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Support and Resistance

Bitcoin - History Repeating, 110k Next target?Bitcoin has been ranging tightly on the 4H chart, and the recent price behavior is starting to look very familiar. When you compare the current structure with what happened in the first week of May, there are some striking similarities. Back then, BTC consolidated in a sideways channel, faked a breakout to the upside, returned into the range briefly, tapped a demand zone, and then exploded higher into a strong rally. That move laid the groundwork for a steep continuation and fresh highs. Right now, we’re seeing a nearly identical flow: a prolonged consolidation followed by an upside breakout, a retrace into the prior range, and a precise reaction off a Fair Value Gap (FVG). These repeat structures often hint at algorithmic behavior or institutional footprints, where similar setups trigger similar outcomes. Structural Context and Price Behavior The May 6th move began with a candle close above the range, a retest of the lows and FVG within the previous structure, and then an impulsive breakout that never looked back. This breakout was clean, supported by high volume and conviction. Once the retest held, price surged with minimal drawdown. Now, we’ve just completed a similar sequence. Price closed above the consolidation range, came back in, filled the imbalance (FVG), and instantly found support. It’s also worth noting that both patterns formed after multi-day compressions, which often result in aggressive expansion phases. What strengthens this setup is that the recent FVG fill didn’t just find support, it caused an immediate reaction to the upside. That’s a key sign that demand is active in this area and institutions may have used this as a re-entry point. From a structure standpoint, as long as we’re holding above the green zone (prior range high and FVG area), the bias remains bullish. Liquidity Dynamics and Key Zones The green support area acts as a clear line in the sand. It represents the upper half of the previous range and the origin of the most recent displacement. As long as price stays above this level, the idea is simple: the market is still in expansion mode. The recent wick into the zone could also be viewed as a liquidity sweep, drawing in shorts or stop losses before the real move begins. In these kinds of setups, institutions often look for “clean-up” wicks to engineer liquidity, and BTC may have just completed that phase. Now that the liquidity grab has taken place and the imbalance is mitigated, the path of least resistance is likely to be up. Price Target and Expectations If history repeats, BTC could be setting up for a continuation leg that pushes toward a new all-time high. The $110,000 level makes sense both technically and psychologically. It would not only be a round number magnet but also a logical target based on the range expansion from the current structure. Once the local high breaks, momentum could accelerate quickly, especially if the market gets squeezed and forced to reprice aggressively. A clean move toward $110,000 would also align with the broader macro narrative, as BTC continues to show resilience and trend continuation despite periods of consolidation. Conclusion Bitcoin is potentially repeating its early-May price structure, where a breakout, retest into a key FVG, and strong bullish reaction led to new highs. We’ve just completed a similar retest and bounce, suggesting we may now be in the early stages of a fresh impulsive move. As long as price remains above the key demand zone, this setup favors continuation, with $110,000 as the next major objective. All eyes on whether the market can break above local highs and maintain bullish momentum into uncharted territory. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
61
DOG Rectangle + Structure AnalysisBITGET:DOGUSDT has been trading in a rectangle since June 2024, with well-defined boundaries. After a downside deviation in March, it managed to reclaim the range and it's now attempting to break above $0.0040, a key S/R throughout its price history. Key Levels to Watch • $0.0018-$0.0020: Main demand zone • $0.0040: Key S/R in place since May 2024 • $0.0058-$0.0060: Rectangle midline and previous S/R • $0.0095-$0.0099: Main supply zone • $0.0170: Measured rectangle target in case of a breakout A successful daily close above $0.0040 should set the next target around ~$0.0060. Above that, there isn't much separating DOG from another retest of the main demand zone and ATH.
Long
by AliferCrypto
2
At ATH, blast continuation or tap and turn?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! 🚀 Tap & Turn… or Blast? Bitcoin is reacting well to mapped levels, maintaining structure and respecting key zones. Price action continues to print HLs and HH keeping the bulls confident, atm. 💥 Levels Still Respecting Recent price action has shown solid reactions at prior resistance and support zones. Nothing overly aggressive, but clean enough to keep structure traders engaged. 🐂 Bulls Still in Control (for Now) Higher lows remain intact, keeping the bullish structure alive. I did take a lower-degree short, but without a clean break of those HLs, there's no reason to call a shift yet. A break of that pattern would be the first real sign of momentum fading. 🚧 Key Watch Zone: 106K–104K This is where things get more critical. A clean break below that zone could tilt the balance. Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoKnee
TAO Potential 4H Flag & PoleBITGET:TAOUSDT has printed a clean impulsive move followed by a descending consolidation channel — resembling a bull flag or falling channel continuation. The retracement went deeper than usual (down to ~$388, ~75% of the pole), which softens the textbook bull flag narrative — but doesn't invalidate the setup. Key Elements • Pole: ~$354 → ~$489 • Flag Low: ~$388 • Retracement: ~75% of the pole — a deep pullback, but still valid. • Target: ~$550 — measured from breakout point, equal to the pole’s height projected upward. Keep in mind that $460-$490 is a key S/R and the midline of a longer-term rectangle, so it could offer resistance. See here . Volume Note No clear volume contraction during consolidation, which weakens the classic flag interpretation. That said, volume could still confirm strength if it expands on a breakout. Target Logic Measured move from pole height points to ~$550 — only in play if a full breakout with strong volume follows.
Long
by AliferCrypto
2
As gold's rally stalls, do bears have a chance?Technical aspect: Gold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3310, and the short-term direction is not clear. However, the rebound potential is relatively weak, but for the London market, gold's willingness to retreat is not strong; however, from a technical perspective, the current gold structure is still biased towards bulls, and gold still has the potential to continue to rebound to the area around 3330, or even the area around 3350; However, after the rise of gold stagnates, we still cannot aggressively chase gold in trading, one is to prevent technical retracement after the sharp rise of gold; the other is to prevent the retracement of gold in order to grab liquidity after the rise of gold stagnates. In the short term, the support area we must pay attention to is in the 3285-3275 area, followed by the 3260-3250 area. If gold cannot break through the 3320-3330 area in the short term, gold may still continue to test the support area. Trading strategy: 1. If gold still cannot effectively break through the area around 3320 in the short term, you can consider trying to short gold in small quantities around 3310-3320; TP: 3280-3270, set up protection to prevent gold from continuing to rise to 3330 or even 3350; 2. Consider going long on gold when gold retreats to the 3285-3280 area, set up protection to prevent gold from continuing to retreat to the 3260 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Hain Celestial Group | HAIN | Long at $1.39Hain Celestial Group $NASDAQ:HAIN. I've had this organic food company on my watchlist for some time as it has dropped massively since 2021. Today, it dropped over 50% post-earnings call after the announcement of weaker sales/earnings and the exit of its CEO (much needed). The company is going to do a "strategic review" of its business moving forward and this is the turn/recognition I've been waiting for entry. Currently, at $1.39, it is highly undervalued - despite the company's challenges (which had a $1.74 billion revenue in 2024). It has moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.91x and a moderate growth outlook. It's a perfect acquisition target and divestitures could be beneficial to the upside in the long-term. I do think, however, there is a chance this goes below $1.00 in the near-term. But given the CEO's departure and awareness that the company needs to reinstate investor confidence, there is a good chance this stock may return to fair value again (over $3). Thus, at $1.39, NASDAQ:HAIN is in a personal buy zone, with a word of caution about price mentioned above. Outlook and targets are into 2027. Targets: $1.75 $2.00 $2.50
NASDAQ:HAINLong
by WorthlessViews
KAS (Kaspa) – Long Swing Setup from Key SupportKAS is retracing into a key support zone around $0.108, which has previously acted as a springboard for bullish reversals. This level aligns with a potential higher low structure on the daily chart, and offers a favorable risk/reward setup for a swing long. 🔹 Entry Zone: $0.108 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 🥇 $0.13 – $0.154 🥈 $0.175 – $0.19 🛑 Stop Loss: Just below $0.097 (breakdown below support invalidates setup)
Long
by Richtv_official
CHANNAL PATTERN - KAJARIACERTechnical Analysis: Current Price: ₹1,003.9 Target: ₹4,000. This is a very ambitious long-term target, implying a substantial increase. "History Repeat Based": Identified a historical pattern that, if repeated, could lead to such a significant price move. Time Frame: 1 Year to 3 Year (indicates a long-term investment horizon for the target). Trendline Support and Parallel Channel Pattern: These are bullish technical indicators. Trendline support suggests that the stock is finding buyers at a certain level, preventing further declines. A parallel channel typically indicates a sustained trend within defined upper and lower boundaries; a breakout from such a channel can signify an acceleration of the trend. Fundamental Analysis : Market Cap: ₹15,984 Cr. Current Price: ₹1,004 Stock P/E: 46.8 (Higher than the Industry P/E, indicating a premium valuation) Key Fundamental Observations: Valuation Premium: Kajaria Ceramics trades at a P/E of 46.8, which is higher than the industry P/E of 40.2. It is also significantly above its intrinsic value and Graham Number. This suggests the market is pricing in substantial future growth or recognizing its brand strength/market position. Declining Profitability: The negative profit growth of -17.9% and the decline in EPS from the preceding year (₹26.5 down to ₹18.5) and also from the previous quarter (₹4.88 down to ₹2.67) are significant concerns. This indicates a recent slowdown or reversal in earnings. Strong Financial Health: Very low Debt to Equity (0.10) is a positive sign of strong balance sheet management. ROCE (16.8%) and ROE (12.8%) are decent, but could be better given the high valuation. Shareholding Pattern: Promoters: Stable around 47.49% as of Mar 2025. FIIs: Have decreased their stake from 23.38% (Mar 2017) to 15.79% (Mar 2025), with some fluctuations. DIIs: Have consistently increased their stake from 5.76% (Mar 2017) to 27.68% (Mar 2025). This strong DII buying is a positive sign. Public: Decreased from 23.47% (Mar 2017) to 9.06% (Mar 2025). No. of Shareholders: Increased from 37,855 (Mar 2017) to 89,567 (Mar 2025), indicating increasing retail participation. Balance Sheet: Consistent Growth: Total Assets have steadily increased from ₹1,176 Cr (Mar 2014) to ₹3,756 Cr (Mar 2025). Total Liabilities have also grown but seem managed. Reserves: Growing steadily from ₹514 Cr (Mar 2014) to ₹2,728 Cr (Mar 2025), indicating reinvested profits. Borrowings: Have fluctuated but remained relatively low compared to overall size, reaching ₹274 Cr in Mar 2025. Corporate Action & Latest News: Recent news would primarily focus on the company's latest quarterly results (which, as per your data, show a decline in EPS and profit growth). Any announcements regarding capacity expansion, new product launches, or market share gains would be relevant. Given its position in the building materials sector, news on real estate demand, construction activity, and government infrastructure spending would impact its outlook. Overall Assessment: Technical analysis of Trendline Support and Parallel Channel Pattern suggests a bullish outlook for Kajaria Ceramics. However, the fundamental picture shows some conflicting signals: Positive: Strong balance sheet with low debt, increasing DII participation, growing shareholder base, and a history of growth in assets/reserves. Negative: High valuation (P/E above industry, above intrinsic value), and importantly, a significant negative trend in profit growth and EPS (both year-on-year and sequentially in the latest quarter). Target of ₹4000 (1-3 years): This is an extremely ambitious target, requiring a nearly 4x increase from the current price. While "history repeat" can be a valid technical argument, it would require a significant turnaround in the company's profitability to fundamentally support such a valuation in the long term, especially given the current negative profit growth. Conclusion: While the technical patterns you've identified could indicate short to medium-term upward movement, the long-term target of ₹4000 seems very aggressive given the recent fundamental trends of declining profit and EPS. For such a target to be plausible, Kajaria Ceramics would need to demonstrate a strong and sustained turnaround in its earnings performance in the coming quarters/years. Considerations: Confirm Technical's: Ensure the trendline support and parallel channel patterns are clearly established and holding on the chart. Monitor Fundamentals Closely: Pay very close attention to upcoming quarterly results. A reversal of the negative profit growth trend is essential to support higher valuations. Risk vs. Reward: Evaluate the risk involved, especially with a stock trading at a premium valuation while showing declining profitability.
NSE:KAJARIACERLong
by sara54654
USD/CAD Rejected at Key Resistance The Canadian Dollar is attempting to mount a counter-offensive this week with USD/CAD trying to snap a two-week rally. A reversal off technical resistance is now approaching initial support and the first test for the US Dollar bulls. Initial weekly support rests with the 61.8% retracement of the recent advance at 1.3852 and is backed by key support at 1.3729/94- a region defined by the 38.2% retracement of the 2021 advance and the 61.8% retracement of the late-2023 advance. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached with a break / weekly close below needed to invalidate the 2021 uptrend / suggest a larger reversal is underway. Subsequent support objectives seen at 1.618% extension of the February decline / 78.6% retracement near 1.3504/23. Weekly resistance stands at 1.3965/97- a region defined by the 52-week moving average, the 2022 swing high, and the 23.6% retracement of the yearly range. A break above this key pivot zone exposes confluent resistance at the 38.2% retracement / February lows at 1.4149/51- note that basic channel resistance converges on this zone over the next few days and a topside breach / close above would be needed to suggest a more significant low is in place / a larger recovery is underway. Subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the high-week reversal close at 1.4292 and the 2025 yearly open at 1.4383. Bottom line : The USD/CAD recovery has responded to initial resistance around the yearly moving average. The immediate focus is on this pullback with initial support now in view. From at trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to the 2022 trendline (red) IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above 1.3997 needed to fuel the next leg of the advance. Watch the weekly closes for guidance here. -MB
by FOREXcom
BTC breakdown As of May 21, 2025, BTCUSD has just shattered its historical all-time high, surging past previous peaks with unprecedented momentum. The leading cryptocurrency has broken through the $100,000 mark, driven by a confluence of factors including institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and renewed investor enthusiasm. This milestone has sparked widespread excitement across financial markets, with traders and analysts closely monitoring whether Bitcoin can sustain this bullish trajectory. The breakout underscores Bitcoin's growing legitimacy as a store of value and its resilience in the face of global economic uncertainties.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by lemonfisherman
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Breakout Alert: Key Levels & Scalp Strategy Key Levels - **Entry Trigger (15M)**: Close above **$107,324.4** 🟢 - **Entry Trigger (1M)**: Close above **$106,708.1** (Aggressive) 🔵 - **Stop Loss**: **$105,746.7** 🛑 - **Target**: **$110,657.2** 🎯 --- Analysis Summary Bitcoin is testing the **top of its 1-hour range**, and a confirmed breakout could spark a rally toward **$110K**. Here’s the plan: 1. **Primary Setup (15-Minute Chart)** - **Entry**: Buy if BTC closes above **$107,324.4** with **rising volume** (20%+ above average). - **Why?**: Breakout from consolidation + bullish momentum on higher timeframes. - **Target**: **$110,657** (key resistance zone). - **Stop Loss**: **$105,746.7** (below the range low). 2. **Aggressive Scalp (1-Minute Chart)** - **Entry**: Buy if price holds above **$106,708.1** (early breakout signal). - **Risk**: Higher volatility – use smaller position size. - **Same Target/Stop**: **$110,657** and **$105,746.7**. Why This Works - **Technical Catalyst**: Breakout from a multi-hour range often triggers FOMO. - **Volume Confirmation**: Rising volume validates the move. - **Macro Alignment**: BTC dominance holding above 50% supports bullish momentum. Final Notes - Volume Check: Use the `Volume Oscillator` to confirm spikes. - Avoid Emotional Trading: Stick to your stop loss! - Follow Me: For real-time updates, hit the "Follow" button!
Long
by Darkanalysis
Grasp the core strategy of trend tradingGold continues to be bullish and will go to the area near the gap of 3325. At that time, the short-term may be blocked and fall back. If it breaks, look at the area near 3340-3345. In the 4H cycle, relying on the moving average to support the rising stage, and the Bollinger is in an open state, there is still room to see above. The support for the fall back is to pay attention to the top and bottom of the small cycle of 3285, followed by the low point of 3274, but there will not be too much retracement in the strong position. In terms of operation, the main fall back is long, and gradually look at 3325 and 3345. Shorting can only be entered at key points, and fast in and out without fighting. Operation suggestion: Go long on gold near 3285-74, look at 3315 and 3325! If it is extremely strong, go long on the support of 3298-3295!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Broadcom (AVGO) is triggering a powerful breakout todayNASDAQ:AVGO – High Tight Flag + Range Breakout Setup Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) is triggering a powerful breakout today with two bullish patterns stacking up — a high tight flag and a larger range breakout. 🔹 High Tight Flag Breakout Price action has been coiling tightly just under recent highs — a textbook high tight flag formation. These setups often lead to strong continuation when they break with volume. 🔹 Range Break in the Works We're now pushing through the $233–$234 zone, a key resistance level that has capped price recently. A breakout here opens the door for a major trend continuation. 🔹 My Trading Plan: 1️⃣ Position: I’m playing the $235 calls for next week. 2️⃣ Entry Trigger: Breakout through the $234 level with volume. 3️⃣ Stop Loss: Stop will be based on intraday price action — likely below the 9 EMA or breakout level to manage risk. 🔹 Why This Setup Has Juice: Strong consolidation near highs is a sign of strength, not weakness. This is the kind of pattern where institutions start piling in. Dual setup (flag + range breakout) increases probability of follow-through. ⚠️ Risk Management: Tight stop under breakout zone — manage risk, stay nimble.
NASDAQ:AVGOLong
by kunal00
Why I think EURUSD will sell this week...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends, Happy Monday! I wanted to share my analysis on EURUSD and why I think it will sell. This is only a technical analysis so please check the news and cross-reference your own charts. Here is what I am looking at: - Momentum has picked up for the sellers after the swing high was hit. This means a downtrend has started and is picking up. - The market structure was broken on the downside on M15 and H1. There was a retest and previous support became resistance. - The stoch is facing down, both lines have crossed below 80, slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue) which is a bearish confirmation for me. Additional information: - I will wait for both lines of the stoch to cross below 50 to confirm the down trend. - I will use previous highs as my SL and previous lows as my TPs. Good luck if you decide to take this trade, let me know how it goes. Peace and Profits, Cha
Short
by MoneyMantraCha
Oil bearish trend resumesI believe that we have been in a slow oscillating move to the high of $64.50. Which is a previous resistance area. The flash news of Israel planning on attacking Iran nuclear facilities caused a rally on the daily open. The markets viewed that this appears to be very unlikely to occur. Price then hit the daily resistance area and started to fall since reaching these highs. Today the build on oil inventories appears to have sealed oils fate and the downward pressure has continued.
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by mustafabeercan
2
THESE ALTS can +100% | ALTSEASON PART2️⃣Altseason usually happens when BTC trades close towards a new ATH, as it is doing now, and takes some time to stall/trade sideways Now this season is working a little differently. Usually ETH makes its way towards new highs, but we haven't seen that just yet. Ethereum has HUGE upside potential still. It's hard to say just how high Ethereum can go, but what we do know is that it's still 88% away from the previous ATH, and due for a new one... ENA is another alt with big upside potential, from it's previous peak its more than 200% away: Solana has made a strong V-shaped recovery and if ETH is primed for new ATH, SOL is sure to follow: TRUMPcoin may be memecoin, but the again so is PEPE! Still big upside after a long while of range trading here:
Long
by Crypto-Check-