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Support and Resistance

EUR/USD: Short-Term Pullback Before Weekly Bullish ContinuationYesterday's idea worked perfectly, hitting the take-profit target at 1.04925, as expected. As I mentioned, a pullback to the upside occurred after reaching that area. For today's trade, the daily timeframe bias remains bearish, with a target towards 1.04748. This makes it clear that today's position is a sell. Looking at the market structure, the NYPM session high has been broken, and there's a Market Structure Shift (MSS) around 1.05192. I plan to wait for the price to return to the FVG zone near 1.05248 before entering a sell position. My take-profit target is set at 1.04982. Let’s wait and see how this plays out!
Short
by ryananggara
S&P 500 Rally: Why a 5k Target Might Be More Likely Than 7kSince November of last year, the SP:SPX has surged by 50%, and if we look at the gains from this year alone, we're seeing around a 30% increase. Additionally, the rise from August is 20% which is significant in just five months. Considering the rapid pace of these increases, especially for such a major index, it gives me the impression that the S&P 500 may be overstretched. Statistically, such strong rallies either follow a deep bear market or precede a significant pullback. Since we haven't experienced a strong bear market recently, I believe a correction could be on the horizon. Technically, the market remains in an uptrend, but the price action from August has been in steps. This type of movement often signals distribution and a potential reversal. In conclusion, while a new all-time high by the end of the year is almost certain, I'm not overly optimistic about the long-term outlook. A pullback to around 5,000 seems more likely to me than a rally to 7,000.
SP:SPXShort
by Mihai_Iacob
Gold: Bullish Move AheadThe gold market has been exhibiting bullish momentum, supported by an upward trendline. After reaching a recent low at approximately 2,611.93 USD, the price has shown signs of a rebound near key Fibonacci levels. The key support area around 2,610.00 USD (0.786 retracement level) is holding strong, and gold is now approaching the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement level at 2,669.02 USD. If the price manages to break above the 2,669.02 level, the next target would be near the 0.236 level around 2,699.16 USD. The bullish trend could accelerate further if gold surpasses the 2,726.10 USD resistance zone. Key Levels: Support: 2,611.93 USD Resistance: 2,726.10 USD Fibonacci Retracements: 2,655.54 (0.618) and 2,669.02 (0.50) act as significant levels for potential breakouts.
TVC:GOLDLong
by me22_
1
Technical Analysis for BNB/USDT Position:Current Structure: The price is consolidating near 719.47 USDT, testing a key horizontal resistance zone around 730.65 USDT. A clean breakout above this level with a 1-hour confirmation candle would signal a bullish move. 2. Risk-to-Reward Setup: Entry: Around 730-735 USDT after confirmation. Target: 835.55 USDT (previous significant resistance). Stop-Loss: Below 704.35 USDT, aligning with recent lows. 3. Volume & RSI: Volume remains steady but needs to increase to support a breakout. RSI is near 50, suggesting neutral momentum with room for upside. Long Plan: I will open a long position if I get a 1-hour bullish confirmation candle above 730.65 USDT. The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (targeting ~835 with a stop near 704). This trade aligns with bullish expectations on the breakout and retest strategy. Patience for the confirmation is key.
Long
by sinaaf
Mastering RSI: The Complete and CORRECT Way to Trade ItThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most popular and widely used indicators in trading. Despite its prevalence, many traders misuse it or are unaware of its full potential. RSI isn't just about identifying overbought and oversold conditions; when applied correctly, it becomes a robust tool for trend confirmation, reversals, momentum acceleration, and much more. This guide explores how to unlock the full power of RSI and avoid common pitfalls. What Is RSI? Developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr., RSI measures the speed and magnitude of price changes over a specified period. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with the following traditional zones: Above 70: Indicates overbought conditions, where the price may reverse or consolidate. Below 30: Indicates oversold conditions, where the price may rebound or reverse upward. However, it’s important to note that RSI above 70 or below 30 can sometimes indicate trend acceleration rather than an immediate reversal—especially in strong trending markets, discussed in #6 The real reversal signal comes after RSI crosses back below 70 (for overbought) or back above 30 (for oversold). Understanding this distinction is critical to using RSI effectively. 1. Overbought and Oversold Conditions The classic use of RSI involves identifying overbought and oversold levels: Overbought: RSI rises above 70 and then drops back below it, signaling potential selling pressure. Oversold: RSI falls below 30 and then moves back above it, indicating potential buying interest. These signals are more effective when combined with tools like support/resistance levels or trendlines. 2. Centerline Crossover The 50-level on RSI is a reliable trend indicator: Above 50: Bullish momentum dominates. Below 50: Bearish momentum dominates. Use these crossovers to confirm trends: Enter long trades when RSI is above 50. Enter short trades when RSI is below 50. 3. Divergences Divergences between RSI and price can signal potential trend reversals: Bullish Divergence: Price makes lower lows, but RSI forms higher lows. Bearish Divergence: Price makes higher highs, but RSI forms lower highs. These divergences highlight weakening momentum and often precede reversals. 4. RSI Patterns RSI can form recognizable chart patterns, such as triangles, head-and-shoulders, or double tops/bottoms. These patterns often precede price moves: Triangles: A breakout on RSI often signals a strong price move. Double Tops : A topping pattern on RSI warns of potential price declines. 5. Failure Swings Failure swings occur when RSI enters an extreme zone (above 70 or below 30) but fails to sustain momentum and reverses. This is a strong reversal signal and can precede significant price moves: Bullish Failure Swing: RSI dips below 30. It rises but dips again, staying above 30. RSI breaks its previous high, signaling a bullish reversal. Bearish Failure Swing: RSI rises above 70. It falls but rises again, staying below 70. RSI breaks its previous low, signaling a bearish reversal. How to trade it: For a bullish failure swing, enter long when RSI confirms the higher low and breaks above the previous swing high. For a bearish failure swing, enter short when RSI confirms the lower high and breaks below the previous swing low. 6. Momentum Acceleration Strategy While RSI is traditionally used for spotting overbought and oversold conditions, it can also identify momentum acceleration during strong trends: Above 70: In strong uptrends, when RSI rises above 70 and stays there, it signals upward acceleration, indicating buyers are in control. Below 30: In strong downtrends, when RSI dips below 30 and stays there, it signals downward acceleration, with sellers driving the market lower. How to trade it: In uptrends, treat RSI staying above 70 as a sign of strength and look for pullbacks to enter long positions. In downtrends, use brief rebounds as opportunities to short while RSI remains below 30. 7. Multi-Timeframe Strategy Analyzing RSI across multiple timeframes enhances accuracy: Use the higher timeframe (e.g., daily) to identify the overall trend. Use the lower timeframe (e.g., 1-hour) to time trade entries. Example: If RSI on the daily chart is above 50 (bullish trend), look for hourly RSI dips below 30 to enter long trades. If RSI on the daily chart is below 50 (bearish trend), wait for hourly RSI to reach overbought levels above 70 to short. Tips for Advanced RSI Use: Adjust RSI Settings: Shorter periods (e.g., 7) make RSI more sensitive, while longer periods (e.g., 21) smooth out signals for longer-term trends. Combine RSI with Other Tools: Use RSI alongside moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, or Candlesticks. Risk Management: Always pair RSI signals with a stop-loss strategy to manage risk effectively. PRO TIP: As I like to say "Trade the price, not the indicator." Use RSI as a confirmation tool, not the main signal. For example, a price reversal from resistance or a bullish engulfing candle becomes far more reliable when backed by RSI signals. Conclusion RSI is far more versatile than many traders realize. While it’s traditionally used for identifying overbought and oversold levels, strategies like momentum acceleration and failure swings add depth to its utility. By combining RSI with centerline crossovers, divergences, multi-timeframe analysis, and chart patterns, traders can pinpoint entries, reversals, and momentum shifts with more precision and trade more confidently. Key Takeaways: - RSI staying above 70 or below 30 in trends signals momentum acceleration. - Failure swings offer reliable reversal signals when RSI breaks key levels. - Combining RSI strategies with other tools and proper risk management leads to more confidence
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
23
STAG chart looks like a potentially nice longer term buyNYSE:STAG has been trading within this channel for about 2 years now. Each time it has hit the bottom the channel, it has bounced back to the top of the channel. Adding the Bollinger Bands, this area is also near the bottom band, which has been acting as support pretty consistently. This is where you would look to long IMO. If this pattern were to hold, would hold until the $41-$42 area and evaluate once it's there. This would be the first TP area, of approximately 20% gains. If this were to convincingly close below that shaded area/channel, it would invalidate this idea, and I would take the L on it. NYSE:STAG also pays a monthly dividend of $0.1233/share
NYSE:STAGLong
by bklyntrader21