EUR/USD - Bullish parallel channel formation!The EUR/USD currency pair is currently exhibiting a bullish market structure on the 4-hour timeframe, moving steadily within a well-defined ascending parallel channel. Price action has consistently bounced between the lower and upper boundaries of the channel, with each dip finding support at the lower trendline and each rally meeting resistance near the upper trendline. This ongoing pattern suggests a strong and orderly bullish trend as the pair continues to make higher highs and higher lows within the channel.
The Market’s Upward Momentum
One notable feature of this trend is the recurring formation of 4-hour Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) during each upward leg. These FVGs act as temporary inefficiencies in the price movement, which the market consistently returns to fill before resuming its bullish momentum. As shown in the chart, the EUR/USD has filled multiple FVGs over the past week. Today, the pair once again retraced to fill a newly formed 4H FVG and has since continued its move higher. This repeated behavior reinforces the strength of the uptrend, as the market efficiently corrects itself and then propels further in the direction of the overall trend.
Bullish Outlook
From a bullish perspective, the key level to watch is the horizontal resistance zone around 1.1766. A confirmed break and hold above this level would signal a strong continuation of the current uptrend. Should the price sustain itself above this level, it could initiate a renewed push toward the upper boundary of the ascending channel, potentially targeting levels near 1.1820 and beyond. This scenario would confirm market confidence and open the door for further gains.
Bearish Risk
On the flip side, the bearish case would involve a false breakout above the 1.1766 resistance level, followed by a sharp rejection and a break below the rising lower trendline of the channel. Such a move would invalidate the current structure and shift the bias to the downside. In that case, the 4-hour FVG located between approximately 1.1710 and 1.1740 will act as a critical support zone. If this area fails to hold, it could trigger a deeper retracement and potentially lead to a more prolonged bearish correction.
Final thoughts
In summary, the EUR/USD is currently respecting a bullish parallel channel on the 4-hour timeframe, with upward moves consistently leaving and then filling 4H FVGs before continuing higher. The 1.1766 level is pivotal, a sustained break above it favors continued bullish momentum, while a rejection and breakdown from the channel could signal a bearish reversal. Traders should closely monitor price behavior around this key level and the integrity of the ascending channel to anticipate the next significant move.
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Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Support and Resistance
BTC/USD – 4H Technical and Fundamental AnalysisBTC/USD – 4H Technical and Fundamental Analysis
BTC/USD saw sharp downside pressure today, driven by a wave of long position liquidations—exceeding $800 million across the crypto market in the past 24 hours. The sudden shift triggered panic selling, dragging Bitcoin below its psychological and technical support near $116,000. Broader crypto market sentiment turned risk-off as large investors reduced exposure, accelerating the sell-off.
Fundamentally, the market remains cautious amid a lack of positive macroeconomic catalysts for risk assets. Speculation about stricter U.S. regulatory oversight and declining inflows into crypto ETFs also dampened sentiment. Combined with hawkish remarks from Fed officials, which keep interest rates elevated, appetite for high-risk assets like Bitcoin weakened further.
From a technical perspective, BTC/USD broke below the major support level of $116,000, confirming bearish pressure. This breakdown followed a period of consolidation, with price failing to maintain bullish momentum. A liquidity hunt appears to be underway, with price revisiting the zone to trap breakout traders before resuming its move.
We are now watching for a confirmed 4H candle close below the liquidity zone. Once confirmed, a short setup is validated, with targets aligned with the next key support zone.
📍 Sell Setup
Entry: Sell Limit at 115,980.00
Stop Loss: 117,985.00
Take Profit: 111,940.00
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
GOLD → Countertrend correction. Where will growth begin?FX:XAUUSD faced pressure in the 3430 zone, traders moved into profit-taking mode, triggering a correction. The price entered the sell-off zone...
On Thursday, gold is trading below $3400 as traders assess progress in US-EU trade talks and await preliminary PMI data from the US and the EU. These indicators could influence expectations for Fed and ECB rates. Optimism is being bolstered by reports of trade agreements between the US and Japan and other countries. The ECB is expected to keep rates unchanged, while the probability of a Fed rate cut in September is estimated at 60%. Investors are also watching Trump's conflict with Powell amid his visit to the Fed. Technically, the daily market structure is not broken, and a correction is forming within acceptable limits.
Based on the current direction, the market may test the intermediate bottom: trend support, the 3345-3320 area.
Resistance levels: 3375, 3383, 3400.
Support levels: 3345, 3320
A retest of resistance at 3375-3383 is possible. If the bears keep the price below this zone, the metal may continue its correction phase towards the zone of interest indicated on the chart. Local sell-offs have not yet broken the bullish daily structure.
However, the absence of a downward impulse and consolidation in 3375 - 3383 with a subsequent breakout of local resistance could increase demand again, which would generally lead to premature growth to 3400 - 3435.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC/USD – 4H Technical and Fundamental AnalysisBTC/USD – 4H Technical and Fundamental Analysis
BTC/USD saw sharp downside pressure today, driven by a wave of long position liquidations—exceeding $800 million across the crypto market in the past 24 hours. The sudden shift triggered panic selling, dragging Bitcoin below its psychological and technical support near $116,000. Broader crypto market sentiment turned risk-off as large investors reduced exposure, accelerating the sell-off.
Fundamentally, the market remains cautious amid a lack of positive macroeconomic catalysts for risk assets. Speculation about stricter U.S. regulatory oversight and declining inflows into crypto ETFs also dampened sentiment. Combined with hawkish remarks from Fed officials, which keep interest rates elevated, appetite for high-risk assets like Bitcoin weakened further.
From a technical perspective, BTC/USD broke below the major support level of $116,000, confirming bearish pressure. This breakdown followed a period of consolidation, with price failing to maintain bullish momentum. A liquidity hunt appears to be underway, with price revisiting the zone to trap breakout traders before resuming its move.
We are now watching for a confirmed 4H candle close below the liquidity zone. Once confirmed, a short setup is validated, with targets aligned with the next key support zone.
📍 Sell Setup
Entry: Sell Limit at 115,980.00
Stop Loss: 117,985.00
Take Profit: 111,940.00
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
GOLD: clean pullback - now let’s see if support holdsGold continues to trade within an ascending channel on the 4H chart. After a local high, the price pulled back and is now approaching the key zone at 3333–3335. This area lines up with the 0.79 Fib retracement, the lower channel boundary, and a major volume cluster — a classic confluence zone.
If buyers show up here and we get a bullish reversal candle, this becomes a valid long setup with a tight stop just below the level. First target is 3373 (0.5 Fib), followed by a potential retest of the high near 3439.
The structure remains intact, the pullback is orderly, and volume supports the move. As long as the channel holds - the bias stays bullish.
BITCOIN Indicates Consolidating Moves Before StronBitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis Report
Summary and Conclusion
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around $117,000 to $118,000, showing a slight pullback from its recent all-time high near $123,000. The market sentiment is moderately bullish but cautious, with technical indicators signaling some overbought conditions and short-term consolidation. Institutional interest appears to be cooling off slightly, as evidenced by recent outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, while accumulation continues across various investor tiers, including whales and retail holders.
Key resistance is near $119,400-$120,000, and support lies around $117,200-$116,900. The market is in a "perfect accumulation" phase, with strong buying support despite some profit-taking. The Fear & Greed Index is at 70, indicating greed but not extreme euphoria.
Recent news highlights a mixed picture: Bitcoin remains dominant and stable, but altcoins are gaining some momentum. Institutional flows are shifting somewhat from Bitcoin to Ethereum and other altcoins. Experts predict potential for Bitcoin to reach $200,000 to $250,000 later this year, driven by macroeconomic factors like credit expansion and fiat inflation.
Detailed Analysis
1. Price and Market Data
Market Type Last Price (USD) 24h Change 24h High 24h Low 24h Volume (USD) Funding Rate (Contract)
Spot 116,959.8 -1.65% 119,498.4 116,946.6 1.43B N/A
Contract 116,962.7 -1.65% 119,492.9 116,935.5 8.91B 0.0001
Bitcoin is consolidating below $120,000 after reaching a peak of $123,218 on July 14.
Trading volume remains robust, indicating active market participation.
2. Technical Indicators
Bullish Signals: No strong bullish technical indicators currently detected.
Bearish Signals: RSI indicates overbought conditions, suggesting short-term caution.
Support and Resistance:
Resistance: ~$119,416.6
Support: ~$117,227.4
MACD and other momentum indicators show indecisiveness, implying possible sideways movement or minor corrections before the next major move.
3. Market Sentiment
Fear & Greed Index: 70 (Greed)
Investor sentiment is bullish but tempered by profit-taking and cautious positioning.
ETF flows show a recent reversal with $68 million outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, ending a 13-day inflow streak.
Ethereum and altcoins are attracting more inflows, signaling a rotation in institutional interest.
4. Recent News Highlights
Bitcoin remains dominant but has been mostly stagnant below $120K, while altcoins struggle for momentum.
Institutional investors are shifting some capital from Bitcoin to Ethereum and other altcoins.
Bitcoin is in a "perfect accumulation" phase, with all investor tiers building positions despite some whale transfers.
Experts like Arthur Hayes predict Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by year-end, driven by credit expansion and macroeconomic factors.
Network activity shows a slight dip in active addresses, indicating a short-term pause.
Support levels around $116,952 and $114,354 are critical to watch for downside risk.
Bitcoin's dominance remains strong at around 61%.
5. Outlook
Short-term: Bitcoin may continue to consolidate between $117,000 and $120,000, with potential minor pullbacks due to overbought RSI.
Medium to Long-term: Positive macro factors and accumulation trends suggest potential for new highs, possibly targeting $150,000 to $250,000.
Watch for a breakout above $120,000 to confirm bullish momentum continuation.
Monitor ETF flows and on-chain activity for signs of renewed institutional interest or caution.
Recommendations for Traders and Investors
Traders: Consider cautious trading around current levels, watching for RSI and MACD signals for entry/exit points. Be mindful of resistance near $120,000.
Investors: Accumulation phase suggests good opportunities for long-term holding, especially if Bitcoin holds above $117,000.
Risk Management: Keep stop-loss orders near support levels to mitigate downside risk in case of a correction.
350pips Secured — Focus Shifts to Dip-Buying StrategyToday's trading was very successful, and the grasp of the long and short rhythm was very accurate. Today's trading situation is as follows:
1. Close the short position with an overnight entry price of around 3386 near 3380, with a loss of 60 pips, and the loss amount exceeded $6K;
2. Directly short gold near 3380, manually close the position near 3366, profit 130pips, profit amount exceeded $12K;
3. Long gold near 3356, hit TP: 3372 and end the transaction, profit 160pips, profit amount exceeded $8K;
4. Long gold near 3362, hit TP; 3375 and end the transaction, profit 120pips, profit amount exceeded $6K.
Intraday trading summary: Today, the long and short sides completed a total of 4 transactions, one of which suffered a loss, but the net profit was 350pips, and the profit amount exceeded $20K. For short-term trading, I think I can submit a satisfactory answer to myself today!
How to execute the transaction next? Gold started to pull back from around 3438 and has now reached a low of around 3351, with a retracement of more than 870pips. The retracement space is not small. However, gold has stabilized above 3350 and has started a technical rebound repair, and the upward force is not weak, so gold may have completed the retracement. Under the support of these two technical conditions, gold may regain its upward momentum and hit 3400 again.
At present, the short-term resistance is obvious, located in the area near 3380. Once gold breaks through 3380, gold will inevitably continue to rise and hit 3400 again; but I think as long as gold stabilizes above 3350, it is not difficult to break through the short-term resistance of 3380, so gold will inevitably test the 3400 mark again; and the short-term support below is in the 3365-3355 area. Gold may still retreat to this area first during the rise in order to increase liquidity and accumulate momentum, helping gold to break through 3380 more easily.
So for the next short-term trading, I think it is feasible to go long on gold in the 3365-3355 area, first looking at the target area of 3380-3390, and then 3400.
$NQ SUPPLY AND DEMAND ZONES 7/24/25www.tradingview.com
This is SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ chart for my YouTube community.
Intrigued to see if we sweep for a new ATH or a rejection to test demand levels below.
With a new ATH, gotta wait for more S/D S/R levels to be created.
Will resort to imbalance playbook or S/R play until then.
Japanese Candlestick Cheat Sheet – Part Three- 3 candle patternsSo far in this series, we've broken down single candle formations ( Part 1 ) and explored double candle signals ( Part 2 ) — the kind of patterns that give you quick, often powerful hints about the market’s mood.
But now it’s time to go a step further.
👉 In Part 3, we dive into triple candlestick formations — patterns that take more time to form, but often offer stronger confirmation and a more reliable narrative.
They’re like reading three full sentences from the market instead of just one or two words.
If you’re ready to spot momentum shifts (not noise), this lesson is for you.
Let’s decode the story behind formations like Morning Star, Three White Soldiers, and so on.
MORNING STAR
Bias: Bullish
What is the Morning Star pattern?
The Morning Star pattern consists of a bearish candle, a small-bodied middle candle, and a bullish candle, forming at the end of a downtrend to signal potential reversal. This pattern reflects a shift from seller dominance to buyer strength, as the middle candle marks a pause before a reversal. The Morning Star is a reliable signal that buyer interest is reemerging.
Understanding Morning Stars helps traders anticipate shifts in momentum, providing valuable entry points for new uptrends.
Meaning:
Found in downtrends; signals potential bullish reversal as buyers gain control, with strength confirmed by the third candle closing above the first.
BULLISH ABANDONED BABY
Bias: Bullish
What is the Bullish Abandoned Baby pattern?
The Bullish Abandoned Baby is a rare but powerful reversal pattern that consists of a bearish candle, a gapped doji, and a bullish candle. The middle doji reflects indecision, while the third bullish candle confirms the reversal. This pattern highlights a dramatic shift in sentiment, showing that buyers are prepared to take control.
Recognizing the Bullish Abandoned Baby can offer traders insights into pivotal market shifts.
Meaning:
Appears in downtrends; suggests a strong bullish reversal, as the middle doji shows indecision, with confirmation by a strong bullish move.
THREE WHITE SOLDIERS
What is the Three White Soldiers pattern?
The Three White Soldiers pattern consists of three consecutive bullish candles, each closing higher than the last, often appearing in downtrends to signal a potential bullish reversal. This pattern reflects sustained buying pressure, indicating that buyer sentiment is strong. Psychologically, it shows that buyers are steadily gaining confidence, pushing prices upward.
For traders, Three White Soldiers provide a clear signal of momentum, ideal for capturing emerging trends.
Meaning:
Found in downtrends; signals potential trend reversal, showing sustained buying strength, often signaling the start of a bullish trend.
MORNING DOJI STAR
What is the Morning Doji Star pattern?
The Morning Doji Star pattern is similar to the Morning Star, but with a doji as the middle candle, indicating greater indecision before a reversal. This pattern consists of a bearish candle, a doji, and a bullish candle, highlighting a transition from bearish to bullish sentiment. The doji reflects a moment when market sentiment is balanced, but the third candle confirms a bullish shift.
Interpreting Morning Doji Stars can help traders identify turning points in downtrends, providing valuable entry opportunities.
Meaning:
Appears in downtrends; signals potential bullish reversal, with indecision from the doji and confirmation by a strong bullish candle.
EVENING STAR
What is the Evening Star pattern?
The Evening Star is a three-candle pattern that appears at the top of an uptrend, signaling a potential bearish reversal. It consists of a bullish candle, a small-bodied middle candle, and a bearish candle, showing a transition from buyer control to seller strength. This pattern often appears at market peaks, where optimism is giving way to caution.
Understanding the Evening Star pattern helps traders anticipate downtrend formations, allowing them to time their exits.
Meaning:
Found in uptrends; signals potential bearish reversal as sellers gain control, confirmed if the third candle closes below the first.
BEARISH ABANDONED BABY
What is the Bearish Abandoned Baby pattern?
The Bearish Abandoned Baby is the bearish counterpart to the Bullish Abandoned Baby and consists of a bullish candle, a gapped doji, and a bearish candle. This pattern reveals a dramatic shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish, highlighting a sudden reversal at the top of an uptrend.
Recognizing the Bearish Abandoned Baby can offer traders insight into market tops and impending trend changes.
Meaning:
Appears in uptrends; indicates strong bearish reversal, as indecision in the doji is followed by selling strength.
THREE BLACK CROWS
What is the Three Black Crows pattern?
The Three Black Crows pattern consists of three consecutive bearish candles, each closing lower than the last, appearing in uptrends to signal potential reversal. This pattern reflects sustained selling pressure, indicating that sellers are gaining control. The Three Black Crows highlight a moment when buyer confidence wanes, marking the beginning of downward momentum.
For traders, this pattern provides a clear signal to avoid buying into weakening trends or even entering short trades.
Meaning:
Found in uptrends; signals potential bearish reversal, with sustained selling pressure often marking the start of a downtrend.
EVENING DOJI STAR
What is the Evening Doji Star pattern?
The Evening Doji Star is similar to the Evening Star, but with a doji as the middle candle, highlighting greater indecision. This pattern consists of a bullish candle, a doji, and a bearish candle, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. The doji suggests that buyers are losing control, with sellers prepared to reverse the trend.
Understanding Evening Doji Stars allows traders to recognize market tops, helping them avoid overextended trends.
Meaning:
Appears in uptrends; signals potential bearish reversal, as the doji suggests indecision, confirmed by strong selling on the third candle.
Gold technical outlook – Signs of exhaustion at channel topOANDA:XAUUSD is climbing within a well-defined ascending channel, and price is now brushing up against the upper boundary, a dynamic resistance zone that has historically triggered pullbacks. If price gets rejected here, we may see a healthy correction toward the key support at 3,350, offering a potential reload point for bulls.
Should buyers step in and defend this level, the bullish structure remains intact, setting the stage for a renewed push higher. On the other hand, a clean break below 3,350 could open the door for a deeper retracement toward the lower edge of the channel, where more significant demand may lie.
All eyes should be on price action and volume in this regio, watch for reversal patterns like bullish pin bars or engulfing candles to confirm entries. As always, risk management comes first. Don't trade assumptions, trade confirmations.
What’s your take on this setup? Drop your thoughts below and let’s discuss!
ATLAS ENERGY Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 072425Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 13.2/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:C
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
RPC Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 072425Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 4.6/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
LIBERTY ENERGY Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 072425Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 11.6/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
WTI crude: $65 floor holds again as bulls test 50-day MAAfter nine failures to break and close beneath $65 per barrel over the past month, you have to wonder how much longer bears will persist in attempting to take out the level. Following a nice pop higher on Thursday, completing a morning star pattern and closing above the 50-day moving average, it may be time for WTI bulls to have their day in the sun.
For those eyeing long setups, positions could be initiated above the 50-day moving average with a stop beneath for protection against reversal.
As for potential targets, the contract had little luck breaking cleanly above the 200-day moving average earlier this month, making it screen as a suitable level. It’s found just below $68 per barrel today.
Good luck!
DS
Welcome Back! Gold Trading Strategy & Key Zones to WatchIn this week’s welcome back video, I’m breaking down my updated approach to XAU/USD and how I plan to tackle the Gold markets in the coming days. After taking a short break, I’m back with fresh eyes and refined focus.
We’ll review current market structure, identify key liquidity zones, and outline the scenarios I’m watching for potential entries. Whether you’re day trading or swing trading gold, this breakdown will help you frame your week with clarity and confidence.
📌 Covered in this video:
My refreshed trading mindset after a break
Key support/resistance and liquidity zones
Market structure insights and setup conditions
What I’ll personally avoid this week
The “trap zones” that might catch retail traders off guard
🧠 Let’s focus on process over profits — welcome back, and let’s get to work.
Is $PENGU Cooling Off?CSECY:PENGU continues to deliver, respecting structure and printing some clean price action. After breaking out of consolidation beneath the LOI at 0.032, price extended sharply, reaching as high as 0.0469—where we just saw a firm rejection, previously identified in the last update.
That level wasn’t random. It aligned with a Most Likely Target (MLT) for a wave 5 at a lesser degree and a wave 3 at a higher degree. That kind of confluence usually draws in some heat—and it did.
So what now?
The conservative bull outlook is that we may be entering a wave 4. How this pullback unfolds could tell us a lot. The last retrace was shallow, and if this one digs a bit deeper or breaks certain levels with pattern clarity, that might signal a higher degree wave 4 is underway. The key level here is the 0.0325 level we were watching before.
The raging bull scenario is that we’re still in a lesser degree impulse up. A hold and bounce off the key level could be enough to continue the move higher. But I’m watching the conservative outlook here until we get more print.
Here’s what I’m watching:
• Wave 4 Behavior
Is this a pause or a pivot? The next leg depends on how corrective this gets.
• 0.027
A break here would raise eyebrows. That’s a deeper level of interest and could hint at something more than a minor pullback.
• Pattern Depth & Structure
Each retrace tells a story. More complex wave 4s tend to show themselves through drawn-out corrections or deeper fib targets.
I’m still holding partial from the original 0.012 entry, having taken some profit on the way up. If we get a clean W4 print, I’ll be scouting for the next add.
Trade what’s printed. Stay flexible. Let the wave show its hand.
Trade Safe.
Trade Clarity.
SELL USTEC 25.7.2025Reversal trade order: SELL at H1~M15 (all-time high - ATH)
Type of entry: Limit order
Reason:
- The price breakout the sub key of M15, confirming it will hit the main key M15.
- There is a key H1 support at the entry point.
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of bottom of M15 (23,343)
Set up entry:
- Entry sell at 23,264
- SL at 23,281
- TP1: 23,243
- TP2: 23,223
- TP3: 23,207
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
EURCAD Wave Analysis – 24 July 2025- EURCAD reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.6100
EURCAD currency pair earlier reversed up from the support zone between the key support level 1.5950 (former monthly high from April), 20-day moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from May.
The upward reversal from this support zone started the active minor impulse wave iii – which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the end of 2024.
Given the overriding daily uptrend, EURCAD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.6100 (which stopped the previous impulse wave i in June).
Ebay Wave Analysis – 24 July 2025
- Ebay broke round resistance level 80.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 84.00
Ebay recently broke the round resistance level 80.00 (which stopped the previous intermediate impulse wave (5) at the start of June, as can be seen below).
The breakout of the resistance level 80.00 accelerated the active minor impulse wave 3 – which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of July.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Ebay can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 84.00 (target price for the completion of the active minor impulse wave 3).