NzdUsd Trade Idea/UpdateI published NU shorts and stated my reasoning for looking to go short on the pair. With NU flipping back bullish and closing above 59450 I've decided to go long with stops just underneath the level. IF all goes well we could expect the next level to get hit being at 59674. We'll see what happens.
Support and Resistance
ATI Still Has More Upside PotentialATI broke out above the key $67.35 resistance level in early May and is now attempting to consolidate its recent surge. While the stock has nearly reached the consensus analyst price target—suggesting limited near-term upside—the recent Middle East visit by Trump may have changed the outlook.
ATI is a U.S.-based specialty materials and components manufacturer, focused on high-performance metals for the aerospace, defense, and energy sectors. During Trump’s visit, large aerospace orders were announced, especially for NYSE:BA and NYSE:GE . The total value of these orders is expected to reach $115 billion.
ATI could be one of the main beneficiaries of this deal, as nearly 16% of its revenue comes from sales to Boeing and GE. In addition, broader demand growth in the aerospace and defense industries may directly or indirectly support ATI’s business.
From a valuation standpoint, ATI is currently trading at 13.9x forward earnings—26% above its two-year average. However, many valuation models and forecasts remain outdated and may not yet reflect the impact of recent developments.
If ATI pulls back to retest the $67.35 breakout level, it could present a strong buying opportunity with a close stop. The upper boundary of the trend channel, currently near $90, may serve as a medium-term target.
Gold is rising strongly, can it retreat and go long today?🗞News side:
1. US officials said Trump's statement was related to the Golden Dome Project, which may affect the flow of funds
2. The tension in the Middle East has intensified, and the risk aversion sentiment has increased, which is good for gold
3. Although the withdrawal of Indian and Pakistani troops has eased the regional situation, geopolitical risks still exist
4. Trump mentioned the tax bill, which affected economic expectations and affected gold investment sentiment to a certain extent.
📈Technical aspects:
Yesterday we gave the view that there would be suppression at the 3290 level above, but affected by geopolitics, risk aversion sentiment rose again. Today, the moving average spread upward, and the Bollinger Bands opened and expanded, and the situation is still bullish. At present, we need to pay attention to the key short-term support level, focusing on the 3280-3285 support line. If the price retreats to this level and does not weaken, it can be considered as an opportunity for us to go long. If the resistance of 3320 is broken through strongly, the upper target will move up, and the lower support will also move up accordingly. 3300 will be converted into an entry opportunity for bulls to pull back. Therefore, we need to observe the price continuity in the European session. If the European session continues to break highs, the US session's correction will still be mainly based on long positions. During the day, it is recommended to wait for gold to retreat to 3290-3280 and try to arrange long positions, looking upward to 3320-3330.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Safe-haven sentiment leads to gold price rise again
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices continued to climb, breaking through the $3,300 mark in the Asian session, continuing the upward trend of the past three weeks. The recent deterioration of the US fiscal situation has caused market concerns, and Moody's downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating last week became the fuse.
At the same time, the market's bets on further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025 have increased, causing the US dollar index to fall to a two-week low, providing continued buying momentum for gold.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart, the gold price has closed positive for three consecutive days and broke through the key resistance zone of $3250-3260, which was previously the 200-day moving average, and the technical side has formed an effective breakthrough.
The current price is stable above $3300, and the short-term bullish momentum is sufficient. If the current trend continues, it will be expected to challenge the $3365-3370 area, and further break through or point to the $3400 integer mark.
On the downside, the initial support level of gold price is at $3250. If it fails, it will test the previous breakthrough of $3250-3255. The second is the $3230-3235 area.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 3250-3255
Short Position:3315-3320
Parallel Channel and other Technicals Explained on a Nifty ChartWe have tried to draw a parallel channel on Nifty hourly chart. The chart indicates that we are just below the mid channel line. The mid channel line will act as a resistance if the price is below the same and will act as a support if the price is above it. Right now it is acting as a resistance. Top of the channel always acts as a resistance and bottom of the channel always acts as a support. Additionally there are historic resistances and supports which indicate the other levels which may act as support or resistance. There are also Mother and Father lines (50 and 200 EMA)(EMA = Exponential Moving Average).
To understand in detail how parallel channel works or how supports and resistance are derived or what is Mother, Father and Small Child theory. I would recommend you my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. By reading this book you can understand all these concepts with ease. You can additionally understand what is fundamental and technical analysis and how to do it. You will also get to understand the dos and the don'ts of investment in equity by reading various chapters on Behavioural Finance. Overall it is a value for money book available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is also available on Google play book and other E-book stores. You can also contact us for getting the copy of it. The Happy Candles way is one of the highest rated books in the category and you can go through the reviews of the book on Amazon before purchasing it.
Based on Parallel Channel, Supports and Resistances, Mother Father and Small child theory resistances and supports of Nifty remain at.
Nifty Resistances Remain at: 24815, 24909, 24977, 25045 and 25116. The channel top resistance for the current parallel channel is around 25372.
Nifty Supports Remain at: 24780 (Mother Line Support), 24679 and 24537. The Channel Bottom support is currently around 24396. 24247 is the most important Father line support.
Shadow of the candles currently is neutral. Indicating Nifty can still go in any direction. A pennant like structure (Triangle is also formed). This indicates that Breakout or Breakdown of this triangle or pennant can take Nifty a long way on either side. Nifty is currently squeezing in the pennant with limited space. Usually when the space is limited a Breakout can happen in either direction.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
5/21 Gold Trading SignalsGood afternoon, everyone!
In yesterday’s trading, our buy-side positions performed well, but unfortunately, sell orders around 3280 weren't closed in time, resulting in a partial loss of profit.
Today, gold has shown impressive strength, breaking above the 3300 level and forming an irregular inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Technically, this implies further upside potential.
🔍 Based on price action and technical patterns, this rally could extend beyond 3330, and even test 3350+. However, the 3346–3369 zone marks a strong resistance band, making it an ideal zone for medium-term selling opportunities.
📉 On the downside, we identify the first major support at 3278, followed by the 3261–3246 zone.
📰 On the news front, several Fed officials expressed economic concerns in speeches early this morning. Meanwhile, reports of Israel preparing to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities fueled safe-haven demand, pushing gold strongly back above the 3300 mark.
📌 Today's Trading Strategy:
Sell between 3346–3373 (consider scaling in)
Buy between 3260–3243
Flexible trading in the zones: 3338 - 3326 - 3318 -3309 -3298 - 3288 - 3272
Lastly, a heartfelt thought:
Living in a peaceful country like China, it's truly heartbreaking to see so many innocent children suffering or even losing their lives due to war. Let us hope for peace soon—so all people may live safely, freely, and happily.
UsdJpy Trade UpdateI published a short idea on UJ stating price being overall bearish on all time frames. I personally wanted to see price retest the level of support as resistance to confirm the bearish continuation. Price did just that and entries were taken with a 1:3rr target. Stops are just above structure. We'll see what happens.
Platinum May Be Coming to LifePlatinum has been dead money for years, but now it may be coming to life.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the falling trendline along the highs of last May and October. The metal just ripped through that resistance with its biggest daily gain since December 2022.
Next, MACD is rising and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. Those signals may reflect bullish short-term momentum.
Third, prices have been near the 200-day simple moving average since late last year. That suggests the long-term trend is neutral, which may create the potential for a new uptrend.
Next, why would such a move begin? A Bloomberg report yesterday may have provided clues: Chinese demand jumped as retail buyers amassed coins and bars as an alternate to gold.
That brings us to the final indicator: a monthly ratio chart comparing platinum to gold. Its significant underperformance for decades could make some investors think it’s relatively undervalued.
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Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
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AudUsd Trade IdeaAU is currently sitting at a level that price has respected before. 15m shows price flipping from bullish to bearish but than flips back to bullish. I'll need to see the break and retest below 64370 in order to execute shorts on this pair. That would confirm price respecting the level of resistance once more and expect price to tap back into 63900. We'll see what happens.
NzdUsd Trade IdeaNU is currently sitting at a strong level of resistance. We do have a structure shift on the 15m at that level of resistance but the hourly is still showing signs of bulls taking over. In order for me to execute shorts here I'll have to see price break and retest below to confirm the shift in structure. We'll see what happens.
Is a Range Forming?The S&P 500 has enjoyed a powerful rally in the last month, and now some traders may anticipate a sideways move.
The first pattern on today’s chart is 5,971, the final weekly close of 2024. The index chopped on either side of that level a few times in January and early February. It stalled there in late February and early March as tariffs were confirmed on Mexico and Canada. SPX peaked just three points below that price on Monday before halting. Is the old resistance still in effect?
Second, SPX made a lower low and a higher high that session. Tuesday was just the opposite. That combination of an outside candle, followed by an inside candle, may suggest a change of direction is coming.
Third, Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned down after nearing an overbought condition.
If a pullback occurs, traders may eye roughly 5,773 as support. That was the low in January and a high in late March.
Next, prices are historically far above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). However, the SMA is turning upward. That could suggest the intermediate-term trend has grown more positive, which may keep pullbacks shallow.
Finally, few important events appear to be scheduled before next Wednesday. (Minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting and Nvidia earnings are both due then.) That lack of catalysts may also create drift – especially with a long holiday weekend approaching.
Check out TradingView's The Leap competition sponsored by TradeStation.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
USDNOK - US Dollar / Norwegian Krone (Daily chart, OANDA)USDNOK - United States Dollar / Norwegian Krone (Daily chart, OANDA) - Short Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 10.31500
Entry limit ~ 10.30000 on May 06, 2025
Target limit ~ 10.50000 (+1.94%)
Stop order limit ~ 10.18000 (-1.17%)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
GBPCHF – Pullback to Demand Zones for Possible Buy Setup | ProfiOn the 1H timeframe, GBPCHF has broken above a key high and confirmed support with a solid close — showing bullish momentum.
However, price is currently reacting to a 1H red order block, which could trigger a short-term correction.
We’re now waiting for price to revisit one of the lower demand zones for potential buy opportunities. Make sure to look for multiple confirmations on the lower timeframes (M5 or M3) before entering any trade.
Also, keep an eye on the red supply zone above; it may offer valid sell opportunities if bearish confirmations appear.
📌 Key Levels
🟢 Support Zones:
• 1.1036 – 1.1046
• 1.0920 – 1.0950
🔴 Resistance Zone:
• 1.1250 – 1.1290
⚠️ Entry only with confirmation – patience pays.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook resonates with your own view, drop your chart or feedback below. Let’s learn and grow together 📈
VZ - Verizon Communications Inc. (45 minutes chart, NYSE) - LongVZ - Verizon Communications Inc. (45 minutes chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volatility risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.08
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 44.17
Entry limit ~ 44 to 43.60 (Avg. - 43.8) on May 07, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 44.35 (+1.26%; +0.55 points)
2. Target limit ~ 44.80 (+2.28%; +1 point)
3. Target limit ~ 45.15 (+3.08%; +1.35 points)
Stop order limit ~ 43.15 (-1.48%; -0.65 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A decent day on the markets after the frustrating range being played early week. We said we expected the play to be between the 3210 and 3255 region with a break either side deciding the short term direction. We waited lower for the 3203-5 region early session, managed to get 3204 and then long on the red boxes which guided the way as well as our trusted algo Excalibur. Excalibur completed 4 Gold targets in a day with another insane pip capture. Well done team.
So now we have an open level above 3290-95 with our indicator starting to show the stretch upside. Rather than attempt long up here, we'll look higher for a potential RIP based on a clean set up, if we get that support is on the flip at 3255-60 which is the retracement level.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
EURUSD Sell Swing TradeHello Traders,
I stumbled across the Euro Dollar chart on the daily time-frame only to notice we are coming near a level of some significance at 1.12778
I noticed some historic bearish rejections on this key level and whilst looking at market structure, I was interested in another bearish move from this market.
I zoomed into the 4hr time frame to see what candlestick patterns I could identify to build to some value into the trade idea.
Not only did I do this, but I found a large wick rejection candle form below my structure level which I have used for entry.
I anticipate that we will see this pair take price down to previous structure lows and break lower depending on how quickly the market reacts
Entry @ 1.12518
Stop Loss @ 1.12970 - 45.2pips
Take Profit @ 1.10751 - 176.3 pips
Best of luck if you take this !!!