Trading Signals for GOLD sell below $2,945 (21 SMA -EXHAUSTION)Early in the European session, gold is trading around 2,938, below the 21 SMA, and below the high of 2,955 showing signs of exhaustion.
On the H1 chart, we can see that gold is showing signs of exhaustion after forming a triple-top pattern. A strong technical correction will likely occur in the next few hours and even the 200 EMA around 2,920.
The key to watch for the gold price is consolidation below 2,945, where the 21 SMA is located, which acts s a dynamic resistance. Below this area, we could expect gold to reach 6/8 Murray at 2,890 in the short term.
If the gold price rebounds above 2,945, we can expect a continuation of the bullish movement and it could reach 8/8 Murray at 2,968.
If the gold price bounces around 2,930, we could expect it to return to the levels of 2,945 and 2,955. Once this zone is surpassed, the price could reach 8/8 Murray at 2,968.
A sharp break below $2,930 could turn the outlook strongly bearish and we could expect gold to continue losing value.
Therefore, the metal could reach the psychological level of $2,800 in the short term.
Support and Resistance
USDCAD Swing trade idea 25/02/2025USDCAD closed bullish on the daily, suggesting a potential retest of 1.43100 before resuming bearish momentum. Key sell zones remain at 1.43100 and 1.41000 for the continuation trade. However, if price closes bullish back into the range above 1.43500, the bearish bias would be invalidated for now, and we may need to reassess market structure.
Dollar Index (DXY): Pullback From Resistance
I think we may see a local bearish continuation after a test
of a key daily/intraday resistance.
A local Change of Character on an hourly clearly shows the strength of the sellers.
The index may retrace at least to 106.53
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DogeCoin Breakdown Below Pivot Line with Targeting Demand ZoneDogecoin Price Analysis: Potential Breakdown Below Pivot Line with Targeting Demand Zone
Given the lower highs and recent price action, the price seems to be following a descending channel with a potential for further downward movement.
The price will try to touch the Demand Zone (0.2130) if can close 4h candle below the pivot line which is 0.2654
Short-term correction might occur, potentially bouncing off the support zones, but a breakout below the pivot line could confirm further downside.
Next Movement:
If the price holds below the pivot line (0.2654), it could reach 0.2130. A break of that level could send the price toward the demand zone at 0.1774.
It’s important to keep an eye on any reversals or retracements that might occur at these pivot levels.
Key levels
Pivot Line: 0.2713
Resistance Lines: 0.3093, 0.3505, 0.4150
Support Lines: 0.2130, 0.1774, 0.1465
USDCAD: Local Bullish Reversal?!I have observed a positive uptrend in response to a significant daily support level on the 📈USDCAD chart.
Following a test of the marked blue zone, the price began to consolidate and formed a horizontal range on the 4-hour timeframe.
The resistance was broken, indicating strong buying activity.
We anticipate further upward movement, possibly reaching 1.4300.
Gold intraday trades 25/02/2025Gold hit a new high of 2956.50 before pulling back but still closed bullish above 2950. Asian session has already seen a 150+ pip pullback, breaking 2940.
With no major fundamentals today, we could range, but my bias remains bullish. Looking for pullback buys from 2929, 2940, or 2950, or continuation buys above 2956.
A break and close below 2919 could lead to a deeper pullback toward 2900 before regaining bullish momentum.
Bitcoin Crash Incoming? Price Target Set at $71,200!The newly developed accumulation detection indicator currently shows a significant accumulation at the peak of Bitcoin, with a width of 20.9%. Typically, when such accumulations break out, the price tends to move in the breakout direction by an amount equal to the accumulation width, i.e., 20.9%. A breakout is confirmed when the closing price of a bar falls outside one of the accumulation boundaries.
I believe that the closing price is more likely to occur beyond the lower boundary of the accumulation, which would indicate a prolonged downward movement of 20.9% from the lower boundary. This corresponds to a target of approximately $71,200.
This indicator is optimized for use on the daily Bitcoin chart, and historical data suggests that breakout targets are met with high accuracy—unless a subsequent range forms immediately after the previous one.
Wishing you success in your trading!
US30-Bearish Momentum in Play as DowJones Drops Below Pivot ZoneUS30 Analysis – February 25, 2025
🔻 Bearish Momentum in Play as Dow Jones Drops Below Pivot Zone
US30 has continued its downward movement, as previously anticipated . The price remains below the pivot line (43,765) and has already tested the support at 43,350. However, to confirm further downside toward 42,770, the price must break below 43,212 with a 4H candle close.
🔹 Technical Outlook:
📉 Bearish Scenario:
As long as US30 remains below 43,760, the downward pressure is expected to continue.
A 4H candle close below 43,212 will confirm a bearish continuation toward 42,770.
📈 Bullish Reversal:
Stability above 43,212 will lead to a range-bound movement between 43,212 and 43,765 until a breakout occurs.
A 4H candle close above the pivot zone (43,765) is required for the bullish trend to resume.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 43,690 | 43,900 | 44,210
Pivot: 43,580
Support: 43,212 | 43,030 | 42,770
⚠️ Directional Bias:
Currently, US30 is consolidating within the 43,212 – 43,765 range. A break below 43,212 will confirm the bearish trend continuation.
BTC/USD - 15M SMC Analysis📊 BTC/USD - 15M SMC Analysis
📉 Current Price: 90,636.47
📊 SMC Levels & Market Structure:
✅ Demand Zone (Green Area) – Potential reversal zone
✅ Key Breakout Level: 92,871.74
✅ Final Target: 94,945.60
🔹 Trading Plan – Bullish Bias
📈 Entry: Look for confirmations at the demand zone for a buy setup.
🎯 First Target: 92,871.74 (Breakout confirmation)
🎯 Final Target: 94,945.60 (Major resistance area)
📌 Key Considerations:
• Watch for liquidity grabs before the price moves up.
• If 92,871.74 holds as support, expect a push toward 94,945.60.
• Invalidation: Drop below the demand zone may indicate further downside.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney #Liquidity #SMC #OrderBlock #FXFOREVER
USD/JPY 4-Hour Time Frame AnalysisUSD/JPY 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis
On the 1-hour timeframe, USD/JPY is in a downtrend, consistently forming lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). Recently, price retested the minor resistance at 150.500 before breaking below the key support level at 149.450, signaling increased bearish momentum.
Following the breakout, price retraced upwards, likely targeting sellers' stop-losses placed above 149.450. This retracement indicates a liquidity grab, as market makers aim to trap retail traders anticipating a trend reversal.
Currently, the price is positioned within a liquidity zone. If further bearish pressure emerges, we expect the downtrend to continue. Our strategy is to wait for a 4-hour candle to close below the 149.450 level for confirmation. Upon this confirmation, we will place a sell limit order at 149.380, aligning with our risk parameters.
Sell Limit Entry: 149.380 (below key level)
Stop Loss (SL): 150.290 (above liquidity)
Take Profit (TP): 147.360 (next minor key support)
Key Levels:
Minor Resistance: 150.500
Minor Support: 149.450 (previously broken)
This plan aims to capitalize on the continuation of the bearish structure while maintaining disciplined risk management.
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent statements from billionaire investor Steve Cohen suggest a bearish outlook on the US economy. Speaking at the Future Investment Initiative Institute's summit in Miami Beach (source: Bloomberg), Cohen highlighted several macroeconomic headwinds that could negatively impact the USD:
Slowing US Economic Growth:
Cohen predicts US GDP growth will decline to 1.5% in the second half of the year, down from 2.5%.
Impact of Tariffs and Immigration Laws:
New tariffs and tighter immigration policies under President Trump's administration are expected to weigh heavily on economic growth.
Tariffs cannot be positive. It’s a tax, Cohen stated, warning that a potential tit-for-tat tariff war could further drag the economy down.
Government Cost-Cutting:
Elon Musk's leadership of the Department of Government Efficiency is pushing austerity measures, which Cohen described as a further headwind for growth.
Cohen also indicated a bearish market outlook, expressing concerns about a significant market correction in the near term.
Political Unrest and Its Impact on USD:
In addition to economic concerns, there is widespread political unrest across the United States. Throughout February, protests erupted nationwide, particularly in opposition to mass deportations and other administration policies. On February 5, a coordinated movement called "50 protests, 50 states, one day" saw large demonstrations outside state capitol buildings (source: Bloomberg). Such social and political instability could further erode investor confidence in the USD.
Conclusion:
Given the combination of technical patterns and fundamental pressures, the USD/JPY pair is likely to experience further downward movement:
Technical Confirmation:
If the price breaks and closes below 149.450 on the 4-hour chart, it will provide a strong bearish signal.
Fundamental Factors:
Slowing economic growth,
Tariff-induced trade friction, and
Political unrest under President Trump's administration contribute to a weaker USD outlook.
Based on these factors, our sell bias is supported by both market structure and economic fundamentals. We aim to execute our sell order at 149.380, targeting a downward move toward 147.360, while managing risk with a stop loss at 150.290.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
GBP/JPY - 1H SMC Analysis📊 GBP/JPY - 1H SMC Analysis
🔹 Market Structure & Key Zones:
✅ A+ Level: 189.954 - 190.369 (Potential liquidity grab area)
✅ Key Resistance Zone: 190.233 - 190.369
✅ Major Target: 187.510 (Potential 250+ pip move)
🔹 Potential Trade Scenarios:
📉 Bearish Setup:
• Price is in a premium zone (190.233 - 190.369), making it a high-probability short area.
• If price reacts at the A+ Level, we could see a drop towards 187.510.
• Risk-free trade achieved above the resistance.
📈 Bullish Case (Low Probability):
• If price breaks and holds above 190.369, it may continue towards 190.63 - 190.85.
📌 Trade Plan:
🔹 Entry Idea: Sell from 189.954 - 190.369 zone.
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 190.85 (Safe zone).
🔹 Take Profit: 187.510 (250+ pips move).
💡 Conclusion:
• Watching for rejection at A+ Level for a short entry.
• If price fails to hold below 190.369, reevaluate the bias.
#GBPJPY #SmartMoney #ForexTrading #LiquidityGrab #OrderBlock #RiskManagement #FXFOREVER
GOLD (XAUUSD): Consolidation & Complete Indecision⚠️Gold is currently trading in a horizontal range on a 4-hour chart.
There are two possible scenarios depending on which direction the breakout occurs.
📈In a bullish scenario, if the price breaks above the 2956 resistance and closes above it on a 4-hour chart, I anticipate a bullish movement towards the 2980 level.
📉In a bearish scenario, if the market breaks below the 2916 support and closes below it, a bearish movement towards the 2900 level is expected.
As always, the breakout is the best confirmation, so it is recommended to wait patiently for that.
Gold (XAU/USD) - 15M SMC Analysis📊 Gold (XAU/USD) - 15M SMC Analysis
🔹 Market Structure & Key Zones:
✅ Break of Structure (BOS): Recent bearish move suggests a shift in momentum.
✅ Supply & Demand Zones:
• Current Demand Zone: $2,935 - $2,938 (Price reacting to this area)
• Next Demand Zone: $2,923 (If price breaks lower)
• Major Demand Zone: $2,900 - $2,905 (Strong liquidity area)
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Immediate Resistance: $2,938 (Needs to break for further upside)
✅ Support Levels: $2,935, $2,923, $2,900 (Potential liquidity grab)
🔹 Potential Scenarios:
📈 Bullish Case:
• If price holds above $2,935, we could see a reversal towards $2,945 - $2,950.
• Break above $2,938 confirms bullish momentum.
📉 Bearish Case:
• If price breaks below $2,935, it may head towards $2,923 and potentially $2,900.
• Liquidity Grab Setup: Possible sweep below $2,923 before reversing up.
📌 Trade Idea:
🔹 Aggressive Buyers: Look for bullish confirmation from $2,935 for longs.
🔹 Breakout Traders: Sell below $2,935 targeting $2,923 - $2,905.
🔹 Safe Entries: Wait for liquidity grab at $2,900 - $2,905 before buying.
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #SmartMoney #LiquidityHunt #OrderBlock #SMC #ForexAnalysis #FXFOREVER
CYCLE 4 | LOG Trend Lines Chart - For Fun!Quick post looking at how BTC has historically respected 'log trend lines and how they may affect BTC future price action.
Will be fun to see how this model holds up over cycle 4 and future BTC cycles (view on a computer and use the future price action tools to see what happened past todays post date).
#LDOUSDT: Triangle Breakout – Next Move?Market Overview:
#LDOUSDT has been in a strong uptrend and recently formed a triangle pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. This pattern typically signals trend continuation, and we just witnessed a breakout!
Key Observations:
🔹 Triangle breakout confirmed – bullish signal!
🔹 Resistance Level: Watch for a clean break for further confirmation.
🔹 Potential Targets (TPs): Higher highs expected if momentum holds.
Strategy:
🔹 If price retests the breakout zone and holds, we could see a strong bullish continuation.
🔹 Invalidation: If price falls back into the pattern, we may see a fakeout scenario.
What’s your take? Will #LDOUSDT pump higher or is this a bull trap? Share your thoughts below!
Follow for more chart updates, trade ideas, and market insights!
SOLUSDT: Preparing for a Breakout? Key Levels to Watch!Current Trend: #SOL is in a downtrend but is now testing a strong support zone, indicating a potential reversal.
Technical Outlook:
🔹 Support Zone: $158(Strong demand area)
🔹 Resistance Level: $175 (Breakout confirmation level)
🔹 4H Timeframe Analysis: #SOL is currently making a correction, and a breakout above the resistance level could trigger a strong bullish move.
Trading Plan:
🔹 Bullish Scenario: If #SOL breaks above the resistance, it could push toward new higher highs, targeting $270 and beyond.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If it fails to break resistance, we may see another pullback to retest lower levels.
Key Insights:
🔹 #SOL remains a strong project with the potential to break its ATH in the long run.
🔹 Waiting for a clean breakout ensures we enter with proper risk management.
What’s Your View? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
🔹 Follow for More: Daily insights, trade setups, and market updates!
ADA Price Action – Bearish Breakdown or Reversal?Key Insights:
#ADA has been in a strong downtrend after breaking a key support level and is now forming a harmonic pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. This could signal an upcoming move—but will it be a continuation or a reversal? Let's analyze!
Current Market Structure:
🔹 Downtrend intact after breaking key support
🔹 Harmonic pattern forming—potential reversal zone
🔹 Key level to watch: If #ADA breaks and closes below the current support, it could trigger a strong bearish move
Trading Plan:
🔹 Bearish Confirmation: If #ADA closes a candle below support, we will look for a short entry with proper risk management
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A fakeout and reclaim above support could lead to a strong bounce—watch for reversal signs!
Your Thoughts?
What’s your bias? Are you taking this short setup, or do you see a reversal coming? Drop your thoughts in the comments! Let’s discuss!
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, COMMENT 💬, and FOLLOW for more insights!
XRP at Critical Level – Major Move Incoming! Bullish OR BearishCurrent Market Structure:
#XRP is in a downtrend and has recently broken a key support level, signaling potential further downside. However, a Bullish Harmonic Pattern is forming on the 4H timeframe, which could indicate a possible trend reversal.
Key Technical to Watch:
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If #XRP continues to reject resistance and fails to reclaim lost support, the bearish trend may continue toward the next key levels.
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A bullish divergence on the 1H or 4H timeframe could trigger an upward move, forming new higher highs (HHs) and higher lows (HLs).
Trade Setup:
🔹 Short Position: If price stays below resistance & rejection continues.
🔹 Long Position: If bullish divergence confirms & price reclaims lost levels.
Big Move Expected – Watch Closely!
What’s Your Bias? Bullish or Bearish? Comment Below!
#XRP #Crypto #Trading #HarmonicPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(BTCUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (BTCUSD) ready for( SEEL )trade ( BTCUSD) SEEL zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (94600) to (94400) 📊
FIRST TP (95100)📊
2ND TARGET (95500)📊
LAST TARGET (96200) 📊
STOP LOOS (93500)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management