ASX 200: Is the Santa Rally Finally on the Runway?Did we just see the start of the ‘Santa Rally’ on Australia’s ASX 200? If the daily candle on SPI futures finishes around these levels, the price signal will likely embolden those who have been pining for its arrival.
As things stand, we’re looking at a key reversal with the body and range greater than the candle of 24 hours earlier, pointing to the potential for an extended run higher. RSI (14) has broken its downtrend – hinting at a shift in price momentum – although MACD is yet to confirm the signal.
While the timing of the futures contract roll emphasises the need for risk management, with just a handful of trading days left until Christmas, this has often been a strong seasonal period Australian stocks.
If the price closes above 8310, one setup to consider would be to initiate longs above the level with a stop beneath for protection, targeting the downtrend established from the record highs. A break of that level may open the door for a larger thrust, possibly towards 8420 or 8480.
The price needs to overcome 8353 for the setup to succeed, meaning traders should be on alert for signs of hesitancy from this known reversal level. If the price were to close beneath 8310, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
Support and Resistance
USDJPY InsightHello, subscribers!
It's great to have you all here. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. December Manufacturing PMI dropped to 48.1, down 1.4 points from the previous month, marking its lowest level in three months, while the Services PMI rose to 58.5, up 1.4 points, hitting a 38-month high.
- Eurozone December Composite PMI increased to 49.5, up 1.2 points from the previous month but remained below the critical threshold of 50.
- ECB Executive Board Member Isabel Schnabel stated, "Monetary policy must proceed gradually and remain data-dependent."
- At the December FOMC meeting, a 25 basis point rate cut is seen as a given, but there is a prevailing outlook for rates to be held steady in January.
- Canada's Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland announced her resignation following a conflict with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
Key Economic Indicators
+ December 17: U.S. November Retail Sales
+ December 18: U.K. November Consumer Price Index, Eurozone November Consumer Price Index, FOMC meeting results
+ December 19: Bank of Japan rate decision, Bank of England rate decision
+ December 20: U.S. November Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index
USD/JPY Chart Analysis
USD/JPY successfully bounced from the 149 level and broke through the 153.500 resistance, paving the way for a potential climb toward the 157 level. In the short term, an upward trend appears likely. However, with the FOMC meeting and the BOJ monetary policy meeting scheduled this week, there is significant uncertainty regarding medium- to long-term direction. We will revisit the outlook based on the outcomes of these events.
If unexpected movements occur, we will quickly adjust our strategy accordingly.
WRX %1500 VOLUME SPIKE, DONT SLEEP!WRX is showing strong buyer interest, evidenced by a 1500% increase in daily trading volume. This surge highlights significant accumulation activity. The blue boxes on the chart mark strong demand zones, ideal for potential buy entries. These zones are areas where the price has historically attracted buyers, making them attractive levels for long positions.
Stay cautious of broader market trends and always manage risk appropriately.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 17.12.2024On Monday, BankNifty opened negative, made a high of 53738.90, and fell to a low of 53335 during the session. It closed almost flat at 53581.35, losing just 2 points over the previous close. Both the Weekly Trend (50 SMA) and Daily Trend (50 SMA) remain positive.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 52264.55 - 52665.15
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 51693.95 - 52197.25
Far Demand/Support Zone (125m): 51693.95 - 51906.90
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 53741.40 - 54467.35 (tested)
ALCXUSDT %110 Daily Volume Spike! | Huge Opportunity!ALCXUSDT has recorded a 110% increase in volume, signaling renewed market activity. This time, buyers have stepped into the market, which strengthens the potential for upward moves.
📌 Key Focus:
The blue box zone will be the critical level to watch. As the price approaches this region, I will closely monitor upward breakouts on the lower time frames to confirm buyer momentum and potential continuation.
🔑 Why It Matters:
The volume surge, combined with buyer activity, creates a favorable setup.
Breakouts supported by increased volume can offer high-probability trade opportunities.
I will remain patient and wait for clean breakouts with stability to avoid false moves. This setup will be closely followed as the price action develops.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 17.12.2024On Monday, Nifty opened negative, made an initial high of 24781.25 but slipped to a low of 24601.75 during the session. It closed at 24668.25, losing 100 points over the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) continues to be positive.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24180.80 - 24342.50
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23927.15 - 24188.45 (tested)
Far Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23447.15 - 23578.60
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24567.65 - 25234.05 (Current price inside the zone)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 25739.20 - 25907.60
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 26151.40 - 26277.35
GOLD: Exponential Scaling 1.618^1/5Gold's natural growth patterns have apparent alignment Fibonacci progression.
Exponential Scaling using a constant phi (1.618) raised to 0.20 power exponent:
The lines follow historical movements with exponential accuracy, aiding the identification of swing points of major momentum shifts.
Major swings metrics:
MLNUSDT %330 VOLUME SPIKE BUT BE CAREFUL!BINANCE:MLNUSDT has observed an impressive 330% increase in volume, indicating a notable rise in market activity. Despite this surge, buyers have not yet stepped into the market, which makes the current price movement uncertain.
📌 Key Approach:
I will closely watch the price as it approaches the blue box zone. This area will serve as a critical level for potential reactions. On the lower time frames, I will look to evaluate and confirm any upward breakouts that may signal buyer momentum.
🔑 Why This Zone Is Important:
Volume increases without buyer activity can hint at accumulation or indecision in the market.
The blue box zone will be my point of focus to assess whether buyers enter the market and push the price upward.
Patience and confirmation are essential. I will prioritize stable breakouts supported by volume to avoid false signals and ensure higher probability trades. Updates will follow as the price action unfolds!
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active
RUNEUSDT %151 VOLUME SPIKE BUT BE CAREFULRUNEUSDT: Volume Surge Without Buyer Confirmation
RUNEUSDT has recorded a 151% increase in volume, signaling heightened market activity. However, buyers have yet to step into the market decisively, which leaves the current movement uncertain.
📌 Key Strategy:
I will carefully monitor the price as it approaches the blue box zone. This area will act as a potential demand zone where reactions might occur. If upward breakouts emerge on the lower time frames, I will look to evaluate and confirm potential entry points.
🔑 Why This Matters:
Volume surges without immediate buying can indicate accumulation or pending reactions.
The blue box zone becomes crucial for observing buyer strength and momentum shifts.
Patience is key here. I will focus on stable breakouts and volume-supported moves to avoid false signals. Updates to follow as the price develops!
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active
Welcome to my latest analysis and forecast for XAU/USD!Gold prices are entering a phase of bearish consolidation.
The understanding that the Federal Reserve may slow the pace of its interest rate cuts due to stalled progress in reducing inflation to its 2% target acts as a headwind for the yellow metal.
However, a combination of factors continues to provide some support.
A slight decline in U.S. Treasury yields keeps dollar bulls on the defensive.
Additionally, persistent geopolitical risks and concerns regarding the policies of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump helps limit the downside for the precious metal.
Traders are also likely to avoid taking new directional positions ahead of the critical Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy decision on Wednesday.
This decision will be closely watched for signals on the future path of rate cuts. which could provide new impetus for the XAU/USD pair.
Technical Analysis
In this analysis we will take a closer look at the current state of XAU/USD and provide a forecast for its future movements.
First, let's start with a brief explanation of XAU/USD.
XAU refers to the chemical symbol for gold, while USD is the abbreviation for the US dollar.
This currency pair represents the price of gold in US dollars.
As the US dollar is the world's foremost reserve currency and gold is seen as a safe-haven asset, XAU/USD is a highly watched and traded currency pair.
Now, let's dive into the analysis of XAU/USD. In recent months, we have seen a steady uptrend in the price of gold against the US dollar.
This can be attributed to various factors, such as the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, the uncertainty surrounding Brexit, and the global economic slowdown.
All of these events have led to investors seeking refuge in the safe-haven asset of gold, thus driving up its price.
Additionally, the recent interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve have weakened the US dollar, making gold more attractive for international investors.
The demand for gold has also increased due to the central banks of various countries adding gold to their reserves.
These factors have all contributed to the bullish trend in XAU/USD.
In terms of technical analysis, XAU/USD is currently trading above its long-term moving average , indicating a strong uptrend.
However, it is important to note that the price has reached on critical resistance level of $2,718 per ounce.
If it breaks through this level, we can expect to see further gains in XAU.USD.
On the other hand, if the price fails to break this resistance, we may see a pullback to the support level of $2,560.
Now let's move on to our forecast for XAU/USD.
Based on the current market conditions, we believe that XAU/USD will continue its uptrend in the short term, with a potential target at $2,791 per ounce.
However, we cannot ignore the fact that gold is a highly volatile asset, and any unexpected events or changes in market sentiment can quickly reverse this trend.
In the long term, we maintain a bullish stance on XAU/USD due to the ongoing uncertainty in the global economy and the potential for further interest rate cuts by central banks.
It is also worth mentioning that the gold market tends to perform well during times of geopolitical tensions and economic downturns, which are all possibilities in the current global landscape.
In conclusion, XAU/USD has been on a steady uptrend, and our analysis and forecast suggest that our analysis and forecast suggest that this trend will continue in the short and long term.
As always, it is important to keep an eye on the market and adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
Stay updated with the latest news and events that may affect XAU/USD to make informed trading decisions.
Happy Trading!
QIUSDT: %215 Volume Surge and Buyer ActivityQIUSDT: Significant Volume Surge and Buyer Activity
There is a 215% increase in volume in QIUSDT, indicating heightened market activity. This suggests buyers are stepping into the market and adding pressure. However, given the dynamics of the market, I will focus on evaluating specific breakout opportunities.
📌 Key Strategy:
When the price approaches the blue box zones, these areas will serve as potential demand zones. I will closely monitor lower time frame upward breakouts from these regions to identify high-probability entries.
🔑 Why the Blue Box Matters:
It represents areas of increased buyer interest.
Volume spikes coupled with price movements from these zones often yield strong reactions.
I will remain cautious of false breakouts but will prioritize stable movements supported by volume for confirmation. Stay tuned for updates as this setup unfolds!
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active
USUALUSDT | Buyers Are ActiveBuyer Presence: I believe there are buyers in USUALUSDT, making it a promising addition to my spot trading basket.
Price Reaction:
The price did not get a strong reaction from the blue box, suggesting it might target lower levels.
Buy Strategy:
Despite the lack of a strong response, I find it logical to remain a buyer from both blue boxes, aligning with my overall strategy.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
FTTUSDT %378 Daily Volume Spike FTTUSDT has recorded a 378% daily increase in trading volume.
To capitalize on this increase:
I will closely observe the price movement toward the blue boxes on the chart.
I will evaluate potential upward breakouts in lower time frames from these regions to identify entry opportunities.
This strategy allows for careful monitoring and reduces unnecessary risk.
Let me know if you want further edits or additions!
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
SILVER: Exponential Scaling 1.618^1/4Expansion based on 1.618 from lowest - Rate of Progression 1 in Exponential Grid indicator:
This suggests the market structure for Silver has strong Fibonacci-based tendencies aligning with natural growth patterns.
Exponential scaling using a constant phi (1.618) raised to the 0.25 power exponent.
This adjustment results in finer granularity while maintaining the underlying fractal structure. It smooths out the expansions to capture intermediate cycles more effectively.
USDCAD Wave Analysis 16 December 2024
- USDCAD reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.4300
USDCAD currency pair recently reversed up pivotal support level 1.4140, former resistance level which reversed the price sharply at the end of November.
The upward reversal from the support level 1.4140 started the active impulse wave 5 of the higher order impulse wave (3) from September.
Given the clear daily uptrend, USDCAD currency pair can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 1.4300.
ASX dragged lower by the DowThe Dow Jones futures market fell for an 8th consecutive day on Monday, a bearish sequence not seen in over 12 years. And that's not good news for ASX 200 bulls, as the index tends to track the Dow very closely.
The daily chart looks like it wants to head to 8200, and it just 1 - 2 bearish trading days away from it looking at a typical day's range. The 1-hour trend has favoured bearish swing traders, who could seek to fade into moves towards the 20-50 hour EMAs.
AUDUSD Wave Analysis 16 December 2024
- AUDUSD reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.6400
AUDUSD currency pair recently reversed up from the support area set between the strong support level 0.6350 (which has been reversing the price from 2023, lower border of the weekly sideways price range) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from the support zone stopped the previous impulse waves 3 and (3).
Given the oversold weekly Stochastic and the strength of the support level 0.6350, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 0.6400.
PDSL - Near ATH - looking strongPDSL has come close to ATH and looks strong.
Volume picking up and RSI is also stronger.
Stock can goes sideway for few days or drop a little to cool down the RSI, then it should take the flight up.
I will keep updating this idea, keep a watch.
Any comment or feedback on this idea are welcome.
Technical Analysis: BTC/USDT – after ATH at $106kAfter the price reached the 1.14 level of the Fibonacci Retracement, I projected the Fibonacci Expansion to identify potential targets and decision zones.
Context:
The prevailing structure is a well-defined uptrend channel, reflecting a strong and consistent upward momentum.
Statistically, the zone between 1.0 and 1.14 Fibonacci levels often acts as a decision area, where the price tends to consolidate or face resistance before deciding whether to continue the trend or initiate a pullback.
Current Scenario: We are currently in an extended leg within the channel, which significantly increases the probability of a price correction. The marked Pullback Zone (highlighted on the chart) suggests that the price could retrace to test intermediate supports within the channel or revisit previous Fibonacci levels.
Monday trading PlanPrice has been dropping aggressively on Friday, creating a significant displacement to the downside. The area around 2680 is identified as a key supply zone where sellers might step in again.
Bias is on the bearish side and I am expecting a retracement to 2680 (supply zone), followed by a continuation of the downtrend.
A move up to 2680 will allow for liquidity to be swept, and then the price could reverse sharply. BUT things might go differently, this is my main scenario and plan.
Next Steps:
Look for longs as price will approach 2680 OR just wait patiently to see if it happens.
Once at 2680 level watch for signs of reversal like a liquidity sweep, bearish market structure shift (MSS), and the FVG being respected.
Target lower prices, ideally back to opening price around 2640 and ideally 2600 but that might only be later on today maybe during New York.
This is MY main trade idea for today, I am waiting for the retracement and the drop. If price doesn't reach 2680 or shows signs of reversal earlier, I will adapt accordingly.
Trade safe!