Weekly and Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
NASDAQ closed higher, breaking above the upper trendline resistance on the daily chart. On the weekly chart, the sell signal is still active, and the MACD has yet to cross above the signal line. Therefore, even if the market rises early this week, it could potentially retreat again. This underscores the need to avoid chasing highs.
On the daily chart, a buy signal was generated with today’s candle, but it is not confirmed by yesterday’s action. If today’s session ends with a bearish candle, the buy signal could disappear. For a sustained upward move, today must close with a bullish candle and create a clear buy signal. Furthermore, for this signal to be meaningful, the signal line must move above the zero line, with a wider divergence between the MACD and the signal line driven by additional gains.
On the 240-minute chart, a long bullish candle has created a potential third wave up. Breaking through the upper trendline is significant, but whether this uptrend will continue remains uncertain. Additionally, with U.S. markets closed today for Martin Luther King Jr. Day, today's and tomorrow’s daily candles will be combined. Expect sideways movement with a bullish tilt today, with the main market session tomorrow likely determining the direction. Focus on buying on dips while avoiding chasing highs.
CRUDE OIL
Crude oil closed lower, forming an upper wick on the daily chart. On the weekly chart, the price is significantly distanced from the 3-day and 5-day moving averages, suggesting that this week could see consolidation or a pullback from the $79 resistance level.
On the daily chart, crude has fallen below the 5-day moving average, now trading within a range between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. The $74–$75 range represents an attractive buy zone during a pullback. This area aligns with the weekly 5-day moving average, making it a critical level to watch.
Around $76, where the 10-day moving average lies, significant support exists on intraday charts. Observing whether this level holds on the first test is crucial. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD remains significantly above the zero line, favoring continued buying on dips. The first key support is around $76, and the second is in the $74–$75 range, where the MACD could attempt another bullish crossover. Be mindful of reduced trading volumes due to the U.S. market holiday and focus on range-bound strategies.
GOLD
Gold faced resistance near the 2760 level, closing with a doji candle. On the weekly chart, the MACD is diverging from the signal line, suggesting that further upside may face resistance around the 2785 level. If the MACD on the weekly chart fails to form a golden cross, a pullback may occur.
On the daily chart, the strong buy trend remains intact, favoring a buy-focused strategy. However, on the 240-minute chart, a potential dead cross could signal short-term corrections. With U.S. markets closed today and tomorrow, gold could dip to the 5-day moving average, creating buying opportunities during pullbacks.
For today, short-term selling at highs with a focus on key support levels for buying on dips is recommended. Sideways movement during pre-market hours may continue, with tomorrow’s main session likely setting the next direction. Stick to box-range trading and take advantage of key opportunities if prices reach critical levels.
With U.S. markets closed on Monday, reduced trading volumes make box-range trading strategies more effective. Use this time to prepare for potential opportunities at key levels. Stay diligent with risk management, and have a successful trading week ahead.
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21510 / 21480 / 21350 / 21310 / 21270
-Sell: 21650 / 21740 / 21780 / 21880
Crude Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy: 76.90 / 76.30 / 75.70 / 74.95
-Sell: 77.80 / 78.25 / 78.60 / 79.00
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2730 / 2723 / 2719 / 2715
-Sell: 2747 / 2753 / 2758 / 2762 / 2777
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
Support and Resistance
ETHEREUM (ETHUSD): Detailed Technical OutlookETHEREUM has been struggling since mid-December, with the market showing a slight bearish trend and forming a falling contracting wedge pattern.
A significant rejection occurred at a confluence zone created by the trend line of the wedge and a horizontal demand zone.
Currently, the market is consolidating within the wedge.
A potential bullish breakout above the wedge's resistance and a daily close above it could signal a bullish trend reversal, leading to a strong upward movement in the market.
Analyzing Key Forex Patterns and IndicatorsAnalyzing the SPX500 chart reveals several key patterns and indicators critical for forex trading
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Zone: The blue-shaded area around the 6,071 level is a significant resistance zone where the price has struggled to break through.
Support Level: The horizontal blue line at approximately 5,840 (labeled "SMS") represents a notable support level where buying interest has emerged in the past.
2. Swing High (SH):
The red horizontal line marked "SH" around the 6,077 level highlights a failed swing high, indicating a previous peak in price.
3. Price Movements:
There is a notable decline from the resistance zone around 6,020 to a low near 5,770, followed by a recovery towards the 6,000 level.
4. Volume:
The volume, indicated as "Vol 7.14K" at the top of the chart, provides insight into the trading activity during this period.
Potential Effectiveness of this Technical Signals:
Resistance Zone: If the price breaks above this level with strong volume, it could signal a bullish trend continuation. However, failure to break through may indicate a reversal or consolidation.
Support Level: Maintaining above this support level is crucial for a bullish outlook. A break below could signal a bearish trend and further downside potential which the break has occured.
Swing High (SH): The swing high at 6,020 serves as a reference point for potential resistance. Approaching this level again will be a key area for observing either a breakout or a reversal.
These technical signals are effective in predicting market movements as they reflect historical price action and trader behavior. However, they may fail due to unexpected news, economic events, or changes in market sentiment that can cause deviations from historical patterns.
In summary, the chart offers valuable insights into support and resistance levels, swing highs, and price movements, which are essential for making informed trading decisions in the forex market.
The Missing LINK: Bulls Search for ContinuationKey Levels and Observations
The $20 level was crucial for potential wave 4 support. While this area was swept, it wasn’t decisively broken, leaving both bullish and bearish scenarios in play. Now, all focus shifts to the retracement as bulls look for internal structure and continuation, while bearish signals hint at further downside.
1️⃣ The Sweep at Support
The yellow zone ($19–$20) absorbed significant liquidity after a sweep below, signaling strong demand. However, the price's inability to decisively move higher leaves uncertainty.
2️⃣ Resistance at $23–$24
Price action is currently stalling near a key resistance zone. Bulls need to reclaim this area for continuation; otherwise, it risks a bearish reversal that could deepen the move down.
3️⃣ Bearish Pattern in Play
The actionary wave, followed by what could be a sideways flat correction, points to a potential bearish scenario. If this pattern holds, we could see a deeper move below the sweep pivot and $20 support.
Next Steps for Traders
📉 Bearish Outlook:
A decisive break below the $20 level could trigger an impulsive move downward. This could lead to a sharper decline, possibly extending beyond a Zigzag structure. Traders should watch for increasing momentum as confirmation.
📈 Bullish Outlook:
If the pivot low holds or price forms a corrective structure into an area of confluence, this may indicate the market wants to move higher. A reclaim of $23–$24 resistance would be an early sign of bullish continuation.
Final Thoughts
The retracement is the key battleground right now. For bulls to gain control, the price must stay internal to the sharp move up following the sweep and confirm continuation. However, bearish signals linger, and caution is essential. Patience and flexibility remain your best tools in navigating this complex setup.
A triple top resistance breakout can push price to 2,786.828ascending triangle on the 4hr time frame
intersecting with a triple top resistance,
with an ascending price-channel in the hourly time frame
price can either decline on the support zone of the price channel
or breakout of the channel and retest the support trendline
before going up
my target for gold is a long position to 2,786.828
double zig zag abc wxy wave near $2720 resistance levelbefore last fomc meeting gold collapsed in big but since fomc rate cut last time
gold is constantly going up making higher highs with higher lows a clear up trend
wxy waves subdivided into small degree abc waves has reached big static horizontal resistance level $2720
a blue parallel channel with upper line tested near resistance on last friday
projection for wave Y near resistance level
SOLANA: MAJOR BREAKOUT WITH HIGH CONVICTION LONG SETUP$SOL/USDT 6H Analysis
LONG SETUP 🟢
• Major breakout from descending trendline with 7.94% gains
• Volume confirming breakout (6.02M)
• FVG at $240-250 = potential pullback zone
Targets:
T1: $300 (psychological)
T2: $330
T3: $380
Invalidation: Break below $220
12H VIEW
4H VIEW - MAYBE RETEST FROM TRENDLINE HERE
Note: Wait for potential retest of breakout around $250 for better entry. Strong momentum suggests continuation. Manage risk accordingly.
#Solana #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis
The JSE Top40 Medium-Term ViewThe JSE Top40 is at a point of a relief rally though the bigger picture is that of a yearly decline. So the expectation is that we can rally while expecting price to be capped by the black trendline, we either make it there or we turn down before reaching this point. Longer term I expect price to trend towards the green support line. Since we must breach this line, My interest will be on the grey horizontal line for support. A t the back of my mind is the COVID drop scenario, this is where we get extreme moves downwards representing a continuation of current cycle, otherwise without that scenario we would have a tough quarter one and two of 2025.
We have been in recession like conditions and so far, we could be going through a silent recession whereby conditions point that way but the economic measures do not confirm, does not help that US being leader in market sentiment has had war excursions to affect the indicators as well as constant revisions of the unemployment figures. The coming of Trump might cause war spend to decrease unraveling the dire state of the economy. It is best for traders to be aware of such a scenario and effect on the markets.
The JSE Top40 Paints a Grim Few Weeks AheadThe JSE Top40 powered above 2 key resistance lines but it quickly reversed course, we call this a false breakout (FBO), such failures usually move violently to the lower side. On the weekly perspective, the share is in week 31 so we are likely going lower than the lower pink support.
After the pink support fails, we turn can see the green arrow was lower than the black, from historical cycle perspective, the JSE Top40 will set the shortest yearly cycle if current price does not go lower than the green arrow. This is something I place at a smaller probability, hold on for a bumpy ride. Relief will come at the weekly low which will create gains sufficient for long positions.
WTI Crude continues with bearish tilt until Trendline is brokenBLACKBULL:WTI Crude has reached the top of the long-term triangular structure. Momentum benefits the upside but the long-term liquidity trendline is more important.
Optimism (as per Sentimentrader data) shows a potential optimism.
I will wait for the breakdown of near support to enter short
Hannover Rueck SE Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Hannover Rueck SE Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* A+ Set Up)) At 208.00 USD | Subdivision 1
* No Trade)) | Completed Survey & Closed Bias
- Triple Formation
* Numbered Retracement | Subdivision 2
* Ranging Entry On Hold | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral
USDCAD: Bullish Continuation is Coming?!USDCAD has been in a long-term bullish trend. Since the middle of December, the pair has been consolidating within a horizontal range.
Last week, the price broke above the range's resistance. This violation will most likely trigger a trend-following movement.
The next resistance level to watch is at 1.4554.
DDOGDDOGis currently in a long-term negative trend, with monthly and weekly candles showing 2D movement (i.e., dropping below the previous period's low), indicating overall seller dominance. However, in the short term, the daily chart shows signs of correction with positive movement (2U), creating a conflict with the broader trends.
On the daily chart, it is evident that the decline has halted around the gap that was previously opened, and it has even closed. This indicates a strong support level in the $136-$138 range, which could serve as a potential turning point in the short term.
To confirm a more significant trend reversal, a clear breakout above the $140 level is required, signaling a shift back to positive momentum even in the longer time frames. As long as the stock remains below these levels, the risk of continued negative pressure remains high.
At this stage, the recommended strategy is to wait for clear confirmation of a trend reversal in the longer time frames while closely monitoring the behavior around the key levels and the recently closed gap.