AUDUSD breaking down following the headlinesIntraday Update: The AUDUSD has broken flag support following the headline from China that they are going to impose a 34% retaliatory tariff. The AUDUSD just surpassed the 127% extension and now may target the .6118 level intraday.
Long term targets the post covid lockdown lows.
Support and Resistance
Gold Wave Analysis – 4 April 2025
- Gold broke daily up channel
- Likely to fall to support level 3000.00
Gold recently reversed down from the resistance level 3150.00 (which formed the daily Bearish Engulfing) and broke the sharp daily up channel from February.
The breakout of this up channel added to the bearish pressure on Gold – accelerating the active downward correction to the higher-order impulse wave (3) from November.
Gold can be expected to fall to the next round support level 3000.00 (which stopped the previous short-term correction iv).
Structural analysis and operation suggestions after gold washAnalysis of gold market trend: Gold fluctuated quite a lot yesterday. It rose at the opening yesterday, rising to nearly 60 US dollars, and then fell back after being blocked at the 3167 line. However, it fell below 3100, and the lowest to the top and bottom conversion was around 3054, a drop of nearly 114 US dollars. Beyond expectations, it pulled back to 80 US dollars, and the daily line finally closed with a cross Yin line. The rapid roller coaster is too scary. The market volatility is too large, so you can only watch more and do less. If you encounter non-agricultural data, according to yesterday's trend, the market may not be so big today. After all, it has already ended yesterday. When the price fell sharply, and then there was a sharp rebound to stand firm at 3100, the market of gold yesterday was thrilling, a super roller coaster, and the difficulty of gold operation has increased a lot. However, this kind of market is rare after all. After the ups and downs of gold, it will return to normal. Although today's non-agricultural data, I personally tend to fluctuate in a large range. It is estimated that it will not break yesterday's high point or yesterday's low point. If combined with silver, gold is still oscillating and bearish. At present, it should peak in the short term, and it will choose a direction after a correction.
Gold technical analysis: Therefore, gold is not as strong as before, so it is possible for gold to rise or fall in this state. Pay attention to the previous high of 3150 on the upside, and pay attention to the gains and losses of 3055 on the downside. The 4-hour cycle has cleverly entered the oscillation range. Although the market has gone out of the big drop space, the 4-hour cycle Bollinger has not opened, and the moving average system has not diverged. The effective range for the time being is within 3085/3135. Therefore, if there is no large fluctuation on Friday, you can refer to the range of the 4-hour cycle to do high-altitude and low-multiple transactions. The 1-hour moving average of gold still shows signs of turning downward, but the rise of gold in the US market has not allowed the 1-hour moving average of gold to enter the dead cross pattern, but the gold bulls are not very strong. Of course, there is also the impact of non-agricultural data. It is expected that after the big rise and fall on Thursday, the impact of Friday's data will not be great. Before the release of non-agricultural data, we should operate in the range of 3120-3066. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to short on rebound and long on pullback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3120-3125 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3054-3066 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. We must control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and follow real-time orders.
Gold operation strategy: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short gold rebound near 3120-3125, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3085, break to see 3065 line;
Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long gold pullback near 3070-3065, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3090, break to see 3110 line;
SOLUSDT SOLUSDT Analysis 📊
🔹 Support Levels: 118, 112, and 107 USD
🔹 Resistance Levels: 130 and 150 USD
✅ The price has reacted positively after testing the 118-112 USD support zone, showing a short-term bullish move with increasing volume.
📉 If the price fails to break 130 USD, a pullback to 118 USD is possible.
📈 A breakout above 130 USD could pave the way for a move toward 150 USD.
🔍 Conclusion: The bullish trend remains unconfirmed until 130 USD is broken.
80% DropIs an 80% Drop Ahead for Pi Network (PIUSDT)? 📉
🔹 Key Supports: 0.50, 0.10, and 0.01 USD
🔹 Key Resistances: 0.60, 0.70, and 1.00 USD
✅ PIUSDT is in a downtrend, and after breaking below 0.60 USD, it has dipped under the 0.50 USD support zone. If this trend continues, a decline toward 0.10 USD (approximately 80% drop) is possible.
📉 If sellers maintain control, breaking 0.50 USD could accelerate the downtrend.
📈 However, reclaiming 0.60 USD may lead to a corrective move toward 0.70 USD and potentially 1.00 USD.
🔍 Conclusion: The trend remains bearish, and a confirmed breakdown of 0.50 USD increases the likelihood of a drop to 0.10 USD.
BNBUSDT Going Down.Hi there,
BNBUSDT appears bearish on the M30 timeframe, but there is bullish pressure around the 600.59 area. The target is 581.78 if the price manages to break through the bullish pressure (observed on the daily timeframe), with a bias toward 570.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
Nasdaq Elliott Wave Update on Short Position ManagementIn this video, I go through exactly how I plotted the wave counts that I published on 3rd April (linked to this idea). I also show how to estimate price target using support and Fibonacci extensions. Lastly, I talk about trading productivity again and why I recommend to take out some of your short position.
There are 3 main reasons:
1. We have completed wave 3 of 3 and is now going into wave 4 (and wave 4 are notorious for being unpredictable and may even have triple combinations).
2. We are what? 80% in the money and it happens very fast. So productivity wise, it is good to take some money off the table.
3. Weekend risk.
I am putting this idea as "Neutral" even though I am still expecting a wave 5 down. Reason is because we are in wave 4, and also because I pray that I can find time to update again when wave 4 ends and wave 5 of 3 starts.
Good luck!
ATOM is bullish (12H)It appears that the ATOM symbol has initiated a bullish wave at the swing degree. The structure and bullish signals such as the trigger line break, bullish CH (Change of Character), and momentum in the candles are evident on the chart.
There is a resistance flip zone ahead of the price. If this zone is broken, two targets on the chart will be in play for ATOM.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
Nifty levels - Apr 07, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
EURUSD:Continuously focus on low-level long positionsTrump's announced comprehensive tariff plan has sparked global attention. On Thursday, the EUR/USD price generally rose as expected. On that day, the price dropped to a low of 1.0804 at the lowest, rose to a high of 1.1145 at the highest, and closed at 1.1047.
Looking back at the performance of the EUR/USD market on Thursday, after the opening in the morning, the price tested the four-hour support level in the short term in a downward direction and then soared rapidly. Subsequently, it maintained a very strong upward trend throughout the day. Eventually, the price closed with a large bullish candlestick. Overall, as the author mentioned, the adjustment during the medium- and long-term upward trend of the EUR/USD has ended, and it has continued to soar. Going forward, keep paying attention to taking long positions at low levels.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.1010-20
TP:1.1170-1.1210-1.1340
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Long-Awaited Recover
It looks like Dollar Index is going to pullback
after a test of a significant support cluster on a daily.
A strong bullish imbalance candle that was formed on an hourly
time frame shows a strong buying interest from that zone.
I expect a bullish movement at least to 102.35
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Gold market analysis, gold operation strategy and trend analysisGold early layout plan: intraday top and bottom capture is perfect! The strategy layout is truly presented, the strategy prompts shorting at 3135, accurately cashing in the high point, and falling sharply to 3070! Continue to arrange 3072 long positions to smoothly stop profit and exit at 3086.
Gold fell by 110 yesterday and rebounded by 80. Today it fell by 30 and rebounded by 50. The volatility is too big. However, the risk comes first. Strictly set a stop loss. Loss of $5-$20 makes no difference. It is not a big loss. Secondly, grasp the key points. Pay attention to a few points of non-agricultural data and cooperate with the five-minute entry on the right side. As for long and short, it is really not very important. What is important is the key position and starting point. After multiple cycles of quantification, pay attention to a few important points at night. After the operation is in place, enter the market with the resonance of one minute and five minutes. The loss is 5-6 points, and the target is 15-20 points.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3018-3025, and the loss is 3005, and the target is 3035-3045
EUR/USD DTF Fundamental and Technical AnalysisEUR/USD DTF Fundamental and Technical Analysis
Fundamental Outlook:
EUR/USD has experienced an upward move due to short-term positive sentiment. Optimism surrounding the European Union's fiscal policies and the European Central Bank's more dovish stance on interest rates have provided some support to the euro. Additionally, a recent weakness in the U.S. dollar, driven by concerns over the U.S. economic slowdown and disappointing job data, has contributed to the euro's recent strength.
However, the ongoing risk from new U.S. tariffs on European imports, escalating trade tensions, and concerns over global economic instability could weigh on the euro. The U.S. dollar remains a safe-haven asset, limiting further downside for EUR/USD in the long term.
Technical Outlook:
On the daily timeframe, EUR/USD is approaching a major key resistance level at 1.12500, where a double top has previously formed. This technical pattern strengthens our bearish bias for the pair. However, if price breaks above this key resistance at 1.12500, we would expect a continuation of the uptrend, suggesting that the euro remains in dominance. A breakout above this level would indicate further bullish momentum for EUR/USD.
In conclusion, the resistance at 1.12500 is crucial. If it holds, we could see a reversal; if broken, the euro could continue to dominate, pushing EUR/USD higher.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
NZD/USD 4TF Fundamental and Technical AnalysisNZD/USD 4TF Fundamental and Technical Analysis
Fundamental Outlook:
The NZD/USD remains under significant bearish pressure due to weak economic data from New Zealand. Recent disappointing figures, including a slowdown in employment growth and declining consumer sentiment, have added to the negative sentiment surrounding the New Zealand dollar. Additionally, New Zealand's exposure to global trade risks, particularly as the U.S. escalates tariffs on Chinese imports, continues to weigh on the currency.
On the other hand, the U.S. dollar is benefiting from its safe-haven status amid ongoing global economic uncertainties. This has supported the USD, especially as the U.S. economy remains relatively resilient compared to other regions, including New Zealand. The upcoming U.S. Non-Farm Employment Change data (forecast: 137K, previous: 151K) could provide further momentum for the U.S. dollar, potentially pushing NZD/USD lower.
Technical Outlook:
On the 4-hour timeframe, NZD/USD remains in a strong downtrend, with a bearish flag pattern indicating potential continuation of the decline. The pair has formed key resistance at 0.58490 and support at 0.57400, with the next crucial breakout level at 0.56800. Additionally, we’ve noticed a double top pattern within the minor key resistance at 0.58490, further confirming the likelihood of a bearish move.
Our strategy is to wait for a confirmed breakdown below 0.56800, which would trigger a sell limit order at 0.56730. The stop-loss will be set at 0.57530 to manage risk, and the take-profit target is placed at 0.55090, aligning with the next minor support level.
In conclusion, the resistance at 0.58490 is a critical level. If it holds, we could see a reversal; if broken, NZD/USD could continue to dominate, pushing the pair lower.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
BTC Mid-Term Outlook: Key Levels & Wave StructureAs long as March lows hold, there remains a technical possibility for one more wave up toward the 130K resistance zone. However, given the corrective three-wave structure of the recovery (rather than an impulsive five-wave move), I am now leaning toward the mid-term top being in place at January highs.
If price remains below last week’s high, my operative scenario favors one more leg down to the 64K–55K–51K macro support zone. If the downside scenario unfolds, it would still be technically valid for the entire corrective wave (2) to complete within the support zone mentioned, especially considering the underlying fundamental strength of the asset.
Should price break above last week’s high in the coming weeks, the odds shift in favor of a renewed uptrend, potentially reclaiming ATH and targeting 130K.
The super-macro structure that I'm following as an operative wave count, assumes multi-decades bullish cycle, with the next long-term expansion phase expected once price establishes a firm bottom in the discussed support zone:
Wishing you successful trading & investing decisions. Thank you for your attention!
PS: The wave structure of BTC, proposed in March 2024 idea, has fulfilled itself:
Possible Scenario for AVAX/USDTPossible Scenario for AVAX/USDT:
1. Price Action: The price is within a descending channel marked by the blue lines. This suggests a bearish trend as the price has been making lower highs and lower lows.
2. Potential Scenarios:
- The **green arrow** indicates a potential bullish scenario, where the price might break out to the upside, aiming toward a target of around $31.84.
- The **red arrow** suggests a bearish scenario, where the price might break down further, potentially testing the lower support level near $11.91.
3. Key Levels:
- **Resistance**: Around the $31.84 level (shown in red), which could be a strong resistance zone if the price attempts a recovery.
- **Support**: Near the $11.91 level (shown in green), which could act as strong support if the downtrend continues.
INVERTED HEAD & SHOULDERS ON 4HR TFSupport and resistance trap the market, forming a left shoulder, then breaking out of the support zone, forming an inverted head. The market now breaks back into the zone; wait for a retest and buy to the resistance. If the market breaks back out of support and closes, wait for a retest and sell at the support area. Collect your losses and look for the next setup.