USDT.D - The dominance of real moneyThe dominance of the dollar over cryptocurrencies is a real indicator of the growth status of ETH!
The last wave of correction and decline is happening now! Pay attention to the accumulation zone before the Bitcoin price drops/inflates.
Money is being transferred to BTC=>ETH=>ALT=>USDT=>BTC and so on in a circle, during the active participation phase of DOU, money is being transferred to ETH and beyond, so be vigilant
In addition, I would like to draw your attention to the BTC.D indicator.
Support and Resistance
Gold Breaks $2725 Resistance, Eyes Record HighGold is peeking above resistance at $2725, extending the bullish trend in place since late December.
If it can push above this level and preferably close there, it creates a decent bullish setup, allowing for longs to be established above with a tight stop beneath for protection.
The obvious target would be the record high of $2790 set in late October.
Momentum indicators such as RSI (14) and MACD are trending higher, providing bullish signals that improve the probability of the break sticking.
With price signals from US Treasury futures pointing to the possibility of lower yields near-term, a scenario that could also keep dollar gains capped, the macro environment looks more conducive for upside than periods in the recent past.
Good luck!
DS
USDJPY InsightHello, subscribers!
I’m glad to have you all here. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Donald Trump announced multiple executive orders during his inauguration, including declaring a national energy and border emergency, repealing mandatory electric vehicle adoption, and withdrawing from the Paris Climate Agreement. However, he postponed imposing tariffs on his first day, instead instructing the investigation of trade relations.
- The market predicts potential price corrections depending on the progression of Trump’s tariff policies.
- The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its rate decision meeting scheduled for January 23–24.
This Week’s Key Economic Event
+ January 24: Bank of Japan Rate Decision
USDJPY Chart Analysis
In the recent decline, the pair broke through the support level and dropped to the 154.500 range. It is currently positioned at the lower end of the uptrend, suggesting a potential rebound. However, U.S. President Trump remains a significant factor that could impact the market, so the possibility of a trend reversal should not be ruled out.
If the 154.500 range holds as a support, the pair could rise to the 162 range. Conversely, if it breaks below the 154.500 level, the next target could be the 149.000 range.
Nasdaq100 4H Timeframe AnalysisNasdaq100 4H Timeframe Analysis
Trend Analysis
On the 4-hour timeframe, Nasdaq100 was initially in a downtrend, characterized by lower highs and lows until reaching a major support level at 20,500. After testing and retesting this major support, the price reversed and moved upward, breaking through the minor key levels between 21,000 and 21,300. This breakout marked a change in trend direction, shifting from a downtrend to an uptrend. The price is now creating higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), signaling further bullish momentum. Liquidity was formed below the minor key resistance at 21,300, which sets up a potential continuation pattern for the uptrend.
Price Action Expectation:
Wait for the price to retrace back to the minor key resistance zone around 21,350 and confirm that the trend is continuing upward. The breakout above 21,300 should provide confirmation that the bullish trend is intact, with the next move targeting the next resistance level at 21,680.
Trade Setup:
Trade Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 21,350.0 (upon price retracing back to minor key resistance and confirming trend continuation)
Stop Loss: 21,190.0 (below liquidity zone to avoid false breakouts)
Take Profit: 21,680.0 (targeting the next minor key resistance level)
This setup capitalizes on the liquidity formation and breakout above the minor key resistance, aiming for a continuation of the uptrend.
Fundamental Outlook:
Overall, Trump’s policies on trade will influence investor sentiment globally. If Trump’s trade overhaul creates a favorable business environment and fairer trade deals, the Nasdaq-100 could experience growth, especially in the tech sector. However, if trade relations deteriorate or tariffs increase, the index might face increased volatility. The Nasdaq-100, as a key barometer for U.S. economic growth, will reflect the market’s confidence in Trump’s ability to navigate these challenges.
In conclusion, while the Nasdaq-100 could benefit from Trump’s promises of deregulation and improved trade deals, the market must brace for the volatility that often accompanies his unpredictable policy shifts. Investors should remain vigilant to any changes in trade dynamics that could impact the performance of major tech stocks and the broader market.
Risk Management:
Maintain a 1:2+ risk-to-reward ratio for optimal returns.
Ensure that your position size is aligned with your account equity and risk tolerance.
Be cautious of false breakouts by monitoring liquidity zones and adjusting your stop-loss if necessary.
Trading involves substantial risks and may not be suitable for all investors. Always seek guidance from a financial professional if you’re unsure about trading decisions.
Corrective Wave and Chart Pattern Analysis - RSI TFW DivergenceCorrective Wave Structure a ABC Analysis pattern in TFW timeframe
Observations:
A bullish divergence is evident in the momentum near the support zone indicating weakening bearish momentum, the end of wave C, and a potential reversal to the upside.
Analysis:
- Wave A: completed descending channel retraced 61.8% of previous uptrend with 5 wave diagonal pattern - wave A.1 the shortest and wave A.3 is the longest.
- Wave B: retraced 61.8% of Wave A with an extended flat 3 wave abc pattern - wave B.c extended 261.8% of B.a
- Wave C: A descending triangle /ending diagonal pattern is visible within Wave C current extending 61.8% of Wave A.
Support:
- The Green zone (liquidity support) around 4.50 THB is significant, acted as a strong support level multiple times in the past.
- A breakdown below this zone could lead to further downside (red arrow scenario) while holding above it might trigger a reversal (green arrow scenario).
Breakout:
- Resistance levels marked by Wave B’s high 6.4+ THB and intermediate levels around 4.9+ THB are critical breakout moving average 20 week dynamic resistance zone.
- An upward breakout past these levels would confirm the end of the corrective phase and the start of a new bullish impulse wave.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case (Green Arrows):
TP1: Price holds the liquidity support zone and breaks above 5.50 THB (near-term resistance).
TP2: A successful retest of 6.50 THB Wave B zone could lead to a new bullish wave formation.
RRR: 3:1
Bearish Case (Red Arrow):
A break below the liquidity support zone 4.50 THB would confirm continued bearish pressure.
Price could target lower levels, possibly extending toward 3.50 THB or beyond.
Action:
+ Look for bullish confirmation with a breakout above descending triangle (ending diagonal) resistance 4.80 THB zone
+ Watch for volume surge volume profile indicator to validate the reversal trigger.
+ Monitor price action near the liquidity support zone 4.50 THB.
+ Accumulate only if the support holds and momentum confirms a bullish reversal.
Always trade with affordable risk, respect your stop.
A SELL IDEA ON GBPJPYA follow up on my last analysis on GBPJPY, we see The Beast getting ready for a further bearish move. The pair has been on a higher high/higher low correction move and currently failed to create a higher high and has tanked below the last higher low thereby giving us a confirmation that the bullish correction move might be over. Also we see the break of the current bullish trendline giving us a double confirmation.
We now patiently wait for our entry confirmation which is a pullback to the 61.8fib level. With that we jump right in for a sell and go for a 1:5.66RRR with Stop loss around the 192 area and take profit at the Daily Area of Focus around the 188.200 price.
Commitment of Traders Modelled as Stratified Poissant Processes Hey! This video theorizes about the relevance of the poissant process in predicting areas of support and resistance in a way that accounts for temporal and probabilistic grounding. Essentially, the commitment of traders is modelled as a poissant process. Lambda is remeasured at each time step and the stratas' opacity reflects the strength of the probability, modelling trader capitulation as a time decay function. The recency and recurrence of information is intuitive and visible at a glance. Enjoy!
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The NASDAQ closed early due to the U.S. market holiday, and yesterday’s and today’s daily candles will merge into one. As anticipated, the U.S. market showed an upward trend, but it is likely to exhibit sideways or downward movement during the pre-market and regular trading sessions today.
While the daily chart has generated a buy signal, confirmation will only occur if today’s candle closes as a bullish one. With significant resistance levels overhead, the market needs a strong bullish candle to widen the gap between the MACD and signal line. Failure to generate such a rally may lead to repeated resistance at the upper levels and increase the likelihood of a downturn.
On the 240-minute chart, no sell signal has been generated yet, but the market appears to be absorbing overhead supply. If a MACD dead cross emerges, the buy signal on the daily chart may fade, potentially reversing the trend to bearish. Avoid chasing prices and refer to yesterday’s detailed pre-market analysis for further context.
CRUDE OIL
Crude oil closed lower, correcting down to the 10-day moving average. After a brief consolidation at the $76 support, it declined further. The $74–$75 range serves as a critical support level and aligns with the 5-day moving average on the weekly chart. Buying on dips within this range is favorable. However, it is advisable to enter at lower levels, as rebound risks make shorting less viable.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is falling towards the zero line, steepening its angle against the signal line. Even if oil rebounds from key support levels, it may face further selling pressure, as a MACD golden cross appears unlikely. Since yesterday’s expected downtrend materialized, today’s strategy should focus on cautious dip-buying at lower levels.
GOLD
Gold closed lower, finding support near the 5-day moving average as anticipated in yesterday’s analysis. The strong pullback to the 5-day moving average provides a reasonable entry point for buying on dips. However, the weekly chart indicates potential for further downside, suggesting short-term positions to manage risk effectively.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has emerged as a head-and-shoulders pattern broke its neckline. A further drop below 2730 could lead to additional downside toward the 2718 support level, where dip-buying may be considered. The MACD and signal line remain significantly below the zero line on the 240-minute chart, increasing the likelihood of a rebound at key support levels.
Avoid aggressive short-selling and note that the broader trend remains bullish, as gold's daily chart exhibits strong buying momentum. Focus on buying near major support levels during pullbacks for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Manage your risk carefully and best of luck with your trades today.
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21660 / 21620 / 21570 / 21510 / 21480 / 21350
-Sell: 21780 / 21880 / 21940 / 22005
Crude Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy: 75.70 / 74.95 / 74.50
-Sell: 77.50 / 77.85 / 78.25 / 78.65 / 79.10
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2726 / 2716 / 2708 / 2700
-Sell: 2738 / 2747 / 2753 / 2758
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
USD/CAD: Market Turns – Reversal in MotionWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDCAD Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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GBPUSD Wave Analysis 20 January 2025
- GBPUSD reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.2365
GBPUSD currency pair recently reversed up with the daily Hammer from the support area located between the long-term support level 1.2095 (former Double Bottom from October), lower daily Bollinger Band and the support trendline of the daily down channel from September.
The upward reversal from this support area started the active medium-term upward correction (4).
Given the strength of the nearby support level 1.2095 and the significant US bearish sentiment, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.2365.
USDCHF Wave Analysis 20 January 2025
- USDCHF reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 0.9000
USDCHF currency pair recently reversed from the resistance zone located between the key multi-month resistance level 0.9185 (which stopped the daily uptrend last April), the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from September and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone created the daily Evening Star, which stopped the previous sharp upward impulse sequence (C) from December.
USDCHF currency pair can be expected to fall to the next round support level 0.9000, the former resistance from December.
EUR/USD Near Parity Amid Bearish MomentumHello,
EUR/USD appears to have found support at the new 1-year low of 1.017715, rebounding slightly after hitting a fresh 26-month low near its 21-day lower Bollinger Band. The pair is expected to edge closer to parity (1:1) as long as France-German yield spreads continue to widen and Eurozone fundamentals remain weak. A lack of countertrend buyers is limiting upward momentum, with option barriers positioned at lower levels.
European Central Bank (ECB) Chief Economist Philip Lane stated in an Austrian newspaper that the ECB could ease monetary policy further this year but emphasized the need for a balanced approach.
Looking ahead, increased volatility is anticipated next week as former President Trump considers implementing gradual tariff hikes. If the 1-week pivot point fails to hold, further downside is likely, potentially pushing the pair toward parity. However, bearish momentum may persist in the short term before a bullish recovery begins.
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TradeWithTheTrend3344
CN50USD to find buyers at previous resistance?CHN50 - 24h expiry
A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders is forming.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 13150 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 13500.
Short term RSI has turned positive.
Our profit targets will be 13500 and 13525
We look to Buy at 13000 (stop at 12750)
Resistance: 13250 / 13500 / 13525
Support: 13100 / 13000 / 12900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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EUR/USD Daily Analysis – Breakout from Descending Channel!
#TradeWithMky On Chart ! @TradeWithMky
The EUR/USD is showing signs of a reversal from the monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, with a bullish breakout from the descending channel. If the current momentum holds, we could see a move toward the weekly FVG zone, offering a solid risk-to-reward opportunity. 📈
Key Levels:
Support: FVG Monthly Zone (~1.02000–1.03000)
Resistance: FVG Weekly Zone (~1.07000–1.09000)
👉 Watch for consolidation before the next leg up!
What are your thoughts on this setup? Let me know in the comments! 🔥
#EURUSD #Forex #TradingAnalysis #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #TradingView #DailyChart #BreakoutTrading #FairValueGap #SupportAndResistance #BullishTrend #ForexCommunity
EURCAD - Potential Sell From Resistance ZoneEURCAD is testing a major resistance zone that has previously led to significant bearish reversals. The recent bullish momentum into this area increases the likelihood of seller interest.
If bearish confirmation emerges, such as rejection wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or increased selling volume, I anticipate a move toward 1.48608. However, a breakout above this resistance could signal further bullish continuation.
Traders should remain cautious and wait for clear signals of rejection before taking positions. Agree with this analysis? Let’s discuss further in the comments section!
Market Forecast UPDATES! Jan 20 MondayIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TradeWithMky On Gold Hello there
in this chart we have a range area that could broken to both down or upward
I assume it would be more bullish but lets still wait for more confirmations
if price passed yellow area buy positons can be good
also consider that this is not a financtial advise its only an alanysis
#TradeWithMky #Miracle