$SPY short term top downside from $521 to $481AMEX:SPY is looking like it put in a short term top here. I originally only thought that we had the potential to fall to $545 or so, but now looking at the chart, I think we have the possibility of falling farther.
The two targets that I'm looking for on the downside are $524.35 and 481.18.
Let's see if they get hit over the coming weeks.
If they hit, it'll be the ultimate buying opp as I think from there, we're likely to see SPY over $700 in the coming year or two.
Support and Resistance
Volatility to spike?If you go by Bitcoin's volatility alone as a measurement to decide where we are in the bullrun, this shows we are no where near the peak. Historically, BTC concluded its prior runs while seeing high volatility. Bitcoin's volatility is currently near its range low and hasn't replicated what we've seen in prior runs.
I believe volatility will lessen in the long term, but I feel like there's still more left in the tank to give.
HSI took off like a rocket...confirmed bullish24/02/2025
HSI took off like a rocket… then remembered it forgot its wallet and came back for a quick retrace!" 🚀📉
Next target : 24385
HSI 1W Chart
Look at that! ignore the news, the movement and volume
finance.yahoo.com
Goldencross for the week of 3Feb2025 - with trading volume jumped from 3.69bn to 15.12bn.
And the subsequent week volume keeping at >20bn level (for the week of 10Feb & 17Feb)
Let's monitor if this week keeping the same level of volume for the 3rd week.
finance.yahoo.com
we noticed the trading volume increased from 4.42Bn to 6.1673bn last Friday 21Feb25
www.tradingview.com
** The Hang Seng Composite Index on information technology firms and the Hang Seng Tech Index slip 0.5% and 0.1% respectively, while Hang Seng Index adds 0.4%
** Stock up 76.9% YTD
HSI:HSI
The last Oct Hi @ 23241 has been broken today!
MACD, KDJ and BB remained at bullish zone.
Key support level: 22990,22668,22446
Key resistance level : 23675,24167,24385
Look at the 1h chart - posted
PEPPERSTONE:HK50
Today Trade Plan:
Buy into support : 23300-23500
Sell at resistance : 23650-23700 (TP:23630)
Monitor the 1H,4H movement with confirmation using MACD & KDJ indicator.
Set your tf, have your entry and exit plan!
Pay attention to the Goldencross/DeadCross; practice makes perfect.
Let's follow our own strategy and zen with 📙 and 🍵.
Happy Trading everyone!
Reminder : start to accumulate China & HKG for the potential upside for the year! Today retracement is a good entry point.
HKEX:2800 HKEX:2823 HKEX:2801 HKEX:3067
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EURUSD InsightHello, subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- The U.S. February Services PMI preliminary reading came in at 49.7, falling below the benchmark 50 for the first time in 25 months.
- The finalized U.S. 1-year inflation expectation was confirmed at 4.3%, matching the preliminary reading but surging 1.0% from the previous month. Meanwhile, the finalized 5-year long-term inflation expectation was revised up by 0.2% to 3.3%.
- The South China Morning Post reported that a Chinese research team has discovered a new bat coronavirus that uses the same human receptor as the virus causing COVID-19, posing a potential risk of animal-to-human transmission.
- In the German federal election, the center-right Christian Democratic Union is expected to win. Markets are closely watching whether Germany’s constitutional "debt brake" will be eased after the election.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ Feb 24: Eurozone January CPI
+ Feb 25: Germany Q4 GDP
+ Feb 27: U.S. Q4 GDP
+ Feb 28: Germany February CPI, U.S. January PCE Price Index
EUR/USD Chart Analysis
The upward trend remains intact; however, the pair is struggling to break through the previous high. If it successfully surpasses this resistance level, a short-term rise to the 1.06000 level is expected, while in the mid-to-long term, it could form a peak around 1.08000.
However, if it fails to break through the 1.05000 resistance, a pullback toward 1.02000 may occur, after which the market will likely determine its next direction.
GENERAL MILLS Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 022325Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 57/61.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Price Action Analysis: Key Levels and Future ScenariosAfter analyzing multiple timeframes, we can see that the price managed to rise to 150.738 on Friday, 21st of February. However, after encountering resistance, it reversed and broke the support level at 149.568.
Additionally, the price has been trading within a channel since Monday, 23rd of December 2024, consistently respecting the lower boundary of the channel four times in the past. The previous support at 149.568 has now turned into a resistance level.
Given the price’s historical respect for the channel, we expect it to follow the same pattern. If the price breaks above the fresh resistance at 149.568, the next target will be 152.000. On the other hand, if the price fails to break this resistance, the next support level lies at 147.208.
For the long run, ensure you follow proper risk management strategies. Happy trading!
EUR/JPY Bulls Seeking Signal as Price Clings to SupportEUR/JPY is teetering above known support, but with momentum favouring the bears, there’s no need to rush into longs.
If the pair continues find buyers on dips below 156.21, a long trade could be considered above the level with a stop beneath for protection. 158 looms as an initial target, with 159 and 161 other levels to watch.
The preference is to wait for a bottoming signal before entering, similar to the morning star patterns seen in December and early February. RSI (14) and MACD remain firmly bearish, reinforcing the need for patience given the setup is counter to momentum.
A convincing break below 156.21 would invalidate the setup, opening the door for shorts targeting a retest of 154.41.
Good luck!
DS
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower as the Consumer Sentiment Index declined. Last Thursday, I mentioned that the weekly chart suggested continued downside potential, and with Friday’s sharp decline, the weekly MACD has once again turned strongly bearish. Since the weekly MACD failed to form a bullish crossover and has now resumed its downward trajectory, this move can be seen as a whipsaw pattern followed by renewed selling pressure.
On the daily chart, the Nasdaq has dropped to the 60-day moving average, and the MACD has crossed below the signal line, triggering a sell signal. However, since Friday’s daily candle alone does not fully confirm the sell signal, today’s price action will be key in determining whether the sell signal is fully confirmed. The market decline was primarily driven by concerns over weaker consumer spending, tariff-related inflation expectations, and broader economic uncertainty. Since a large bearish candle has formed on the daily chart, the market should be approached with a sell-biased strategy. Given the strong resistance zones, selling near the 3-day moving average upon any rebound would be an effective approach.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has dropped sharply, pushing the signal line below the zero level. However, a short-term bounce may occur due to oversold conditions, making it important to watch for early support levels in the pre-market session. A range-bound approach remains favorable in the short term.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower, pressured by expectations of increased oil supply from Iraq. On the daily chart, a buy signal appeared on Friday, but as mentioned earlier, it was not fully confirmed. Instead, oil closed lower, leading to a failed bullish signal and renewed downward momentum in the MACD. This shift in momentum suggests that selling pressure is increasing, making it more likely that oil will struggle to sustain a bullish breakout.
On the weekly chart, the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, meaning that some rebound potential remains. However, if oil closes the week with a bearish candle, a weekly sell signal could be triggered. The $70 level remains a key support zone. Until $70 is broken, oil should be treated as range-bound. However, if $70 is breached, downside momentum could accelerate, making a sell-biased strategy more favorable.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has dropped below the zero line, while the signal line remains above it. This suggests that some support may still exist near $70, but if the signal line also drops below zero, selling pressure could intensify further. Risk management is crucial for long positions in this environment.
Gold
Gold closed flat, remaining within a range-bound market structure. On the weekly chart, the bullish trend remains intact, but the market is now in a potential correction zone. On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are nearly converging, making today’s price action critical in determining whether gold will break higher or enter a consolidation phase.
On the 240-minute chart, gold is trading sideways at recent highs, reinforcing the range-bound nature of the market. The MACD failed to maintain bullish momentum and has started turning downward, but since it remains above the zero line, even if gold declines, it is likely to bounce back within the range. However, if the 240-minute MACD falls below zero and the signal line follows, this could trigger a sharp correction following the recent rally. Traders should watch this development closely.
This week, key events include NVIDIA earnings(Wednesday), U.S. GDP report(Thursday), PCE inflation data(Friday). As the week progresses, market volatility is expected to increase, making risk management a top priority.
Wishing you a successful trading week!
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Bearish 6J1! Correction Looking at the 6J1! chart, we are seeing a potential bearish correction or pullback as price approaches the recently established 1-hour market structure support level. After a strong trend move, this pullback is expected to retest the support zone before continuing with the downward momentum. Keep an eye on price action around this level to confirm whether the support holds, or if further downside is likely. A break below this support could signal a deeper retracement or continuation of the bearish trend. Risk management is key as we await confirmation of the next move.
Weekly FOREX Forecast Feb 24-28thThis is an FX FUTURES outlook for the week of Feb 24-28th.
In this video, we will analyze the following futures markets:
USD Index*
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
CAD
CHF
JPY
The USD continues its bearish ways this upcoming weak. It's currency counterparts will likely see some upside this week. Especially the JPY.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
BNX: After a +900% Rally, What's Next?BNX had an incredible run, skyrocketing +900% in just 19 days, completing a 5-wave Elliott Wave structure and peaking at $1.3333. Since then, the price has been in a downtrend, now approaching the critical $1.00 psychological support level.
Key Support Levels
The weekly open sits at $0.9387, aligning perfectly with the Point of Control (POC) from the previous trading range, making this a crucial level to watch. However, the bigger question remains—where is the next high-probability trade setup?
Liquidity Below $0.8278 – There's a significant liquidity pool just below this low, making it an attractive area for potential stop hunts before a reversal.
0.5 Fibonacci Retracement ($0.7333) – Measuring the full +900% move, the 50% retracement aligns near a key support zone.
Weekly Bullish Order Block ($0.7076) – A historical area of demand, adding further confluence.
1.272 Fibonacci Extension ($0.7250) – Another confirmation of a potential bounce area.
Anchored VWAP from $0.1334 – Currently sitting at $0.6675, this dynamic support strengthens the buy zone.
0.618 Fibonacci Speed Fan – If the price drops towards this level by late February, it could provide additional confluence for a bounce.
Potential Trade Setups
Bullish Setup: If price sweeps $0.8278 liquidity and enters the $0.7333 - $0.7076 demand zone, a long opportunity with confirmation could offer a great risk-to-reward trade.
PALLADIUM at Key Support: Rebound Toward 1,011$?OANDA:XPDUSD has reached a significant support zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if buyers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support zone, there is a high likelihood of an upward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 1,011 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
EURCHF at Key Support: Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:EURCHF has reached a significant support zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if buyers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support zone, there is a high likelihood of an upward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 0.94320 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
BTC dominance ready for a crashBack in december 2017 it rejected from this region it also wicked at 73% and then it continued its way to the downside . Currently btc.d is sitting at the same region and again it can wick at 70% area and send it down but i think btc.d will start going down from this region.
It did retest the uptrend for the second time. First rejection it offered a small alt pump .
Second rejection from this trendline might give us the so called altseason.
Waiting for confirmation.
Whatever the outcome , the uptrend one day will be over and that day is closer than we think.
2/21/25 - DNA: new SELL mechanical trading signal.2/21/25 - DNA: new SELL signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
DNA - SELL SHORT
Stop Loss @ 16.36
Entry SELL SHORT @ 10.82
Target Profit @ 6.98
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed below the upper channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed.
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3 SELL pattern...where the current highest top breakout price is less than the preceding top price.
Higher timeframe: Price peaked above the ATR (Average True Range) breakout high and then reversed.
Weekly Market Forecast Feb 24-28: SPX, NAS, DJI, GOLD, ...This is a FUTURES market outlook for the week of Feb 17-21st.
In this video, we will analyze the following futures markets:
ES | S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC | Gold
SIL | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
The USD continues its bearish ways this upcoming weak. It's currency counterparts will likely see some upside this week. Especially the JPY.
Patience and an ear to the news will be the best way to approach the equity markets. The same would also apply to news sensitive commodity markets like US OIL, Gold and Silver.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
USDCAD WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK!Price is Beginning to retrace. Price traded and closed at 1.42263 ahead of the week, we’d likely anticipate a further drop in price to around 1.38615 a pullback support. This week , we anticipate a fundamental news. We’re looking forward to seeing a GDP report from both countries. I anticipate a further drop in price.
2/21/25 - VTRS: new BUY mechanical trading signal.2/21/25 - VTRS: new BUY signal chosen by a rules-based, mechanical trading system.
VTRS - BUY
Stop Loss @ 10.60
Entry BUY @ 11.25
Target Profit @ 13.14
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed above the lower channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed.
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3 BUY pattern...where the current lowest bottom breakout price is greater than the preceding bottom price.
Higher timeframe: Price peaked below the ATR (Average True Range) breakout low and then reversed.
USDCHF shortMy analysis was on the 1 hour timeframe and a small position. When I looked at the daily timeframe, I came across a range that could work very well. I have a Fibonacci line that is 86 and I love this line. In one of my tutorials, I came across this line that in range bounds, the trend reversal always comes and touches 86. It has touched the high level and is changing the trend downwards and we can ride this wave.