XAUUSD: Buy or sell now?The price of XAUUSD has come to the position near 3345 again. The pressure at this position is very controversial. We need to observe. If this position is stable. Then we need to pay attention to the target of 3360-3385. If it is unstable, we will short and wait for the TP of 3320, which still needs to be emphasized. If you are not sure how to trade. Remember to leave us a message. We will lead you to make better and more accurate transactions, expand profits or recover losses. Do not trade independently. Create greater losses.
Remember to continue to pay attention to the core trading strategy updates of swing trading.
Support and Resistance
Tensions in the Middle East.(Geopolitical and Technical updates)As it was expected there was a deep fall in the market due to Israel Vs Iran tensions. US is also a direct or indirect party to the situation and if there is further escalation other global powers will mostly get involved. Due to the this situation market opened gap down at 24473. What we saw post that is Indian market recovered smartly from that situation to close at 24718. That is a huge 245 point recovery to end the day. This is why colour of the candles throughout the day (As this is an hourly chart are green despite we ended in red. (That is a classic Technical lesson for understanding candle sticks analytics). The closing is above the father line support of 24674 which is a good sign as this will be our support (Strong support for Monday.) I have spent more than 15 years in the Middle East and happen to know a little bit out of my personal experience, having interacted with a lot of locals. Thus I am trying to answer a few questions that might be coming in the minds of may investors including myself.
The Question now are we out of danger?
Answer: Not yet.
Question 2: Why we are not out of danger?
Ans: The geo-political situation is very tense. The scale of Israeli attack was massive and there are clear and present chances of Iran counter attack which has already begun. Israel will respond again and Trump has already said that the next attacks by Israel will be even more fierce. No Iran is no palestine and there would be many countries that might support Iran. Specially China has already hinted support. Russia another ally is busy with Ukraine but you never know.
Question 3: How it goes for the other Middle Eastern countries?
Ans: There are lot of countries with US and Western bases on them. If Iran attacks them there are chances of other Western countries getting into the act too. In addition to some Middle Eastern countries getting into the act for the purpose of self defence. Thus over the weekend the things can get either very tense.
Question 4: What happens to India and Indian markets?
Ans: Today Indian markets have shown a lot of resilience. Global meltdown can affect us to for sure. But as we are neutral (As of now as it seems). The damage to our market hopefully will be minimal. Moreover recovery will be swift once the situation becomes less tense.
Question 5: What should investors do?
Ans: Long term investors can hold on to their long term positions in blue chip stocks. Keep stop losses and trailing stop losses in place for the mid-cap and small cap stocks. If some stop losses are hit or trailing stop losses are hit, you can always buy again as market is not going anywhere. The dip that we might potentially see can be an opportunity for long term investors for bottom fishing again and recalibrating their portfolios. (You can use the current situation to realign your portfolio for buying the trending stocks which have giving good results this quarter or have been giving good results since last few quarters.) Get rid of the stocks that have been dragging your portfolio down. Market has provided another opportunity for a fresh start.
Things you can do:
1) Gold and Silver are always a great option when it comes to uncertain times.
2) Do not give a knee jerk reaction in selling off your winners.
3) Watch the global updates and keep stop losses and trailing stop losses accordingly.
4) Re-calibrate your portfolio
5) If you are sitting on cash use the dip for investing in stocks with long term perspective.
The support for Nifty Remain at: 24674 (Father line support), 24640 (Mid-channel support), 24492 (Trend line support), 24382, 24208 and finally 24077 (Channel Bottom Support). a closing below 24077 will enable and empower bears to Pull Nifty further down.
Resistances for Nifty remain at: 24752, 24818, 24906 (Mother line Resistance), 25043, 25138 and finally 25223 (Channel top Resistnace). Above 25223 Bulls will potentially take over the market.
To know more about Mother Father and Small Child theory, Parallel Channel, Technical and Fundamental analysis and to learn it to master it. Read my book. The Happy Candles Way To Wealth Creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is one of the highest rated books in the category and many readers consider it as a Hand Book for Equity investment.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. The political commentary is based on personal views and analysis. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Hit the target with one strike! Gold perfectly cashed in 3435Gold closed sideways at a high level yesterday, and closed positive again overnight. It opened back to 3379 and pulled up strongly, breaking through the 3400 mark and then increasing in volume. The recent low-multiple bullish ideas have been realized. There is no doubt that it will continue to be bullish and long today. The market has turned from the previous sweeping upward to a strong unilateral trend. The upper side will first look at the previous high pressure of 3435. Continued breakthrough will further open up the upper space, or it will hit 3500 or even a new high again. The lower support focuses on the top and bottom conversion position of 3395-3405, and then pay attention to the 1H cycle support near 3410. The intraday operation is mainly long on the decline.
Operation suggestion: Go long on gold when it falls back to 3395-3345, and look at 3434 and 3450. If it is strong, continue to go long with the support of 3415-3410.
When operating, be sure to strictly set stop loss, strictly control risks, and respond to market fluctuations steadily.
War triggers a surge in gold prices
💡Message Strategy
The situation in the Middle East escalated suddenly, and Israel announced a preemptive military strike against Iran, targeting facilities and military targets related to Iran's nuclear program. Explosions were heard in Tehran, the capital of Iran. Iranian state media confirmed that senior leaders of its Revolutionary Guard were killed in the attack, and nuclear scientists and military facilities were also severely damaged.
At the same time, although the United States did not directly participate in the operation, it has entered a state of high alert, and the global crude oil and gold markets have fluctuated violently due to tensions. This sudden conflict not only made the Middle East tense, but also triggered widespread concerns in the international community about regional security and the impact on the global economy.
The war has changed the recent volatility of gold. At present, gold has strongly broken through the 3,400 mark and accelerated its rise.
📊Technical aspects
From the 4-hour analysis, the gold price rose in the middle line in the morning today and stood above the 3400 mark to further continue its strength. The short-term support below is 3400-3410, and the key support below is the recent top and bottom conversion position around 3375-3385.
If it falls back and relies on this position, it will continue to be bullish. The short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3345-50 mark, with the target of 3500. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-multiple rhythm. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:3410-3420,3430-3440
EURUSD | Bearish Below 1.1530, Break Above 1.1559 Turns BullishEURUSD | Overview
The pair is trading under bearish pressure due to rising geopolitical tensions.
As long as the price remains below 1.1530, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 1.1450 and 1.1372.
For a bullish reversal, the price must break above 1.1559 to open the path toward 1.1625.
Pivot Line: 1.1530
Support Levels: 1.1450, 1.1372, 1.1270
Resistance Levels: 1.1559, 1.1625, 1.1750
GOLD poised for breakout GLD & /gcAfter going on a huge run to 317 we have spent a significant time now basing out and consolidating we’ve come down into that 300 range and tested and built up quite a bit of support
With the Iranian intentions we could kickstart the next move in gold 317 is the breakout. I am looking to play this breakout on an intra day pull back with some calls one month out for a swing Trey looking at the 320 or 325 strike price
USNAS100 | Bearish Below 21635 Amid Geopolitical UncertaintyUSNAS100 | OVERVIEW
The index is currently under bearish momentum driven by escalating geopolitical tensions.
As long as the situation remains unresolved, downward pressure is expected to continue.
Outlook:
As long as the price stays below the pivot at 21635, the index is likely to drop toward 21470.
A confirmed break below 21470 could accelerate the decline toward 21250, and eventually 21065.
Pivot Line: 21635
Support Levels: 21470, 21250, 21065
Resistance Levels: 21790, 21930, 22090
MSFT Weekly Chart Signals a $100 Move — Don’t Miss This BreakoutMicrosoft continues to show strong bullish behavior on the weekly chart. Historically, the stock has respected a well-defined upward channel, and the recent price action has further reinforced this trend. Notably, MSFT has broken through a key resistance level that had previously capped its upside for months. This breakout is significant as it suggests a shift in market structure, from consolidation to a potential new leg up.
The breakout area around $474–$479 has now turned into a short-term support zone. This region will play a critical role in maintaining bullish sentiment; any successful retest that holds above this zone confirms strength and invites further accumulation. The chart highlights a projected move toward $580, which lies near the upper red trendline—this aligns well with the historical resistance trajectory.
A bullish trade setup can be considered from the current levels around $478, with a stop-loss just below the $447–$435 zone. This range marks a previous congestion area and aligns with the lower side of the risk-reward box illustrated on the chart. The potential upside move is about 20.99%, offering a solid risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.27, assuming the price continues to hold above the breakout level.
While the trend remains firmly bullish, a weekly close below $447.50 would warrant caution. It could indicate a deeper retracement, potentially back into the broader green trend channel extending toward $400 or below. However, current momentum favors continuation to the upside, especially after clearing such a pivotal resistance.
In conclusion, Microsoft’s long-term chart structure, combined with the recent breakout and favorable price action, supports a bullish outlook. If price action remains above $474–$479, the stock is well-positioned to challenge the $580 resistance level in the coming weeks.
Potential Uptrend in Alamos GoldAlamos Gold has rallied sharply in the last 16 months, and some traders may see potential for further upside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs between mid-April and mid-May. The gold miner cleared that falling trendline about three weeks ago and has been grinding higher since. Such price action could suggest old resistance has been broken.
Second, prices have chopped on either side of the 50-day simple moving average and are now back above it. That may indicate its intermediate-term uptrend remains in effect.
Third is the $26.49 level. AGI peaked there on May 23 and bounced there earlier this month. Has old resistance become new support?
Last, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) began June by crossing above the 21-day EMA. It’s stayed there since and MACD is rising. Those signals may be consistent with short-term bullishness.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
As conflict escalates, gold is cautiously long📰 Impact of news:
1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates
📈 Market analysis:
The worsening geopolitical situation caused a surge in gold prices. The intraday short-term support points of 3420, 3402, and 3380 will all become key support for testing bulls. If the European session is strong, 3420 cannot be lost. If it falls back and loses, it will move closer to the top and bottom conversion position of 3402. If you go long later, you must pay attention to the weakening of the upward momentum. If the European session continues to break the high of 3440, then the US session can be seen around 3468-3493. If the upward momentum in the European session weakens, we need to watch out for a short-selling counterattack and a sharp decline. The geopolitical situation is unstable. Bros must strictly control SL when trading independently.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3420-3402-3380
TP 3390-3400-3420-3460-3490
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
US DOLLAR INDEX(DXY): Classic Bearish SetupI believe that 📉DOLLAR INDEX has a potential to continue falling.
The market has been consolidating in a wide intraday horizontal range, and the breakout below the range support is a significant bearish indicator.
Target levels are 98.08 then 97.80 support.