Is GBPUSD ready for a pullback?With the current wave count the structures show a possibility that impulsive wave 1 is completed. If we are correct we should expect price to drop correctively for wave 2. To take advantage of the decline a trader should find other confluences that support the idea. Trade responsibly.
Support and Resistance
AUDCAD re-entry DocumentationRe-entry on my Monday trade as no confluence was broken;
Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.89500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.21
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability : Manage Your Risk : Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique : Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
EURUSD: at key resistance: Will price rebound to 11300?Quick recap on EURUSD, seriously déjà vu of my previous analysis on EURUSD - once again we see the price coming towards the same resistance level. This is a level where it has struggled to break through and reversed nicely to the downside as expected. For me it's definitely one to monitor, especially for anyone considering short trades.
If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum, I think we could see a move down toward the 1.11300 level. I am targeting a slight bounce like before, nothing major. But if price cleanly breaks out, that would rule out the bearish outlook and suggest even further upside will follow.
This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
AA eyes on $27.71: Top of Serious Support Zone for bulls to holdAA has been struggling for a while now.
Current wave up is retracing to a support.
Look for bounce here to continue uptrend.
$ 27.71 is a minor Covid fib at top of zone
$ 27.12 a Golden Genesis fib at zone bottom.
$ 29.44 is a semi-major Covid fib resistance.
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EURUSD - The Bears Are Getting Started!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been bullish trading within the rising blue channel.
However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of both red and blue channels.
🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper trendlines and orange resistance zone.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Crude Oil – Geopolitical Risks and Stockpiles Impacting PricesThe recent reduction in global trade tensions has helped Crude Oil (WTI) prices recover from lows of 55.64 seen on May 5th, to trade comfortably above 60 for the last 2 weeks. Traders have readjusted their thinking and positioning to account for a slightly more stable background for the global economy, and its potential influence on upcoming demand for Oil.
However, despite this, tests of the recent highs at 65.33, seen on April 23rd, have been few and far between, although yesterday saw a spike in Crude Oil prices up to a 1 month high of 64.60 on a CNN report that suggested that Israel has drawn up plans to attack Iran's nuclear facilities. While prices have since moved lower again, the market reaction to this news does highlight the sensitivity of traders to any potential escalation in geopolitical risks in the region.
It is also important to remember that traders are still awaiting updates on progress from US/Iran talks to curb Iran's nuclear activities. President Trump only a week ago said a deal was getting close, while Iran's top negotiator has seen shed some doubt over whether that's the case. Either way, updates on both of these crucial events may well influence Crude Oil prices moving forward.
Adding to yesterday's volatile moves was a weekly report providing an update on the size of US Oil inventories which always grabs the attention of traders. Yesterday's release quickly dashed any hopes of a fresh move to test higher levels as it outlined an increase in stockpiles to 10 month highs and a fall in gasoline demand, which saw prices fall back lower (61.71 low) into the recent trading range.
This extra volatility within the recent trading range sets up a potentially tense finish to the week for Crude Oil prices, so its often useful to check out the technical landscape for further insight.
Technical Update: Evidence Points to a Sideways Range
Since the sharp acceleration lower into the 55.20 April 9th 2025 low, Crude Oil has seen a consolidation emerge, with the mid-April recovery finding resistance at 65.15, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of January 15th to April 9th 2025 weakness (see chart below).
This activity looks to have established both upper and lower extremes of a sideways range in price, especially as the latest price movement has been held within these levels, which are 65.15 to the upside and 55.20 to the downside.
Within technical analysis, this highlights something of a ‘battle’ between buyers and sellers, where price weakness is supported by buyers at or just above the 55.20 low, while price strength runs into resistance, as sellers continue to be found near the 38.2% retracement level at 65.15.
Adding Bollinger Bands To Support Trading Decisions
Now look at the chart below, where we include Bollinger bands alongside price action. This also appears to support an argument that a sideways trading range is forming.
The mid-average is currently flat with both the upper and lower Bollinger bands parallel to it, outlining that balanced price volatility is evident for now. This suggests the sideways range may well continue with the upper band, currently at 64.77 and the lower band, currently at 57.36.
We could argue that with the proximity of both the 65.15 Fibonacci retracement resistance to the upside, and the 55.20 April 9th low to the downside, upper extremes of the current range are 64.77/65.15, and lower levels of the current range are between 55.20/57.36.
What Could This Mean for Crude Oil?
For now at least, from a technical perspective the risks appear for the price of Crude Oil to remain within the confines of the current 55.20/57.36 up to 64.77/65.15 trading range, as there is no evidence emerging of an imminent breakout yet.
A closing breakout from the current range is required to suggest potential for a more extended phase of price movement,.
Of course, while any closing break is not a guarantee of a sustained move in the direction of the eventual break, any closes above 65.12/15 might see traders anticipate a further recovery in price towards 68.13, which is equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement, even 71.17, the higher 61.8% level.
To the downside, closes below the 55.20/57.30 lower daily Bollinger band and April 9th price low, might now be needed to skew possibilities towards a more extended phase of weakness.
Such activity might then suggest potential for further downside, towards 51.38, which was a price low established in January 2021.
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Has the S&P 500 rally ended?The US stock indices saw a noticeable drop in recent trading sessions, as markets wait for President Donald Trump’s new tax plan and its implications for US debt.
The S&P 500 had surged more than 23% since April, but the rally seems to have ended from a technical point of view, reflecting rising concerns about the US economy.
A bearish divergence appeared while prices were making higher highs, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) was making lower highs. This is a negative signal, and it played out clearly, pushing the index down to a new low. This suggests that bearish momentum is still strong.
What’s the possible next move?
Any current rise in the market may just be a temporary correction in a larger downtrend. A key resistance level for the S&P 500 is 5,937.55, which is 78% of the recent move based on Fibonacci retracement. The price could react negatively there, either with a small pullback or by continuing the downward trend toward 5,850.23.
However, if the price rises above 5,971.53 and closes above it on the daily chart, the negative outlook would be invalidated, and it could signal the beginning of a new upward trend.
PLTR eyes on $133.37: Golden Genesis fib that could mark a TOP PLTR with a ferocious recovery from tariff tantrums.
Bounce into All Time High has hit a Golden Genesis fib.
It is in tight confluence with a Golden Covid for strength.
$133.27 is the exact Golden Genesis fib.
$129.74 is a Golden Covid fib reinforcing.
$121.86 is the first strong support below.
Previous alert given at sister Golden Below:
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NZDJPY Wave Analysis – 22 May 2025- NZDJPY reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 84.00
NZDJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 87.30 (which has been reversing the price from February, as can be seen below), upper daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from November.
The downward reversal from the resistance zone stopped the previous intermediate ABC correction (A).
Given the overriding daily downtrend, NZDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 84.00 (low of the previous minor correction B).
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 22 May 2025- Bitcoin broke key resistance level 108055.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 115000.00
Bitcoin cryptocurrency pair recently broke above the key resistance level 108,055.00 (former monthly high from December and January, as can be seen below).
The breakout of the resistance level 108055.00 accelerated the active minor impulse wave 5 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of April.
Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 115,000.00 (which is the target price for the completion of the active minor impulse wave 5).
USDCAD Tests Key Trendline and Support ZoneUSDCAD has dropped below the 1.40 level after previously testing the 1.47 resistance during peak tariff fears. With the dollar index weakening and trade-related concerns easing, USDCAD has pulled back to a key trendline on the daily timeframe.
Since 2015, USDCAD has traded within a broad range between 1.20 and 1.47. After testing the 1.20 support in mid-2021, the pair entered a steady uptrend, which is now being tested once again. In addition to the rising trendline, there is also a horizontal support zone at 1.37–1.3880—previously a key resistance area during the 2023–2025 period. This convergence of trendline and horizontal support could provide strong support.
As long as the trendline holds, this test may offer a medium-term buying opportunity with a well-defined support area. Potential upside targets include 1.4020 and 1.4175, with a possible medium-term push back toward 1.47 if broader conditions align.
SUI — Breakout or Breakdown? Long & Short SetupsSUI has been trapped in a trading range for the past 6 days, consolidating between key levels and building up liquidity for the next big move. When price goes quiet like this after an impulsive structure, it’s not time to trade—it’s time to observe, analyse, and prepare.
So, where’s the next high-probability setup?
Let’s break it down:
🔹 Elliott Wave Context
From my previous SUI analysis, I identified a completed 5-wave impulse structure. After such a move, a corrective ABC pattern is typically next.
SUI has been respecting technical levels with surprising accuracy throughout this cycle—especially Fibonacci levels and key horizontal zones.
📉 ABC Correction in Progress?
Wave A appears to be completed, and Wave B was rejected at the yearly level in perfect confluence with the golden pocket (0.618–0.666) retracement of Wave A. This strongly suggests that Wave C is now unfolding.
Using the 1:1 trend-based Fib extension, the projected Wave C target lands at:
➡️ $3.6413
Let’s dig deeper—does this level hold up under further scrutiny?
🔍 Multi-Layered Confluence at $3.56–$3.64
Here’s what aligns at this potential support zone:
1:1 Fib extension (Wave A = Wave C) → $3.6413
0.55 Fib retracement (from $3.1132 to $4.2967) → ~$3.64
Volume Profile POC from prior range → ~$3.59
0.618 Fib retracement → $3.5653
Weekly level → $3.5594
21-Day EMA → $3.5537
21-Day SMA → $3.6319
0.75 Fib Speed Fan (if hit on May 16) → aligns with zone
This stack of levels gives us a tightly packed, high-conviction support area between:
📍 $3.56 – $3.646
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🟢 Long Setup Idea:
Entry Zone: Ladder entries between $3.56 and $3.75
Stop-Loss: $3.4546 (beneath confluence zone)
Take-Profit Target: $4.588 (0.786 Fib retracement + -0.236 Fib extension)
R:R: ~5:1
🚫 Invalidation: If SUI reclaims the yearly level at $4.1152 before revisiting this support, the setup is invalidated.
🔴 Short Setup Idea:
If SUI pushes into the 0.786 Fib retracement at $4.588 and shows clear rejection (e.g., SFP, bearish engulfing, high-volume reversal), a short can be considered.
Entry: On rejection at $4.588
Stop-Loss: ~$4.714
Targets:
TP1: $4.325 (recent highs)
TP2: $4.1152 (yearly level)
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is where trading becomes a game of patience. I’ve mapped both long and short setups based on structure, confluence, and price behaviour. Now it’s about waiting for price to come to your levels.
⏰ Alarms set.
📈 Let the chart do the work.
More updates to come as the range resolves. Stay sharp!
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If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
TRX/USDT Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring TRX/USDT for a buying opportunity around 0.2680 zone, TRX/USDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.2680 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
5/22 Gold Trading SignalsGood afternoon everyone!
Yesterday's trading session was a bit bumpy, but in the end, we achieved considerable profits.
Today, gold rose to around 3346 and then began to pull back. It is now approaching the 3300 support level.
🔍 From a technical perspective, the candlestick structure and several indicators suggest that bears may still attempt further downside:
Primary support area: 3288–3276 — if this holds, a rebound is expected, with resistance around 3309–3316.
Secondary support area: 3263–3248 — if it breaks lower, watch for a short-term bounce around 3276-3282.
📰 On the news front, Initial Jobless Claims and PMI data will be released today. These could trigger short-term volatility.
📌 Trading strategy for today includes two key scenarios:
If the data is bearish for the dollar and gold drops to 3253, look for buy opportunities.
If the data is bullish and gold rises to 3358, it's a good spot to sell into strength.
📈 Today’s Trading Recommendations:
📉 Sell near 3358–3372 (Resistance zone)
📈 Buy near 3263–3248 (Support zone)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels: 3253 / 3268 / 3277 / 3286 / 3298 / 3309 / 3316 / 3328 / 3348
Wishing everyone a smooth trading day. Feel free to leave a comment if you have any questions—I’ll get back to you as soon as possible.
Dow Jones Short Term Sell Trading PlanM15 - Strong bearish momentum
Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold I expect the price to continue lower further.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Intraday volatility,there is still chance to go long on pullback🗞News side:
1. The situation in Israel escalates
2. Initial jobless claims data
📈Technical aspects:
Influenced by recent news, gold showed a volatile rebound trend. Gold continued to rise in the early Asian session, r OANDA:XAUUSD eaching a high of around 3345. The 3290-3300 level below has absolute support in the short term. As long as it does not fall below 3290, you can go long at 3290-3300. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger opening and the moving average diverge upwards. The upward momentum is sufficient, and it is not easy to guess the top. Pay attention to the 3310-3300 line of support below, and pay attention to the suppression of the 3340-3350 area above. If the gold price stabilizes at 3350, it is expected to further explore the resistance of 3360-3370. If the European session falls into volatility, maintain the range of high selling and low buying, and consider going long when it retreats to the support level of 3320-3310.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD
A new round of gold price rise is coming?
💡Message Strategy
Economic data to watch
12:00, Lane, an official from the European Central Bank (ECB), will speak
12:00, Barkin, an official from the Federal Reserve (Fed), will speak
📊Technical aspects
Upward resistance: Short-term resistance is close to $3,320, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the downward trend from the high of $3,440 to the low of $3,120; the next major resistance is near $3,350. If it is clearly broken through, it may open up more upside space. The subsequent resistance may point to $3,380. After breaking through, the price may climb to the milestone level of $3,400.
Downward support: Initial support is close to $3,265, the first key support is near $3,220, the next major support is $3,200, and the core support is $3,220. If it falls below the $3,220 support, it may trigger further declines, and the next major support is $3,150.
Combined with the current trend of gold, from the hourly chart, gold has shown a downward retracement channel, and the upper resistance of around $20 has been repeatedly tested and has not been broken. It is not recommended to chase the rise at present.
Combined with the analysis of the downward four channels, the current mainstream trend of gold retreating to a high level and then shorting is
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3315-3320,3340-3350
Empress Royalty – Undervalued Precious Metals Royalty🔹 Fundamental Outlook:
Empress Royalty offers exposure to gold and silver through a diversified portfolio of streaming and royalty agreements, with a focus on earlier-stage producers and developers. Backed by strategic partnerships with Endeavour Financial and Terra Capital, the company leverages deep deal flow and structuring expertise, while keeping overhead lean.
Cash flowing from several active royalties
EV/EBITDA (TTM): ~2.3 – indicating deep value
Free Cash Flow: ~$33M
Float: Only ~43M shares – tightly held
No major debt concerns (cash/debt ratio ~1.44)
The recent appointment of Mark Ashcroft as Business Development Advisor (North America) further boosts Empress’ ability to scale its portfolio with quality assets in the region.
✅ Undervalued vs peers on cash flow and earnings
✅ Royalty model limits operational risk
✅ Exposure to gold and silver (a rare mix)
✅ Insiders and partners with long-standing mining credentials
✅ Benefiting from a rising silver sentiment and the search for non-dilutive capital by small/mid-tier miners
🔹 Risks:
Operator dependency (as a royalty company)
Exposure to early-stage projects with potentially higher execution risk
Thin trading volume at times, which may increase volatility
📈 Conclusion:
Empress Royalty is a fundamentally solid, technically bullish small-cap royalty play. With silver sentiment turning and precious metals investors rotating into high-leverage names, EMPR offers both growth potential and asymmetric reward/risk.