Nifty Analysis EOD – June 13, 2025 – Friday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 13, 2025 – Friday 🔴
🕊️ Gap-Down on Geopolitical Tension – Buyers Step In at Crucial Support
Nifty opened with a massive gap-down of 415 points at 24,473 triggered by overnight geopolitical tensions — testing a crucial swing low from May 22. Interestingly, the market formed an OL (Open = Low) pattern and staged a powerful 281-point intraday recovery, closing near the day’s high at 24,718.60.
While the adjusted close still reflects a −0.68% drop, the price action was dominantly bullish. The strong bounce from the 24,460–24,520 demand zone — a region that had acted as a reversal zone multiple times earlier — reaffirms its significance.
🧭 If global cues stabilize or turn positive, this could pave the way for a bounce back toward 25,000. But if Friday’s low is breached, sentiment damage may deepen further. For now, intraday opportunities are preferable over positional plays, as uncertainty persists.
📝 A reminder from the May 22 note:
“Is the retracement run finished? Technically, YES. A bold call, but unless global headwinds reappear, today’s low must sustain.”
Nifty has once again honored this level — but the coming sessions will determine whether this bounce was genuine or temporary.
🛡 5 Min Chart with Levels
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,473.00
High: 24,754.35
Low: 24,473.00
Close: 24,718.60
Net Change: −169.60 (−0.68%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 245.60 pts → 🟢 Strong Green Candle
Upper Wick: 35.75 pts
Lower Wick: None (OL Formation)
🔍 Interpretation
Despite the gap-down, bulls took control right from the open.
The absence of a lower wick signals firm intraday confidence.
Closing near the high reinforces the buying strength, even on a net down day.
🔦 Candle Type
💚 Bullish Marubozu–like (OL) Candle– Represents a strong intra-session reversal, where buyers dominated from the very first tick.
📌 Key Insight
Price respected the 24,460–24,520 zone, once again validating it as key support.
If the next session crosses and sustains above 24,750–24,770, a short-term reversal confirmation could follow.
However, a breakdown below 24,473 may renew bearish pressure.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 269.05
IB Range: 145.05 → Medium IB
Market Structure: Balanced
Trades:✅ 10:20 AM – Long Triggered → Target Achieved, Trailing SL Hit (RR: 1:1.7)
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
24,725 ~ 24,735
24,825 ~ 24,847 (Fibonacci 0.5 retracement level)
24,882 ~ 24,894
24,972 ~ 25,000
25,060 ~ 25,080
Support Levels
24,660
24,640 ~ 24,625
24,420
24,365 ~ 24,330
24,245 ~ 24,220
💭 Final Thoughts
Friday’s session was a battle between fear and resilience — and bulls showed up just in time. The key test ahead: can the index reclaim 25K or will the bounce fade away?
🧠 “Great rebounds are born from great fear — but follow-through is what separates noise from reversal.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Support and Resistance
15.06.2025Gold has recently dazzled markets, surging past $3,400 per ounce, propelled by a potent mix of geopolitical tension and a softer U.S. dollar. Key levels to watch for the next week Support at 3380, Resistance at 3460. the Renewed Middle East tension could drive the price to the new highs at 3660 on the downside fail of 3380 will bring the price back to 3260 .
Potential outside week and bullish potential for NEMEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:NEM above the level of the potential outside week noted on 13th June (i.e.: above the level of $88.35).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 11th June (i.e.: below $80.70), should the trade activate.
Potential bullish scenario formulating for DXY. Target: 99.418.Higher timeframe analysis
Thursday, 12 June 2025 saw the DXY take out the monthly low of 97.921. This poses the bearish monthly FVG as an immediate draw on liquidity at 99.418. Warranting a bullish bias till this level.
Intermediate timeframe analysis
This bullish bias is further confirmed by an initial consolidation identified on the 1H chart immediately below the said monthly FVG. This is a signature of the formation of a market maker buy model. Note the displacement to the updside which occurred at 21:00 EST leaving behind a bullish fair value gap on the 1H. This signals the beginning of the buyside of the curve of a market maker buy model.
Scenario
A potential long scenario could play out whereby price could respect the bullish 1H FVG at 97.999 and reprice updwards towards 99.418. I suspect that the target could be reached by Tuesday morning at 2:00 am - 3:30 am EST, though this is merely an estimation at best. This analysis is largely dependent on the reaction of price in the weekly open. Though in the event of a non-volatile market open this analysis holds decent probability.
Alternate Scenario
Should the above analysis fail the relative equal lows at 97.602 could be taken out before upside to 99.418 is seen.
NASDAQ Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a selling opportunity around 21,700 zone, NASDAQ was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 21,700 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPJPY - Look for Long (INTRADAY) 1:4.5 and Short (SWING) 1:XXGBPJPY appears to remain in a distribution phase from the supply zone, making its way toward the next demand zone on the higher time frame. We might see a potential sell opportunity during any consolidation before the price continues trending toward the demand area.
Let’s wait and see how price action develops — there’s a chance for entries in both directions, but only if a clear consolidation forms. Otherwise, it’s best to remain patient and look for setups at the next key resistance level.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
PLAINS - LONG TERM BUY OPPORTUNITY FOR 25%+ GAINSPLAINS ALL AMERICAN PIPELINE, L.P. (PAA) has been recovering from all-time lows at $3.00 per share in 2020 with a nice upward channel forming over the past 5 years. Expect some choppy price movements around $20.00 per share but once price breaks above, the next price target is $30.00 per share over the next few years. With uncertainty and war in the middle east, oil and oil stocks can be considered great investments, especially when the U.S. decides to invest more in producing oil domestically. Don't be surprised if the rise moves faster than anticipated if more uncertainty arises in the middle east.
DELEK US Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 061325Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 19.8/61.80%
Chart time frame:D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
VAALCO Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 061325Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 3.5/61.80%
Chart time frame:D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Potential outside week and bearish potential for TLXEntry conditions:
(i) lower share price for ASX:TLX below the level of the potential outside week noted on 2nd June (i.e.: below the level of $24.91).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) above the high of the outside week on 5th June (i.e.: above $27.40), should the trade activate.
Important note for the trade:
- Observe market reaction at two key areas illustrated in the chart above, should the trade activate ($24.79 and $24.47), which could act as support against the short trade.
Bearish potential detected for NHCEntry conditions:
(i) lower share price for ASX:NHC along with swing of DMI indicator towards bearishness and RSI downwards, and
(ii) observing market reaction around the share price of $3.57 (open of 11th April).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) above the high of the recent swing high once the trade is activated (currently $3.75 from the high of 19th May).
Bullish potential detected for DRREntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:DRR along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI.
Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) a close below the 50 day moving average (currently $3.63), or
(ii) below previous support of $3.49 from the open of 14th March, or
(iii) below previous support of $3.34 from the open of 5th September.
Bullish potential detected for ABGEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:ABG along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI.
Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) a close below the 50 day moving average (currently $1.148), or
(ii) below previous resistance (now support) of $1.14 from the open of 28th March, or
(iii) below previous support of $1.09 from the open of 9th April / 14th January.
Profit taking on Netflix for the summer, only to buy in lowerNASDAQ:NFLX is still in a strong high time frame uptrend, I'm not saying the stock has turned bearish overall, however profits need to be taken when trading and this is one of those times.
I'd prefer to buy back in closer to $1,000 if possible though either way I'll keep 33% of my stack.
Taking profit on GE Aerospace stock to buy in lower after summerIt's clear NYSE:GE has hit overbought, it's the perfect time to take profits now. Less stress managing stocks over the summer too lol...
$196 is the 0.618 level I'm aiming to re-enter, there's also decent support near that level $190 to $200
Looking to take profits on Microsoft that's severely overboughtThis summer most stocks will lose their momentum making it a great time to take profits. We got into NASDAQ:MSFT at an average of $$350-375, it's time to sell at least half to 75% of the stack then buy back around the 0.618 golden fibonacci at $400 after the gap is filled.
Buy OIL & GOLD, Sell Stocks Indices When Missiles Are Flying!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 16-20th.
When missiles start flying in the Middle East, investors become reactively risk averse. Money goes from stocks to safe havens and oil. That's it. Expect oil prices to rise, Gold to reach new highs, and the equity markets to see more sellers than buyers.
This environment may last a few days or a few weeks. Keep an ear to the news.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly FOREX Forecast: When Missiles Fly, So Does The US Dollar This is the FOREX futures outlook for the week of Jun 16-20th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, and JPY.
Middle East tensions are high, missiles flying.... and so will the USD. Look for the USD to
out perform its counterparts during precarious period.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
War Shakes Markets: SOL Dips Below Key Support — What’s Next?Solana (SOL) bulls are sweating. After a rough 3% daily drop, SOL has decisively broken below the critical $149–$150 support zone, with price currently hovering around $144. A powerful rejection from the $160 level last week now appears to be more than just a dip—it’s starting to resemble a trend reversal.
But that’s not all. There’s a geopolitical tremor behind the technicals.
Macro Heat: Israel–Iran Conflict Sends Shockwaves
Global markets are rattled after Israel’s latest strike on Iranian military facilities, prompting a missile-heavy retaliation from Tehran. As investors flee risk assets, the “war premium” is being priced into everything—from oil and gold to crypto.
This risk-off sentiment is putting extra pressure on altcoins like SOL, especially those already at key technical inflection points.
The Chart in Focus
Here’s the real-time breakdown:
Price Action: SOL has closed below the $149.81 support (a previous consolidation base). That zone is now likely to flip into resistance.
Volume: 24H volume remains elevated (273M+), suggesting sellers are still active—not just a low-liquidity dip.
RSI: The RSI is sitting at 37.99, creeping toward oversold territory but not there yet—leaving room for further downside.
Next Target: If momentum continues, all eyes are on the $124.50 level — a well-tested demand zone and potential bounce point.
The blue arrow on the chart isn’t just aesthetic—it’s a warning.
What to Watch Next
A daily close below $142 would solidify the breakdown and make a drop to the $124–$125 range highly probable.
However, if SOL reclaims $149 with strong volume, it could trap bears and launch a relief rally.
Keep an eye on macro headlines. If the Israel–Iran conflict escalates, expect more risk-off moves across the cryptocurrency market. Solana, like most altcoins, doesn't thrive in global uncertainty.
Conclusion:
The break below $149 isn’t just technical—it’s emotional. As fear grips markets globally, SOL is caught in the crossfire. Risk management matters now more than ever.
XRP | SHORT CRIPPLE to $2XRP is currently trading BEARISH, since we're seeing a trade right on top of the current support level.
The more times a support level is testes, the weaker it becomes. Therefore, the current support may break and then it's a free-fall to $2.
Additionally, with the price trading UNDER the moving averages in the 4h, we can confirm a bearish sentiment from a technical indicator perspective.
With a fairly tight SL, and a modest TP, the risk is low with this short setup:
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BINANCE:XRPUSDT
AAVEUSDT 📊The current price BINANCE:AAVEUSDT is trading in a range between 275 and 240 dollars, and it’s likely we’ll see a fake breakout to 300 dollars. After this move, the price is expected to correct to 240 dollars and then head for a bigger move toward 320 dollars and higher.
📈If the 240-dollar level breaks, the next support levels at 210 and 175 dollars should be watched.
🔼Support Levels: 240, 210, 175 dollars
🔽Resistance Levels: 275, 300, 320 dollars