance for you.
For example, while everything may look bullish, let’s say you have a contrarian bearish view. Then you can see where it makes sense to position yourself.
Test Case Chosen:
8x QQQ Dec 24th – Dec 26th 525 Calendar Put Spread
Max Loss: $216
Max Profit: $1,685
PoP: 45%
Why not?
XauUsd- New leg down towards 2610 support?In my Friday analysis, I highlighted that while the 2660-2665 zone is a technical support, it is too obvious and very likely to fall.
This prediction came true as the week closed with Gold trading below this level, forming a strongly bearish daily candle.
Additionally, a Pin Bar from the 2700+ resistance zone appeared on the weekly chart, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
During the Asian session last night, the price tested the ascending trendline, and as of now, Gold is trading at 2656, hinting at a potential rebound following the 800-pip drop from its recent peak.
Looking ahead, if a deeper rebound occurs, the 2680 zone will be a key level for bears to monitor. This area presents an ideal shorting opportunity given its favorable risk-to-reward setup.
At the moment, I’m out of the market, waiting to sell into signs of weakness, with 2610 support as my target.
Intel Corporation to crash yet another 50% to $11** Forecast for the weeks ahead **
Continuing with the unpopular bearish outlook for Intel, see “Incoming 60% correction for Intel Corporation” idea (below), the chart now indicates a further 50% correction.
On the above 10 day chart:
1) Price action and RSI resistance remains active.
2) A downtrend remains intact, lower high lower lows.
3) Confirmed bear flag with extension to 11.24
4) 90% of all recent public ideas are “Long”
www.tradingview.com
Remember 90% of traders will lose money.
Is it possible price action rallies from here? Sure.
Is it probable? No
Ww
Type: Long Put option
Risk: You decide
“Incoming 60% correction for Intel Corporation”
BUY LIMIT @0.99?What do you all think of my setup anyone else running this setup if so I would like to know . And if not I would like to know where you would enter the market. highlight what you think I did wrong . if you would like to correct me or add an opinion be my guest everyone is welcome. God Bless
TradeCityPro | THETAUSDT Has the Market Turned Bearish?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze a day when the market experienced slight corrections, with some coins recording red candles and traders feeling FOMO, moving away from the market. This is the best time to review triggers.
🌟 Bitcoin Overview
As always, let’s start with Bitcoin analysis. In the one-hour timeframe, we are witnessing bearish candles, which are merely rejections of the new ATH. Such corrections are not concerning as they come with reduced volume.
Bitcoin dominance has also been ranging, causing slight corrections across all altcoins. Coins bearish in their Bitcoin pairs have seen more significant declines, while those bullish in their Bitcoin pairs are showing better resilience.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, THETA is one of the coins that previously had a strong movement. Earlier in 2024, it hit a new high compared to 2023, bouncing back from the 1.028 support level, which gives it a better edge than many other coins.
Recently, after breaking the 1.667 resistance, which was our entry trigger, it has reached the early 2024 resistance level and is now reacting to it. Following the correction and red candles, the declining volume indicates a positive sign for the upward trend.
The RSI is pulling back toward the overbought zone. If the RSI climbs back up from this level, we can anticipate another sharp move.
If you entered with our trigger, it’s reasonable to hold your position for now as you have a solid entry point. For those looking to enter again, either wait for a correction or buy after breaking the 3.136 level with a large stop loss at 1.667. However, this would be a riskier entry.
🌞 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, after breaking out of the accumulation box between 1.543 and 3.136, THETA has experienced a 100% upward movement, providing an excellent profit opportunity.
Throughout this uptrend, we’ve seen an increase in volume, which has subsequently decreased during corrections. Even when red candles appear, the reduction in volume is a positive signal for the coin’s long-term trajectory.
Based on Fibonacci levels, potential supports are at 2.349, 2.011, and 1.543. After confirmation at any of these levels, long positions can be entered. For continued momentum, breaking the 3.136 level with a stop loss at 2.349 can be considered a riskier option.
⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe
In the four-hour timeframe, the coin is moving within a short-term box between 2.534 and 2.749, accompanied by reduced volume and consolidation. This suggests that a breakout is likely soon.
📈 Long Position Trigger
breaking the 2.749 level could trigger a trade, as the 3.136 breakout is expected to be led by whales. However, if you miss the 2.749 breakout, 3.136 can also serve as an entry.
📉 Short Position Trigger
they are not currently recommended. However, a break below the 2.534 level could offer a risky short setup. Ensure small stop losses and quick profit-taking, as extended downside seems unlikely.
💡 BTC Pair Insight
In the Bitcoin pair, THETA is just starting to show strength. It has recently reached its weekly resistance level and has a long way to go before its ATH. Once it establishes a higher low and breaks the 0.00003042 resistance, it could begin a strong upward movement. Stay patient and avoid FOMO if you’ve missed this move. Many other coins in the channel have not yet triggered their entries.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
CELH - Reload opportunity?As per my last post on CELH, we built enough demand to hit our HTF supply at $32. Successful trade an outlook there. Now after an expected rejection at that HTF supply, we are back at our flip zone which was a strong resistance level now looking to turn into support. With a strong reaction off of this zone we may have another opportunity to at least retest the $32 supply and continue to attempt to break it.
Happy Trading :)
NU - Value Play of the DayObviously a lot can change within the next 20 minutes as Powell prepares his monologue... But just a value play here with NU Holdings - they've shown extremely strong growth over the past few quarters and I believe they continue that growth into next year when the market heats up again. Looking to average into a position here within the $9.50-$10.50 range.
Happy Trading :)
Will Quantum Computing Inc. return a1000x ??That is a 100,000% return. Bold statement. Been studying.. hear me out, I think photonic hardware solutions in the Quantum machine space will be the next big thing. NVIDIA GPUs would become obsolete in the cloud computing space if this small business succeeds.
Scaling up quantum qbits is the bottleneck to establishing a stable working Quantum computer.. The big tech companies are falling over each other in the race to be the first to develop a system using cryogenics to advert interference.
Along comes Quantum Computing with a novel approach. Why try to stop the interference?
To use their own words:
“In quantum information processing, loss and noise are usually detrimental and must be minimized. This is why quantum systems using atomic and alike qubits must be hosted in cryogenic vacuum chambers, and why photon loss is the roadblock to quantum communications and computing. This requirement translates to exceeding challenges in quantum system manufacture and operations, and has been the bottleneck preventing the scaling up of the qubit number and connectivity. With entropy quantum computing, we flip the coin around. Instead of trying to avoid loss and noise, we harness them to build quantum machines whose capacity and speed outmatch existing computing modalities. This fundamentally new quantum computing approach is called Entropy Quantum Computing (EQC). It roots deeply in the intriguing principles of quantum mechanics. First, loss or decoherence of a quantum state occurs through its coupling to an entropy source with many degrees of freedom. The apparent diminishing of quantum characteristics as a result is just a statistically averaged manifestation of many possible outcomes of such coupling. Second, vacuum is never quiet, although it does not appear to contain any energy or particle. There are, in fact, enormous amounts of random fluctuations occurring at all times in each of the vacuum mode. EQC is conceived and developed with those intriguing quantum principles. Rather than trying to create and manipulate pristine qubits isolated from the environment, EQC utilizes loss and decoherence, and turns entropy into super-power fuels of its computing engine. In sharp contrast to any existing quantum platforms, there is no need for cryogenic or isolated housing, and the implementation can use integrated photonics, leading to SWAP-C friendly devices, just like regular PC’s.”
This is amazing. As someone who studied probability theory & stochastic processes, their approach strikes a chord.
** Technical analysis **
On the above 12 day chart price action has corrected 98% since early 2021. Why bullish?
1) Support and resistance, price action prints on past resistance after the 2018 breakout.
2) Dragonfly DOJI candle.
3) Regular bullish divergence as measured over 60 days.
4) No stock splits.
5) We have a macro symmetrical triangle and bull flag. The bull flag forecasts a 20,000% print on confirmation, which would also be repeated on the symmetrical triangle confirmation extending price action to 1000x from where it is today.
Is it possible price action corrects further? Sure.
Is it probable? No
Ww
Type: investment
Risk: you decide
Timeframe for long: Now
Return: 1000x
Stop loss: will say elsewhere